DrumBeat: May 24, 2008
Posted by Gail the Actuary on May 24, 2008 - 8:52am
Topic: Miscellaneous
StatoilHydro Shuts North Sea Platform After Oil Leak (Update2)
May 24 (Bloomberg) -- StatoilHydro ASA, the Nordic region's largest oil and natural-gas producer, shut down 138,000 barrels a day of oil production from three platforms in the North Sea following a leak. . . .
The platforms were shut down after an oil leak in a storage cell in one of Statfjord A's shafts, the company said in a separate e-mailed statement. The leak now has been stopped, Aanestad said.
Mexican oil production falls 9 percent in first four months of year
Mexico's state-run oil company says output fell 9 percent to 2.87 million barrels a day in the first four months of the year, as production at its biggest oil field sagged.
Petroleos Mexicanos said Friday that output at its main Cantarell oil field dropped by 416,000 barrels a day, or 26 percent over the same period last year.
That decline helped sink exports to 1.48 million barrels a day, down 13 percent from the year-ago period.
Soaring prices are a warning that we need to change
This is not the end of the world. In fact, it is the medicine we need to help us kick our economic dependence on fossil fuels. The oil shocks of the 1970s helped to persuade the motor industry to develop more fuel-economic vehicles. There was a drive across the world for energy conservation. Two subsequent decades of historically cheap oil undid much of that progress.
Yet we can do it again. . . .
Power Tower Pty (Ltd) wants to develop a 250 megawatts up draught power station; proposed site is within the Zone 2 ranch area 80km south of Orapa, between Malatswai and Letlhakane.
“The power generation process involves the creation of “wind” by heating the air under a glass roof which escapes through the concrete chimney and drives the linear generator turbine in the chimney.The chimney will be approximately 1500 m high while land that will be required will be about 110km.”
Trawlers protest in the Straits of Dover
The 25 trawlers, sailing abreast, dawdled along at three knots, instead of the normal 25-knot speed of freighters and oil-tankers passing between Kent and the Pas de Calais. The maritime go-slow escalated a week-long series of protests, including blockades of French oil refineries and attacks on the fish counters of supermarkets. The fishermen say diesel fuel forms 40 per cent of their costs and they cannot survive the steep increases in oil prices of the past three months.
Amazon Indians protest hydroelectric scheme
Altamira, Brazil: The Amazonian city of Altamira played host to one of the more uneven contests in recent Brazilian history this week, as a colourful alliance of indigenous leaders gathered to take on the might of the state power corporation and stop the construction of an immense hydroelectric dam on a tributary of the Amazon.
Azerbaijani-Turkmen Summit Marks Potentially Lucrative Thaw In Relations
Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev declared that "all issues have been resolved" with Turkmenistan following his talks in Baku this week with Turkmen President Gurbanguly Berdymukhammedov.Aliyev and Berdymukhammedov declared a "new stage" has been reached in relations that could enrich both countries as they seek -- with prodding from the United States and European Union -- to find ways to ship their Caspian energy resources to Western markets. . . . . But when it came to the major question -- the construction of a pipeline to carry Turkmen gas across the Caspian to Azerbaijan and on to Europe, bypassing Russia -- the presidents were optimistic but noncommittal.
Russian food problems increase
Russia's food problem also has an international dimension. In recent years, Moscow -- as a major exporter of energy to the European Union and the countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States -- has used its position of strength for political ends, arguing that it is the seller, not the buyer, who determines prices. Now Russia finds itself in the position of an importer of a vital resource that cannot be replenished domestically any time soon. Russia, for instance, imports 35 percent of its beef and 40 percent of its pork from the European Union. Because of the humanitarian nature of food supplies, it is unlikely the Western democracies would openly use their leverage to pressure Moscow except in a crisis situation. However, the Putin-Medvedev leadership is aware of Russia's vulnerability on this point. In practical terms, this realization will serve as a natural constraint on Moscow's assertiveness in both the near and far abroad
The dream is turning into a nightmare. The car, the one mechanical object that offers unlimited personal freedom plus the rapture of ownership, has become a millstone that is dragging us down to despair. There is a classical, Faustian symmetry to the story of Britain's relationship with the car over the past 50 years – how the symbol of universal love and desire became one of near-unanimous loathing and misery.
StatoilHydro to test deepwater floating wind turbine
Oslo • Norwegian oil company StatoilHydro will build the world’s first deepwater floating wind turbine next year off Norway’s coast, it said yesterday. Offshore wind turbines already exist in numerous places around the world but they have all been stationary turbines planted on the bottom of the seabed.
Indonesia to cut fuel subsidies
JAKARTA: Indonesia will raise fuel prices from Saturday, the energy minister said Friday, as the government cuts fuel subsidies despite concerns about possible social unrest. The government "decided to increase prices of subsidized fuel starting midnight," the energy minister, Purnomo Yusgiantoro, told reporters. Fuel prices are set to rise on average by 28.7 percent, with the price of gasoline increasing by a third to 6,000 rupiah, or 65 U.S. cents, a liter.
Italy signals turnaround on nuclear power
ROME: Italy's newly elected government said Thursday that within five years it planned to resume building nuclear plants, a type of energy that the country dropped 20 years ago after a referendum resoundingly condemned nuclear power.
Plans made to stop miner exodus
Johannesburg - The biggest mineworkers' union said on Friday it would tackle xenophobia among its membership, dismissing the prospect that attacks on migrants could prompt an exodus of skilled miners.
Migrant workers are accused by many poor South Africans of taking scarce jobs and fuelling violent crime. At least 42 people have been killed and 25 000 others displaced as a result of attacks in shantytowns since May 11.
China/Russia: Focus On Pipelines During Medvedev Visit
At a joint press conference in Astana on May 22, Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbaev confirmed that he and Medvedev spoke about how Russian oil could also be transported across Kazakhstan and into China when the final portions of that pipeline are completed."Most of Kazakhstan's oil and gas is exported via pipelines running through Russia," he said. "There is a reverse process too, and that is the transportation of Russian oil to China through Kazakhstan, which is planned for this year. Besides oil transit, our countries are cooperating actively in the development of Caspian oil and gas fields."
Dmitry Orlov's Book Released - Reinventing Collapse: Soviet Example and American Prospects
Rather than focusing on doom and gloom, Reinventing Collapse suggests that there is room for optimism if we focus our efforts on personal and cultural transformation. With characteristic dry humor, Orlov identifies three progressive stages of response to the looming crisis:
Mitigation – alleviating the impact of the coming upheaval
Adaptation – adjusting to the reality of changed conditions
Opportunity – flourishing after the collapseHe argues that by examining maladaptive parts of our common cultural baggage we can survive and thrive and discover more meaningful and fulfilling lives, in spite of steadily deteriorating circumstances.



the world is fine today :)
I have monitored the right-wing-nut talk shows for discussions on oil depletion for years now. They have historically never brought up the topic of peak oil, or shown much concerns at all about reserves. But recently, they have started talking about it out of necessity, only because their largely clueless listeners are getting socked by prices. The interesting thing is that the hosts still think everything is fine, as long as they can keep drilling.
Myron Ebell was on the Lars Larson show yesterday and he said everything was fine, just drill off the coast of California and release all federal lands.
My favorite quote was from Jim Quinn, another rabid winger, who said, paraphrasing "They say we can't make up for lack of oil by drilling more. That's as crazy as saying we can't make up a shortage of food by growing more crops"
And the reason to drill in Arctic National Wildlife Refuge is because "mosquitos can kill a man alive in 15 minutes" up there.
In the upside-down world of the 'minionist, everything is fine in the world today.
Thanks for the opening line.
The few exceptions to the rule includes Glenn Beck, who apparently is a believer in peak oil. I haven't caught one of his rants on the topic myself, but that has been brought up on good authority on discussion threads here.
If you go back and look through archives on right-wing blogs, the typical links to oil discussion involve one of two topics-- the Saddam "Oil For Food" controversy and opening up the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge for drilling. I believe those discussions only occur because they are used to bludgeon progressive politicians and attack environmentalists.
Recently the topic of ethanol is becoming a real wedge issue.
Interesting to watch how this will change the dynamics on the discussion. Winger pols have a habit of attacking their opponents strengths and trying to turn them into weaknesses. Ethanol support is something democrats have to be very careful about. The best of the left-wing talk show hosts, however few there are, know oil depletion just as well as Beck and have been going at it much longer. Hartmann, Malloy, know this stuff very well.
i really mean what i said. if you look beyond all this, you'll see that all will be fine. a couple of billions of us might die, but there are far worse things than death. it hurts because we won't ditch our bad habbits
in the end, we're going to have a self sustainable lifestyle, wether we like it or not :)
Quoting REM's song "It's The End Of The World & I Feel Fine"? They said it first.
The Homeless people I see and talk to think everything is going just fine, but they don't want all the newer influx of homeless people messing up their good things.
I have noticed a great big influx of newer homeless people in the soup lines and Breakfast feeding areas.
I Know some of this is because Little Rock Arkansas was the Place to come for Diaster Relief after all the Tornados of the previous few weeks and months, so some of these new faces are not really here to stay. They are just finding the feeding stations as a great place to go while in town.
As one of my friends stated it, " the real homeless are the front runners of the newly homeless." ( Miss Jeesie Goodrum: Local author and Homeless advocate ).
I wonder where we will be in 5 years?
Energy fears looming, new survivalists prepare
Convinced the planet's oil supply is dwindling and the world's economies are heading for a crash, some people around the country are moving onto homesteads, learning to live off their land, conserving fuel and, in some cases, stocking up on guns they expect to use to defend themselves and their supplies from desperate crowds of people who didn't prepare.
The exact number of people taking such steps is impossible to determine, but anecdotal evidence suggests that the movement has been gaining momentum in the last few years.
These energy survivalists are not leading some sort of green revolution meant to save the planet. Many of them believe it is too late for that, seeing signs in soaring fuel and food prices and a faltering U.S. economy, and are largely focused on saving themselves.
Some are doing it quietly, giving few details of their preparations _ afraid that revealing such information as the location of their supplies will endanger themselves and their loved ones. They envision a future in which the nation's cities will be filled with hungry, desperate refugees forced to go looking for food, shelter and water.
http://www.lasvegassun.com/news/2008/may/24/energy-fears-looming-new-sur...
I saw that. PeakOil.com is mentioned:
To me the interesting thing is with some of the libertarian bloggers like Michael Rivero and Alex Jones. They've been in the forefront of the 9-11 stuff, for which I give them credit, but totally blind to the evidence in the case of peak oil and global warming and the general ecological crisis. I give credit to Mike Ruppert (no longer active) and Colin Campbell for having linked peak oil and 9-11 (and geopolitics in general), whereas most peakers like to shy away from it. (And, I agree, it certainly shouldn't be a focus here at TOD.)
It's of great interest to me to see the reactions of people (including me!) to the various calamities that have started befalling us in this century. It's a whole study in itself.
The thing about 9/11 is that for most people the topic loses interest logically-you either accept the evidence that factions in the USA government were possibly/probably involved, or you don't. If you accept the evidence, now what? Unlike oil depletion, insights gained into 9/11 cannot really be used to advance your life, so naturally people leave it alone.
Another group besides the Libertarian is the Coast-to-Coast/Art Bell crowd. They seem to be interested in whatever has a conspiratorial bent to it. The problem is that with Peak Oil, there is historically very little by the way of conspiracies associated with it. Perhaps the "oil industry collusion" or guvmint cover-up will grow in stature, and these guys will get all confused and not know which side to believe. It's possible that the C2C crowd will swing from believing in Peak Oil to believing in a Peak Oil conspiracy.
The problem is that with Peak Oil, there is historically very little by the way of conspiracies associated with it.
'conspiracies' in oil/energy I can think of tight off the top of my head.
Teapot Dome scandal
The price fixing conviction in propane in the past few years
Enron
Standard oil
That list is as fast as I can type. With digging, I'm sure more could be found.
I meant with "Peak Oil" not with regular corporate shenanigans.
An example would be that the government is hiding the fact that there are vast quantities of abiotic oil available that is off limits because it would anger the Martians who are secretly siphoning it off.
I meant with "Peak Oil" not with regular corporate shenanigans.
Ahhh, but this is where the two parties talk past each other. Alex and others like him can point to corporate historical 'shenanigans' and raise the question - "Is it happening again?" What they can see is actions that do not match past claims, money being transfered at record rates, and "oilmen" in charge of the nation. Any data that does not support their believe is deemed 'a lie' or what 'a useful idiot' has to say.
An example
An actual example would be nice. Of the ones who get air time, William Deagle has the Linsey insider (common to others) and claims the alien tech that he knows of will save us.
I guess this is the triangle of talk show politics. We have progressive politics, conservative politics, and the marginalized libertarian/conspiracy politics. I hear things about the latter, Alex Jones and such, but don't pay excessive attention to it.
No kidding, from an academic point of view this is fascinating. From an emotional point of view frightening. The first thing I check every morning is the price of oil as if the sequel to a movie, what's going to happen next.
The "9-11 stuff" is a sheer waste of time, it has served superbly to distract attention from real problems. Like UFOs, the PTB are probably quite happy to see people distracted by it. It's a honey pot for the "wingnut" category.
Far from giving credit, the association of PO with the other wingnuts has only harmed the credibility of PO.
Your attempt to link 9/11 to UFOs or Santa Claus is transparent-logically it would be grouped with the assassinations of JFK, RFK and MLK.
Not even Roswell? But yours are probably better examples.
I don't think the government has ever been accused of a cover up regarding Santa Claus ;)
You're a better man than I am, Gunga Din. The contemplation alone pales me.
:)
You are not the first person to say this to me. I am by nature a curious fellow, and the mindset on the right forever boggles me.
I'd sure like to sit down at a picnic table in a nice quiet location with you and have a long friendly discussion about a wide range of topics. 'Cause I am a right wing peak oil believer!
I don't think either of us would change our minds about much of anything, but I think we would both learn much of how the other thinks.
I would hope you would not be quite so Boggled when we finished.
Anyone who likes telescopes can't be too bad? (big grin) You ever grind your own mirrors? Or think about it?
No. I have no interest in telescopes. The nickname is something that doesn't mean anything. At best it is an amalgamation of Webster Hubble and Hubble Telescope. Right-wingers generally want to see things in terms of B&W and never see shades of gray. As a shade of gray, that is how I see the right-wing and fundie mind-set.
I watch the wing nuts for fun. I particularly like Kudlow and Fast Money. My wife says, "how can you watch that?", and I respond, "think if it as reading the National Inquirer."
I like how Kudlow proclaims of late; "America is NOT in a recession !"
Do you all know how to find the nude beach? Look for the signs that say, "NO nude sun bathing"
Kudlow....thou protest too much.
Two favorite Kudlow'isms (resulting from his excessive cocaine binging in the 80's)
"We are enjoying a Goldilocks economy"
"The G.W. Bush economy is the least reported and best kept secret in recent years."
Nothing bugs me like overstated generalizations.. yours is a perfect example.
"Right-wingers generally want to see things in terms of B&W and never see shades of gray."
That, even with its disclaimer of 'generally', is another Black and White viewpoint.
People on the right and the left have been dragged out to the extremes, made to feel that there is no common ground, and those on the 'other' side are too alien to communicate with.
Don't believe it. Just keep clear of the blowhards, and try not to be one..
well, apart from this, everything's fine;
Vast cracks in Arctic ice (tv report)
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/7418041.stm
from:
http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2008/2/27/113032/703
where some good points are made.
Your graph is missing the dogleg up that now takes it above the red line. It's bizarre this year. right after record melt we get sudden rebound much closer to the long term mean.
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/sea.ice.anomaly.timeserie...
loooooooong graph -click bottom right to enlarge.
Marco.
As always, it is not the quantity that counts, it is the quality. Arctic Sea ice has been thinning for a long period and by far the most is now just 1 years worth. This is a crucial factor; and the ice that has formed since last September over open water is young and thin; and therefore is much more likely to melt this northern summer.
Source: http://environment.newscientist.com
I wouldn't call that a rebound, that graph could fall off the cliff come northern summer. A multi-point average on that graph gives a near linear with negative slope.
Large fall, large rise could also be a new signal, a new harmonic, it might start swinging all over the place, it could go chaotic - then anywhere.
Worst case; a quantum state shift in the planet's axis of rotation from all the extra wobbly water floating around.
It would be great if data like this could predict the future, everyone would be making a fortune on the stock market.
I really believe that we are way beyond being in a position to do anything about human induced global warming.
Another thought, as the earths crust warms it expands = Earthquakes.
We might just start seeing mega-folks being wiped out by hurricanes and earthquakes - no sign of that yet though.
China might beg to differ. A possible sign, yes. Proof, no. Personally, I'm not expecting the world to fall apart due to earthquakes. Any effect will be minor compared to all the other issues we face. Besides, I'm not sure your info is correct. I believe I just read somewhere that a hotter earth locks the plates and stops tectonics...
Cheers
What you are talking about and what that graph is measuring are not the same thing. The dogleg you are talking about happens EVERY year. The graph posted above is measuring long-term trends, not monthly changes.
yes
last years lost was caused by a freak wind conditions as well as warming. If those conditions are not repeated the ice loss should return to trend.
I remember reading somewhere (sorry, no link) that the buoys they set out to measure said wind patterns are disturbingly similar to last year's patterns.
I think we'll see much more melting...
Could be self sustaining positive feedback - unusual polar sea ice conditions inducing unusual polar winds, further affecting sea ice conditions.
Weatherman, please, knock it off. The globe is warming. It's our fault. Get over it. Even Bushie says so. The rebound? Same freaking thing happened after the big loss in 2005. What, pray tell, happened in summer '07?
BTW, they weren't "freak" conditions, they were part of a normal change/oscillation.
As someone else has posted the pics, the ice extent is the most talked about, but least important measure of how much ice there is. Total ice has declined by 80%. What do you not get about that?
Feedback loops are kicking in. Do you not understand bifurcations? Do you understand nothing of resonances? Do you not understand that the heat absorbed last year is still in the system and melting the ice from below?
They even pushed the CO2 records back another couple hundred thousand years to almost 1,000,000, and the CO2 is far higher than during that entire span of time.
The science is more than 1,000/1 for AGW, yet you keep yappin'.
Brilliant
Norwegian MSM went completely mute on the Climate-issuse some 3 months ago - it just died away without any mitigations to my knowledge, just no more talk of it . This week MSM was occupied with petrol-prices. I think the latter will be here to stay, as a Facebook entry on petrolprices got 60 000 members (Norway only) in a swoosh .... and growing.
50 MPs warn government that global oil production may be peaking
London, 23rd May 2008 - A cross-party group of MPs including former Liberal Democrat leader Sir Menzies Campbell have signed a Commons motion urging the government to review its estimates as to when global oil production will peak and begin to decline.
As crude oil hit another record high of $135 a barrel on Wednesday, and as UK motorists notice the impact of sustained high prices at the petrol pumps, MPs are beginning to mobilise around the idea that current high oil prices may just be the beginning of a permanent trend. Experts at the Association for the Study of Peak Oil (ASPO) have warned of an overall liquid fuel peak likely between 2010-2012, while the International Energy Agency (IEA) have predicted an oil 'supply crunch' in 2012.