Pelamis: A Shot in the Dark?
Posted by Prof. Goose on June 1, 2006 - 9:32pm
Topic: Alternative energy
Tags: eu, kyoto, pelamis, wave energy [list all tags]
Pelamis is a greek word that means sea serpent. I guess it is the best definition for what I was shown today, a metal serpent riding the waves, harvesting its energy.
A presentation of the pilot project was held here at school, directed to the Hydraulic Engineering students, but open to the general public. The speakers were from Enersis, the company promoting this first full materialization of such technology. I couldn't miss it.

Pelamis
Background
Every state of the EU ratified the Kyoto protocol, but only two are now below the emission levels agreed, moreover the majority of the states is increasing or failing to reduce its emissions. This is posing a huge financial problem, especially for smaller states; from 2012 onwards CO2 credits must be bought, blowing away the budget of these states. This is the main problem that the Enersis folks to compels us to invest heavily on renewable energy. They didn't mention any problems on fossil fuels, but showed some concern with present prices.
A major expansion of renewable energy is therefore needed to minimize the consequences of not complying with Kyoto. But the current forms of renewable energy do not have that expanding potential: the sites for wind energy projects are disappearing (mountain tops are already filled with turbines, and natural reserves also take their toll), geothermal and tidal are also restricted; as for hydroelectric the expansion limits seem already to be reached.
As for the waves they present a vast resource, the restrictions might be way over our needs, this must be the way to go. Moreover larger cities tend to be located in coastal areas, facilitating the connection with the delivery grid. Wave intensity can also be predicted with 4/5 days antecedence, making it easier to accommodate peak output periods to the grid.
At this point they forgot to talk about offshore wind energy; on purpose? I don't know, but the final paragraphs will tell more.
Brief History of Pelamis
It started in 1998 when Ocean Power Delivery Ltd (OPD) was founded in Edimburgh to develop the concept of Pelamis, a Wave Energy Converter (WEC). From then on OPD managed to get funds from venture capital companies, developing at first a 1:7 scale prototype and then moving to a full scale machine that has been under testing in the European Marine Energy Centre in Orkney.
Enersis is a Portuguese renewable energy company, that has been investing in the wind sector since 1998; in 2003 it started considering the hypothesis of wave energy. After some pre-agreements in 2004, in the beginning of 2005 it signed the contract for the first Pelamis production units that will be deployed off Póvoa do Varzim still this year. This project will start with 3 Pelamis units, each with a max production capacity of 750 Kw, totalizing 2250 Kw.
How does it work?
My knowledge of hydraulics and mechanics is very slim, but I'll try to give you an idea.
As usual wave energy is actually solar energy, the sun heats the air masses generating wind, on the oceans the winds cause disturbances on the sea surface originating waves. Waves generated at different parts of the ocean interact with each other adding and creating vast fronts of motion, with immense energy.
Previous ocean WEC projects have failed because of the extreme conditions that can be experienced at high sea. At a site with a mean wave amplitude of 2 meters, waves of 20 meters can be experienced during extreme weather conditions. Pelamis' success comes from the fact of not being designed to maximize energy output, but to survive the high sea fare. The key factor to achieve survival was the concept of the moorings that keep Pelamis in place, rightly oriented to the wave motion; when waves become stronger Pelamis pierces through the wave, avoiding stronger movements.
When a wave passes through Pelamis it "serpents", the 4 sections sway, both horizontally and vertically, this motion actions hydraulic jacks located at the 3 junctions pumping high pressurized oil that put the electric generators at work. This way the pulsating movement of the wave is transformed in a continuous energy flux.

Pelamis sways both horizontally and vertically
Pelamis can be tuned to accommodate the specific conditions of the operating site, maximizing the energy output without compromising the survival of the equipement. This is accomplished by varying the length of each section.
If you want a deeper understanding of this technology please visit the links I furnish below.

Pelamis' Power Convertion Module
The Aguçadoura I Project
Aguçadoura is the name of the nearest village of the deploy site, by so chosen for the name of this pilot project. It is starting with 3 Pelamis units totaling 2250 Kw, and will expand to 5 units sometime in the future. The transportation of these first units to Portugal has begun, as so the final assembling in the shipyards of Peniche, with deployment occurring still this year. These units are tuned to start working at wave heights of 0.6 meters, reaching peak production at 5.5 meters; they are expected to work 2800 hours per year (this is quite close to onshore wind). The life expectancy of Pelamis is somewhat unknown, but 15 years was given as a low estimate (in my view this might be optimistic, we are talking of a semi-submerged steel structure).
This first 3 unit project has a cost of 8.5 million (to get a better idea a 3000 Kw wind turbine costs here around 1.2 million - at this point my red light started flashing). The electricity produced by this project will cost the triple of current energy produced in Wind farms (I don't see how this can be so low from the previous numbers).
It seems that other companies are watching closely this project, if it succeeds, you may see Pelamis wave farms in the North Sea (UK and Holland), California or Australia.
Enersis is already planning the Aguçadoura II project, a wave farm with a total of 38 Pelamis. Once Aguçadoura II is operational Pelamis will become fully commercial. From this point on, Enersis expects a period of 7 to 10 years of refinement and development that will lead the monetary costs of the energy produced to the levels of Wind energy.
Future development focus on using materials other than steel, resistant to corrosion (in this chapter seagulls are a headache), and on increasing power capacity. Pelamis with 1000 Kw are being designed, and 2000 Kw can be possible; this is achieved by increasing the length of the Pelamis, but wavelength will put a limit to that.
Conclusions
To start my conclusions I will write here my interaction with the Enersis technician that made the technical presentation, during the Q&A session:
Q: What is the Energy Profit Ratio (EPR) of a project like this?
A: I don't know, I have never done that kind of accounting, but adding the costs of materials, production, paint, etc, I can say it's pretty high, like that of Wind.
Q: Offshore wind energy seems to be bound to EPR figures near those of Uranium. Now imagine I win the Euromillions and I want to invest, what will make me choose Pelamis instead of an Offshore Wind project?
A: Look, I think EPR is a very bad way to evaluate an energy project because of the immense market distortions we have right now...
The guy then started talking about coal, and how the price of electricity from coal at the power plant was half of that at the grid end. He suddenly started talking to someone else, and avoided me thereafter. The room was emptying, I left.
First Conclusion: these guys don't have a clue of what EPR Pelamis has (I also doubt they have a clue of what EPR is).
This project is a Shot In The Dark, like Ozzy says. It has a lot of engineering to it and at first sight it might seem to have a bright future, but EPR must be know in order to evaluate it against similar projects. We must not forget that waves are raised by the wind; wave energy will mostly be redundant to offshore wind energy. This is enforced by comments made by the Enersis people indicating that the southern portuguese coast wasn't useful for wave farms - this is where the wind blows weaker in the western european coast. Since we live in a finite resource world we should use those resources the best way possible.
There are of course different characteristics to wave energy, you can yield waves form winds hundreds of miles way (the highest waves that reach Europe's west coast are formed in the North Atlantic), also wave motion is somewhat smoother than wind, which tens to blow in bursts. But still the intermittent characteristics prevail.
I believe we should wait for the Aguçadoura II to be completed to take final conclusions, by that time Offshore Wind will also be more mature, making comparisons easier. This kind of project should be take forward only if its EPR is above that of Wind Energy. If the EPR of Pelamis is found to be over 1 it can be considered only in situations where Wind energy cannot be directly yielded.
To know more:
Slideshow (I strongly recommend this one)
Thanks once again to the TOD editing team for letting me share my views with the oil drummers.



This image towards the bottom
http://www.speakerfactory.net/wbuoy2.jpg
http://www.windside.com/index.html
Birds avoid 'em and they're prettier, I think, than those propeller-blade things.
Also, there's got to be some simple technology that can be used to scare off the birds. Maybe a high-pitched sound alert when birds are detected by the windmill.
The bird problem must be solved!
Sina,
Go to google and put in this phrase in the search bar:
Wind turbines and birds
You will have reports to read for days and days! The problem is, the results are somewhat inconclusive. From my reading (and I have made my eyes hurt reading the subject, since I am involved in an experimental wind turbine firm)
the main consensus looks like this:
a. Wind turbines do sometimes kill birds.
b. Location means everything. If the turbines are located in a flyway of large predatory birds, the damage can be severe. If the birds are already endangered species or a population small in number, it becomes a serious issue to confront.
c. In areas not frequented by larger predatory birds such as hawks, owls, eagles, the damage is less severe, and probably no worse than any other tall structure such as cell phone towers, guy cables to cell and broadcasting towers, taller glass buildings, and fossil fuel towers, etc. Birds do also strike those. Let us not forget the killing of birds by aircraft.
d. It is the spinning motion of the blade that makes wind turbines more dangerous to birds. They never know what hit them. However, some studies do indicate behavior change by the birds over time. The sight/smell of dead birds on the ground make the living ones leery to go there (this is not a joke, birds do "learn". Experiments have also been done with colered ribbon, noise makers, etc., to dissuade birds from going near wind turbines. The results are still inconclusive in most cases.
e. The issue of perception is crucial. Since wind is percieved by it's supporters as "environmentally friendly" power, any bird kill by wind turbines will be viewed much more seriously than the same kill would be viewed if it were caused by a fossil fuel plant. Thus, the Audoban Society, Seirra Club, National Wildlife Fund, etc., have shown great interest and made intensive studies of the bird kill issue, and the wind industry is always working to address it.
f. Regarding the above, almost no such scrutiny concerning bird kill has ever been placed on the fossil fuel industry. Open waste storage tanks are deadly to birds, and the "catch basin", "retention ponds" and lagoons for oil and coal "tailings" of many oil/coal drilling/processiong operations can contain hundreds, sometimes thousands of dead birds.
g. Other industries and agriculture can be deadly to birds. One of the great killers of predatory eagles and hawks is the fence, be it barbed wire or woven wire. When a predatory bird spots prey, their eyes focus to that prey, and the fence between them and the prey become invisible to them. I know that in Kentucky and Indiana, several eagles have been rescued from fences with broken wings.
In closing, wind power is expected to act to a higher standard than the fossil fuel industry, and rightfully so. Any developing technology reducing danger to birds, should and I think will be implemented.
Roger Conner known to you as ThatsItImout
Very expensive eagles they have down there.
In addition to ThatsItImOut's points, it's worth mentioning that the newer, bigger turbines with larger, slower-spinning blades are much easier for birds to avoid and pose less of a danger than the models of 20-30 years ago.
Cats are said to take upwards of 10 million birds a year, don't know what the auto estimates are.
http://www.ctaudubon.org/conserv/nature/cats.htm
also:
Cats kill hundreds of millions of birds annually in the United States, said Jimm Edgar of the Mount Diablo Audubon Society, citing an article in Birders World titled "Cats -- they're soft and cuddly. They're America's favorite pets. They're also natural-born killers."
"Domestic cat attacks ... (have) contributed catastrophically to the decimation of certain avian species, especially some of our most beloved songbirds in North America," the article asserts. The American Bird Conservancy concurs with the hundreds-of-millions figure.
Dairne Ryan of Fix Our Ferals, another cat rescue group, challenges it. "You can find studies that counter that," she said. "We would all like to see better statistics, but feral cats defy statistics."
Many birds are killed not by feral cats but by pet cats whose owners let them outside in the morning and bring them in at night, Ryan said.
http://www.contracostatimes.com/mld/cctimes/living/science/14465894.htm?source=rss&channel=cctim es_science
Compared to all this, windmills are an absolute pleasure. We worry about a couple of birds and ignore our wholsale destruction of them.
We often talk about how our societal organization is more so the problem than lack of technology. Offshore energy production is a good example. Unlike an on-shore energy platform, when you try to get permission for an offshore facility, you need to please the beureacrats of many governments at the same time: the Fed's who have jurisdiction over the 3-mile/200-mile coastal border and the State guys who take over once you try to string your cable onshore.
I am a firm believer that it will take many different approaches working together to get us off our reliance on fossil fuels. Solar will work well in the deserts, wind in high wind corridors, methane from waste, wave generators in coastal areas, possibly solar cells in space beaming microwaves to earth. Conservation should be our first approach of course.
I have nothing but applause for any group of people working towards real renewable sources.
http://www.oceanpd.com/Resource/default.html
and
http://www.oceanpd.com/Resource/Worldresourcemap.html
GOMEX appears to be a rather poor choice for these things.
I'd imagine that what these generators use is "sea swell" rather than waves generated by wind. You only get good sea swells in regions of open ocean where there is lots of space for the sun/wind to interact and churn the sea.
Any kind of coastline will quickly knock down sea swell.
The entire Eastern Seaboard of the US/Canada... but especially the North East sections, would be excellent regions as they have strong tides, strong weather (generated by hurricanes in the summer, and winter storms in the winter), and a fairly "open" coastline, where the sea swell washes right up on shore.
The West Coast would be just as good, though the weather isn't as extreme, the Pacific is so vast that waves can be generated on the other side of the Date line and still cause good surf on Long Beach.
I fished in the Queen Charlotte Islands for 4 summers... they are just south of the Alaska panhandle in Canada. The West Coast of the Queen Charlottes would be absolutely ideal... hardly a day without sea swell there.. and when it comes, it's big. On the other side, between the Islands and the BC Mainland, is Hecate Strait... it has some of the strongest tides and strongest winds in the world... which makes for a hellish place if your stuck there in a storm (I've seen 50 foot waves towering over our 51 foot boat... a humbling, and frightening experience... good thing I have a strong stomach).
Long story short... even if these generators are expensive... there is no doubt that there are a ton of regions in the world where this would make sense and could contribute.
I'm sure that's what BC Hydro, the public Electric Utility here in BC... helped to fund some of this research (i think). Hopefully we see some of this stuff of our coast.
The problem is more remoteness.. alot of these "wavey places" are a little "out there" especially in North America... so transmitting that energy into the grid will likely be the biggest stumbling block.
It can also use the swell of course, I don't see any reason why it shouldn't. Although moorings at high sea would be a problem.
I guess I am not as concerned about the EPR for the things as they build them today. It sounds like the plant in Portugal is really more of a pilot plant - mainly to get some more experience with the things and learn what the weaknesses might be.
What would be more interesting is what the EPR might be a few years from now, but even this is going to be hard to predict. We already know they are looking at using different materials for production models - partly to bring the cost down, but also so that they don't have to worry about steel rusting through. It would seem logical that by selecting different materials, the EPR itself is going to change, but we won't know what that change would be until they select different materials...
ericy,
I think your exactly right on that point, and I couldn't help but notice the reply by the Energis technician....
"A: Look, I think EPR is a very bad way to evaluate an energy project because of the immense market distortions we have right now..."
Oh, how true, how true!!
I remember reading a white paper only a couple of years ago by one of the American "think tanks" that absolutely ripped wind energy apart...the paper said that per kilowatt power prices were only going down due to utility plant efficiencies, as they had been for the prior 10 to 15 years (which by the way, was absolutely true, Combined Cycle Gas power plants were amazing in their ability to improve efficiencies), so that wind could NEVER catch up to the return on fossil fuel as a power source. Conclusion: Wind would have to be a technical and corporate "welfare" project forever into the future.
The problem was they were basing their projections on a $4 to $5 per MM/btu natural gas price, and $30 oil prices into infinity!
The other big factor: Wind was and is still relatively early in it's development as a large scale electricity provider, while the improvements possible with Combined Cylce natural gas and coal plants have gotten pretty far down the road in development, with any further improvement being harder and more expensive.
In other words, most of the EPR stats, EROEI stats, ROI (Return On Investment) stats for almost all fossil fuel AND alternative energy technology are almost useless if they are more than 4 years or so old, and will be even more out of date and useless in 4 more years. This is a very fast moving game now. As the old talkie said, "ya ain't seen nothing yet!"
Roger Conner known to you as ThatsItImout
What if EPR is lower than 1?
What if Pelamis' EPR is lower than that of Offshore Wind?
Would you put your money on it?
Would it make sense to spend capital in Pelamis if Offshore Wind is a better option?
Answer: If there seems to be no way to improve it from that, it's dead.
Q What if Pelamis' EPR is lower than that of Offshore Wind?
Answer: There could be location or other factors making the Pelamis useful in certain situations. I am biased on this one, though, I prefer wind, just due to the seawater issues, and I actually prefer onshore wind to offshore winds, again, depending on the exact siting situations.
Q. "Would you put your money on it?" Frankly, not yet, until I actually could see it operate for awhile. But that doesn't mean no one should. The United Kingdom could be in a bit of special situation for example, and need the wind and the tide both, and soon, in which case, they may take a bigger chance to see if it can work.
Q. "Would it make sense to spend capital in Pelamis if Offshore Wind is a better option?"
Answer: No.
(again, my preference is wind, but I am biased due to my own projects)
Roger Conner known to you as ThatsItImout
We kind of solved wind's maintenance problems by resizing turbines to be bigger and more reliable.
... anyway, I hope their mantinance costs on the pilot projects are being audited.
There are several categories of wave energy converters, each of which has its own set of pros and cons. In general, the whole trick to making a successful wave energy converter is i) to absorb as much of the wave's energy as possible in the smallest and/or least expensive mechanical embodiment, and ii) to make a wave energy converter capable of surviving the punishment of severe storm conditions.
It is in this last requirement where the Pelamis really excels. All wave energy converters need to have some form fixed 'reference' for the device to work against. In other words, if a float is just bobbing around freely, it is not absorbing any wave energy, but if the same float is tightly moored to the ocean floor, the foreces in the connection between the mooring and the float can be used to absorb energy, either through compressing air in a cylinder, or forcing hydraulic fluid through a turbine etc. However, during a severe storm tremendous stresses are set up between the mooring an the device. Many test devices have been smashed to pieces after encountering their first big storm.
The Pelamis, on the other hand, is very loosely moored on a very long mooring and does not rely on the connection between the mooring and itself to form that fixed reference. Rather, that reference is provided by the four connected segments of the Pelamis working against each other. When the foremost is at the crest of the wave, the aftmost is at the trough of the wave. This causes a relative movement between the segments, and energy is absorbed by hydraulic cylinders cleverly connected to the joints. In other words, through the hydraulic system, the Pelamis is trying to remain stiff while the wave action is trying to bend its segments relative to each other. Energy is absorbed in the process.
During a severe storm the hydraulic system is deactivated, and the segments then loosely follow the motions of the waves, with very little stress on the segment joints and the loose mooring. In effect, this design feature makes the Pelamis sort of 'invisible' to many of the undesireable effects of severe storms. As best I can tell, the Pelamis is probably the most storm-worthy design out there. The loose mooring also makes it quite suitable for offshore operations where the waves tend to be larger.
By the way, the Gulf of Mexico and tropical waters in general are relatively poor locations for wave power because the average size of the waves is rather small (occassional hurricanes notwithstanding). The west and north coasts of Ireland and Scotland, most of Norway, and parts of Portugal are also very good. As is the southern tip of South America and parts of Australia. Unfortunately, most of the best wave power locations are also relatively low-population areas.
By the way, near-shore breaking waves may look very dramatic but they don't have the power of the large steady and long-wave length waves that one encounters further offshore. Waves are also much more gradually sloped than they appear when viewed head on. A wave will typically have a wave length to height ratio of approximately 40 to 1. So a 6-ft high wave will have a wave length of typically 240 feet.
I do believe the version of the Pelamis in the photo is rated at 350 KW, but I am not totally sure.
Those pics are probably from the test unit that has been in Orkney. I don't know if its power rate is lower than the production units.
Ah, ahhem.....solar(PV & thermal)?? Expandable, great ERoEI long term, and plenty of space (got 'em on your roof yet?)
That's only true for parts of Europe like Denmark and Germany, where wind has been pursued for a long time. Other parts of Europe, like Spain, have enormous untapped potential (think Don Quixote).
The US has enormous wind potential - if intermittency problems were solved wind could easily handle three times our current electrical demand http://www.awea.org/faq/tutorial/wwt_potential.html
There are two separate issues here.
First, what is the maximum electrical generation possible from wind (I'm assuming in the U.S.), if all the good sites for wind turbines were used.
Second, what is the maximum electrical generation from wind that the national electrical grid can handle without excessive problems due the intermittency of wind?
The AWEA info on wind potential by state is intended to address the first question. It suggests that wind potential is at least roughly 300% of current electrical production.
The 20% figure is an answer to the second question, and is roughly based on the current state of the art in load balancing, wind prediction, demand management, etc. If total electrical consumption were to increase, that 20% figure would stay the same.
The key here is that if increased demand came from plug-in hybrids (PHEV), or pure electrical vehicles (EV), the % would increase (and probably faster than the rise in EV demand) because EV's provide storage that helps reduce the mismatch between intermittent wind production and general consumer demand - only very simple demand management would be required to have the EV's preferentially charge when electrical supply was high relative to demand. Thus, wind could supply all of the additional power needed by EV's.
exactly, thats the test none of the so called renewable energy solutions have taken let alone passed yet and it's the only thing that matters. if they can't make replacement units of these or any other renewable(including solar and wind) as cheaply and easily without oil/gas and only the energy input is from in use units then it's not a alternative. otherwise your just digging the hole deeper.
to quote....
"I guess the key question is "How many of those things will it take to run the steel mill to make more of those things?" ..."
I am still having trouble with the deeper philosphical aspects of that line of thinking.
I was looking at pictures of sailing ships the other day. I don't mean recreational craft, but I mean the old "workboats" of the 17th, 18th, and 19th century.
Having frequented TOD a few times too many, I began to think about the EROEI of the big workboats of more than a century ago.
Now the earliest generation of the big sailing ships were not really "big" in the true sense. Of the three ships used by Christopher Columbus, in a rather famous voyage in the year 1492 (at least to us Yanks!), the Santa Maria was the longest, with a keel of about 115 feet, while the two smaller ships, the Nina and Pinta, were around 50 feet.
Pause for a moment: The large sailing ship was still the only intercontinental transport system some 350 years later! It is still one of the most durable, stunningly successful instruments of transport, commerce and cultural exchange (including war) in world history. The next time someone tells you "wind won't work" kind of clue them in, would ya'?
By the time of the "Roaring '40's (1840's that is) the sailing transportation industry of large wooden sailing ships was at it's zenith, and also, relative to it's long history and unbeknownst to the travelers of the time, in it's last dying days.
"It was not considered ominous when, in 1838, the Admiralty had requested proposals for a steam service to America."
And the swan song concluding 3 centuries of trans Atlantic sailing to the new world, which would end in barely over 3 decades:
"The packet ships had held on too long. It had been a stirring episode for the passengers to cheer in mid-ocean when the lofty pyramids of canvas swept grandly by some wallowing steamer and left her far astern, but in the fifties this gallant picture became less frequent, and a sooty banner of smoke on the horizon proclaimed the new era and the obliteration of all the rushing life and beauty of the tall ship under sail. Slow to realize and acknowledge defeat, persisting after the steamers were capturing the cabin passenger and express freight traffic, the American ship-owners could not visualize this profound transformation.
But the finale was grand:
"They were small ships of three hundred to five hundred tons when the famous Black Ball Line was started in 1816. From the first they were the ablest vessels that could be built, full-bodied and stoutly rigged. They were the only regular means of communication between the United States and Europe and were entrusted with the mails, specie, government dispatches, and the lives of eminent personages. Blow high, blow low, one of the Black Ball packets sailed from New York for Liverpool on the first and sixteenth of every month. Other lines were soon competing--the Red Star and the Swallow Tail out of New York, and fine ships from Boston and Philadelphia. With the completion of the Erie Canal in 1825 the commercial greatness of New York was assured, and her Atlantic packets increased in size and numbers, averaging a thousand tons each in the zenith of their glory."
"Meanwhile the era of the matchless clipper had arrived and it was one of these ships which achieved the fastest Atlantic passage ever made by a vessel under sail. The James Baines was built for English owners to be used in the Australian trade. She was a full clipper of 2515 tons, twice the size of the ablest packets, and was praised as "the most perfect sailing ship that ever entered the river Mersey." Bound out from Boston to Liverpool, she anchored after twelve days and six hours at sea.
More, the clippers speed could be stunning, given their size.:
"This clipper, sent across the Atlantic on her maiden trip, left in her foaming wake a twenty-four hour run which no steamer had even approached and which was not equaled by the fastest express steamers until twenty-five years later when the greyhound Arizona ran eighteen knots in one hour on her trial trip. This is a rather startling statement when one reflects that the Arizona of the Guion line seems to a generation still living a modern steamer and record-holder. It is even more impressive when coupled with the fact that, of the innumerable passenger steamers traversing the seas today, only a few are capable of a speed of more than eighteen knots.
http://www.authorama.com/old-merchant-marine-8.html
Toward the end, the greatest of all sailing ships would be built, as measured by tonnage. The last would even have steel hulls:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falls_of_Clyde
She was built in 1878 by Russell and Company in Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland, launched as the first of eight iron-hulled four-masted ships built for Wright and Breakenridge's Falls Line.
Here's the irony...."the only surviving sail-driven oil tanker, in the world."
Now let us consider this in ralation to our EROEI discussion of renewable energy.
The sailing ship created a world trade and world empires. Tea from India, China dishes and tea sets from of course China, tobacco, cotton, rum, slaves, all were made an international trade by the power of the wind. The growth in trade, commerce, and cultural exchange meant that the EROEI of a giant sailing ship must have been FANTASTIC. But, how was that true? What were the "real" numbers, in man hours, in lumber, in nails and fittings?
In the post I am replying to in writing this, and the post it replies to, we were discussing "wave power" or devices that would harness the power of ocean waves for energy. The assertion was made that the whole exercise would be "digging a deeper hole" unless the "wave power" device could power the steel mill that built the wave power device.
Questions multiply: For how long would it have to power a steel mill? Would the mill be "dedicated" to only making the wave power device? What if the Wave power device only "freeded up" enough kilowatts to equal the power used to make the steel, and not run the steel mill per se, would that be good enough? If the steel was recycled, would that change the equation? What about recycling the steel when the wave power device was worn out? Would that change the equation? What about extreme tempetures needed in handling metal, would the wave power device be expected to match those second by second?
Allow me to return to the giant, beautiful and durable sailing ships. The commerce they opened up of course caused new industries to develop, new opportunities, so that the last of the last ones could actually act as oil tankers, helping the EROEI of the early oil industry (!)
But in the long history of sailing ships, no one ever suggested that for the sailing ship to be useful, it had to provide the power to build another sailing ship!
The sailing ship of yesterday, like the windmills, the solar panels, the wave power devices, the hybrid cars of today, were a "component" of a much larger and more involved system. If the rest of the system had not developed along with the large sailing ship, then the Nina and the Pinta would probably now be regarded as "giant ships" and we would be living in a different world.
The only reason that renewable energy devices would be built to the exacting standard (which applies to no other industry) that oil and fossil fuel could not EVER be used in their construction is if the world were to be truly OUT of fossil fuel.
We don't mean PEAKED, we would mean OUT. There is no scenario that I am aware of that indicates that would be true for the next 150 years, or for that matter, ever. PEAKED, yes, but OUT? That is not even on the table of discussion.
There simply must be some way to regain some touch with reality. As we write our posts tonight, factories are building airliners and speedboats, shops are building racing cars, all of which require a degree of engineering and a variety of materials that make the "wave power" device look simple and primitive by comparison. What is the EROEI on an airliner, a speedboat, a racing car? Yet they are being built. The oil and gas is there to build them.
When the first steam engine was built, what was the EROEI on it? It was designed to convert energy from a non renewable resource (unlike the giant sailing ship), not to recapture energy or to use "renewable" energy (excepting the earliest pre coal wood burners!). The first ones were built by hand labor and wood charcoal fires in blacksmith shops! How could an industry such as that hope to sustain itself! Where would the steel come from! How many million men would have to work in the steam engine factories? How would they be fed? How big would the shops have to be to build them? I have always wondered, in a straight on comparison, what the EROEI comparison between a steel hulled steam ship, or a wood hulled sailing ship, what the comparision would look like. It woud be fascinating to see, counting the coal burned by the steamer mind you, against the knots per hour covered by the sailing ship! Would wind power still lose the EROEI race? How?
I do not have an answer as to exactly what direction the future of alternative energy will take. I think that there is simply no way people can visualize the "confluence" of ideas and technology, the ways in which one renewable can be used in combination with another renewable, and in combination with the remaining non-renewables (trillions of barrels of oil and trillions of feet of natural gas EVEN AFTER PEAK)
Let us not dismiss the way that the factor of time can become a flexible part of the mix:
I had a friend who in the 1970's home brewed alcohol to drink, (this is Kentucky!) and fixed up one car to run it....he used a set of three solar panels for distilling, built from leftover lumber and a set of salvaged patio sliding glass doors (double paned, they will hold some heat) corrugated black tin roofing inside the insulated box...it looked like crap, but it would get HOT)...I asked him what he did when the sun didn't shine, and he laughed at my lack of imagination...." I can heat enough on hot sunshine in July and August alone and tank it to run through the year...." It was the first time I realized that energy does not have to stick to the perfect "9 to 5" shift thinking to be a huge asset...energy in "batches" can be priceless if it can be stored!)
The key is that we must build the components. We must test the ideas. We must engineer a variety of devices. Ask the question another way:
If I build a solar collector that only returns say a 3 to 1 "energy profit" what good is that, you may say, oil returns 10 to 1! But if nothing else, three to one slows the curve and buys time compared to the fact that I could have used the equal amount of material/time/engineering/BTU'S to build a speedboat or a racecar....what direction should we be moving?
Roger Conner known to you as ThatsItImout
your comparing a means of transport to a machine that is supposed to generate energy. this machine though needs energy to be built and maintained. it is cheap to make this NOW because of the fossil fuel economy we enjoy. this is also the question that needs to be answered before this can be considered a alternative. can this device(or any other renewable like solar and wind) be made from it's raw materials under two conditions.
- without any input of any kind from the current fossil fuel economy. this includes transport of raw materials, refinement of said raw materials, transport of the finished product, and finally maintenance. the only input that is allowed is the electricity a completed unit would make
- and be made cheap enough so the electricity it makes should be affordable to everyone and not just the super rich.
if both of these are not met then your just digging the hole. this is of course not count all the other products oil and natural gas give us other then electricity. oh and no government subsidy's there only use is to hide how bad some solutions are like ethanol.TrueKaiser,
I agree with your point #2
I do not agree with your point #1, if I understand it correctly:
When the fossil fuel era was born, and to this day, it recieves energy imput from non-fossil fuel sources (metals, water, and very importantly, human power). The first fossil fuel projects ran on human and animal power.
A blacksmith shop using charcoal in a forge, and the pure muscle of a blacksmith was the birthplace of the steam age. This is true of the early automobile too, by the way...I have seen photos of Carl Benz's origianal shop where the gasoline car was born...it is so quint and primitive, it looks like something out of the days of Issac Newton!
After the original non-fossil fuel imputs, the fossil fuel devices began to feed back in, and sustain themselves. I do agree that the return must be as great as possible after the birthing phase of the industry, and MUST be over one to one (i.e. energy out must exceed energy in, or the loses in the transaction will drag you into the hole quicker). Let's reshape the question though: Exactly what is the bottom number on EROEI, and how soon must it be achieved to make a project viable? In other words, if I had a technology, and all the indications was the EROEI was 2 to 1 (lets 10000 BTU's out for every 5000 put in) but it would