DrumBeat: April 3, 2007
Posted by Leanan on April 3, 2007 - 8:54am
Topic: Miscellaneous
Crude: Barrels of fun to crack you up
In 1949, the movie It Happens Every Spring chronicled the professional baseball exploits of a bookish US Midwestern science professor, played by Ray Milland, who discovers a chemical coating for baseballs that will make them impossible to hit. However, if somebody was making a movie called It Happens Every Spring in 2007, the subject would not be baseball, but the now annual spring reaming that oil consumers are once again undergoing at the hands of the world's oil interests.
Defence report underlines terrorist threat to oil refineries
Oil refineries could become a key target in terrorist efforts to cripple economies around the globe, warns a Department of National Defence report obtained by the Ottawa Citizen.
U.S Oil Companies Look to Invest in Riskier Regions
Major oil companies are looking to invest in increasingly risky corners of the world, as high oil prices and tightening access to oil reserves make these regions more attractive.
Gazprom plans to become global energy leader
Russia's energy giant Gazprom [RTS: GAZP] said Tuesday it plans to become the world's largest energy company.
UAE awards Hormuz bypass oil pipeline contract
Abu Dhabi’s government-owned International Petroleum Investment Company (IPIC) has awarded Germany’s ILF a contract to build a pipeline that would allow more than half of UAE’s crude exports to bypass the Strait of Hormuz.
Japanese Official Pessimistic About Gas Talks
Foreign Minister Taro Aso of Japan has said he is "not optimistic" about progress in talks with China over joint development of natural gas reserves in a disputed area of the East China Sea.
Beijing explores sea beds, in search of oil
The China National Petroleum Corp (Cnpc), announced today that it will ramp up its exploration of offshore gas and oil reserves this year. The biggest oil discovery in China in 10 years was recently confirmed in the Bohai Sea.
Vietnam's crude oil export down in Q1
Vietnam exported over 3.9 million tons of crude oil worth more than 1.7 billion U.S. dollars in the first quarter of this year, down 7.9 percent and 14.6 percent respectively year-on-year.
Judge Tosses $7.6M Kerr-McGee Verdict
A federal judge has overturned a jury's verdict that Kerr-McGee Corp. knowingly underpaid federal oil royalties by nearly $7.6 million, saying the government auditor who accused the company did not have the legal standing to file a lawsuit.
Alternative-Fuels Pioneer Receives First-Ever $100,000 Lemelson-MIT Award for Sustainability
Your car could soon become a vegetarian thanks to a process for cost-effectively converting cellulosic biomass, such as grass, wood, wheat and rice straw, into ethanol that can be used for fuel.
Canadians, especially Barrie residents, need the straight facts about ethanol.
The proposed Iranian oil bourse will
accelerate the fall of the US Empire
A nation-state taxes its own citizens, while an empire taxes other nation-states. The history of empires, from Greek and Roman, to Ottoman and British, teaches that the economic foundation of every single empire is the taxation of other nations. The imperial ability to tax has always rested on a better and stronger economy, and as a consequence, a better and stronger military....For the first time in history, in the twentieth century, America was able to tax the world indirectly, through inflation. It did not enforce the direct payment of taxes like all of its predecessor empires did, but distributed instead its own fiat currency, the US dollar.
Using Oil to Understand Inflationary Pressures
Due to oil's inseparable connection to economic growth, any supply constraints will inflate the cost of everything from the food we eat to the computers we buy. As the prices of these goods and services rise with the cost of energy so do inflationary pressures. Attempts to control this type of inflation through the use of rate cuts will only be successful once economic growth is stifled (recession) and the demand for the supply diminished. Only then will prices correct and inflationary pressures be eased.
Iran crisis will put Asian economy in clear danger
The crisis also brings into focus Asia's growing reliance on oil and natural gas supplies from the volatile Gulf region and the economic and political repercussions of this dependence. Asia's export-oriented but oil-short economies are tied to the fortunes of the Gulf by an energy lifeline. Both regions are integral parts of a vast conveyor belt of seaborne commerce that runs between the Indian and Pacific oceans.
Time: 51 Things We Can Do
Can one person slow global warming? Actually, yes. You—along with scientists, businesses and governments—can create paths to cut carbon emissions. Here is our guide to some of the planet's best ideas, with an assessment of their impact and feel—good factor.
WTTC launches debate on climate change with global ad campaign
The World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC) launches an international campaign to call to dialogue the issues on climate change. The campaign will run full pages in authoritative publications including The Daily Telegraph, Newsweek, The Wall Street Journal and travel trade media around the world.
Saudi Arabia refining Chinese relations
Given the length of time it has taken to conclude the deal, some analysts have noted that rising project costs may well have been a factor too - across the world high steel and other material prices have led to hefty cost hikes and even the abandonment of some projects.
Royal Dutch Shell's Mars oil platform is whole again, with two months to spare before hurricane season begins in June....But this time, revamped clamps give the substructure a much stronger grip on the platform, said Charlie Williams, chief scientist of well engineering and production technology for Shell.
Biofuel Bliss - The Second Coming
Research like that being done at the Colorado State University’s (CSU) Engines and Energy Conservation Laboratory and the University of New Hampshire (UNH), suggests that algae could supply enough fuel to meet all of America’s transportation needs in the form of biodiesel.That’s right . . . all of it!
Investigative Carte Blanche casts doubt on De Beers Fuel
Investors in De Beers and Infiniti Biodiesel were given the impression that algae was an almost immediate solution to the anticipated shortage of vegetable oil for biofuels production.However, when approached by Cart Blanche, GreenFuels CEO Paul Rodzianko said that “on an accelerated schedule, from today on, the earliest that a commercial scale facility would be available will probably be the end of next year, to the beginning of 2009.”
Petrobras Returns Block to Bolivia
Brazilian energy giant Petrobras has returned an oil block to Bolivia, citing the risk of not being able to recoup its investment and higher taxes stemming from last year's decree nationalizing the country's fossil-fuel resources, industry officials told Efe Saturday.
Dominican Republic: Sichuan team to define coal project site details
A team from Chinese firm Sichuan Machinery Equipment is due to arrive in the Dominican Republic this week to advance a 600MW coal-fired plant project, a generation official from state power holding company CDEEE told BNamericas....The plants are part of the government's power sector plan unveiled last year to mitigate the country's energy crisis.
Ghana: The Energy Crisis - Ghanaians Turn
For over two decades Ghana has been having uncomfortable close encounters with the weather, leading to drastic reductions in the country's main hydro-electric dam's generating capacity. Now the dam is approaching near collapse due to a prolonged drought and the country is in dire need of alternative sources of power for the short, medium and eventual long terms.
The Chief Executive Officer of the Korle-Bu Teaching Hospital, Professor Kwabena Frimpong-Boateng, has called for an aggressive programme to begin the manufacture and use of solar panels for domestic use to reduce the burden on the national electricity grid.
Botswana may build solar-geothermal power plant
The Botswana government has called for companies to tender for the provision of consultancy services to conduct a prefeasibility study for the construction of a solar geothermal power plant in the country.
Shell reserves show shift from oil to gas
Royal Dutch Shell pumped twice as much oil as it found last year, forcing the company to rely on traditionally lower-margin natural gas and oil sands to boost its reserves.Figures issued on Monday echoed a trend across the industry as resource holders increasingly shun the oil majors.
CERA: Oil prices, CO2 concerns to spur nuclear renaissance
High fossil fuel prices and a global push for cleaner energy have created an environment ripe for a nuclear renaissance, Cambridge Energy Research Associates said in a report published Monday.
America 'unnecessarily at risk' by looming fall-off in petroleum
The endless calls by politicians for "energy independence" are perhaps the most striking example of how little this issue is understood by the people in charge.Former oil men George W. Bush and Dick Cheney cannot be among those in the dark on this, though they clearly have chosen not to make it an issue for reasons we may not find out until they publish their memoirs. By then, they may have a lot of explaining to do.
The more interesting point in all this, for the moment, is that the media has still not put together the collapse of the housing bubble and the permanent oil crisis. These events will be happening simultaneously. The housing industry, so-called, will never recover because the oil crisis spells the end of the suburban build out. The cycle is over. The big production homebuilders will go down and never come back. We won't need any more retail, either. We won't be building anymore WalMarts and Target stores, and the thousands now running will die off just as the giant Baluchitherium of the Asian steppes crapped out in the early Miocene epoch.
James Howard Kunstler, author of the book, "The Long Emergency," and one of the leading experts on peak oil, recently spelled out what needs to happen next."Life in the USA will have to become much more local, and virtually all the activities of everyday life will have to be rescaled," wrote Kunstler. "If you can find a way to do something practical and useful on a smaller scale than it is currently being done, you are likely to have food in your cupboard and people who esteem you."
Lula: Petrobras Will Continue to Invest in Iran
Brazil's state-run oil firm Petroleo Brasileiro SA (PETR4.BR), or Petrobras, will continue to invest in Iran despite U.S. concerns, President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva told U.S. President George W. Bush, the Valor newspaper said Monday.
Singapore's oil & gas services firm KS Energy Services said on Tuesday it has formed a joint venture to build its first offshore oil drilling rig at a Middle East shipyard in a deal worth $148 million.
China to adjust its refined oil pricing mechanism
China is waiting for the right opportunity to adjust its refined oil pricing mechanism but disadvantaged groups will be subsidised, a senior official has said.
ConocoPhillips: In Talks with Venezuela Over Oil-Projects Compensation
ConocoPhillips (COP) is engaging in discussions with the Venezuelan government over compensation for the reduction of ownership and new commercial terms in its oil projects there, Chief Executive Jim Mulva said Monday.
Is 'King Coal' making a comeback?
Coal is trickling out of a Yorkshire mine for the first time in 13 years. Hargreaves Services, the country's biggest independent coal producer, has bought a pit and there are rumblings about re-opening five mines in south Wales.So is "King Coal" making a comeback? Not as a major producer but as a power generator, courtesy of clean coal technology and some astute marketing.
With Cellulosic Ethanol, There Is No Food Vs. Fuel Debate According To MSU Scientist
As more and more corn grain is diverted to make ethanol, there have been public concerns about food shortages. However, ethanol made from cellulosic materials instead of corn grain, renders the food vs. fuel debate moot, according to research by a Michigan State University ethanol expert.
A California biotech company is engineering microbes to produce cheap biofuels that could out-compete ethanol.
Australia tells EU to do more on emissions
Australia called on the European Union on Tuesday to do more to cut its own greenhouse emissions before lecturing Kyoto skeptics Australia and the United States about climate change.
Brent maintains Iran premium over WTI
Traditionally, WTI trades at a premium to Brent, but the European benchmark can be more sensitive to political developments in the Middle East as it is the main reference price used by the region's exporters. WTI is the reference for US oil imports.Another factor behind the price gap is that the physical delivery point for the Nymex WTI contract is Cushing in Oklahoma, where oil storage levels are near capacity according to energy analysts. This means that there is excess oil in the most important storage centre in the US, although it is not reflective of the total US oil storage situation.
Risks of rising oil nationalism
It's hard to shed a tear for Big Oil. The top five publicly traded companies racked up a record $119.5 billion profit last year – roughly the size of Ireland's economy.Yet these corporations are steadily losing ground to a surging group of nationally run companies – a trend that could come back to hurt oil-consuming nations such as the United States, some experts say.
Gas prices climb for ninth straight week

The U.S. Energy Information Administration said drivers paid an average of $2.707 a gallon for regular gasoline in the week ended April 2, up from $2.610 the previous week.
Iraq Invites 15 International Oil Cos To Drill 50 Wells In South
Iraq has invited 15 international oil companies to drill 50 new oil wells in southern oil fields which would increase the country's output by 70,000 barrels a day, an Iraqi Oil Ministry spokesman said Tuesday.
General Motors reports strong China sales
General Motors Corp. and its joint venture partners said Tuesday their combined sales in China jumped 25 percent in the first quarter, a boon for the U.S. automaker struggling to revive sales at home.
Canada biodiesel must withstand cold weather
Canada's fledgling biodiesel industry must prove its fuel additive can work in frigid winter weather before users can meet new government targets, an official with Shell Canada Ltd. said on Monday.
Smaller cars to grab attention in big city
At a large international auto show held in a city where space is limited and only the well-off can afford the pricey garage fees, insurance rates and the inevitable parking tickets that come with owning a car, it seems appropriate that small, fuel-friendly cars would capture a big share of the limelight.



I want to thank Darwinian for the step by step instructions on how to change the resolution on my monitor in order to view the crucial right hand side of the graphs in Ace's important post yesterday. It made the text too small to read, but enabled me to view the entire graph before going back to the previous resolution.
It would be helpful, though, if posters knew how to make a clickable enlargement of their graphs so that they can be viewed without doing this.
I have a Firefox / Explorer question.
In the morning, Firefox insist on loading the previous day's TOD even when I "refresh" the page. I can exit and restart FF with the problem remaining.
IE will load the new TOD as soon as the website is updated.
After an hour or so, FF will start loading the current TOD as well.
Any ideas?
Francois.
In the Menu bar, under "Firefox", open "Preferences". In the window that pops up, go to "Cache" and click on "Clear Cache Now". You could do the same with "History" in the pop-up window.
I tried that.
Under "Tools/options/advanced/network" you have an option to clear the cache and set the size. Clearing does not help - I still load yesterday's TOD at the moment.
Hold down the shift key while clicking the refresh button. This will force a copy of the page to load from the server rather than your local cache.
Are you using the latest version of firefox? Are you using some sort of web accelerator that caches pages?
This happens for me sometimes too at work. I believe it's due to local caching, or caching performed by your ISP. (AOL caches almost everything, and some other ISPs do as well.)
I don't know if this is Francois' problem but it does affect lots of people.
Most companies will have something called a proxy server that will also cache external web sites. So your browser thinks its getting a fresh copy (ie not from the local cache) but instead is getting a stale copy from the proxy.
There is no way that I know of to force your proxy to go out and fetch the latest version (or even not to cache the page at all). Sometimes hitting refresh several times works. (there are some ways of setting up your website to avoid this problem, but some proxy servers can and do ignore these settings).
I do not recommend bypassing your companies proxy server BTW, as this has been known to get people fired.
I suspect it is a bug. There are some pages that simply will not load until you delete the local cache. You can improve the performance though:
Type "about:config" in the address bar.
Search for the string "browser.cache.check_doc_frequency", and set the value to "3".
You can search the web for more information about this string.
if you log out without closing down firefox, firefox will think it crashed and when you load it up the next time it will ask if you want to restore the previous browsing session.
Didn't post this up top, because it's subscription-only, but it's very interesting. It's from the Globe & Mail, and the author is Eric Reguly.
Combustible mix fuels oil price rise
The article discusses the known declines at Cantarell, the North Sea, and Prudhoe Bay, then moves on to elephant in the room:deleted
A suggested question to ask friends and family:
That number never ceases to just blow me away...
It would be interesting to see what kind of average answer that people give.
Even among semi-Peak Oil aware people I have asked (not the Peak Oil geeks like us), most answers I have gotten have clustered around 3%.
It really is comical in a dark comedy sort of fashion that we were debating about exactly when the peak occurs, when, in four years we used up about 8 Prudhoe Bays or about 18 East Texas Fields.
"It really is comical in a dark comedy sort of fashion that we were debating about exactly when the peak occurs, when, in four years we used up about 8 Prudhoe Bays or about 18 East Texas Fields."
Try this: At current consumption rates (no economic growth and no population growth whatsoever), if we started using oil today, we would use up all of the currently known recoverable reserves in 40 years. Forty years is approximately half the life expectancy of a human female in the US or slightly less than 2 generations (2*22).
What's that old Saudi saying? My father rode a camel, I drove a car, my son flies a jet airplane, my grandson will ride a camel. That pretty much nails it.
I still can't wrap my mind around it.
You need to check out Fractional_Flow's Post under the Ain Dar article. He just proved Northern Ghawar is almost totally depleted.
"... the impact of that paper is that if what I did above is correct or close to correct .... then 2 MMBOPD-- is essentially gone."
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/2426#comment-175877
Stated Proven Reserves are meaningless. This is why Saudi Arabia has announced extensive export cuts.
I still can't wrap my mind around it.
Well, there's the rub. Like you, I've been studying this for years, and my bones still ache with incredulity.
Every day, a small part of me says, "Nonsense!"
Only seeing will be truly believing for the rest of humanity, and of course by then the fat lady is not only singing, but sitting on people...
Yep, the logical part of my brain says it makes perfect sense, but the emotional part says it just can't be.
In reference to Cid above, I never miss F_F. I've read every word at least 3 times and tried to follow all of it. Having no geology in my background makes it a little obscure at times, but I can follow the math because we used trig and algebra to analyze electronic/electrical circuits in a few of my past careers.
The other night the power went off again for about 4 hours. No water pump, can't flush the toilets, can't wash dishes, can't take a shower, etc. I keep reading that our grid is in bad shape too and I find this even more frightening than lack of gasoline. I can't imagine going night after night with no lights and no running water (we're on catchment and pump). Every time it happens, I get a little more freaked out about the whole "peak everything" that seems to be coalescing on a similar point in time.
You need one of those water pumps with the handle that you pump, like they used to have on all the farms 40 yrs ago. You also need to learn how to make candles/lamp oil from animal products for when wind and solar break down.
Don't know if anyone posted this but econbrowser is talking about peak oil! They are starting to question KSA. They are fringe, but plenty of smart econ minds are plugged in.
http://www.econbrowser.com/archives/2007/02/saudi_oil_produ_1.html
Not only are we seeing far greating exposure to Peak oil in fringe media, but more and more MSM attack groups have jumped into the fray to try and 'debunk' it with spin, misinformation and general unsubstantiated bullshit.
It is very amusing. Someone somewhere is starting to panic.
Marco.
I think that someone is me. :-/
As an experiment, I have been posting reasonable and polite comments against appropriate articles in http://www.timesonline.co.uk over the past few months. Not one of these comments has been published online - let alone in the printed newspaper.
I can only surmise that Mr Rupert Murdoch's minions have instructions to keep all references to peak oil (even where the expression "peak oil") is not used out of his publications.
A search of TOL shows the odd references to PO, but they are very few and usually not very detailed. Many also dismiss the issue rather lightly... how long can this attitude remain in the MSM?
"You can never solve a problem on the level on which it was created."
Albert Einstein
Someone somewhere is starting to panic.
But when that someone, somewhere panics....who gets tossed under the wheels of the bus in an attempt to gain traction?
Jim Hamilton is not fringe. He's a first rate academic economist with an international reputation (although he's of the neoclassical persuasion, with all that implies...)
I knew it, you're a closet Austrian.
Behavioral economics makes a lot more sense to me (in so far as I understand economics).
Maybe because your human?
Maybe because your human?
""with an international reputation ""
In a recent poll 1000 members of the public were asked if they agreed or disagreed with the opinion of the eminent economist, Jim Hamilton.
99.9% of public said they did not know who he was.
The other 0.1% said that he had no business getting involved with pakistani cricket coaches;-).
All jokes aside yes I agree with you, that in economic and financial circles he is not fringe.
Marco
Econbrowser did the "How to talk to an economist about Peak Oil" thread nearly two years ago, which spawned much debate here and elsewhere. If I remember correctly, it marked the start of the Stuart Staniford era here at TOD. JDH seems much more concerned about supply than he did two years ago, IMO.
Well, aren't we all :-)
Wouldn't a :-( be more appropriate ?
Alan
It's that English stiff-upper lip thing. Ah, peak oil, let me just finish my game of bowls :-) Well, I'm trying anyway.
Bowls? My dear boy, croquet is the quintessential English lawn game.
Bill Gray's updated Atlantic hurricane forecast is out:
http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/2007/april2007/
It says: "We have increased our forecast for the 2007 hurricane season, largely due to the rapid dissipation of El Niño conditions. We are now calling