DrumBeat: August 1, 2008
Posted by Leanan on August 1, 2008 - 7:28am
Topic: Miscellaneous
Offshore Drilling Claims Are a Political Hoax
(Bloomberg) -- It's absurd to argue that ending the moratorium on drilling off parts of the U.S. coasts would quickly bring down the high price of gasoline....To get around the fact that it would be a decade or more before any oil would be likely to flow, a few partisan analysts have said that the cost of gasoline would fall right away. They argue that the prospect of additional oil supply in the future would lead oil companies to produce more oil immediately because they would expect prices for crude to be lower later on.
Well, wouldn't that depend on whether a producer had the capacity to pump more oil today, and whether it thought lifting the moratorium would add a significant amount of oil to future supply relative to future demand?
Big Oil's biggest quarter ever: $51.5B in all
HOUSTON - Oil giants Chevron Corp. and Total SA wrapped up a string of gargantuan, record-breaking earnings reports Friday, a stretch in which six of the major international oil companies topped $50 billion in combined profit for the first time.While the profits of unparalleled size have brought withering criticism from Washington and disgust from consumers across the country, very few were surprised. Crude prices during the second quarter were nearly double what they were a year ago.
Mechanics see ethanol damaging small engines
Although the Web is rife with complaints from car owners who say ethanol damaged their engines, ethanol producers and automakers say it’s safe to use in cars. But smaller engines — the two-cycle utility engines in lawnmowers, chain saws and outboard boat motors — are another story.Benjamin Mallisham, owner of a lawnmower repair shop in Tuscaloosa, Ala., said at least 40 percent of the lawnmower engines he repairs these days have been damaged by ethanol.
Premium gas? Not in my Ford! Or my Lexus, or my Mercedes...
Ford Motor Co., which currently sells one trim level of one model that requires premium fuel, is now bragging in a press releases that not one of the cars and trucks in its 2009 lineup (except that one trim level car) will require premium fuel.That's right, a car maker that essentially does not make and has not made something is pleased to announce and that it will continue not making that thing, all in the name of saving its drivers cash.
Petrobras to Start Oil Output at Tupi Field in 2009
(Bloomberg) -- Petroleo Brasileiro SA, Brazil's state-controlled oil company, plans to start crude production at the offshore Tupi field in the first quarter of 2009.The initial output will be between 20,000 and 30,000 barrels a day, Petrobras Chief Executive Officer Jose Sergio Gabrielli said today in London. The company and partners will ramp up production at the pilot project to 100,000 barrels a day in 2010.
Iran Heads Toward Nuclear `Breakthrough,' Israel Says
(Bloomberg) -- Iran is on a path toward a ``major breakthrough'' in its nuclear program that is ``unacceptable,'' Israeli Deputy Prime Minister Shaul Mofaz told a Washington audience today.``It is an existential threat,'' Mofaz said at a forum on Iran at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. ``We have to make sure we are prepared for every option.''
Oil prices rise above $125 on Iran nuclear worries
NEW YORK - Oil prices rebounded Friday, briefly jumping more than $3 a barrel after Israel's deputy prime minister reportedly warned that Iran was nearing a "breakthrough" in its nuclear program.
One dead as factions fight in Nigeria's delta
PORT HARCOURT, Nigeria (Reuters) - Rival armed factions in Nigeria's oil-rich Niger Delta battled in an apparent turf war for the second time this week, killing at least one civilian, security officials said on Friday.Dozens of armed men exchanged gunfire in Abonnema, around 14 km (9 miles) west of the main oil industry city of Port Harcourt.
"Today's clashes were between two rival armed groups involved in bunkering (stealing oil) who were fighting over territories. One civilian was killed," said Lieutenant-Colonel Sagir Musa, army spokesman for Rivers state, whose capital is Port Harcourt.
75% say gas prices hurting families
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The high price of gas is taking a financial toll on an increasing number of American households, according to a poll released Friday.A CNN/Opinion Research poll found that 75% of respondents said the price at the pump is a "financial hardship." That finding was up from 60% in late April and 69% in April 2006.
Nation's bridges, roads still 'structurally deficient'
Across the United States, there are about 600,000 bridges. The Federal Highway Administration reported in 2006 that one quarter of the nation's bridges were at risk. The American Society for Civil Engineers said in 2006 that it would cost nearly $10 billion every year for the next two decades to fix them.But the funds used to repair and maintain the country's bridges and highways are drying up. Some of the money comes from the Highway Trust Fund, which Americans pay for through taxes on gasoline. Faced with higher gas prices, more commuters are carpooling, taking mass transit or driving less, about 4 percent less in May alone compared with a year ago.
The federal Department of Transportation predicted taxes will fall far short of what's needed for improvement projects -- leaving many projects delayed or even canceled.
Total boosts profit 15%, warns of tight global oil capacity
PARIS (AFP) — The Total oil group raised its adjusted first-half net profit by 15 percent to 6.977 billion euros on high oil prices, but warned on Friday that world oil production capacity remained tight.
Obama risks voter ire by opposing new oil drilling
ROLLA, Mo. - Barack Obama is once again betting that his eloquence can persuade price-weary consumers — read that as voters — to take the long view and not jump at a short-term fix when it comes to soaring energy prices.
Are we heading for a human-powered future?
LONDON, England (CNN) -- Would you still watch your favorite television program if you had to cycle for an hour before you could view it?Couch potatoes will be horrified, but fresh advances in human-powered technology -- where users power appliances through their own motion -- could one day see a 'workout-to-watch' scenario become reality.
Record heat forces closure of Canada Arctic park
OTTAWA (Reuters) - A major national park in Canada's Arctic has been largely closed after record high temperatures caused flooding that washed away hiking trails and forced the evacuation of tourists, an official said on Friday.
'Greenshirt' youths urged to inform on eco-crimes
In a recent series of ads aimed at school children, a leading British energy company has assigned a controversial summer project: police their family's global-warming crimes.
POLL: Non-OPEC oil outlook sluggish, may be near its peak
(Reuters) - Oil producing countries outside OPEC are still struggling to respond to booming energy demand from China and other emerging markets despite record high oil prices of more than $147 a barrel.Some analysts even believe non-OPEC supply of conventional oil may have peaked for now.
A Reuters survey of 10 analysts put the consensus forecast for non-OPEC oil supply in 2009 at 50.3 million barrels per day (bpd), up 470,000 from the consensus forecast for 2008.
Non-OPEC supply in 2008 is forecast at 49.83 million bpd according to the poll of 11 analysts, which compares with 49.56 million bpd estimated in the previous survey in May.
Kyrgyzstan on Verge of Energy Crisis - PM
BISHKEK (Interfax) - Kyrgyzstan is on the brink of a total power outage, Prime Minister Igor Chudinov said at the meeting of the government on Thursday."I feel that we are about to have a total power outage," he said.
"That must not happen, especially at plants," he said.
Energy executives said it was necessary "to save 600 megawatt of electricity during the upcoming heating season in order to keep plants running."
It is planned to suspend electricity supplies to private houses and to make school vacations longer.
The world's sixth-largest producer in 2006, Mexico is the U.S.' No. 2 supplier. But Pemex is in decline and is hurting.
Pemex: Cantarell drags down second quarter output
MEXICO CITY: Mexican state oil company Pemex's decreased oil production in the second quarter of 2008 was primarily the result of a 15.7 percent drop in heavy crude output associated with the natural decline in the Cantarell field, E&P subsidiary (PEP) deputy director of planning and evaluation Vinicio Suro said in a webcast.
Mexico ponders how to boost faltering state oil company
Now the nation is in knots over whether and how to modernize the 70-year-old company and find new sources of oil before Mexico's easy-to-extract oil goes dry.Mexico is already a net importer of gasoline — most coming from the United States — as it's unable to refine enough oil to meet its demands. Within a decade, Mexico could compete with the United States for ever-scarcer barrels of imported oil.
Oil production in Mexico — until recently the second largest oil exporter to the United States, after Canada — is falling precipitously because output at the Cantarell offshore oilfield is declining faster than expected.
Sprott swings to a profit following IPO
Sprott says he will continue to go long on gold, versus currency, and energy, based on his belief in the peak oil theorem, and short American financials and housing. That will not change “until lenders are willing to lend”, he says. It is currently cheaper to buy a house than build one.
Schumer proposes help with fuel costs
WASHINGTON - School districts could get help in coping with rising fuel costs, a looming crisis that threatens to blow holes in budgets throughout the state next school year, under legislation proposed by Sen. Chuck Schumer.The bills - the Hybrid Tax Credit and School Energy Crisis Relief Act of 2008 - would expand tax credits for districts that buy hybrid buses and give grants to low-income districts hit hard by increasing costs.
Poll shows Floridians warming to offshore drilling
Good news for pro-drilling forces: The latest Quinnipiac University poll of battleground states finds that 60 percent of likely voters in Florida support allowing drilling for oil and gas in areas offshore that are now protected.
As one door closes, another door opens to a healthier planet
The common theme here is air-conditioning. Air-conditioning is not an inalienable right, but in a culture of constant comfort with an everyday disregard for the "energy crisis" if it is going to interfere with a personal crisis, it is sometimes treated as such. Climate control is not, after all, what the English political philosopher John Locke was pointing a finger at when he made a philosophical fuss about our natural rights.
A Northwest distaste for nuclear power
Twenty-five years ago this summer, prospects for a nuclear-powered Northwest imploded. In what was then the nation's largest municipal bond default, the Washington Public Power Supply System told creditors it could not make payment on a $2.25 billion debt it incurred to build two large nuclear plants. Today, as we contemplate regional energy options, the Supply System's abandoned projects still cast a shadow.
U.S. Energy Crisis Sees Sierra Club Unite With Foes
T. Boone Pickens is a Republican billionaire from Texas who handsomely funded the Swift Boat campaign against John Kerry. Carl Pope is a veteran of the environmental movement, executive director of the Sierra Club and fierce critic of both George Bush and John McCain.That the two men are in furious agreement on the need for a radical overhaul of U.S. energy policy, Mr. Pope said, says something very bad about the recent state of politics.
More cities move aggressively to stop heat deaths
In recent years, deadly heat waves have killed dozens to hundreds of people at a time in various U.S. cities, often catching local officials unprepared. Climate scientists say more killer heat waves lie ahead with global warming, and city officials are taking note.
Obama proposes $1,000 energy rebates for consumers
ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. - Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama is calling for a $1,000 "emergency" rebate to consumers to offset soaring energy costs.Obama says the rebate would be financed with a windfall profits tax on the oil industry.
"This rebate will be enough to offset the increased cost of gas for a working family over the next four months," Obama said in remarks prepared for delivery Friday at a town hall meeting in the crucial swing state of Florida.
Keeping oil prices high with wasteful subsidies
Americans, the world's most avid gas guzzlers, finally responded to higher prices. They drove about 10 billion miles less in May than they did in the same month last year. They are trading in their SUVs for more sensible vehicles. As oil prices rose by two-thirds, American oil consumption fell by 900,000 barrels a day between the first quarter of 2007 and the same period of 2008.Unfortunately, a large share of the world's population is not responding to high energy prices. Across the developing world, governments are subsidizing energy, blunting the incentive to conserve by keeping prices low. They are absorbing the savings made by industrial countries and helping to raise oil prices by stoking demand.
Is the world running out of black gold?
The debate is not new. It is raging ever since this civilization got addicted to the black gold. It continues to this date, and the reason is simple. Being a finite source, ultimately it has to end. The question is when and not if. Many times in the past too, there have been talks that the world is running out of crude. Yet those turned out to be false calls.
Turning off the oil tap in the Middle East will be a game-changer for Israel, the region and the world. After oil, the Arab regimes will lack the capacity to vilify and terrorize Israel. Israel (as one of the few non-oil driven economies in the region), will hold the keys to building a post-oil economy.
I predict your prediction is wrong
So it's August and oil has soared to yet another record high. Expect it to hit $200 a barrel soon.Or at least, that was what experts told us a couple of months ago. Then the price dropped. And dropped some more.
Profit from the Peak: An Enjoyable Read About Our Energy Problems
This definitely isn’t a fair-and-balanced view of Peak Oil or fossil fuels; the authors take a clear position that traditional energy production is peaking and we need to make immediate, massive investment in renewable forms of energy.
What's the Real Rate of Inflation?
Whatever one thinks about peak oil and the power of speculators there is no doubt that oil prices falling farther is the best possible scenario for the economy at large. It would provide the quickest improvement to discretionary consumer spending, not to mention peace of mind.The next few months will be rocky. Let's hope the monetarists win the argument - and that this time the liquidity tap is eased down before the next bubble forms.
As the global oil crisis deepens, countries across the world are scrambling to reassess their options. South Africa is no exception to this trend, and South Africans, who have felt the pinch of escalating petrol prices in recent months, are glancing towards government for viable solutions.
A commenter with the screen name LimeSarah said she only reads a couple of blogs that discuss issues relating to peak oil -- Casaubon's Book and The Oil Drum (this, it should be said, is written predominantly by men) -- because they're two of the "lowest-panic" ones she's found."I'd love to hear more people talk about it," she says, "but most sites tend to have the typical macho Mad Max guns-in-a-bunker mentality."
Your breakfast can change the world
Feeding cities has a greater physical impact on the planet than anything else we do.
Poll: Voters want candidate with energy answers
WASHINGTON — Americans want their next president to invest in new energy sources and won't penalize a candidate who says they need to change their habits to conserve, according to the latest USA TODAY/Gallup Poll.The poll, taken last Friday through Sunday, found wide support for many proposals advanced by Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain, their parties' presumptive nominees. Obama's ideas had broader support, and he was viewed as better able to handle energy issues. But 21% said neither candidate would do a good job.
Energy and gas prices top the list this year when voters are asked what's extremely important to them in choosing a candidate.
Republicans in Congress Grab Oil Drilling as Political Lifeline
(Bloomberg) -- Congressional Republicans, confronted with a slowing economy, an unpopular president and ethics embarrassments that threaten a wave of voter wrath, are clinging to a political lifeline: drilling for oil.Republican demands that Congress open new areas to drilling to address record gasoline prices have put Democrats on the defensive. Several measures unrelated to energy legislation have languished as Republicans blocked Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid's bids to change the legislative subject away from drilling.
D.C. bluster, but no help for high cost of gas
WASHINGTON - In a summer of nationwide anguish over fuel costs, Congress' attack on soaring gasoline prices has been full of high-octane rhetoric and low-energy results.Both parties instead have fought bitterly for weeks over who can make the best political points for the November elections, with Republicans pressing for more domestic oil drilling and Democrats railing about oil company profits.
The Peak Oil Crisis: Smart Meters
At this technological minute, the only realistic choices for the decades ahead seem to be more electrification of everything or a partial rerun of the 19th century. There is also little question that electricity is going to become much more expensive. Coal, nuclear plants, natural gas and the construction of nearly everything to do with producing more energy is becoming much more expensive. We simply are going to have to figure out how to keep going with much less. We will need much more energy-efficient homes, offices, vehicles and appliances - or do without.
Peak oil pundits perplexed by reality
Peak oil proponents and fellow cultists in the climate change camp must be scratching their heads over the recent dip in crude oil prices. If oil production has peaked, its decline irreversible, and global demand continues to rise, why would prices drop?On the basis of peak oil theory, investing in oil futures should be a no-brainer: Go long until the world ends.
Czech refiner says Russia oil supply back to normal
PRAGUE (Reuters) - Oil supplies from Russia to Czech refiner Unipetrol have returned to normal after being cut by around half in July, a Unipetrol spokeswoman said on Friday.Deliveries to the former Soviet-bloc country had been cut last month due to a lack of available crude, according to Russian supplier Tatneft.
Nigeria oil output cut by 150,000 bpd by attack
ABUJA (Reuters) - Nigeria's crude oil production fell by 150,000 barrels per day after Monday's militant attack on a major pipeline in the Niger Delta, an official with state-run oil company NNPC said on Friday.
Official spending outpaces revenue
State and local government spending has been rising three times as fast as revenue amid warnings from governors that their finances are nearing crisis stage.As many Americans face stagnant wages, high gas prices and job uncertainty, new government figures show that state and local governments boosted spending 7.8% in the second quarter compared with 2007 while revenue rose 2.5%. Government is on a hiring binge, too, even as private-sector jobs disappear.
You Know Gas Prices Are High When Texans Start Driving Golf Carts
It's a sure sign electric cars have a future when they're catching on in Texas. Others here, too, are abandoning the family car and driving to the office in what appear to be fancy little golf carts. Small battery-powered vehicles have been on the market for years but have mainly been used by workers driving around factories and university campuses.The small cars are powered by batteries charged by plugging them into regular 110-volt house current. Though they do look like golf carts, they have heftier frames and more powerful engines. Now, with high gasoline prices driving booming sales, many are going to ordinary folks like the Peterses, who have fallen in love with gasoline-free transportation.
Gasoline prices are rolling over teens' summer fun
Students say they're feeling the pressure of having to work just to keep the tank filled. And families are cutting back on outings.
Prius Problem: Could Using Less Oil Make Oil More Expensive?
The logic goes like this: Despite all the talk of “peak oil,” big producers in OPEC, and Russia and Mexico could tap 8 million to 10 million barrels per day of new oil — if they got the right market signals. That new supply would be enough to meet the world’s oil demand in the next decade, buying time to gradually shift over to a less oil-intensive economy without the whiplash oil-price volatility of recent months.The rub, according to this theory, is those market signals. Though oil-consuming nations worry about security of supply, oil-producing nations worry about security of demand. If OPEC and other big producers were sure that expensive, long-term investments in new production capacity would find willing takers, they would pony up to pump the extra oil. But with all the talk in the West about curbing oil demand, the theory goes, oil producers are thinking twice about investing in new capacity.
A used Prius is a hot commodity these days
Buyers are so eager to start saving gas with the nation's best-selling hybrid that they're paying more for a used Prius than they'd pay for a new one if they were willing to wait.Driven by gas prices and waiting lists for new Priuses at many dealers, buyers paid an average $27,945 in June for a 2008 Prius with an average 8,000 miles on it — about $1,300 above the average transaction price for a new one, Power Information Network found.
GM posts $15.5 billion loss for second quarter
DETROIT — General Motors said Friday that its losses widened to $15.5 billion in the second quarter as North American sales plummeted and the company faced expenses due to labor unrest and its massive restructuring plan.
Chevron Profit Soars on Oil Prices, but Shares Dip
HOUSTON (AP) -- Lifted by record crude prices, Chevron Corp. (NYSE:CVX) says its second-quarter profit rose 11 percent from a year ago, capping another round of massive earnings for the major oil companies.But the results missed Wall Street forecasts.
Last-ditch bid to salvage nuclear deal
Talks are continuing between French power giant EDF and British Energy, according to reports, despite a shock announcement from EDF in the early hours that it had backed out of a £12bn deal to take over the UK nuclear power operator.
The collapse of the British Energy deal is bad news for UK consumers
EDF's decision not to make an offer for British Energy is a blow for Britain's new drive for nuclear power but it's not fatal.
British Gas apologises for boozy bash
LONDON (Reuters) - British Gas-owner Centrica has issued an apology after a social event, meant to brief staff on how to explain its 35 percent price rise to irate customers, ended in a drunken brawl.
BP Negotiates With Russian Billionaires to Resolve TNK-BP Issue
(Bloomberg) -- BP Plc, Europe's second largest oil company, is in talks with its Russian billionaire partners to resolve disputes over control and operations of their joint venture TNK-BP.
China strengthens its role in Kyrgyzstan
China is steadily strengthening political and economic ties with small, landlocked Kyrgyzstan, with one eye on the sizeable energy reserves of its neighbors to the north and west. At the same time, Kyrgyzstan's dependence on Chinese income and infrastructure grows deeper by the day.
British Airways profit collapses
LONDON(Reuters) - British Airways' profit collapsed in the first quarter as high oil prices, an economic slowdown and weak consumer confidence combined in what the airline called the worst trading conditions ever.
Production of SA's superthin solar innovation delayed
The start of production of the South African super-thin solar-panel innovation has been delayed by more than six months due to technical challenges with the equipment at the purpose-built German plant.Production was expected to start earlier this year, but is now anticipated to kick off in October, says a source close to the project.
Community colleges tap into wind energy boom - Turbine technicians groomed, industry often grabs them before graduation
BISMARCK, N.D. - With wind turbine towers popping up on the U.S. landscape at a rate of almost 10 per day, the need for people to maintain and repair them is reaching the critical point.Community colleges in North Dakota and other states are jumping at the chance to help fill that need and develop a niche for themselves at the same time through wind tech programs.
Time to look at fossil fuels in a new light?
With increasing acceptance that for the short term at least, continued use of fossil fuels is essential to keep the lights on, is it time we started looking at fossil fuels in a new light? This was one subject of debate at The Energy Institute's recent event, Energy in Transition.Arguing the case for A new dawn for coal in Britain, Jon Lloyd, Chief Executive of UK Coal urged that if coal is essential to address the energy needs of here and now: "it is surely better that we use local coal than import it half way across the world."
Green revolution emerges in smokestack China
LONDON (Reuters) - China, pilloried as the world's biggest polluter, has quietly taken a lead in moving to a low carbon economy, an independent climate advisory group said on Friday.
Global Warming's Fish-Sex Effect
"We found that in fish that do have temperature-dependent sex determination [TSD], a rise in water temperature of just 1.5 degrees Celsius can change the male-to-female ratio from 1:1 to 3:1," says Piferrer, the study's co-author. In especially sensitive fish, a greater increase can throw the balance even more out of whack. Ospina-Alvarez and Piferrer have found that in the South American pejerrey, for example, an increase of 4 degrees Celsius can result in a population that is 98% male.
5 states threaten to sue EPA to get carbon curbs
SACRAMENTO, Calif. - Five states led by California on Thursday gave notice of their intent to sue the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency if it does not act soon to reduce carbon emissions from ships, aircraft and off-road vehicles.



Ford has belatedly adopted a new strategy.... which is to design cars for the world as a whole rather than have separate product lines for North America. I think they call it "Ford One".
Ford Downsizing Cuts Deeply
Into Design, Engineering Units
There is no longer a need to specifically design cars for the American market.
Not incidentally, today we have this from Ford:
Officially, official: Photos of Ford's smallest kinetic car the new Ka!
Lots of pics but no specs yet.....
This is the first response to peak oil...The rapid rollout of small cars. If Ford can't do it, others will.
For instance, Tata plans to be building EV's in Norway later this year. How soon before there is a Tata plant (ICE or EV) in Detroit.
Tata Motors Developing EV; Rollout in Norway Likely This Year
The Ford Ka has been on sale in the UK for a decade. Just another small car.
And what about security? One could easily imagine the outcome, if you have an accident with this cart! I would never sit into a such car. Too dangerous.
All modern cars are far safer than any built 30 or 40 years ago. I cringe when I think of the vehicles I rode in/drove when young and immortal. Obviously it would come off worse in a collision with an SUV, but I have seen a head on collision between a medium sized car and a 15 tonne coach. The occupants (staggered) away. This size of car is very common here in the UK, yet the road accident death rate is far lower, even allowing for the extra vehicle miles driven in the US.
All modern cars are far safer than any built 30 or 40 years ago
The products of Mercedes Benz and Volvo of 30, if not 40, years ago were far ahead of their time. As a student working my way through school, I scrounged junk yards for cheaper parts when needed. I saw a number of Mercedes there and I never saw one where the accident did not look survivalable with minimal injuries if the occupants had been wearing seat belts.
Best Hopes for My 1982 W123 body,
Alan
The collision I saw was over 20 years ago, and yes, it was a Volvo. Seat belts were (fortunately) compulsory even then.
I saw a head-on crash between a Saab and another car 30 years ago, the Saab was barely scratched, the other car a write-off.
Most modern cars are designed to be a write-off in the event of a serious crash. The cars will crumple and absorb the impact of the crash. This protects the passengers from much of the force of the impact.
I'm sure I read an account of an old pickup colliding with a modern car. The modern car looked trashed, the pickup had a slight dent. However the passengers of the pickup were more seriously injured than the passengers of the modern car.
True story: Mid-80's, my brother had a 1965 Ford pickup.
He managed to total three other's cars with it (bad brakes) before he sold it back to the guy who sold it to him in the first place.
Never damaged his truck, but he was dropped by his insurance company.
The problem with the ultra small cars these days is that the car crumples up around you and ONTO you. Good luck getting out in a high energy crash
Several years ago my father put his 1984 300D Diesel partially through the back garage wall. The wall had to be redone, but the car barely had scratches.
I survived a frontal collision with a truck in a Mercedes 280SE saloon. Fortunately, I missed the front of the lorry and hit its rear axle (where it is wider). The car lost its roof, shrunk by a foot and the door next to me was pulled off. I broke my left knee as the dashboard moved back and my left foot as it was caught between the clutch pedal and the sidewall of the car. I had my seatbelt on. Could have been a lot worse.
One of the UK motoring shows ran a test about 6 months ago, where they crashed a 15-year-old Volvo (archetypal "tank" in the mind of the public), with a modern smallish hatch (Citroen IIRC). The cars were collided at 40MPH (combined) impact speed, frontally with 50% of each vehicle (drivers side) hitting the other. Crash-test dummies were placed in the driver's seats.
Result - modern impact-protection worked properly. Volvo dummy had mangled legs and likely severe neck internal internal injuries from the seatbelt action, Citroen dummy walked away due to clever safety construction and airbag.
Obviously if it had been modern 5000lb SUV vs. the same Citroen, we could expect a different outcome - but perceived safety from heavy weight and "tankness" isn't all it appears to be on the surface.
Regards Chris
here is the test, great visual of how far engineers have come in their safety designs
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k3ygYUYia9I
Once I got used to riding a bicycle in traffic, these kinds of questions never come to my mind any more.
Too one of these "eggs" across Europe back in '98. Not too bad, topped out at 100mph but would hold it on the way to Venice and got about 45mpg. Italian Alps were a little adventurous due to body lean, but it was almost as fun as a Ducati with all the leaning. Much better than taking the train and about the same amount of cash. Eurorail tickets are expensive when you're crossing countries.
Now if GM will just import the diesel Opel Vectra/Astra, I'd be in the market for a new Chevy. 10X better than anyting they make for the American market. The one I had a few months ago would fly (200kph) and get about 60mpg at the same time. Now those two cars would put Honda and Toyota on their heels. The Malibu and Cobalt aren't even a pathetic imitation. Don't know who designs this crap for GM, but its time they changed careers. Same with the management, its about time they actually displayed some leadership instead of being a bunch of pathetic accountants.
You actually appreciate an automobile as a functioning machine instead of a mobile armored living room. This is considered terribly un-suburban thinking and is discouraged.
Look at the names of some recent SUVs. Armada? Enclave? I wonder about the Escalade (escalate?) and Excursion (incursion?). It's getting to be like George Carlin's monologue about the difference between baseball and football. He also had one about "a place for your stuff", in which we try to drag along an extension of our households wherever we go.
My question to Ford has always been, how can an Excursion, be larger than an Expedition? An expedition is something that involves a lot of people, supplies, support etc.
An excursion can be a trip to the park. What's up with that? ;-)
Your problem is that you've probably already put more thought into these names than anyone at Ford had.
Of course the best is the "Armada" who would name their car for an ignominiously defeated naval campaign.
Here is a video of a head on collission of the huge Audi Q7 with tiny new Fiat 500: http://www.dumpert.nl/mediabase/190421/8e25e700/audi_q7_versus_fiat_500....
How about the Q7 vs a bicycle or a motorcycle head on? How does that one work out?
Very well for those on an organ donor wait list.
My nephew's wife is an ER physician.
She always refers to motorcyclists as "organ donors" :-]
or donor-cycle...
My family and I have always feared that these small cars are unsafe on California highways.
In a collision with several cars going 75 MPH + it would seem to be an issue, especially if a big rig or two is thrown in. People here drive like idiots on the highway, weaving in and out of lanes unnecessarily and speeding because they either late for an appointment, oblivious to the world around them and the physics of traveling at higher speeds or they disregard others' safety because they flat out just don't care.
We call the small cars "Coffin Cars" and the REALLY small ones "Urns".
In an accident just bury the whole mess.
I'd hate to have the jaws of life necessary to get me out of one of those things after an accident.
Just go to YouTube and watch the vehicle testing series.
Interestingly mileage is a function of weight and aerodynamics. You can certainly build a large, light car that is safer than a small, light car and with better mileage than a large, heavy car. The aerodynamics aspect involves the coefficient of drag (cd)and the result drag area (cda). You hear a lot about cd, but it's really the effective drag area that gets pushed through the air. For example, my Scion xD has a reasonably good cd (which is surprising, for a box) but the cda is not that great because it's taller than many other small sedans. My brother's old MR2 actually had a worse cd, but a much better cda.
The solution to a safe highway car is to make it longer (more crush area) and low profile (low cda). In town cars that might more often be T-boned can be wider and a little less long (not as big a chance for a high-speed head-on crash). For both, though WEIGHT it critical. The car company to master cost-effective carbon-fiber should "win", IMHO. Big, comfortable in-town cars (for hauling kids now, maybe just for carpool groups later) weighing half as much as today and powered by a Prius drivetrain and getting the same mileage are certainly possible.
The whole argument about safety versus semi's and full-size trucks is real and reasonable, but backwards. The real question is why have we ever allowed semis on the highways, when less money would have been spent to make a fully capable rail infrastructure (even with no on-grade crossing) without any of the many downsides to highway freight. Without massive new subsidies for highways (which is of course still likely for a while) this problem will eventually resolve itself as freight rates rise.
The pickup truck issue will require regulation at some point, as light trucks are often on the roads (pulling vacation trailers, boats, horses, other cars, etc.) and light short-distance transport as well. Requiring low-impact crush space on the front and back of such vehicles, plus automatic braking systems, would be reasonable.
Of course all this assumes we'll still need cars in 10 years. If the peak/slide occurs quickly, the whole point is moot.
We could also make the cars a little narrower. If Americans have gotten fatter, then it's probably pointless to claim that the back seat of an Accord can hold 3 current adults. If cars were honest 4-seaters, you could get the width down to maybe 60-65 inches while still having some side protection. Maybe a 13% reduction in frontal area. Note that Japanese taxes penalize cars more than 68 inches wide, which is why the Toyota Avalon is built in the US, not Japan, specifically to seat 3 in the back.
To go even further, I have been fooling around with staggered seating, where the driver is about a foot ahead of his front passenger. It appears you could narrow the car to about 50 inches, but I guess you'd also have to lower the car to regain stability.
I think you are missing some basics here. As we seem to be at Peak Oil, the days of cheap gasoline are gone. It's not possible produce good fuel economy in large heavy vehicles with the technology which is known today. That's because the larger vehicles have rather poor aerodynamics and the only way to improve aerodynamics is to make vehicles smaller. As the grotesquely over sized SUV's and big PU's are driven to the scrap yard, the incidence of collisions between small and large vehicles will decline. Also, at 75 MPH, a wreck in ANY car is very likely to kill you if you hit something solid, such as a bridge or a large truck. Those crash tests you mention are performed at 35 mph. You (and the rest of the U.S.) will need to get used to driving smaller, as much as you may not want to, because that's the only foreseeable future.
E. Swanson
As I pointed out, I've already gone to an xB (from a Suburban) and a Civic hybrid (from a Jeep Grand Cherokee), so the "going small" thing is past tense for me. I understand perfectly that even this is just a transition, and I'm waiting patiently for an EV. I may pick up a CNG car as another interim option as well. I've happily driven small two-seat convertibles, and would happily drive an EV version of a carbon-fiber Miata clone any day!
I'm not a full-doomer, but I know even this "hope" for some surviving vehicle economy is perhaps extremely optimistic, but that's where I'm at.
My point though, was exactly as you said -- cars need to be "smaller" in weight and frontal drag area. That's where the savings come in. Small for small sake has value in terms of shipping, parking, and road width, but it doesn't really save money.
Long, skinny cars for highways and light cars of any shape for city driving is the need. Light motors, light fuel (batteries), and especially light chassis are needed. It's stupid to push around 5,000lbs of car for 200lbs of driver. 1900lbs of car for 1,000lbs of passengers would help a lot.
And if things get really bad, even that won't be enough.
A lot of marginal users will indeed trade and then junk their pickups and SUVs, but tradesmen will need bigger vehicles and some people will always be able to afford the gas, whatever the price. It is these vehicles I think that need some added protection for "others" rather than for "themselves".
My comment on the 75 MPH was Their speed, not mine. :)
The number of people going like a bat out of hell in the fast lane here in California seems to never drop. It's difficult to watch sometimes. Stomach wrenching. They pass on the right, overtaking cars that are doing 60 to 65 MPH by 10 to 20+ MPH.
I drive 55 to 60 most of the time, adjusting to the situation as required. I do stay away from trucks even in my mid size van.
G
I bet $8 a gallon would solve a lot of these problems all at once.