Energy costs are becoming more critical

Well it is that time of year again, and I've just spent an hour or so sweeping the chimney and cleaning the stove. Getting ready to start heating "the old-fashioned way" is a very long way from earlier this week when I walked around the exhibition at Fabtech, the largest metal forming trade show in North America. There were robots welding, pipes bending, punches thudding, waterjets cutting and 6 kW lasers carving out samples from metal plates. It was one of those places where, if so inclined, you could watch fascinating displays almost all day (and I did). But it led me very quickly to thinking about the energy that is now consumed in manufacturing, as we have moved from getting things hand-made by the blacksmith down at the forge, to where the entire process can be robot-operated, without human touch. This change has been one of those steps that keep North America ahead in a time of global markets and much cheaper labor elsewhere. But that change, and the power of many systems today, has rarely, `til recently, had to consider the cost of energy, as a significant part of the operational expense.

That now is changing, and energy costs are already having an impact that goes outside the more obvious ones of driving less, or turning down the thermostat. Anecdotally one hears that the National Glass Center in Sunderland is closing four of its furnaces, because of the rising price of natural gas. That's one way to cope with the increase in cost, simply stop doing what you were, or at least at the same level. But as the entire economy becomes a victim, long-term that is not going to help.

The shape of things to come is presaged, in places such as sub-Saharan Africa where, as the President of Senegal noted
The oil crisis is not a vexing "cost crunch"; it is an unfolding catastrophe that could set back efforts to reduce poverty and promote economic development for years. . . . . Here in the capital of Senegal, gasoline costs $5.62 a gallon. . . . . in a country where per capita income is $849 a year. Senegal's electrical utility has been forced to turn off the lights throughout the nation for long periods every day, a crippling problem that could be eased if energy cost less.

Unfortunately the Cornucopian point-of-view that we will soon be swimming in oil and gas again, doesn't help encourage any thought of change in the way that energy is used. There is an implied thought that if we can just stick it out, soon we will be back in the land of plenty. For example the EIA data shows, the U.S. demand for gas is continuing to grow, despite the price.

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As a result efforts to find new ways to operate with less energy are not given much attention, or support, since (learning from the lessons of the 80's) that investment will be found to have been thrown away when the tap re-opens. And this is a pity, since the last of the generation that worked on these problems the last time they came around, are now retiring. Further, since a lot of the work was done before the Internet was around, there is little of it that can easily be recovered through Search Engines, and thus it will likely be lost.

I was thinking of some of this as I watched the lasers at the Fabtech show. In cutting applications they work by either melting, or more often vaporizing the target material. This is inherently a less efficient method of cutting than, at the other extreme, a guy with a pair of steel shears, in terms of what we call specific energy - i.e. the amount of energy required to remove a unit volume of material. Laser cutting is much more energy intensive, though it gives a precision and speed, that is often hard to match if you were doing it, with less energy cost, by hand.

And if you were thinking of using it to drill an oilwell, then Bill Maurer, has some sad news for you.

You have the same level of cutting energies when you use the same sorts of tools for cutting steel. So it is that we are now using one of the more energy-expensive techniques for cutting. It is possible, by narrowing the beam, to remove only sufficient material to allow separation, and the process can, in that way be more efficient. But there is only a certain amount of change one can make in a system like this before one reaches a limit. Vaporizing material just costs a lot of energy, period. Which suggests, as energy costs become a greater part of the industrial process, that we should see more research to try to find new and better ways to get things done with less energy.

I was thinking about vaporization on the plane back from Altanta, and was reading in the latest Wired that the brain allows alcohol molecules in, while keeping others out (something they are trying to overcome) and did suggest to my students that perhaps if we put a tap in their ear, and allowed them to drink to excess we might find a new way of concentrating the alcohol from cellulosic production - but this obviously was not the humorous aside I thought it might be.

My point, however, was that we are in need of finding different approaches to saving energy in most of the things we do. In many cases the older ways did not use as much energy, but were slower and required some skill that has, in large measure, been lost. The values for energy cost that are assumed in many of these cases are not absolute values, but are reflective of the current way in which we carry out the work. A man with a pick can mine coal at around 4 joules/cc, which is a mere fraction of that needed by a laser. But he (there were no female miners in the UK in those days) did it by breaking the coal out in large pieces, using the leverage of his pick to extend existing cracks. If a laser is used, then the existing crack system is not taken advantage of, and the energy cost is much higher. (And to anticipate the comment - if you use a pico-second laser the coal will not ignite as it is vaporized). There is thus a lot of potential in reconsidering how we use energy beyond just the improvements that can be made in transportation efficiency.

But, sadly I do not think that we are looking for these alternate approaches that intensely. It was legitimate and timely for Matt Simmons to point out the lack of investigators (at 24:30 on) and that there are very few break through ideas on the drawing board for the fossil fuel industry. Though he spoke specifically to the crude oil problems. He also pointed out that the majors aren't funding research in these topics, and that the relevant departments at the universities have shrunk and lost their budgets, so that the technology pipeline is nearly empty.

I have bemoaned this problem before, but the steps that I see coming from the government seem more tied to single, large center funding, rather than encouraging a multiplicity of studies to find answers. Which is not to say that they are not there, but if folk aren't looking that hard for them, (because of both a lack of interested faculty and students, and a lack of funding) then it will take that much longer to find answers when it will no longer be needed as a prudent step but rather as a vital one.
And in the meantime, it is back to working with that fuel that warms me twice. The first time when I split it (as in now) and then, later, when I burn it.

Don't worry, the invisible hand of the market will provide.  

Of course, the "solution" the free market provides might be to move operations overseas, where natural gas is cheaper, and where the people who took your job now have the money to buy their products...  

Excellent post HO.

Like you I have been laying up the wood this weekend and come to the same conclusions you have.  Some things are done faster with modern equipment, but not as energy efficiently.  Specifically, splitting wood with and ax requires skill to split with the grain at weak spots in the wood.  Mechanical splitters just brute force the problem, often cutting through knots rather than splitting around them.  

If speed is the only criteria than Paul Bunyon can't keep up with the steam splitter!  But when energy is scarce it should be treated with respect and not be wasted.  We need to trade speed of accomplishment for efficient use of energy whenever we can.  But it is now a habit for people to trade speed for quality in just about everything.  A craftsmen using power tools is a wonder to behold.  The same tools in the hands of most people just makes a mess quickly.  Most houses built in the last 20 years show this.  There is no real thought going into when high energy applications make sense vs using a less energy intensive method.

When John Henry, in his last gasp, beat the steam hammer, history was at an inflexion point of sorts when it was becoming more 'efficient' to use cheap fossil fuel than human power. I think there are already signs this trend has peaked and is beginning to slide down the backside of the energy curve. Looking at the number of human run sweatshops around the world producing cheap Mal*Wart stuff, it seems like using cheap human power in addition to fairly simple and cheap machines beats complex roboticized manufacturing. Seems like it would be possible, for example, to build an automated factory to turn out bluejeans and other textiles. But this type of industry is rapidly moving off-shore where the human labor is cheaper. More cost-effective already to maximize use of cheap human labor instead of building every more energy-intensive machinery.
How are you able to cut wood this late in the season for this winter's heat?  Or are you putting it up for next year?  We have to split and stack ours at least a year in advance to burn it in our stove.
hmm on a related note. the house i live in does have a fireplace. unfortunately the previous owners of this house made it out of the wrong type of moter/brick. it would cost over 1000 to get it torn down and rebuilt properly so i am wondering is there a cheaper but still effective way to fix it?
how about a stove style insert? you may well find you actually wind up with more heat in the room as well...
A stove style insert with a metal flue extending up the chimney will give all of the benefits of the fireplace while not causing the fire hazard. Depending upon type of insert, it can also be more efficient than a regular fireplace.
There are also systems where a bladder is infalted in the chimney and new mortar is pumped around it.  This Old House used this system on a number of projects.
The concrete injection is very expensive.  
A steel liner is more affordable.
I have thought a lot about the loss of basic skills as being discussed here.  I am "skilled" in many ways--carpenter, good at lots of things--but my "skills" are largely mute absent the grid.  
my "skills" are largely mute absent the grid.

It's "moot".

http://www.thefreedictionary.com/moot

Sorry. I couldn't help it.

Jack

Yup, and add to that insulating sleeve around the metal flue.  The fireplace by itself won't add much net heat to the house (too much draft), but a good wood stove (including the type that inserts into the fireplace) is wonderful to have, especially when the grid is unreliable...
We purchased a new high efficiency soapstone wood stove model this year.  Uses secondary air.  My guess is this is a combination gasification (reduced primary air) and mixing air with gases to complete combustion. We use less wood and find more uniform heat in our home.  I know high efficiency stoves are all that are allowed to be sold (at least here) but I'm very impressed that they indeed do as advertized.
So is a microwave more energy efficient than a gas stove? There are some new processes that are more efficient that the process they replace
Microwave oven were invented during the last energy crunch because they are very energy efficient.  And some things don't cook very well (bread for instance) in microwaves.

But a solar oven is more efficient yet and doesn't use any electric.  But it takes a long time (hours) to cook a meal in a solar oven which makes it a non starter for most people.

The key is to use the most appropriate tool in each situation instead of always relying on the most energy intensive, which is also usually the fastest.  The modern world is obsessed with speed.

I'd love to use a solar cooker, but I don't have enough direct sunlight.  I live in an apartment, and my balcony gets only a couple of hours of sunlight a day.
Put it on the roof of your building or building where you work?  Unless someone would steal it.

They are really portable.  I know people who take these on camping trips.

I don't have access to the roof.  I've never had access to the roof of any building I've lived or worked in.  Liability concerns, I suspect.
The couple who loaned us our first solar oven (we now have two, solar oven society and solar oven), would set their oven out in the morning when they were leaving for work. They would point it due south. When they came home it was cooked to perfection and still perfectly warm, ready for dinner.

We do it that way if we're going to be out all day.

Another option is the Sierra twig stove, by ZZ manufacturing. A single, rechargable AA battery powers a fan, which burns a few handfulls of twigs very hot, cooking our food or boiling our water very fast. We've phased out our propane and only use the twig stove and the solar ovens.

Jim;
  Are you using the Solar oven like a CrockPot, too?  I've been chewing on getting a Solar CrockPot Design to work this way.  Shouldn't be too hard.. and the great thing with crock pots is, as you said, you do all the setup in the morning, and when you get home, a hot dinner is waiting for you.  Soups, stews, potroasts!!

Bob Fiske

I guess.... but maybe it's more like just a slow oven. Slow cooking keeps in the vitamins and taste. Also, one huge advantage of solar ovens is that it cooks in its own moisture. In a conventional oven, the food is surrounded by exhaust gasses from the gas combustion; in a solar oven, the original air is trapped, and becomes very moist. You don't need as much water, it is less likely to stick, and the heating is even so it is far less likely to stick to the pot, or to burn on. Omelletes work pretty well!
Reading through this thread there is another related issue not mentioned.  If you split your own wood you not only are warmed twice but you don't need to drive to the gym to get the exercise that your body needs.  We really have become so compartmentalized as "consumers" that we have to fight the idea that every need we have must be filled by going out and buying something.  Make that "driving to the store".

And our "vendors" have gotten so efficient at selling us stuff  that is made by those marvelous machines that no one notices the poor quality of what that stuff or the even worse quality of the service provided.

More than that - if you are using an efficient wood stove, you can also heat cooking/cleaning water, reducing the amount of electricity used/carbon created during food preparation.

Co-generation is one of the really major areas of conservation/efficiency, and yes, it also works real well at the micro level too.

It may not scale that well to a city dweller, but the real problem is that such solutions, where workable, provide no incentive in an economic sense. That is, no one is making money off your physical fitness, your reduction of carbon emission, or your reduction in electrical/burning use - so such solutions remain in the realm of personal virtue, not social benefit - remember, more profit is the goal, not more efficiency or a better life for the individual.

This is where I split from the idea of catabolic collapse, compared to entropic collapse - that is, societies set priorities, and then ignore reality while attempting to maintain those priorities in the face of any and all challenges, since any change represents a self-defined failure. Successful societies over time change their priorities, and unsuccessful ones die off trying to maintain their visions in the face of uncaring reality. And yes, this should sound like a reference to a certain society which seems utterly incapable of changing itself.

I keep toying with the idea that the society which currently exists in North America will at some point in the near historical (not in my lifetime, but not thousands of years either) future become something like the Mayans - that is, a group of people who still belong to an identifiable culture, but who no longer have anything to do with their past, having become a footnote, so to speak, even if their past accomplishments remain part of the world around them.

Splitting wood isn't much of a solution though.  We'd quickly cut down all our remaining forests if we went back to heating with nothing but wood.  There's just too many of us to be practical.  
This is somewhat true, especially in terms of cooking, but what is possible in terms of what Germans call 'Passivhäuser' (highly insulated and energy efficient, with hot water/PV integrated) is very impressive in terms of bringing heating in line with what grows naturally in a forest.

Of course, if you have bulldozered the fields and woods to make McMansions, then you would have to wait a good generation or two before the first wood becomes available as fuel - and you would need to tear down all the McMansions to build good housing in terms of energy requirements and comfort.

Obviously, the time to have started such planning was the 1970s.

 

Perhaps a lot depends on how the wood is used. If you have a large house, and heat inefficiently (ie, any fireplace), you'll go through a lot of wood. If you have a very small space, that is high insulation, high thermal mass, with passive solar and a high efficiency wood stove with internal baffles, you'll be able to get by with relatively little wood.

We live in the mountains of AZ, in a 250 square foot paper adobe house which has high insulation and high thermal mass, with a lot of south facing windows. Luckily the sun shines a lot, so the walls, floor and roof heat up and stay warm, but it can get down to 8 degrees in the winter. We have a modern, but tiny Danish Morso stove, and last winter only used it once or twice a month.

I've had friends who homesteaded in the north east, in large drafty, uninsulated houses, and they chopped a lot of wood, and tended to huddle in one room. But without thermal mass, the room tends to heat up then get cold. With a tight, high thermal mass room, it is harder to heat up, but once warm it stays warm. In a conventional house, there is not thermal mass; only insulation. The only thermal mass is the air, adn the mass of the stove.

I once lived in a well insulated shack in the north woods, and any fire in the stove would make the place sweaty in minutes, and I'd have to open the windows. Once the fire went out, it got cold immediately. Needless to say, that winter was not terribly comfortable.

As a rule, German houses are both well insulated - the common building bricks are full of air space and easily 8 inches thick, and generally quite massive. This is on top of maybe 10 inch thick external styrofoam cladding, which is becoming ever more common. Of course, a lot of older houses are poorly insulated in comparison to newer ones, but the incredibly cold style of house common in the Northeast never caught on here. Of course, really old house built in a Fachwerk style are also surprising well insulated, since they incorporate a fair amount of dead air space in terms of the thatch roofs and watting walls.

The idea of a Kackelofen (tile stove) hinges on the idea of mass - it is normally a quite large and heavy part of the house, built to retain and then relase the warmth of the fire built in it.

I may add, most German wood stoves (and oil and coal, for that matter) are designed to be efficient heating units - people pay for fuel, not for effects. Here, people want the steak, not the sizzle, so to speak.

This is on top of maybe 10" inch thick external styrofoam cladding, which is becoming ever more common.

Expat... I have wondered about external insulation since living in a very cold English detatched house in the 1970s... never read of any commercial product though.

Do you know any details of this... layers/surface finish etc. How is the structure allowed to "breathe"?

How does extra 10" allow for window setback etc...

Is it only for new structure design or can it be retro-fitted?

Any web links?? (German or otherwise?)

Too manny variabels, it can be done in an immense ammount of ways and how it is done depends on the house, the technology used, how you want the result to look and how good the contractor is.

The examples I have seen of external insulation is often more like 5-10 cm then 25 cm. You get diminishing returns with thick insulation, it is indeed harder to make the windows nice and you probably dont want to extend the roof. And its no use to super insulate unless you have a ventilation systems that recovers heat energy and good windows.

I need to seriously consider the sizing here - insulation blocks are sold in mm, and 10 inches works out to 250 mm - and yes, that is too thick for normal use. I believe what my neighbor just put on last year was 120 or 150 mm, which works out to around 5-6 inches. I believe 200 mm is a normal size, which is then 8 inches.

The window setback is less of a problem, since southern Germans have what is called Rolladen - these are vertical 'shutters' which completely cover the window from the outside. Very efficient at cutting down on noise, light, and heat loss (northern Germans that I know living around here tend to find Rolladen insane, and a sign of how southern Germans have some real problems). In other words, windows here are already set back, and adding a few inches more is not really a problem.

As noted, the variables are huge, and also hinge on how the house is built. German houses around here tend to not use wood at all in their wall construction, and have overhanging roofs. The styrofoam is normally attached in a very water tight fashion, both underneath, between, and on top - the Rhine Valley where I live is a good place for redwoods to grow, if that gives a picture.

Actually, you don't have to wait nearly that long for new plantings to be harvestable as firewood. For example, over much or North America, hybrid poplar plantings are easily ready for harvest in five or six years. Most hardwoods (technically poplar is a hardwood) you are thinking of might take twice as long. But for a tree to be harvestable as fine wood-working or veneer, that takes at least a generation.

If North American society switched to a diet that included half as much meat, we could turn croplands to forests that would be ready in by 2012.

I'm hedging my bets and planting the steepest parts of my property to mostly poplar, some spruce, and a smattering of maple, just in case. Even if the cornucopian's are right, it will still protect those areas from erosion and provide shelter for my sheep. The mule and white-tail deer that go along with a poplar grove are welcome too.

Umm, I can't actually agree with the idea of poplar being burnable as firewood a few years after planting, except in the sense that anything which grows can be burned.

My experience is with tulip poplars in Virginia, which are really fast growing - though loblolly/Viriginia pine is also comparably fast, and the poplars in Germany are also fast growing - where I live now is roughly as north as you, so that may be a better comparison.

Nobody here would waste their time cutting and burning such wood after less than maybe 15-20 years. Much of the red oak I am currently burning (mostly cut and split by hand - I don't use chainsaws) is 20-30 years old.

I said 5-6 years, not a few. You said a generation or two. I'm supporting your point that wood heating is more possible than we might at first think if we have very well insulated homes and managed plantings of fast growing tree varieties. I'm thinking that you prefer to cut trees at a much larger diameter than I (more on that below) as well as varieties that take a long time to grow. By the way, I also prefer cutting wood without the aid of fossil fuels. It may not get the job done as quickly, but it makes for an enjoyable day.

Here's a link you might find interesting (Google for "hybrid poplar culture" for more of the same):

http://a-c-s.confex.com/crops/2006am/techprogram/P25753.HTM

In any case, I'm sawing a load of firewood from a six year-old planting of hybrid poplar this weekend. The logs are about 4 1/2 to 5 inches in diameter for the first 8 feet or so. Since I prefer sawing to splitting, this is perfect for me and I feel safer cutting down smaller trees. This is a managed planting that was irrigated regularly for the first year and when necessary for the second. I believe it was fertilized once with liquid cow manure. The owner plants in 200' rows (the length of his drip irrigation lines and one row planted per year) spaced at 4' and wants me to cut every second tree so he can let the rest grow to a larger diameter. I never cut maple for firewood but occasionally cut one down and saw the trunk into planks for woodworking and the rest into firewood for the owner of the tree.

at current efficiency levels (80% for NG and 50% for wood stoves), we could replave 5% of ouor fossil fuel heating load with the annual wood biomass grown in US. if we wanted 50%, out trees would be gone in 10 years. I will post all this in a week or two (yes there can be improvements made)
Re "efficiency levels (80% for NG and 50% for wood stoves)",  

The 50% for wood stoves is terrible. Half the extractable energy is lost because of poor combustion.
In Denmark the efficiency must be at least >70%

This one ( randomly chosen) gets >80% efficiency.http://www.fokus-pejseovne.dk/dokumenter/Fokus2.pdf

The Nordic swan label for wood stoves ask for more than >73% efficiency.
http://www.svanen.nu/DocEng/078e.pdf
Citation:
The efficiency of slow heat release fireplaces, ©¯k, must be at least 78%. The efficiency of sauna stoves, ©¯k, must be at least 60%. The efficiency of wood stoves and inset appliances, ©¯k, must be at least 73 %. The efficiency of pellet stoves, ©¯k, must be at least 75 %.

From test institutes I have seen results above 85% efficiency.
regards And1.

A systemic complication is that one has to cut and haul wood to the point of use.

If it is from your local woodlot next to your house, not too much bother.  If it is further, then you have serious energy usage issues.

Here in London, wood is technically illegal (the Smoke Orders, arising from the winter of 1952 when thousands of people died due to smog) but is burnt.  But I doubt it has any positive CO2 consequences (we use open hearth fireplaces as well).

In Aspen, Colorado, I believe, new wood burning sources are illegal, due to smog arising from temperature inversions.

There are working solutions to all of these points, however..

1)cutting and stacking- we still have need to run an economy, and there will be businesses who you can pay to bring you cut firewood, or pellets, etc.  Money doesn't go away with the 'Easy Oil'..

  1. Inputs. The amount you need to burn is critical.  As posted above, there are stoves that get more than 80% efficiency.. that combined with well-insulated homes and some passive or active solar inputs, and you become far more sustainable. (Insulation and Tightening of the house has to include fresh-air supplies for combustion sources.. this, too has been solved in several ways.. direct outdoor air to the firebox, prewarmed by the earth, etc)

  2. Smog/pollution.  The more efficient stoves are also cleaner burning, taking advantage of recombustion or gasification, and will put far less particulates out the chimney.
"Microwave oven were invented during the last energy crunch because they are very energy efficient."

Huh?  Microwave ovens are a lot older than that, and they weren't invented by someone looking for a more efficient way to cook--it was yet another of those things someone stumbled over (a guy working on a radar project accidentally melted a candy bar in his pocket).  The first commercial one hit the market in 1947:

http://www.gallawa.com/microtech/history.html

Yeah, I remember reading stories of WWII seamen heating up their sandwiches on the radar dishes. Not sure if these stories were the real thing or not.