DrumBeat: December 26, 2006
Posted by threadbot on December 26, 2006 - 10:05am
Topic: Miscellaneous
Russia threatens gas shut-off in Belarus
MINSK, Belarus - Residents of Belarus' capital stocked up on warm clothes and electric heaters as fears rose Tuesday that Russia is about to cut off the natural gas on which the country depends.Russia says Belarus must pay more than twice as much for gas next year — and even more later — and turn over a half-share in its pipeline system, a major transit route to Europe, if it wants to avoid a New Year's gas shut-off.
Pipe leak in Gulf of Mexico leaves half-mile slick
NEW YORK - A ruptured crude oil pipeline in the Gulf of Mexico spilled approximately 21,000 gallons of crude oil over the weekend, leaving a half-mile-long oil slick in the water, the U.S. Coast Guard said on Tuesday."A medium crude oil pipeline ruptured 30 miles southeast of Galveston, Texas, and leaked approximately 21,000 gallons of oil into the Gulf of Mexico Sunday, December 24," the Coast Guard said in a release.
Trying to Keep the Price of Oil Up
Someone slipped this little bomb wrapped up like a present under your Christmas tree: Starting next month, the New York Mercantile Exchange is going to let average investors speculate on the price of oil and gasoline....Wall Street wants to keep speculation at a maximum so it can make profits, even if it means you and I will have to pay as much as possible for the gasoline, natural gas and heating oil we are obliged to use until enlightened leadership slips into Washington one of these years and breaks our energy addiction.
GM slams possible fuel economy changes
DETROIT -- A proposal to increase U.S. fuel economy standards would force Detroit-based automakers to "hand over" the market for trucks and sport-utility vehicles to Japanese manufacturers, a senior General Motors Corp. executive said.Bob Lutz, GM's vice chairman and the head of the company's global product development team, said the proposed changes to the government's Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards would represent an unfair burden on the traditional Big Three automakers.
A regional approach to strategic oil reserves?
Several Asia Pacific countries have begun to develop their strategic oil reserves. China plans to have a 800 million barrel strategic reserve to be stored at four facilities to be fully operational in 2008. Reports suggest that China had completed filling a 16 storage tank facility at Zhenhai in October 2006. Japan has a total of 171 days of consumption reserve. Unlike China which specifies the quantity of reserves i.e. millions of barrels, Japan does not report the actual number of its reserves. It is believed that at current consumption rates, 171 days of oil for Japan would correspond to nearly 980 million barrels. India is a new-comer in the community of strategic oil reserve holders. It has begun the development of a strategic crude oil reserve expected to be pegged at 40 million barrels. South Korea has a reported size of 43 million barrels, Taiwan 13 million barrels and Australia some 90 days of reserves in addition to over 200 days held in private reserves. Among the Asean countries, Thailand recently increased the size of its strategic reserve from 60 days to 70 days of consumption. Singapore has an estimated storage capacity of 31.8 million barrels of crude oil and 64.5 million barrels of oil products.
Tanaka: Working with India and China is key
Tokyo: Japan's Nobuo Tanaka, set to become the next head of the International Energy Agency, said yesterday his challenges would include working closely with non-IEA-member countries such as China and India about the use of emergency crude oil stocks.
The Republic of Northern America: Disenchantment and growing irritation with the U.S. South could lead northern American states to seek a union with Canadian provinces
The fourth condition is the acceleration of the world energy crisis. The northern American states and the provinces of Central Canada have similar economic and ecological points of view, halfway between economic liberalism and social democracy. Over the years they have learned to look for common solutions and as such have created two entities: the Conference of Governors of New England and Premiers of Eastern Canada; and the Council of Great Lakes Governors. With regards to natural resources, these states are complementary. It could be that several northern states are more sympathetic to fusion, rather than a simple secession, in order to better benefit from Canadian energy resources.
Abu Dhabi first with Feb OPEC oil output cuts
TOKYO - Abu Dhabi's state oil firm said on Tuesday it will cut some crude sales in February by 3-5 percent, the first indication of an OPEC member applying new output curbs.
Tanzania: 29 districts going hungry as high fuel costs hamper food relief
Experts say, however, that unless a permanent solution is found to the energy crisis, the situation could deteriorate further, plunging the country into a serious economic crisis as industries face serious operational interruptions caused by power failures.Basil Mramba, Minister for Trade, Industry and Marketing, told The EastAfrican in an interview last week that the sector is in a state of total stagnation, as industries are too busy struggling to stay in business to think of expanding their operations.
He said that where industries had resorted to producing their own power, their costs of operation were crippling. "One instance is Tanzania Breweries Ltd, which has already written to the government asking for subsidies," he said.
Tanzania: We’ll fix the power problem in six months, says Ngasongwa
The Minister for Planning, Economy and Empowerment, Dr Juma Ngasongwa, told The EastAfrican in Dar es Salaam that the problems in the power sector are temporary and will be over in six to seven months’ time."The energy crisis is temporary, in the next six or seven months, the power sector will stabilise. The fear that we might not achieve the MDGs is unfounded, because even though we may not achieve some, we are already making headway in others," said Mr Ngasongwa.
Peru is struggling to go green with natural gas
LIMA: Peru, a sizeable oil producer in the 1970s, is rediscovering its energy export potential but its natural gas output may end up like its gourmet coffee beans – in abundance abroad, hard to find at home.Peru, which aims to export natural gas to Mexico from 2010 and eventually to the US and Chile, is failing to tap its reserves for domestic use and put an end to pollution-belching oil-powered buses, cars and factories.
Nigeria: Fuel Scarcity Bites Harder
Acute scarcity of petroleum products that set in with the yuletide bit harder yesterday as more demand rose against decreasing number of fuel service stations open to customers.Meanwhile, more street hawkers trooped to the roads with the scarce products especially fuel but sold at cut throat prices to desperate motorists.
Gazprom Will Leave Belarus without Gas
Gazprom has officially entered into the same situation with Belarus as occurred with Ukraine last year. The monopoly has warned that the contract to supply that country with gas expires on December 31, and called its negotiating position irresponsible. Both Gazprom and Russian authorities had been saying that the two sides would be able to reach an agreement. However, they prepared themselves in advance for the shutoff of the Belarusian gas by stocking up the needed volumes of gas in German and Baltic reservoirs.
Moscow has convinced everyone that the many years of subsidized gas prices for neighboring economies are becoming a thing of the past and that it is firmly determined to defend the position of its energy industry on the international stage.
China's top advisory body slams buildings that waste energy
China's top advisory body is calling for laws and regulations to promote energy-efficient buildings to counter soaring building energy consumption.
Will Iraq's Oil Blessing Become a Curse?
The Iraqi government is considering a new oil law that could give private oil companies greater control over its vast reserves. In light of rampant violence and shaky democratic institutions, many fear the law is being pushed through hastily by special interests behind closed doors.
Iran Nuclear Crisis Begins in Moscow
Why is Iran so insistent on the fuel reprocessing? One need not look any further than Moscow.
Robert D. Novak: Losing to the Greens
"I've never seen industry so deathly afraid of the current politics surrounding climate change policy," a Bush administration environmental official told me. With good reason. As Democrats take control of Congress, once-firm opposition to the green lobby's campaign of imposing carbon emission controls is weak.Panicky captains of industry have themselves largely to blame for failing to respond to the environmentalists' well-financed propaganda operation. One government official says "industry appears utterly helpless and utterly clueless as to how to respond." But the Bush administration itself is a house divided with support for greens and severe carbon regulation inside the Energy Department, reaching up to the secretary himself.
Thomas Friedman: And the color of the year is ...
...I would not have opted for the "you" in YouTube as Person of the Year - although that was very clever. No, I'd have run an all-green Time cover under the headline, "Color of the Year." Because I think that the most important thing to happen this past year was that living and thinking "green" - that is, mobilizing for the environmental/energy challenge we now face - hit Main Street.
Sinopec Group Raises 2006 Production of Oil, Gas to Meet Demand
China Petrochemical Corp., the nation's second-biggest oil company, said it may produce 1.9 percent more crude oil and 11 percent more gas this year as energy demand rises.
China oil tycoon held for possible embezzlement
BEIJING -- A tycoon who heads China's largest private oil group has been detained on suspicion of embezzling 1 billion yuan ($127.9 million) in private and government funds, media reported Tuesday.
Let’s learn from past mistakes
Those who can not remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” Those words of the philosopher George Santayana are worth remembering in our discussion of energy issues. What we are hearing today is hauntingly familiar to anyone who lived through the “coal wars” in Montana in the 1970s and 1980s.
Garden Girl - A very polished video on urban permaculture by the peak oil-aware Patti Moreno.
Iran’s nuclear drive linked to looming oil crisis
For at least 18 months, Iran has failed to meet its quota for oil production set by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, he said.The strong suggestion, Stern said, is that Iran's oil production is now actually falling, despite the bonanza that exporters have enjoyed from a period of record-high crude prices.
...Overall, according to Stern, it "seems plausible that Iran's claim to need nuclear power might be genuine, an indicator of distress from anticipated export revenue shortfalls."
Iran says oil industry hit by US pressures
"Iran has been under different sanctions for years and many companies have not been able to cooperate with our country for fear of US pressures," Vaziri Hamaneh said, according to the semi-official news agency Fars on Tuesday.
Gazprom says talks with Belarus fail
MOSCOW (Reuters) - Russia said on Tuesday a new round of talks with Belarus on gas prices for 2007 had yielded no results, but Europe was safe as Moscow had stockpiled enough gas in Germany and Austria to guard against possible cuts.
Nigerian pipeline explosion kills 200
LAGOS, Nigeria - At least 200 people were killed Tuesday when a gasoline pipeline exploded in Nigeria's biggest city of Lagos, a Red Cross official said. The death toll was expected to rise.
Industry: Build reactors to survive hit
WASHINGTON - The nuclear power industry wants the government to require companies to design new nuclear reactors that would better withstand large fires and explosions, such as those that could be caused by a terrorist attack using hijacked aircraft.
2nd Largest Oil Field Drying Up Faster
It was an incredible revelation last week that the second largest oil field in the world is exhausted and past its peak output. Yet that is what the Kuwait Oil Company revealed about its Burgan field.



i hope you can update your crude price quote soon this is where i look for up to date quotes
Try: http://www.321energy.com/index.php and http://www.nymex.com/index.aspx
Hello TODers,
Happy Holidays to all and best wishes for 2007. Congratulations to SuperG and the rest of the management on the transition to the new site.
Earlier this month, there was a thread about NG supplies. I believe that one of the observations was that NG supplies (available for use) in North America would be half of what they are today by 2010. Is the expectation that the price of NG for heating / cooking / electrical generation will be at least double what it is today by 2010?
Natural gas prices are a psychological phenomenum. Look at the wild price swings since Katrina and Rita. In Running With The Red Queen, Dave Cohen's excellent story a couple of months ago on TOD, Dave made the point that we are past peak natural gas and that new wells coming online have a 32% annual depletion rate. Yet the independents are slowing their investment in gas wells for 2007, citing low prices. Thats industry rumors as a source.
The US dollar looks to be heading for a really major devaluation because of huge national debt and the ongoing switch from petrodollars to Euros. Is a major recession going to hit the US economy soon?
And climate is an unstable wildcard. I'm from the Gulf Coast, its unheard of to have 3 category 5 hurricanes in a single season or to have a hurricane season without a major storm even threatening our offshore and coastal plain fields.
So what I'm saying is a good psychic is a better predictor of prices than anything. Tea Leaves, Crystal Ball, Astrology, the I Ching-make your bets and take your chances. The variables are just too great, but I think that natural gas prices are headed for the moon.
P.S. I like the I Ching best
Sailorman repeats for 2007 his Fearless Forecasts that proved 100% correct for 2006. With respect to prices for oil and natural gas I unequivocally and and categorically state: They will fluctuate.
BTW, this is not an entirely empty forecast, because I expect greater volatility in prices this year than last year--so much volatility that any trend is likely to be hidden in variations.
In regard to a recession, is the U.S. headed for one? Yes, again without hesitation I assert that we will have one. The three things I do not know (and neither does anybody else) are:
1. When it will start.
2. When (or if) it will end.
3. How severe it will be.
Now I can put my I-Ching sticks away.
Don Sailorman, I hereby nominate you for the Delphic Oracle award for 2006 on TOD! Those are masterful price predictions, show that you have truly intuitively devined the markets. If I wore a hat, my hat would be off to you.
Don Sailorman, I hereby nominate you for the Delphic Oracle award for 2006 on TOD!
I second the notion!
Indeed!
I read TOD religiously just for such Delphic Oracles as this!
Now I know exactly how to plan and where to invest all that money I've got laying around!
Thanks for the fun! The fun is at least as important as the "grown-up" stuff!
Of course, the Delphic Oracle does remind me that DS has often advised (if I can summarize?) to stay flexible. I agree. We live in precarious times. Precarity means things could go radically one way or another, but the species may muddle along for a suprising number of years. The variables are many and complex.
I am reading up on gardening right now. I am excited to build my gardening skills this year! I also plan to make a couple of additional rain barrels this spring.
Meanwhile, I'll continue to check at TOD for more Delphic Predictions!
Dang.
My tea leaves were saying "undulate".
How could they be so wrong?
I'm returning this jar of tea leaves to Madam Yergana for a full refund.
Dang. Just when I thought I found someone I could trust.
Step Back,
You should get double your money back. "Undulate" comes from the Latin "unda" that means "wave." To undulate is to move in waves or with a smooth, wavelike motion. By way of contrast, to fluctuate means to vary irregularly.
Anyone want my prediction as to trends in the future value of the dollar? By the way, the dollar has not really crashed since the Civil War--just eroded more or less fast since 1913 with a major deflation during the Great Depression.
Fearless Forecast: Pennies and nickels will hold their value.
Fearless counterforecast: Just as with removal of silver coins and removal of all copper pennies, I expect a changeout in metals used by the mint soon (the next 5 years). The result will be that pennies and nickels from before the change will hold their value while those after the change will lose value until the US currency declines to the point where those coins are once again worth more than the metals used to manufacture them.
My guess is that both pennies and nickels will eventually go out of circulation. The coins make no sense, because a penny will buy one twentieth of what it used to, and a nickels is worth far far less than a penny used to be worth. One-dollar bills make no sense either, because in inflation adjusted terms they are "really" only worth between a nickel and a dime, depending on your base year.
We should have five and ten dollar coins and eliminate bills of those denominations. And a hundred dollar bill buys less than ten dollars used to, so why should it be thought of as a "big" bill? It is only to make life difficult for drug dealers that we no longer have thousand dollar bills as legal tender.
Yeah, but.... the US govt mint folks have their collective heads up their collective butts if they think they can get people to accept a dollar coin. Just ain't gonna happen. People just don't like carrying around a pocketfull of worthless change, especially coins that no vending machine takes, especially since most vending machines take bills. Paper money is convenient. We seem to have grown beyond the silly notion that metal money has some kind of 'intrinsic' value.
A dollar is not worthless; it is "really" worth between five and ten cents, depending on your base year and index of price level change.
Note that in European countries large denomination coins work just fine. Coins do not have to be large. For example, the old five dollar gold piece was smaller than a penny (which created problems, because in San Francisco it was the exact same size as a bus token, and by mistake people would put them (now worth more than a hundred dollars)into the fare machine. The twenty dollar gold piece was roughly the same size as a half dollar.
Let the dime be the new lowest denomination coin, then a small fifty cent piece (about the same size as a nickel, maybe with a milled edge), and then also a small (thirteen sided?) dollar coin. The five and ten dollar coins would be larger and worth what fifty cent pieces and silver dollars used to be. I hate carrying around wads of one dollar bills.
Don,
You must be related to the guy that used to appear on Johnny Carson, The Great Criswell with his 'Criswell Predicts.' He was terrific fun.
Well, let's see, Burgan is outta here and Iran is drying up fast. But Leonardo Maugeri wants no piece of it in Newsweek's first 2007 issue:
Or try this one on for size:
So, Leonardo, what exactly is it that makes you so sure thare's all this oil left? You just said yourself that you can't make any such prediction. Or would you like to imply that "bad guesstimates" are only made by those who suspect there may NOT be a glut of supply left?
You don't really need my help, or anybody else's, to make yourself look ridiculous, do you?
I see you're "Group Senior Vice President for Corporate Strategies and Planning for the Italian energy company ENI". Good luck with that, Italy.
Yes and it is getting so much cheaper to recover a barrel of oil!
Or so says The National Academy of Science.
Okay, I argued a couple of weeks ago that Saudi recovery costs were under five bucks a barrel. I got blasted for that. Now this guy is saying current costs for new oil is about a buck fifty. Well hell, I don’t believe that either. My guess is that new wells in these very old fields costs them from $5 to $10 a barrel. Remember this includes a lot of water injection wells, water purification plants, gosps, water separation plants and pipelines. I would think $1.50 a barrel a little absurd. But that is all just speculation. I actually have not a clue as to what the real costs are.
But it gets even worse. It cost fifty cents a barrel to recover oil in north Iraq.
But it is a lead pipe cinch that offshore oil, especially deep water oil, cost many times what onshore or even shallow water oil costs. Recovery costs, overall, have risen dramatically. I think the National Academy of Science is totally ignorant on this issue.
Ron Patterson
Thanks for the link.
Oh, my!Reference 27 is U.S. oil and natural gas reserve prices, 1982-2003, from which I quote the abstract:
I'm not sure what to say, here.Darwinian-you're right, thats one strange article, the National Academy of Sciences is clueless about real lifting costs in the Middle East, or is being manipulated by XOM or CERA a la global warming. This fellow Roger Stern's professional qualifications seem very shakey as well. He's a Geographer, not a petroleum engineer, an economist,oil business accountant, or even from a school in an oil and gas area. Luckily my brother-in-law in Wisconsin is a geographer, doctorate, head of the U. of Wisconsin Geography Department and I'll try to elict a professional opinion about Mr. Stern.
How can he state lifting costs in northern Iraq are only 0.50 cents a barrel when the pipeline has been blown up and rebuilt in several places? What about security costs, let alone costs for the war?
If you want a PDF of a similar article by Roger Stern try:
http://www.pnas.org/cgi/reprint/0603903104v1?maxtoshow=&HITS=10&hits=10&...
There is talk of a tax on emissions, horsepower etc offset by paroll taxes as a means to manage the demand side of the oil equiation. This sounds just like the oil depletion protocol. Overall this is a very good article that lays out the challenges Iran faces in reversing their export decline.
This is exactly right, heissofly
This is the same argument I use with the "the models are wrong" crowd regarding climate change - what is their underlying assumption that supports the view that if the model is indeed wrong it HAS to be wrong in favor of human civilization.
TOD, maybe we can make ourselves useful in the new year, and have some fun in the process: Let me know what you think. The basic assumption I have is:
Unlike the USGS, EIA and CERA, who are all supposedly independent, Maugeri is not. And that may have consequences (that he doesn't seem to be aware of).
Maugeri's problem-to-be is that he represents ENI. From Wiki:
By making statements like the ones he makes in the Newsweek article, Maugeri potentially has a direct influence on the value of ENI shares.
He chooses to talk about abiotic oil and other completely unproven matters, all leading up to his conclusion:
If we may interpret "oil as we know it" to mean that business-as-usual will continue, with a few price fluctuations along the way, then Leonardo tells us Peak Oil is at least 93 years away .
In view of suggestions and evidence to the contrary, of which there are plenty, that is quite a statement.
What Maugeri effectively does, with regards to his responsibilities to ENI shareholders, is to present a radically one-sided view, for which he has no hard proof. What that means for the value of their shares, is that it skews the market towards hedge-fund-like shareholders. It's good for those who are looking for quick profits. By implying in 2007 that there is oil for the next hundred years, he props up today's share price. That's the easy stuff.
BUT: for a company like ENI, formerly state owned, you will see that large swaths of stock are owned by institutional investors, pension funds, even the government. These are "in it" for the long haul, and in that timeframe (10+ years) the share value is being put at risk by Maugeri making unsubstantiated claims.
I don't own ENI stock, and after reading this I certainly won't, but if anyone does, I suggest that they write to the ENI Board of Directors (or even the SEC, ENI is listed in New York) and point out that their interests are potentially at huge risk from these inflated comments by their own "Group Senior Vice President for Corporate Strategies and Planning "
There are laws against publicly traded companies spreading false information (and that includes unproven), certainly the kind that devalues their stock.
How can anything this man says be taken seriously? First he says:
That's right, oil might just might be created deep inside the earth and creep up to the surface, forever. Oil may never run out. But then he goes on to say:
That's right, oil first forms near the surface then gradually filters deeper until it hits a rock barrier. I guess you would call that a bottom rock instead of a cap rock. And if the oil did not hit that rock barrier, it probably would have filtered right down to the center of the earth.
Hey, this guy Leonardo Maugeri is totally ignorant about oil. How can anyone, after he made the statements above, take anything he says seriously. How could Newsweek publish such rubbish without first getting at least a cursory peer review. Then again, perhaps they did and his peers were just as ignorant as he.
Ron Patterson
I think the mainstream media has a problem, or a set of problems, in reporting on oil:
1. Their reporters know about journalism, little about oil.
2. Before rewriting a story the journalists go to the best-known pundits, people such as Yergin.
3. Thus bias amplifies ignorance.
In "Twilight in the Desert" I was struck by Matt Simmons's comment about the "Economist" reporter who wrote the infamous cover article that predicted $10 oil, just before the big runup that continues to the present day. The reporter was astonished that Simmons would question some of his basic premises, because he (the reporter) had checked them out with well-known authorities who were unanimously of the opinion that we were awash with a surplus of oil, and that prices could go down to five dollars a barrel, etc.
I do feel sorry for the reporters, because they are doing their job as best they know how how; they are working "by the book," but the authorities give them a convincing and soothing antipeak perspective every time.
Don,
Although you have phrased the problem of oil coverage as a problem of journalists, it is also a description of the shortcomings of the peak-oil camp. We have not successfully gotten the message out.
You have described the way the press works. One can either complain about the unfairness of it all, or one can learn the tools and work for what one believes in.
Examples of what can be done:
In fact, a number of peak oil people do understand how to work with the media (Matt Simmons, Kunstler, Heinberg) and they have been frequently quoted and interviewed. There's no reason more of us can't be effective in the same ways.
Make credentialed experts available to give the peak oil view.
Where do you find them first?
They have to be "credentialed" toward journalists, who take their clues from the "most well known" who get to be well known by...
A vicious circle!
Become savvy about dealing with the press and politicians.
Difficult to do for the press, IMPOSSIBLE for the politicians, they won't sell any "bad news".
This has been discussed at various places on TOD already.
Politicians love bad news... if they can pimp themselves as savior in need, that is. Not to heap too much responsibility on them, they are stuck in their role just like everybody else. We are a bunch of monkeys, aren't we?
Bart,
Without a funded organization that can issue press releases, talk at oil & gas conferences, issue position papers, get interviewed on the MSM, testify before Congress and all the rest, everything you said of examples of what can be done makes for nice talk but has no effect whatsoever. In fact, it is not being done. Learn the tools? We've got the tools. We don't have the backing.
Case in point: The Oil Drum
And, I should know...
I am not 'credentialed', but I would be truly thrilled if I could get any of TPTB to merely respond to just one of my emails. Instead, my hopes lie with some influential, wealthy, and deeply connected power-broker reading here that will eventually see the value of TOD, then fund a formal PR effort. T. Boone Pickens, Richard Rainwater, Bill Gates, Warren Buffett, Prince Charles?
Bob Shaw in Phx,Az Are Humans Smarter than Yeast?
Money helps in getting publicity, but there is a grand tradition of grass roots public relations which leverages intelligence and creativity.
Here are some things be done now for $0 by TOD or TOD readers:
1. In the essays, take a professional tone. Try to get the pieces edited for readability. (Right now the quality is variable.) If you want to keep TOD as it is, then aim the more professional pieces at other sites or publications (e.g. ASPO) for re-posting.
2. Encourage people who post comments to put their ideas into article form. Encourage quality in writing and research. Posting comments is not the height of effectiveness - is it fair to say that too much posting of comments is self-indulgent? Since TOD posters expect journalists and politicians to stretch themselves, it is not unreasonable to ask posters to do so as well.
3. If you want to be taken seriously, write under your own name. No journalists are going to waste their time on anonymous writers.
4. Provide a TOD page for journalists, summarizing the issues and providing pointers on how to learn more. Provide contact information, so journalists can ask questions or talk to a TOD contributor.
5. Anyone who wants to be effective should polish their list of credentials. It's not that hard - if you've ever written a resume, you've got the general idea. All contributors should have a few paragraphs on their background and relevant accomplishments and credentials.
6. One powerful technique for being heard is to emphasize one's specialty, in which one does have credentials. Whether it's business, HVAC, insurance, real estate, farming, journalism, homemaking, raising children - there's always a tie-in with energy.
7. Local media is often accessible. Papers usually have an op-ed feature that you can write for. Emphasize the local angle (how energy issues are or will play out locally), rather than generalizations. If there is a reporter who covers environmental issues, try to develop a relationship with him or her. You might even invite them out for coffee to ask their advice about how to get the message across.
8. Make alliances with local or professional organizations. For example, Master Gardeners, Sierra Club chapters, political groups. "Burrow from within." The relocalization groups encouraged by Post Carbon Institute might be a place to start.
In fact, there are so many possibilities, that the problem lies in getting over-extended.
Bart
energy bulletin
Thanks for all this wonderful advice
I'll be sure to follow it in the future... meanwhile, who is getting shit done?
Dave,
I have worked gratis on peak oil about 6-10 hours a day for the last two and a half years, so I too have felt burned out and exasperated. I am acutely aware of the need for money and people. I have a dozen projects that I'd like to do, but don't have time for. My particular shortcoming is that I'm a loner, like many writers, and am not able to do the organizational thing, which is sorely needed.
What makes it worthwhile is working with people whom I respect and admire, people who surprise me with their generosity and insights. The list of wonderful people is not short, and includes those of you responsible for TOD.
No one of us can do it all. That's why we need new people to step up to the plate, and help with whatever skills they bring.
I keep thinking that if we can hold on long enough, the Cavalry will ride to the rescue - the energetic new recruits with the talents we lack.
Bart
energy bulletin