DrumBeat: June 23, 2007

Chavez: Big oil firms to leave Venezuela

Some major oil companies have rejected Venezuela's terms for the takeover of their multi-billion dollar projects and can leave the OPEC nation, President Hugo Chavez said Friday, days before a deadline for them to strike nationalization deals.

India to form crude oil reserve of 5 mmt

Government has decided to make a strategic oil reserve of five million metric tonne (MMT) at a cost of Rs 2,400 crore to meet the demand of the oil sector and has created a special purpose vehicle (SPV) for the purpose.


The Biggest Bang for Your Petrobuck

Washington is finally tackling fuel-economy reform. But any payoff is years away. How best to save money on gas right now? The answer may surprise you.


Branson admits ‘green’ car being run on petrol

Sir Richard Branson’s biofuel company car, used to highlight his green credentials, is being run on unleaded petrol.

Virgin admitted yesterday that the £33,000 car - a Saab 9-5 BioPower - was often filled with ordinary petrol rather than bioethanol fuel, made from sugar cane or other crops.


And all on 0.006C per year!

Below is a list of events, subjects, disasters, worries and crises that have been linked to climate change. It's called "A complete list of things caused by global warming." From African devastation to disappearing cod and on to increasing melanoma and the rise of yellow fever, it's all a result of climate change.


Darfur conflict heralds era of wars triggered by climate change, UN report warns

The conflict in Darfur has been driven by climate change and environmental degradation, which threaten to trigger a succession of new wars across Africa unless more is done to contain the damage, according to a UN report published yesterday.


Mayors make environmental moves

Cities in 36 states are going "green," mainly by running cars on alternative fuel and installing energy-efficient streetlights and traffic signals, says a survey by the U.S. Conference of Mayors out today.


'Saudi Arabia of renewable energy' off Scotland's coast

IT HAS been described as the "greatest untapped source of energy Scotland has ever had", capable of generating enough electricity for every home and business in the country several times over.

But while the Pentland Firth has been too deep and too dangerous to exploit, the race is now on to develop machines that will harness this "underwater hurricane" and fundamentally change Scotland.


Canary in a Data Mine

For the past week or so, I've been delving deeply into data on the world's oil production as part of some special side projects I will announce in the not-too-distant future.

What I have found has been, shall we say, less than encouraging. But crucially important information all the same.


Black gold rising to the top?

The question is if WTI oil reaches an all time high of around $80 again. Nobody can look into the future so it is difficult to tell. What we can do is to take a look at the technical situation of WTI. Supported by the fundamentals, WTI could try to attack that level again.


Energy tax could be revived

Senate Democrats, flush from passage of their first major energy legislation since their party took control of Congress after the 2006 elections, vowed Friday to resurrect a $28.5 billion tax package that would hit up the oil companies to pay for alternative energy and coal projects.


Price Threshold Language Stricken from Interior Appropriations Bill

The Senate Appropriations Committee yesterday voted 15-14 to remove a provision from the Interior spending measure that sought to force oil and gas companies to renegotiate offshore leases instituted without price thresholds.


PG&E pipeline in delta offers insurance against disaster for company, customers

McDonald Island sits atop an underground reservoir packed with enough fuel to supply all PG&E customers for more than one month. Right now, only one pipeline connects the reservoir to the outside world. If it breaks in an earthquake or flood, the gas would be trapped. Buying replacement gas could cost up to $1 billion.


Ethanol won't be the fuel of the future

Possibly, one of the side benefits of the quest for alternative fuels will be the message sent to oil suppliers that they have competition and that they might lower the price of gasoline at the pumps.


Citgo trial on dirty air tests federal law

A jury will resume deliberations Monday in a criminal air pollution case that accuses Citgo Petroleum Corp. of knowingly breaking federal air quality laws at its Corpus Christi refinery.


Diesel efficiency with an American twist

DaimlerChrysler introduced advanced diesel technology in Canada in the seemingly most sensible way. It started small, very small, bringing forth its Smart ForTwo car in 2004 with a 40-horsepower, 0.8-liter, three-cylinder, direct-injection diesel engine.

The thing got the U.S. equivalent of 65 miles per gallon on the highway. It sipped less fuel than anybody's gas-electric hybrid car in city traffic. You could park it in a third of the space required by a full-size family sedan. And if you could live with a top cruising speed slightly north of 60 miles per hour, you were golden -- quite literally, considering the money you saved at the gas pump.


Tax Reform Stirs Controversy in Mexico

Both congressmen warned that unless the tax-driven public solvency plan of Petroleos Mexicanos is modified, the initiative will not be as comprehensive as is required.

In their opinion, the change must secure larger investment in Pemex's modernization and hydrocarbon production. They warned they won't yield an inch in this regard because the firm's finances cannot continue being squeezed.


U.K.: Sad sight of a superferry laid up due to soaring jet fuel bills

The boat was taken off the water at the beginning of this year, sparking rumours that rising oil prices were forcing ferry companies to abandon their faster vessels.

The HSS uses jet fuel and uses twice as much fuel as conventional ferries - making it much more costly.


Tankers thirsty for gas

Supply issues had 75 tankers waiting several hours for gasoline, diesel or other fuel Friday morning in Sioux Falls, but an industry marketer said consumer prices won't be affected.


Natural gas essential for energy-deficient Pakistan

Visiting Pakistan Foreign Minister Khurshid Kasuri has said that his country requires natural gas on an urgent basis to tide over the current energy crisis, and could not understand public objections to the Iran-Pakistan-India (IPI) gas pipeline, which would go a long way in ameliorating the shortfall.


Nicaragua Fixing Energy

Nicaragua´s energy service will stabilized by the first trimester of next year, President Daniel Ortega affirmed, and reiterated the country will resort to thermal plants to face the current power deficit.

According to the president, along with the generators to be supplied by Cuba, Venezuela, and Taiwan, the country is likely to receive others by Iran, where he traveled last week.


Nigeria: Nation Shut Down

The nationwide strike is causing oil exports to decline. There is a nationwide fuel shortage because the fuel truck drivers have been off the roads for a week. If the government rescinds the increase, the government will have to pay for it, because refined fuel has to be imported at a higher price than it is sold for. That argument doesn't fly with the unions or most Nigerians, because they know that most of the oil revenue, over the last half century, has been stolen by corrupt government officials. Cheap gasoline is one way to get some of that oil wealth, if the price is low enough.


Guyana: GPL mum on city power outages

Over the past few days, power outages in the city have plagued businesses and residents alike, for several hours each day, with normalcy returning to some areas yesterday.


Cement firms in UAE turn to coal for want of gas

Cement makers in the United Arab Emirates are turning to imported coal to fire their furnaces as gas is scarce and the petrodollar-fuelled building boom shows no signs of letting up.

That is likely to drive world coal prices higher still, producers and traders say.


Dolphin may start Qatar-UAE gas plant this month

Dolphin Energy could start facilities in Qatar to process gas for export to the UAE this month, sources said.

Dolphin exports of Qatar gas to the UAE were expected to reach two billion cubic feet per day by the end of the year, boosting gas available for domestic sales in the UAE by nearly 50 per cent from last year.


Oh, no! Peak pizza! Rising cost of cheese cuts into pizza profits

"My sales representative told me this is a record high for cheese," said Jason Bentley, general manager of Da Vinci's Gourmet Pizza in Nashville.

...Dallas-based Pizza Hut, the nation's largest delivery chain, recently raised the price of a regular cheese pizza to the same level as a one-topping pie.

Jennifer Little, a Pizza Hut spokeswoman, said the new strategy is to treat cheese "almost like an extra topping."

...The biggest reason, according to Rob Hainer, spokesman for the Southeast United Dairy Industry Association, is a sharp rise in the cost of feed grain, primarily corn.

Fueled by the growing popularity of ethanol, corn prices have risen to about $4 a bushel, roughly double the price of a year ago.


Busting the peak oil myth

Last fortnight, a leading oil MNC came out with its Annual Statistical Review of World Energy and leading business papers splashed it across their front pages. This is an annual ritual in which the company reminds the world that oil is a scarce commodity and will soon be extinct like the dodo.


Iraqis water down the draft oil law

Iraqi officials said Friday that a U.S.-backed draft oil law will soon be returned to the Cabinet for approval after Kurds agreed to a compromise revenue-sharing measure. But they said many key sticking points remain unresolved — and not even addressed — in the watered-down legislation.


Cars will use less fuel, Senate assures

The cars, SUVS and pickups people will buy in the years ahead are likely to use less fuel, and many will rely on ethanol or household electricity instead of gasoline.


Battle over energy policy still well underway

This week’s Senate approval of a bill to reshuffle billions in subsidies and tax breaks for the oil, corn, coal, power and auto industries marked an important milestone in a sweeping overhaul of energy policy. But with the House preparing its own bill, and final details yet to be hammered out in a joint committee, the battle over how to carve up the energy pie is still well underway.


Eni, Gazprom sign deal on new gas pipeline to Europe

Italian oil company Eni and Russia's Gazprom have agreed to study building a new gas pipeline to distribute Russian gas to Europe, the two companies said on Saturday.

The proposed 900 kilometer (559.2 miles) pipeline will split in two in Bulgaria, with one part heading to Austria and Slovenia, while another branch brings gas to southern Italy, Eni Chief Executive Paolo Scaroni said at a news conference.


Head of major Chinese oil company quits

The chairman of China's No. 2 oil company, Sinopec Corp., has resigned abruptly, citing personal reasons.

...Sinopec has struggled financially in recent years, squeezed by rising oil prices and government controls that limit its ability to pass on costs to consumers.


Saudi Aramco may cut propane prices

The world’s largest producer of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) may cut its prices in July as demand from the chemicals slackens.


Norway presents 'world's most ambitious' climate change plan

Norway unveiled plans Friday to tackle climate change, hailed by Prime Minister Jens Stoltenberg as the "most ambitious" in the world but dismissed by environmental campaigners as worthless.


Gore urges ad execs to help fight global warming

Former U.S. vice president and environmental campaigner Al Gore urged the world's top advertising companies on Friday to work commercially and voluntarily on promoting the movement against global warming.

"Lend us your most creative designers and advertising geniuses and give us their time to help devise the most powerful and compelling messages ...," Gore said in a speech to ad executives at the Cannes Lions advertising festival.


Senate Passes Energy Bill; Compromise on CAFE

The Senate late last night passed the energy bill by a Yea-Nea vote of 65-27, including a compromise version (SA 1792) of CAFE legislation that increases new light-duty vehicle fleetwide fuel economy to an average 35 mpg by 2020, but that eliminates the mandatory 4% per year increase thereafter that had been part of the original proposal.


Peak Oil Passnotes: Let Me Tell You an Inventory

The prospects for oil prices rising have been knocked this week, so we are told. U.S. inventories are at nine-year highs, and the cost of a barrel of Brent crude fell back down below $70 this week, albeit by only a few cents.

But this is not the real story. Inventories in the United States are high because the refinery complex in the country is in such a weak state. Due to bits falling off, explosions, gas leaks and the odd death – another one at BP’s Texas City refinery recently – the U.S. cannot process the crude that is arriving on its shores.


An inconvenient Swede

Kjell Aleklett, a perky and persuasive physicist at Uppsala University, talks with characteristic Swedish candour. As president of the Association for the Study of Peak Oil, he jokes that all the big "strawberries" in the world's oilfields have been thoroughly picked over. ("Peak oil" just means the end of cheap oil.) Fifty years ago, the world burned four billion barrels of oil a year and happily discovered lots of big berry patches — 30 billion barrels a year. Today, those figures are exactly reversed, which goes a long way toward explaining volatile oil prices and Sweden's determined plan to get off fossil fuels by 2020. "Money is not running the world," the jaunty global player likes to say during his talks. "Money is used to buy energy." Right.


Food execs to examine solutions to biofuel threat

Food industry R&D executives will be meeting in Chicago next month to examine the impact of increased biofuel demand on their business, in an effort to anticipate challenges resulting from a fundamental shift in supply chain dynamics.

Organized by the American Association of Cereal Chemists International (AACCI), the symposium and workshop will examine the projected demand for biofuels, and the impact of this on the food industry supply chain, on consumers, on food formulation and on food technology.


Matt Savinar on Coast to Coast with Art Bell

Just confirmed with the producer. Will be on from 10:00 to 11:00 PM on Saturday with Art to discuss the Independent article that broke last week.

There are no solutions within the power of food industry R&D executives. The only solution is the elimination of the competition for the food growing acreage. I don't think there is anyone with enough power to take on ADM and win.

Lets hope ADM and other ethanol makers prevail; the health of the world depends on it. Diabetes and obesity are global epidemics due to many factors but one of them is that calories are so cheap. We need to slow this crisis by making more ethanol and less food.

If that's your concern, we're better off killing the car and getting everyone back to walking and biking.

Shhhh, Keitherster100 feels important now - lets not harsh his buzz with facts or reality.

People were never back at walking and biking.

They were back at walking and riding.

Everybody had personal transportation vehicles which consumed cellulosic biofuel: horse and mule engines in carriages and chariots.

Jim Kunstler is ignorant if he thinks that is going to ever change. People had horse-scale suburbia before car scale suburbia. We'll go to somewhere in between with battery scale suburbia.

Everybody had personal transportation vehicles which consumed cellulosic biofuel: horse and mule engines in carriages and chariots

The evidence is very much against that.

I live in an early suburb, developed in the late 1830s, 1840s and early 1850s for the uncivilized Americans. 1.1 mile to the civilized French Quarter, 1 mile to the CBD from my home. My neighborhood (Lower Garden District) was largely upper middle class professionals and middle level merchants.

Several slave quarters remain but evidence of only one carriage house. Taxis were occasionally used, evidenced by a number of extant marble blocks on the curb to make it easier to get aboard (they are all "middle of the block" where they are left, so I assume common use by all).

The Garden District (two blocks away) was the home of millionaires (in 1840s gold & silver dollars). Carriage houses were much more prevalent but still in a minority.
Some may have been lost in the last 100 years, but I am confident that more than half OF THE MILLIONAIRES never had personal horses in New Orleans.

Instead they rode the St. Charles, Prytania and Magazine streetcars and shopped locally.

Best Hopes for more Urban Rail,

Alan

Good Keith! You found a topic you can post on every day!

Keep shining on you crazy diamond!

Thanks. I have taken a page out of the Peak Oil playbook. If you call something a crisis, the alternative automatically becomes reasonable. This propaganda thing is fun!

Don't forget-- you can drink that ethanol. And if you are squeamish, you can mix it with lemon juice and sugar. Lots of people live on that. Half a gallon of ethanol will keep you going for a couple of days, and with the accompanying anesthetic state, you you won't care where you are, and can just park under a bridge or in a cardboard box on the street and not know the difference. If things get bad enough (especially if you are white) someone will call 911 and take you to a hospital where they will patch you up a bit, maybe clean your clothes and even give you some advice about proper nutrition before they send you back out.

Actually, food in America has always been cheap, and junk food has always been available. What has changed is thirty years back we were participants in activities instead of laying back playing our video games or watching our big screen TV's. Go look at the many empty sports fields and playgrounds today. It’s amazing how many fat kids there are today. It’s not too much food, it’s too much laziness.

I don't think there is anyone with enough power to take on ADM and win.

Points at ADM and the lysine price fixing

POLL - concerning the UNs lack of attention or actions taken with regards to Peak-oil and beyond – give short answers

a) In which year will Peak-oil pop-up on UNs radar – and why? (as an multilateral issue- being discussed hard)

b) In which year will gasoline be banned by UN as a fuel used for private automobiles? (for all countries involved, and I know.. the US will not comply..)

c) What would the single most reason be when these issues will surface? only one issue allowed (to keep it easy)

Mostly for fun - although the issues in question are serious enough …

a)2009 as I think it will start to become blatantly obvious unless of course it is obfuscated by above gorud factors.

b)2022, except inner party use.

c)I'd say because oil is finite.

a) When the delegates decide to stop haggling over the 'oil for food' fiasco.

b) As soon as all the delegates, staffers, aides, secretaries, maintenence men, porters and janitors at the UN and the Sabrett cart owner in front of the building aquire diesel autos.

c) When all the delegates get really, really, really bored...or, when the US decides that they should take up the issue.

Avg. weekly pump price for regular 25 weeks 2007 $2.66/Gal 2006 2.58/Gal (EIA)

I was looking for some old monthly energy outlook reports from earlier months and started reading this!

Annual Energy Outlook 2007 with Projections to 2030 Feb 2007 EIA

U.S. Motor Gasoline Prices Rise and Fall With Changes in World Oil Price

The retail prices of petroleum products largely follow changes in crude oil prices. In the reference case, the world oil price path reaches a low of about $50 per barrel in 2014, then increases slowly to about $59 in 2030 (2005 dollars). The reference case projections for average U.S. average motor gasoline prices follow the same trend, rising from $1.95 per gallon in 2014 to $2.15 in 2030.
In the high price case, with the price of imported crude oil projected to rise to more than $100 per barrel in 2030, the average price of U.S. motor gasoline follows the higher price path of world oil prices, increasing from $2.61 per gallon in 2014 to a high of $3.20 per gallon in 2030. In the low price case, gasoline prices decline to a low of $1.64 per gallon in 2017, increase slowly through the early 2020s, and level off at about $1.76 per gallon through 2030 (Figure 84).
Because changes from the reference case assumptions for economic growth rates have less pronounced effects on projected motor gasoline prices than do changes in oil price assumptions, the projected average prices for U.S. motor gasoline in the high and low economic growth cases are close to those in the reference case. In the high growth case, the average gasoline price falls to a low of $2.00 per gallon in 2016, then rises to $2.21 per gallon in 2030. In the low growth case, the average price reaches a low of $1.92 per gallon in 2014, then rises to $2.08 per gallon in 2030. .

From what orifice do these guys extract this stuff? Come on, these guys are paid big bucks to provide this analysis.
Reminds me of the reliability of the E-mails I used to get, saying some guy in Nigeria had $5 Million to share with me.

All I would like is for someone somewhere to show us where "reliable" NEW oil is coming from post 2012.

Not a lot of projects of significant size post that date, and that is only 5 years away.

This kind of "analysis" is just fluff - wishful thinking - "we could possibly..." stuff.

I could also possibly win the lotto tomorrow, but for some reason my banker will not take it as collateral for a big fat loan...why is that?

only because you aren't ADM

Dip: That reads like something out of THE ONION. Using a reasonable estimate of US dollar inflation of 4.2% per annum, they have a "reference" price for gasoline in 2030 of 84 cents a gallon!! Their high price is 1.25 a gallon. To call the EIA a joke is too kind.

Second sentence: All prices are given in 2005 dollars.

In other words, in 2030 dollars, gas will be about $150/gallon, assuming no peak oil.

I think it's more like "in 2030 dollars, gas will be about $150/gallon, assuming it's about $150/gallon. Trying to predict the 2030 price of gas strikes me as a waste of time.

I'm saying that if gas prices don't rise at all in real terms, they could still easily be $150/gallon by 2030, just because of wonderful way the feds are handling the value of the dollar.

Piano: My mistake-skimmed it too fast. Now it is just silly not ridiculous.

Yet even so, the numbers are insanely optimistic, imo.

From the GAO:
Nuclear Waste: Plans for Addressing Most Buried Transuranic Wastes Are Not Final, and Preliminary Cost Estimates Will Likely Increase
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d07761.pdf

And under 'a witches brew' of stuff to add to your soils I present:
http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pxqBXdOJdD5a3dhB5Qm34fA&gid=0

The "witches brew" didn't interest me as much as some other things. First, it is the most simplistic soil test I've ever seen. It may be OK for India but it wouldn't hack it in the US. I was especially surprised to see that the only trace element mentioned was zinc. Second, I wonder how they came up with their recommended charcoal and sand additions. Third, it is well proven that synthetic fertilizers damage bugs in the rhizosphere. Yet, they recommend adding a variety of bugs and then dump synthetic fertilizer on the field. It just goes on and on.

For the Ag folks here, a book I really love is Ideas in Soil and Plant Nutrition by Joe Traynor, ISBN 0-9604704-0-9. It was self published so it may be hard to find. It's just full of basic and usable information.

Yet, they recommend adding a variety of bugs

I liked the bug list

and then dump synthetic fertilizer on the field

Yea, well doing that should have the plants immune system to reject symbiotic relationships so it might be self defeating - unless you believe in theories that Charcoal can absorb the Nitrogen then slowly release it.

Thanks for the book pointer BTW.
http://www.google.com/search?q=%22Ideas+in+Soil+and+Plant+Nutrition%22&b...
And to find a library near you:
http://www.worldcatlibraries.org/oclc/7533456
http://www.worldcatlibraries.org/wcpa/top3mset/7533456
Now to run and fetch it.

Are governments/industry leaders supressing the MSM from acknowledging mentioning peak oil? Until now I think many suspect this to be the case.

I have just yesterday late recieved first hand information to that effect. I now have no doubt it is being supressed.

Of course my immediate question was why? Simple: It would cause mass panic that would reverberate through the worldwide ecomomy.

It may be no revelation but many here seem to be so dismayed (myself included) about the blanketing of the subject.

Anyway lets all be good sheeple and reduce our carbon footprint because that CO2 is a killer;-). (Only joking folks I do my bit too!)

Marco.

Are governments/industry leaders supressing the MSM from acknowledging mentioning peak oil?

That sounds like a conspiracy. And you are asking us to theorize on it!

A simple attempt to explain would be 'its hard to get someone to do something that hurts their pocketbooks.' If Peak Oil impacts cars and consumption - how much of the income from advertising to the MSM comes from consumption and cars?

In 2005 and into 2006, Danielle DiMartino wrote a series of columns for the Dallas Morning News that explicitly warned of a coming mortgage meltdown, and I believe she made some references to problems with future oil supplies.

One can only imagine the angry e-mails and letters that the Morning News received from real estate and auto related advertisers.

Result? She was fired, or forced out, in September, 2006.

I'm sure that lessons like this are not lost on other reporters and columnists, but it does however raise an interesting question. If one knows the debt driven suburban/auto system is unsustainable, but one has his own mortgage to pay, and you keep quiet, how does that make one any different from the guys at Enron who knew the company was an illusion, but who didn't want to rock the boat, and thus endanger their own salary?

http://housingdoom.com/2006/09/15/dimartino-goodbye/
Dallas’ Danielle DiMartino leaving bubble journalism

From her next to last column in September, 2006:

"Goodbye

In the past several months I’ve received numerous e-mails asking why I haven’t written an ‘I told you so’ column on housing. My answer has always been that there’s nothing to celebrate.

To the contrary, a huge amount of work will be required in the coming years to address the fallout of the largest financial bubble in history. The ramifications extend far beyond the realm of residential real estate.

To that end, I will write one last column tomorrow and take my leave. My hope is that I can do more by saying less as a member of the private sector and soldier on the front lines of the economic battlefield.

I will be forever humbled by the tremendous outpouring of support readers have provided over the years. You were the very thing that made being the voice of the minority bearable."

My opening question was rhetorical in that I was supplying the answer in light of information I had been given. You may call it a conspiracy theory if you wish.

The MSM have bigger worries than advertising revenues. More and more people are turning to the new media so they can cut filter out all the bullshit for themselves - that is fact.

Marco.

Lots of people only watch 'Democracy Now' on the tube and get the rest of their news fix from foreign media on the net. Count me among them but I occasionally watch an hour of CNN to find out if we have started another war or what the latest propaganda line is.

I check the BBC website for the same reason you watch CNN.(Can't tolerate CNN and their mindless bubbly Hooywood oriented focus.) Ted Turner said he realized soon after that he had made a mistake when he sold CNN to Time-Warner. I realized BBC was worthless for much else when they did not cover Gonu. I do enjoy Keith Olbermann on MSNBC.

They did cover Gonu. It was hardly a big deal anyway.

Are governments/industry leaders supressing the MSM from acknowledging mentioning peak oil? Until now I think many suspect this to be the case.

NO! Peak oil is starting to be mentioned more and more on MSM. They had a full segment on it yesterday on CNBC. CNBC and Bloomberg naturally are reluctant to dwell on anything that might make the market crash. This goes for peak oil or anything else. But they must mention it when it becomes news. And they are doing exactly that.

You are deeper into this conspiracy thing than I thought if you think the government tells MSM what they can report on. None of the financial networks or the mainstream networks consults the government before they report the news.

Of course industry leaders have no control over the media either except in the case of a given industry owns the station. For instance General Electric owns NBC, MSNBC and CNBC. And CNBC always reports this fact when they report anything about GE like an earnings report or whether or not this or that analysis recommends GE for a buy or sell. However I think it extremely unlikely that the CEO of GE would instruct CNBC to report nothing about peak oil. And if he did, CNBC seems to be ignoring that order.

Peak oil will be all over the mainstream media this winter. The subject is gaining momentum right now and if world production continues to decline, and I think it will, peak oil will be more in the news than global warming. Just imagine the headlines when production is down almost two million barrels per day and the world calls upon OPEC to increase production. Then OPEC says something to the effect…. "Well, we would like to but…"

However I really expect OPEC to lift all quotas then announce that Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, Libya, Iran and perhaps Kuwait will not be able to increase production until a later date because of this or that excuse. UAE may be able to increase production by 100,000 barrels per day or so but even that is in doubt.

At any rate when that happens the words “peak oil” will be on the tip of everyone’s tongue. Even the presidential candidates will be arguing about it.

Ron Patterson

I dont see much effect on US gas stocks if OPEC takes all quotas off and our refineries remain enemic.