DrumBeat: April 2, 2007
Posted by Leanan on April 2, 2007 - 8:05am
Topic: Miscellaneous
Supreme Court rebukes Bush on global warming
In a defeat for the Bush administration, the Supreme Court ruled on Monday that a U.S. government agency has the power under the clean air law to regulate greenhouse gas emissions that spur global warming.The nation’s highest court by a 5-4 vote said the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency “has offered no reasoned explanation” for its refusal to regulate carbon dioxide and other emissions from new cars and trucks that contribute to climate change.
The ruling came in one of the most important environmental cases to reach the Supreme Court in decades. It marked the first high court decision in a case involving global warming.
Stay in the City and Don’t Buy Guns or Gold
Albert Bates doesn’t think that either peak oil or global warming will usher in the apocalypse. Nor does he advise citizens to start stockpiling firearms and Krugerrands.“There’s a contingent of peak oilers who are survivalists at heart,” Bates told me. But he isn’t one of them. “We don’t need to think of defending ourselves from packs of feral animals, we need to think of getting together quilting bees and sowing bees to make things.
GM considers bringing mini cars to U.S.
General Motors Corp. GM’s top global product planner said Friday the company is taking a serious look at bringing low-cost mini cars to the U.S. market capable of achieving as high as 50 miles per gallon of gasoline and breaking ground in a virtually nonexistent segment in the world’s biggest auto market.
Iran's Long Term Energy Problems
While Iran has the world's second largest reserves of Natural gas and also one of the world's largest reserves of oil the long term energy situation here is far from bright. This is the life line of its economy yet the Iranian government is investing surprisingly rather small sums in maintaining the infrastructure and or increasing current production. Daily production is coming at 3.9 million barrels which is actually 5% under its OPEC quota; they have not been able to meet their quota for over 21 months now. Shortage of technical skills and huge delays in new projects are the main culprits for falling production. In fact if nothing is done soon within a decade Iran's net oil exports could fall to zero. Oil minister Kazem Vaziri-Hamaneh has stated that without additional new investment daily out put could fall by as much as 13% a year more then double what outside experts had expected.
China's wind power generation capacity may top 5 million kw next year
China's installed wind-power generation capacity is likely to top five mln kilowatts next year, two years ahead of what was envisaged in the national development plan, Xinhua news agency reported.
EU biofuel push 'to ruin forests'
One government official told the BBC: "The policy is running ahead of the science; we have to be very careful that this doesn't all go badly wrong."
EU’s new Central Asia Policy and its Energy Dimension
Central Asian republics’ desire to optimize their benefits through increasing the number of players in this “New Great Game”. It can be interpreted that EU’s wish to be active in the regional policies is an indication of increasing competition in the region.
DOE Regional Partnerships Find More Than 3,500 Billion Tons of Possible CO2 Storage Capacity
The Department of Energy's Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnerships have identified the powerplant and other stationary sources of more than 3.8 billion tons a year of the greenhouse gas CO2 in the United States and Canada and companion candidate storage capacity for more than 3,500 billion tons. The results are detailed in the new Carbon Sequestration Atlas of the United States and Canada which became available online today.
Reflective scientist sees a red roof and he wants to paint it white
SYDNEY'S red-tiled roofs should be painted white to help battle global warming. That is one idea of a thermodynamics expert who believes that besides cutting carbon dioxide emissions, we should also be cooling the world by reflecting solar energy.
Scientists weigh downside of palm oil
Only a few years ago, oil from palm trees was viewed as an ideal biofuel: a cheap, renewable alternative to petroleum that would fight global warming. Energy companies began converting generators and production soared.Now, it's increasingly seen as an example of how well-meaning efforts to limit climate-changing carbon emissions may backfire.
UK report calls for wider climate change fight
The world needs to fight more polluting gases, and not just focus on carbon emissions, in the fight against climate change, according to a report published by the UK's Air Quality Expert Group (AQEG) on Monday.
UN experts set to issue grim warming on climate impact
BRUSSELS (AFP) - The world's top climate scientists were gathering here Monday to hammer out the summary of a massive report that predicts dire consequences from global warming, especially for poor nations and species diversity.Even if dramatic measures are taken to reduce the carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions that drive warming, temperatures will continue to climb for decades to come, the experts conclude.
By 2080, according to the report, it is likely that 1.1 to 3.2 billion people worldwide will experience water scarcity, 200 to 600 million will be threatened by hunger, and each year an additional two to seven million will be victims of coastal flooding.
The brunt of these problems will fall squarely on to the world's poorest inhabitants, who are least to blame for the fossil-fuel pollution that drives global warming.
Climate change could carry huge, hidden costs: UN report
Climate change will inflict steadily rising costs that could become astronomical if greenhouse gas emissions rise unabated and countries delay preparations for the likely impacts, UN experts will say next week.
Oil prices at seven-month highs
World oil prices rose on Monday, trading at seven-month highs above 68 dollars a barrel in London, on supply concerns caused by the Britain- Iran sailor crisis, traders said.
DIW warns of rising oil prices over Iran-UK row
The ongoing crisis between Iran and Britain over the arrest of 15 British sailors who violated Iranian territorial waters, may trigger a rise in crude oil prices, according to an energy expert at the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW), IRNA reported."The oil price will develop towards the 70 dollar mark and won't drop again," DIW expert Caludia Kemfert told Saturday's edition of the Duesseldorf-based Rheinischen Post.
She warned that a military escalation in the Middle East could spark a major energy crisis.
Azerbaijan doesn’t cut gas exports to Georgia after April 1
Azerbaijan has not halted gas exports to Georgia while it had been expected to do on April 1.If the agreement is prolonged, Georgia may completely refuse to buy high-priced Russian gas during summer.
Jordan plans nuclear energy by 2015
"Ynet" news reported today that Jordan is planning to construct a nuclear reactor for peaceful purposes. Quoting a report in London today by "Al Hayat," Ynet said that Jordan intended to operate its first reactor for the purpose of energy production in 2015, "to ensure a better future and achieve continuous development" for the kingdom, which lies in a desert region and suffers from a severe energy shortage.
Kenya: Row Over Fuel Metre Rule
A row is brewing between the Kenya Revenue Authority and some major oil companies over the introduction of fixed flow metres.The meters are being used to check quantities of petroleum products pumped into the country.
This, according to sources could be behind the 'artificial' shortages of diesel being experienced in major towns of the country this week.
Ghana: Getting Serious With Energy
The most pressing issue confronting Ghanaians today is dwindling power supply, which has resulted in load-shedding affecting many homes and enterprises.
Ghana: Don’t Force Our Hands, President Warns GHACEM
In a rare display of indignation, President J.A. Kufuor has expressed concern about the current high prices of cement on the local market and warned the Ghana Cement Works Limited (GHACEM), the sole local manufacturers, to check the trend otherwise the government would be compelled to revoke the monopoly it enjoys in the country now.
How to counter the 'curse' of North Sea oil
ECONOMICS has been characterised as the "dismal science" and Gordon Brown, the Chancellor, did little to dispel that image with his statement in the Budget that tax revenues from North Sea oil had failed to reach his earlier forecasts.However, taking a broader and longer view, there may be more reasons to be cheerful about the potential contribution that North Sea oil can make to public finances.
Russia's 'cool war' against the US in the Middle East
Moscow's growing attention to the Middle East continues, part of a new global strategy espoused by a more assertive and ambitious Russia. President Vladimir Putin pays much more attention to the region than his predecessor, Boris Yeltsin, ever did. In the last two years, he has paid a historic first visit to Israel, visited oil- and gas-rich Algeria and, in another diplomatic first, toured the Gulf states.
Saudi Relations With U.S Cooling
Recently there has been a shift in Saudi King Abdullah's attitude, behavior, and rhetoric towards the U.S. Based on this, some analysts are reporting that their alliance is crumbling -- but is it?
Foreign workers sue U.S. companies
Labor leaders overseas are turning increasingly to an obscure 18th-century law that could for the first time make U.S. companies liable at home for the violent and sometimes murderous actions of their employees around the world....Chevron, headquartered in San Francisco, is fighting a lawsuit filed by Nigerians who say the company should be held responsible for the killing of protesters by Nigerian security forces outside a refinery owned by its subsidiary.
Why Growth Is Bad, Gardens Good and Cuba Key to Oil-Free Future
Bill McKibben makes it clear what he abhors: Wal-Mart (the scourge of small retailers) and Archer Daniels Midland (the bane of family farms).Instead of a growth-oriented economy, he writes in ``Deep Economy,'' we need one that meets deep human needs, such as the sense of community that he says has been vanishing from the U.S. along with all those businesses and farms.
The implications of peak oil and the shortcomings of alternatives
I’m always hoping to find books that I think will speak in an engaging way to people who would not be drawn to the subject of oil: the people who are not activists, scientists or business people in the energy field, the people who think about oil only when they fill up their cars, pay their heating bills, or happen across a rare reference to oil in the corporate news on Middle East war.For that audience, Crude is the best of the lot I’ve read.
Dale Allen Pfeiffer: Connecting the dots between energy depletion and the “War on Terror”
If the population realized that the glory days of our oil-based civilization were over, and that no alternative energy source can provide the quantity of energy that we require for continued socioeconomic prosperity (see How much Energy do We Consume? in The Mountain Sentinel, Vol. 1, No. 4), the economy would collapse overnight, before the major players are ready. What is worse, armed with such an awareness, the public might just rise up and demand a better accounting. They might seek to transform our society into something more egalitarian, threatening to completely unseat the major players. And they certainly cannot have that.
On balance, I give Crude Impact a "thumbs-up". Without falling into despair, it clearly tells a number of stories related to petroleum through various lenses, and weaves these stories together to paint an overall damning picture of oil in a compelling manner.
Climate change, rising oil prices imperil B.C. food supply
The report, titled B.C.'s Food Self-Reliance, says that the area of farmland with access to irrigation in B.C. would have to increase by nearly 50 per cent by 2025 to provide a healthy diet for all British Columbians.
European Energy: Role Reversal
Knowingly or not, Britain’s geologists may have deceived their nation. Contrary to forecasts and models, oil and gas production has dropped precipitously. Britain, once the hub of European energy, is no longer energy self-sufficient.By stark contrast, Germany has for years been jockeying to become the new source to fill European energy needs. It has a strategy to take good care of British energy security. But should Britons be concerned about growing too reliant upon their former enemy?
Photovoltaic solar energy: new map and interactive information
A new map published by the European Commission shows the photovoltaic solar energy potential of different parts of Europe. Photovoltaic Solar Cells convert sunlight directly into electricity. In addition the interactive on-line Photovoltaic Geographical Information System (PVGIS), developed by the Commission's in-house scientific service, DG Joint Research Centre, allows users to estimate solar energy performance at any given location in Europe.The information in the map shows that an identical solar system will generate twice as much energy in sunny areas of Europe, such as Malta and Southern Spain, than in areas such as Scotland or Northern Scandinavia.
Secession anyone? The Once and Future Republic of Vermont
We secessionists believe that the 350-year swing of history's pendulum toward large, centralized imperial states is once again reversing itself.Why? First, the cost of oil and gas. According to urban planner James Howard Kunstler, "Anything organized on a gigantic scale . . . will probably falter in the energy-scarce future." Second, third-wave technology is as inherently democratic and decentralist as second-wave technology was authoritarian and centralist. Gov. Jim Douglas wants Vermont to be the first "e-state," making broadband Internet access available to every household and business in the state by 2010. Vermont will soon be fully wired into the global social commons.



I didn't post this up top, because it's subscription-only. It's interesting, though...
From PIW:
PIW, Petroleum Intelligence Weekly, was the one who reported Kuwaiti reserves were about one quarter to one half of what Kuwait was reporting officially:
PIW seems to be telling it like it is instead of what BP, IES, EIA and others are doing, telling the people what they want to hear.
Ron Patterson
This is a post by ACE!!! that was buried far down in the thread yesterday that deserves a new life...apologies in advance for bungling it (copied it from the source and removed stray HTML):
It is really useless to post pictures this way. Make them clickable. No, there is no way around that.
I just posted this on yesterday's thread, but please consider using the
width="100%"
attribute for the images so they size themselves to your browser window instead of getting cut off on the right.
I think it deserves a guest post!
You're right.
Ace, I've just sent you an email.
There is another post by ace, further down in the same older Drumbeat that expands upon this even more. That should be included too.
Ghawar Is Dying
The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function. - Dr. Albert Bartlett
Re: Major Saudi Bank Predicts Accelerating Decline in Saudi Crude Oil Production
One of the largest Saudi banks is predicting that the year over year decline in average annual Saudi crude oil production will increase from 4.2% in 2006 to 7.5% in 2007.
Note that year over year declines, on a month to month basis, are usually larger than year over year declines in average annual production.
http://archive.gulfnews.com/articles/07/04/01/10115135.html
Published: 01/04/2007 12:00 AM (UAE)
Government spending to boost Saudi Arabia GDP
Reuters
Figure 23, Saudi production for "All Fields" seems to be missing 2006 data. Shouldn't that be noted?
Ron Patterson
If I am reading these graphs correctly for 2007, it is showing that Saudi has increased production by 800 million barrels per year over the past 3 years, while production in the 6 largest fields declined by ~300 million barrels per year. e.g. figure 5.
Is that accurate ? Since Saudi production reportedly was flat-to-declining over the past 2 years, these charts are confusing...
CW
Global peak: 2007 - 2010
Global decline rate, Post peak: 2%
Economic response: Severe global recession, ~5 years, then slow recovery
Is there any way I can view the whole graph? These are all drastically cut off on the right--the area I most want to look at!
Maybe you can put the mouse on the Graph, right click and save picture as. I chose bitmap and change the file name and put it in my OD picture folder. Then open my picture viewer and look at it full screen.
Okay Hummingbird, Click on “Start”, then click on “Control Panel”, then click on “Display” then click on “Settings”, then under “Screen Resolutions” move the arrow to the right toward “More”. 1280 by 960 pixels will do it. Then click on "OK". Then you will see the whole graph.
Ron Patterson
On Bill Gates machines perhaps.
Things don't work everywhere just because they work in one spot.
The only way to solve it is making every picture wider than 500 pixels a clickable hotspot. There is no other solution.
What! Do you mean to tell me that there is something that the almighty Apple cannot do. The Apple cannot change the screen resolution? I am shocked, shocked I tell you!
Well there is only one way to correct that problem. If the apple cannot change the screen resolution then switch to someone who can. Or write to Steve Jobs and beg him to correct this problem. If he knew that the PC can do something that the Apple cannot do, then I am sure he would turn heaven and earth until he corrected the problem.
However I am not convince you are correct HeIsSoFly. I was not joking, I am shocked that there is something tha PC can do that the Apple cannot. I must be convinced that this is the case. Do we have an Apple expert on board?
Ron Patterson
Yeah, me.
You know, Ron, we Apple people, unlike the rest, find it silly to have to click 10 times on all kinds of features, run twice around the block and sing the national anthem doing two 180 twirls on one leg, just to see a picture.
Okay Mister Apple Expert, are you saying Apple cannot change the screen resolution in order to view a wider document than your current resolution premits. Wow! If that is the case then Apple has a very serious problem. Again, you should impose upon Steve Jobs and the folks at apple to correct this very serious problem Apple has.
Fortunately us PC users do not have that problem. We have flexability! Yeah! We can change the screen resoultion in order to view any document that is transmitted.
You do not have that ability? Pity!
Ron Patterson
Ron, calm down a tad, ok? :o)
Of course screen res on a Mac can be changed. But most of us Mac users would prefer a method that's simpler.
I find that I can ctrl-click on the above images, which gives me a little menu of options, and have the graphics displayed in a new window in my browser. This gets rid of those artificial boundaries that the TOD display forces upon us readers and posters, and I can see the whole graphic. Nice and simple, and no screen res change required.
-best,
Wolf, half-baked Mac "expert" and Mac user for 15 years
Greywulffe, I am totally calm. I think this is halarious. I am laughing my ass off. It turns out that a Mac can view the graphs posted above, the whole damn graphs no less. I suspected all along that this was the case.
So there is no need for anyone to do anything except become more computer literate. And that goes for Mac users as well as PC useres.
Thanks again Graywulffe.
Ron Patterson
Ron,
Feeling right gets you too excited, too much of a little boy with much to prove. You're just overboard, and you know too little, but you'll never admit that. So be it.
I never said it couldn't be done. I merely indicated that there are better, simpler ways. As Leanan too says below, it should be solved at input, not output.
"IF you have this machine, IF you run this sytem, IF you are using this software, do this that and that," there's too many possible variables. 90% of Mac users don't know they can control-click, because they never have to.
Any idea how much all these huge pics piss off people with dial-up connections?
Totally unneccesary.
BTB: I worked as a developer of cross-platform interactive media for 10 years. Worked around a few issues. And you should lose that derogatory tone, it's nothing to be proud of.
HeIsSoFly, let me remind you that it was you who started bitching about non "Bill Gates" users not being able to easily read the full graphs. I was simply trying to tell PC users how they could easily view the total graphs with about ten seconds of effort devoted to change the screen resolution of their displays. I would have had absolutely no further input had not you piped in with your bitching about "Bill Gates" software.
Ten seconds of effort is not too much to ask of anyone if they truly wish to view the graphs. And this goes for Mac usere as well as PC users. And after PC users make that simple change, it lasts forever. The next time that a graph is posted, they will need to do nothing because they made the changes permenant.
I think my advice should be viewed as constructive. I had no idea that it would not be so simple for Mac users, and for that I truly apologize. So please simply see my advice as only applying to PC users and leave it at that. And as far as dial up connections are concerned, once the screen resolution is changed, it will last forever, or until changed. Dial up connectors should never get pissed off again because every time a graph is posted, from this time forward, they should be able to view the entire graph, first time, every time.
And why do you bring up dial up users at all. After all, when you change the screen resolution it does not require a reloading of the page at all. It simply changes the screen resolution of what you have already loaded. Methinks you are just looking for something to bitch about HeIsSoFly.
Ron Patterson
The problem is that posting large images means everyone - whether they want to read the comments or not - has to download far more data than is reasonable. This is true regardless of your screen resolution. Making smaller images that are "clickable" links to large images solves that problem, as well as making it by default easy for just about anyone to see enough detail in the original post.
The way it is now is just annoying, with the right edge chopped off (due to the huge margin on the web page) on every graph if your browser is set to a width that is in a range that most people have available to them - anything under 1200 pixels, it looks like. Personally, I have a screen that is 1920 pixels wide, so I can just resize the window. 2 seconds, one click&drag - on a Mac or PC or pretty much anything using any graphical user interface written in the last 20 years. Your advice is useless to someone who has a screen with a maximum resolution 1024 pixels wide, now, isn't it?
(I'm old enough to remember screens with maximum resolution 320 pixels wide... heck, I'm old enough to have used a printing terminal with acoustic coupler modem at 110 bits per second. Imagine downloading just one of those graphs - 170792 bytes - at about 11 bytes per second!)
Just use FireFox.. Right-click on the image, then click "View Image" The image then opens up, consuming the entire browser window, and auto-scales to be the size of the window. Your cursor then becomes a magnifying glass, and you can zoom in or out. When you're done, just hit the back button, and it takes you back to the page you were on, at the place you were at. (You don't have to scroll back to find where you originally were.)
The solution works for Windows or Mac OS X. (I use both systems. MSIE is simply too dangerous to use, no matter what computer you're on.)
Or open a microsoft word window. Set margins to the minimum on your blank document. Then select, copy and paste the post. If the picture is still too wide, right cliclick, select format picture, size and reduce to 7 inches. Or change layout to landscape.
Thanks Darwinian. I appreciate the specific instructions.
If you use Firefox, there are "view image" and "copy image location" options.
(You can do it with IE, too, but it's not as convenient.)
http://i129.photobucket.com/albums/p237/1ace11/1SaudiForecast.jpg
http://i129.photobucket.com/albums/p237/1ace11/2JudSmallFieldsBigNow.jpg
http://i129.photobucket.com/albums/p237/1ace11/3HLGiants.jpg
http://i129.photobucket.com/albums/p237/1ace11/4HLAll.jpg
http://i129.photobucket.com/albums/p237/1ace11/5HLAllandnew.jpg
http://i129.photobucket.com/albums/p237/1ace11/6MissingFields.jpg
However, I agree with HISF. The correct thing to do is thumbnail the images. Using the 100% tag isn't really a solution. It still forces people to load the full size image every time the page is loaded. And if the user has a large screen, forcing the image to 100% can produce pretty ugly results, especially with charts/graphs.
Good gourd. Somehow that particularly good post became a platform to start an IE/Firefox, Mac/"PC" war.
The trouble is that the post was set up to look the way it looks and to flow with the graphs easily visible, and considering that it was good, it was worth the bandwith. I am on dial-up and some things are just worth letting load. I look forward to it gaining guest post status so that it can get some credibility for its content and not derision over its format.
P.S. I still don't understand the one-button mouse on Macs. That second button is just so bloody quick and useful.
All the more reason to thumbnail them, because as posted, they are NOT easily visible.
Thumbnailing is the obvious answer. It only takes a minute or so. It gives the author control over how the reduced image displays (unlike the 100% tag), and ensures everyone, on every platform, can see the images.
Actually, you can do even better than this in Firefox.
There is an extension called "Image Zoom" which adds a "Zoom Image" option to the Right-click menu. Has lots of preset % zoom values. It's really excellent.
Along with "Linkification" it's one of my 'must-have' set of Firefox extensions.
Another one that really helps with inserting common blocks of text or sets of HTML tags is "Clippings" - check it out.
For those who think the sub prime mess won't spread, it already is. Like I've stated...this is the tip of the iceberg, the real fireworks won't begin for another month or so. Once is permeates throughout the entire economy, there is zero way this doesn't pull us down. Rates are coming down....
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601170&sid=aU2RVIE6SDLY&refer=h...
Gee...haven't we seen this before....no one wants to buy, ergo - poor liquidity.
http://graphoilogy.blogspot.com/
The ELP Plan: Economize; Localize & Produce
Monday, April 2, 2007
By: Jeffrey J. Brown
WT,
An excellant essay and very wise advise. I am looking
forward to the next installment.