DrumBeat: April 13, 2007
Posted by Leanan on April 13, 2007 - 9:03am
Topic: Miscellaneous
Moneefa oilfield project on schedule, says Saudi
State owned oil giant Saudi Aramco said the development of its giant 900,000 barrels per day (bpd) offshore Moneefa oilfield was on schedule for completion in June 2011.Moneefa is part of the world's biggest oil exporter Saudi Arabia's plans to expand oil production capacity beyound a 2009 target of 12.5 million bpd, from current capacity of 11.3 million bpd.
Moneefa's output will increase Opec's largest producer's supply of Arab Heavy Crude, which refiners find harder and more costly to process than lighter crude. The kingdom has signed deals to build two new 400,000 bpd domestic refineries and to upgrade others at home and abroad to process the heavier oil.
IEA warns on oil inventories after big Q1 drop
Oil stocks in consumer nations posted the biggest first-quarter drop in a decade and may fall further in coming months, the International Energy Agency said, keeping the heat under crude prices.
Germans demand China signs oil pact
An international initiative to promote transparency in the oil industry's often-murky finances will fail unless China participates, a German official said on Thursday.
Schwarzenegger to Michigan: Get off your butt
California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger pulled no punches Wednesday in telling Detroit automakers to "get off your butt" and increase the fuel efficiency of their cars and trucks, saying they are "still lagging behind."
Cold, Soggy Weather Further Delays US Corn Seeding
Rain, snow and cold temperatures across the US Midwest on Wednesday threatened to further push back the already delayed start of corn seeding and could lead to less corn being planted, agronomists said.
World Bank Chief Says Clean Energy a Vital Issue
Clean energy, renewable energy and climate change may well become the World Bank's main focus in years to come despite the issue's absence from the lender's formal agenda at its meeting this weekend, President Paul Wolfowitz said on Thursday.
EPA publishes energy trends in manufacturing report
The report details energy consumption trends and related air emissions from the following sectors, which together represent 85% of the industrial energy use in the United States:• Aluminum
• Forest Products
• Motor Vehicles
• Cement
• Iron & Steel
• Motor Vehicle Parts
• Chemical
• Metal Casting
• Petroleum Refining
• Food
• Metal Finishing
• Shipbuilding
Analysis: Violence threatens oil, Iraq
Last week a bomb successfully targeted a pipeline connecting the Rumaila oil field, which produces nearly half or Iraq's 2 million barrels per day, to the southern network. The attack was rare, since the oil infrastructure is seen as important for the country and a prize for the intra-sectarian battles, but could foreshadow new instability.
We cannot look from the sides as we are led towards crisis over Iran
Bush and Blair have spent four years preparing an onslaught that is about oil, rather than non-existent nuclear weapons.
Shell strikes deal to extract Iraqi gas
Shell is poised to become the first oil major to step back into Iraq after reports that it had signed a deal to extract natural gas in the Kurdish northern region.
China Reiterates: East China Sea Gas Projects are in EEZ
China on Thursday repeated that its gas exploration projects in the East China Sea, seen as problematic by Japan, are in China's exclusive economic zone.The comments reiterating China's official position came after Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said in a speech in Tokyo that the two countries should shelve their disputes and try to find a solution to the issue through joint exploration of the area.
Scotland: Cautious approval for plan to end rail network private ownership
Passenger groups and business leaders yesterday said they would not oppose a not-for-profit organisation taking control of train operations after The Herald revealed top level informal talks have already taken place.
Sustainable energy has powerful future
OPPONENTS of renewable energy from the coal and nuclear industries, and their political supporters, are disseminating the fallacy that renewable energy cannot provide base-load power to substitute for coal-fired electricity.
Jeff Vail: The Self-Sufficient Gourmand (On 1/3 Acre!)
I laid out the kinds of food I would like to “survive” on—those things that I usually cook at home: a wide assortment of ultra-thin-crust pizzas, Spanish tapas, Mediterranean appetizers, hearty salads, fresh fruit, occasional Thai or Indian curries, etc. Fortunately (and perhaps not coincidentally), the climate constraints that I am dealing with (in this case, Southern Arizona) work fairly well for these food crops. How much land will it take to keep one person “in curry” with these lofty culinary goals? My answer may surprise you: about 1/3 of an acre.
Chevron, Weyerhaeuser to Develop Biofuel
Oil major Chevron Corp. and timber outfit Weyerhaeuser Co. on Thursday said they will look into jointly commercializing the production of biofuels from cellulose, the basic material of all green plants.
Climate Change and Peak Oil: An Integrated Policy Response for Australia
Climate change and peak oil are inextricably linked. Each one is a major issue in its own right, but their convergence has received minimal attention, which is unfortunate as it is likely to have far greater impact than the sum of the individual parts. Policy must ensure that solutions to the one reinforce, and do not conflict with, solutions to the other.
Author warns of oil catastrophe
David Strahan quit his job with the BBC to spend two years researching and writing his new book, The Last Oil Shock.The book, which has just been published, is described as a wake-up call to a world sleepwalking towards catastrophe.
Gas supplies low heading into summer season
Refinery problems in the United States have driven up petroleum prices around the world, the International Energy Agency said yesterday, and analysts say refiners are going to have to run full-out to build inventories before the summer driving season.In its monthly report, the Vienna-based IEA said global crude output was down sharply as a result of production cuts by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. However, it added: "The primary driver of higher prices has been the tight U.S. gasoline market."
We eight have come to believe that a crisis is coming – on April 30, to be precise. (An oil shock, or something to do with oil.) We have no proof – it's just something a guy said in an unguarded moment. He may have been putting us on. But we don't think so. We have decided to prepare.
A greener planet begins under the kitchen sink
Next week [Diane MacEachern] is launching a national campaign and a website, BigGreenPurse.com, urging women to shift at least $1,000 of their annual household spending to green products. On average, people spend $18,000 a year on groceries and household goods.
Oilfield Technology and the Race Against Peak Oil
Opinions differ about future capabilities of oilfield technology. Some argue that technology will allow us to unlock trillions of barrels worth of oil out of unconventional and not-yet-discovered resources. Others argue that every technology in use today was developed twenty or thirty years ago; not only that, but growing service industry bottlenecks could halt several desperately needed development projects in their tracks. While both sides in this debate have valid points, I think it’s important to remain focused on progress underway at major projects and depletion of large existing fields, and not argue about potential resources thirty years into the future.
Paul is a proponent of figuring out how to implement energy that is needed in cheap, efficient ways that have little or no negative impact on the environment. While he displayed knowledge of many of the popular proposed solutions to the “energy crisis” such as hydropower, solar power, nuclear power and various forms of ethanol, he said that if he were in charge of the United States’ energy policy, he would focus on comparing the solutions rather than trying to develop new ones.
The vast imported-petroleum needs of the West, India and China, and the resulting huge profits that pour into oil-exporting states, have super-sized the Middle East’s problems.
Weekly Offshore Rig Review: Caribbean Dreams
When one thinks of the Caribbean, visions of white sandy beaches and fruity cocktails with little pink umbrellas are not far behind. Perhaps furthest from that mental vacation is the large oil and gas deposits found offshore.
Uganda: Fuel Stations Ration Diesel Sales
THE persistent shortage of diesel has led to its rationing at some filling stations in Kampala. At GAPCO on Kampala Road, customers could not purchase more than sh20,000 worth of diesel."We limit people who come to fill big cars, even regular customers," said Sachin Pawar, the manager.
Bahamas: Push For Biodiesel Facility
According to the project plan, the most cost effective feedstock in The Bahamas is used cooking oil which is available in relatively high quantities. Waste cooking oil is further boosted through tourist related activities.
Ghana: Energy - Paradigm Shift Advocated
Reading from most of the experts on energy in Ghana and even from our own SNEP (Strategic National Energy Plan 2006), World Bank reports on how to generate energy for Ghana and the continent, there seems to be an underlying paradigm. Most of the studies and reports treat Ghana as just another country in the temperate North. Most of the solutions put forward seem to assume parameters that are not very relevant to us. It is not uncommon to read reports making a strong case against the lack of energy when the sun is not available in the winter; the problem with this line of argument is that we live on the equator and we will not be seeing winter and snow anytime soon.
Analysis: Increasing Auto Sales In Asia
Recent news reports indicate that auto sales have been rising in Asian countries like India and China, despite increasing concerns about pollution, global warming, and eventual oil depletion. An article in the Times of India was headlined "Auto sales grow 13.5% in '06-07", and reports from Forbes.com and MarketWatch indicated that DaimlerChrysler and Ford sales had increased substantially in northeast Asia. Other articles focused on the purchase of luxury vehicles by wealthy Chinese and Indians.
Chavez: Troops to escort oil takeovers
President Hugo Chavez said Thursday that soldiers will accompany government officials when they take over oil projects in the Orinoco River basin next month...."On May 1 we are going to take control of the oil fields," Chavez said. "I'm sure no transnational company is going to draw a shotgun, but we will go with the armed forces and the people."
Carolyn Baker - Conspiracy: If You're Not In One, You Need to Start One
This past weekend I received a call from two friends who with their three children are facing foreclosure on their home. For the past three years I have been warning them about an impending housing bubble, but like many families, they never believed it could actually happen to them. At the beginning of the conversation they stated, “We’re calling you because everything you’ve said that would happen to the economy in the past three years has happened. So we want to know if you think the housing market will bounce back?”Once again, I had to tell my friends the ugly truth: The days of “bouncing back” are over. The world as we have known it is ending, and the tectonic plates of the economic landscape of the United States and the world are shifting beneath our feet.
The theory that oil supplies have peaked and are on their way down has made more than a few Americans nervous. They should relax. A new study confirms that the market, if left alone, will provide for decades.
Saudi Arabia and Russia sign $100 million oil pipeline deal
Saudi Arabia and Russia have signed a $100 million deal for laying an oil pipeline in the world's biggest sand desert, Rub Al Khali (Empty Quarter).
Asia's growth in domestic demand will outstrip US
Gulf investors should be quick in taking advantage of the Asian investment opportunities as the the continent's growth in domestic demand has the potential to overtake that of the US and emerge the key driver of global economy said an expert in Dubai yesterday.
Understanding OPEC: Cheaters Never Win
Baseball is a frustrating sport, and not just because there's all that standing around waiting for something exciting to happen. No, it's frustrating because unless your home team is the Yankee's, you're at a disadvantage. See, the Yankee's have more money than God, and therefore, they simply play the game by a different set of rules.OPEC is the Yankees of the oil market. This not-so-secret society sits on 80 percent of the world’s oil reserves, and is responsible for 51 percent of the oil that's traded internationally on any given day. On paper, it wields enormous power over the world economy, and thus, any investor in the energy market should hang on every word coming out of the Cartel's whenever-we-feel-like-it meetings in Vienna.
Battling over the world's oil reserves
George Bush invaded Iraq for power, prestige and oil. Whilst the catastrophe of the occupation has dealt a huge blow to the prestige of US imperialism around the world and its power in the Middle East has been severely undermined, US and British oil companies are still set to get their hands on Iraq's oil.
The EIA is a perfect reflection of the public it serves. It appears to conduct daily business in a responsible way while it resolutely refuses to face the obvious realities of the future.
George Will: Fuzzy Climate Math
In a campaign without peacetime precedent, the media-entertainment-environmental complex is warning about global warming. Never, other than during the two world wars, has there been such a concerted effort by opinion-forming institutions to indoctrinate Americans, 83 percent of whom now call global warming a "serious problem."
Nuclear power is not the answer
BRITAIN'S SUPPLIES of oil and natural gas are running out. Oil and gas prices have been rising. On a world scale supplies are limited, and many experts are talking about shortly reaching the position of "Peak Oil", at which point production will start to fall. Even capitalist governments are waking up to the reality of global warming, and its link with emissions of greenhouse gases produced by the burning of fossil fuels, and the enormous cost it will bring to the system.
Paul Leventhal, Who Opposed Commercial Use of Nuclear Power, Dies at 69
Paul Leventhal, who as president of the small but influential Nuclear Control Institute was one of the most vocal opponents of expanding the commercial use of nuclear power, died Tuesday at his home in Chevy Chase, Md. He was 69.
UW-RF launches Institute for Sustainability
Meant to address energy, environmental, social and economic issues at the local, regional and global levels, UW-River Falls officials have created the St. Croix Institute for Sustainable Community Development.
Is Fort Wayne ready to become a city that draws young workers?
Could Fort Wayne actually implement a downtown proposal instead of merely talking about it? Is Fort Wayne on the path toward having a walkable, compact downtown that utilizes mixed-use developments to create a live-work-play environment? Is Fort Wayne taking steps to re-densify in the face of peak oil and the increasing cost of expanding suburbs?
Nissan, NEC to make hybrid batteries
Nissan and electronics maker NEC will produce batteries for ecologically friendly vehicles, the companies said Friday, signaling efforts by the Japanese automaker to catch up with rivals that have a head start in green technology.
Oil price nears 70 dollars in London
The price of Brent North Sea crude hit a seven-month high of 69.59 dollars a barrel Friday on concerns that current oil supplies may be insufficient to meet demand.Brent North Sea crude for May delivery later stood at 69.21 dollars per barrel in London electronic trading, up 49 cents from Thursday. The contract expires at the close.
Hang in there, well-heeled but green-minded luxury-brand shoppers. If you can’t quite picture yourself, your family and all your stuff crammed into the small, quirky-looking and (shudder) increasingly common Toyota Prius, more choices are coming.
Search for survivors after Norwegian ship capsizes
Rescuers were hoping for "a miracle" Friday as they continued the search for five people missing after a Norwegian oil rig support vessel capsized in freezing waters off north Scotland, killing three.The Bourbon Dolphin overturned about 75 nautical miles (140 kilometres) west of the remote north Shetland Islands near the Transocean Rather oil platform at about 5:00 pm (1600 GMT) Thursday.
Old marine terminals seen as a danger
Many of the marine terminals handling millions of gallons of petroleum products every day in California were built in the early 1900s, when oil was carried by ships one-tenth the size of today's tankers. And many of them are in disrepair and vulnerable to devastating spills and fires, particularly in the event of an earthquake or other calamity, state officials say.
Big money at stake in disputed oil deals
Oil and gas companies could get a windfall of billions of dollars if they win a lawsuit against the government over disputed royalty payments from deep-water leases in the Gulf of Mexico, a congressional report said Thursday.
Gulf states have right to nuclear energy: UN atomic chief
The head of the UN atomic watchdog said on Thursday that the oil-rich Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) has the right to develop nuclear energy for peaceful ends."It is a natural right for the GCC countries to possess nuclear energy in order to use it for peaceful purposes," said the head of the Vienna-based International Atomic Energy Agency, Mohamed ElBaradei.



A rather mundane question: Any thoughts about how we should be adjusting the physical security of our homes - windows, doors, storm doors, locks, tempered glass, etc.?
I have thought about this alot. But have come to the conclusion that if it starts getting that bad that break-ins are frequent and non-discriminant, then it is time to get out of Dodge.
Securing a country home is a different story, IMHO.
Country or city, keeping a low profile will help from being targetted.
Either way, if people want in, they will get in...no matter how much gear you put in their way.
I should frame this with, I don't believe big cities will be safe or supplied once TSHTF.
The first question in all of this is, "What am I trying to protect myself from?" Is it a few passers-by who might try to break in? Is it an organized mob that is stripping the homes in the area bare? Or, what.
The second question is, "How far am I willing to go to protect what is mine?" Am I willing to kill potential intruders? What will I do if my warnings have no effect?
The third question is, "Could intruders exact retribution if they don't get what they want?" Could they, for example, burn my house down? Could they cut my power?
There are many more question that have to be asked along these lines and there are no easy answers.
Jim Rawles' book Patriots: Surviving the Coming Collapse has been mentioned before. One chapter has extensive information on what the fictional characters did to protect their house. Buy it and learn. You might also spend some time at his site: http://www.survivalblog.com
Todd
I think the more likely question to answer will be, "how do I keep my municipality from raising property taxes to the point where I lose my house?" Cause you know they will.
I forsee PO becoming an economic crisis, where debt and taxes wipe out 90% of the country. It won't be until after most people are destitute that government (local/state/federal) finally starts to whither and die.
It is a lot easier to fight off crackheads than it is the taxman.
I don't think you have to worry much about the taxman. We are the taxman. If it looks like taxes are going to drive a substantial portion of the populace to bankruptcy then the taxes will be lowered and city services will be lowered. California had its Proposition 13 (for good or ill). Michigan is now considering a tax moratorium of sorts. It makes no sense to bankrupt most of the citizenry. Especially since they will vote you out of office and the next guy will reverse that.
Hi Gail,
I'm not sure I can give you any advice on "securing the perimeter," but I will comment. Several years ago, I was working in South Alabama and driving through a number of rural communities and small towns.
What struck me was the number of modest homes that were outfitted with heavy iron bars on the windows and doors. When I asked a local resident what that was about, he told me that the "crack epidemic" was wreaking havoc on these communities.
I don't know what percentage of those security packages were sold by hucksters just preying on the fears of elderly folks -- no doubt that was the explanation for some of them -- but, I couldn't help but feel a real sadness as I drove past these fortified homes.
I would assume that these systems were fairly effective at keeping out casual intruders.
Heavy bars and grilles in windows and very strong doors were
a feature of architecture, especially urban architecture,
in europe and the near east for many many centuries.. While
in america there is not really an architectural vernacular for
such features, in the old world, such a thing wouldn't even
look out of place. Before street lighting was common, even
rather affluent parts of cities were pretty rife with
petty thefts, burglaries, robberies, and so on.
Yes, one of the things I noticed and really came to appreciate and love during my stay in France were the real working shutters on every window. These were designed to open and shut from the inside, thus providing both a degree of insulation & energy conservation and also a very effective degree of security. I suppose they could be designed (and some maybe were) so even the hinge pins were not accessible from the outside. That would not be enough to stop a rampaging mob (although even during Paris riots and revolutions, shuttered houses are usually left alone). It would be enough to deter all but the most determined intruder.
Standard on the majority of New Orleans homes. The owner can prepare for a hurricane in ten minutes (instead of plywood screwed in place, damaging the wood work).
Two types; batten (wood planks, cheap) and louvered (ley air and light filter in).
Best Hopes,
Alan
Criminals tend to gravitate to easier targets, especially if they appear juicy. It's the unlocked car vs the locked car, for instance. For the average criminal in our current state (Not post-peak) you want to dissuade criminals through a number of areas.
Your first priority is making your home appear as though you've taken steps to secure your home. Security (auto-on) lighting for at night, visible video cameras, and signage that shows that you have an alarm system in place help. No tresspassing signs will dissuade as well, and be sure to place "No soliciting" signs up on the property.
If a criminal is going to "scope" out your home beforehand, they may have someone else stop by to ask for money, try to sell you something, etc. Do not let them in the home, make it appear that you KNEW of their approach before they even rang the doorbell (even if you didn't), and let them know that they should leave IMMEDIATELY. If you appear threatening from their even stopping by to ask a question, their imagination can come up with ideas on how you would be if you caught them breaking in.
If you have multiple vehicles, swap out which vehicles you drive, so someone casing the place doesn't know if it's the same person leaving at XYZ time, making it uncertain if someone else is at the home. This is also another reason why you scare off solicitors, is that they may try to "sell" you something during the day to determine when you're actually home. If you park your vehicles in the garage, put cardboard, foil, or some other opaque material over the glass so a criminal cannot peek inside to see if someone is actually home or not.
Use deadbolts on your doors, and if there is glass that could be broken near the door, use double-deadbolts. (You have to use a key to get in or out.)
In regards to the alarm system, most alarm systems come with battery backups, and you can also get a cellphone connection as well, so that if the phone line is cut, the transmission still occurs. An alarm system will not prevent someone from making a quick dash inside and making off with a few items, but it does prevent them from trying to figure out where your safe is, etc. Police response times are slow for alarm systems. However, you can use the alarm system to alert you, as you likely can get yourself (or some friends/family that live nearby) to go take care of the problem until the police arrive.
All of these items are things that we use in our home. Certainly if someone wanted to break in, they COULD, but we tend to use items to deter criminals as opposed to physically stopping them. We infer to them a high level of danger both legally and physically if they were to break into our home. As a result, when we've had rashes of break-ins in the area, they've been at houses down the street, etc.
Of course, it's always good to be friends with your neighbors, and let your neighbors know who normally stops by at your house, so when they see a vehicle they do not recognize at your home when your car isn't there, they can investigate, or at least take note of the vehicle. If you're home one day that you normally work, and you notice someone going for their daily walk, go have a quick chat with them, make friends with them. They can be the neighborhood watch, as when you're on your daily walk, you've got nothing better to do than to take note of the houses you are passing. :)
I've ranted long enough. Haha.
I like the beware of dog sign.
And if don't have a dog, still it has deterrent value, and X10 make this cool remote dog bark alarm that you can trigger with a motion sensor.
Dogs are scary to most would-be criminals.
FWIW, post peak(TSHTF) get a real dog - and no poodle.
Everyone will have one of those. Get a Blackwater sticker instead.
...or one that I encounterd once:
"Never mind the dog. Beware of the owner."
Only problem...in Canada, it is an empty threat. We cannot defend our property with the vigor people in the US can, legally.
Doesn't mean I won't when the TSHTF (oops...I probably just got myself flagged by CSIS).
LOL
Think Blackwater Chrismas ornaments will scare them away?
Girls, don't feel safe on the dancefloor? How about a classy and elegant ladies' shirt?
For a few hundred dollars you should be able to buy yourself a whole lotta peace of mind. Keychains, license plates, coffee mugs, jackets, zippo's, get 'em all and make sure people can see them. Who's going to bother you?
Right. Imagine what the Third Reich might have accomplished with a website and some "merch."
Gail: I have been having similar thoughts.
For some basic information on how a professional thief works watch the tv series “it takes a thief” on the discovery channel. It is chocked full of information on how a particular house is targeted.
http://dsc.discovery.com/fansites/ittakesathief/ittakesathief.html
Although you can never prevent a determined looter from getting in (heck, if your house it to hard to break into, they will just burn it down.) you can discourage them.
Plant thorn, rose or cactus under your windows.
Put up a surveillance camera (fake or real).
There are special entry resistant window glass and one way glass (so they can't see if it is worth breaking in.
Get a safety deposit box or a real professionally installed safe. The ones at home depot were almost laughably easy to break into. A coworker actually had his picked up and carried off.
The problem with building an armored urban lifeboat is that if it looks like a fortress then it must be worth breaking into.
I'm probably going to get a safety deposit box today. Then plant some cactus. A plus with the cactus is the the prickle pear cactus is edible and so is it's fruit.
When I was growing up in Pennsylvania people would have vacation cabins in the pocono mountain region. Problem was that since they were only occasionally occupied they keep getting looted. So my dads boss had a trap door and a closet sized basement installed under the cabin. Even after repeated break ins the basement cache of supplies was never found.
Heh, for a second there I thought the trap door was for the looters. I expected the last sentence to read "Even after repeated break ins the basement cache of burglar skeletons was never found."
:) My thoughts exactly.
Your county police department should have printed guides for securing your home. And a healthy, trained neighborhood watch always helps.
My experience of living in a transitional neighborhood for eight years is that visibility, controlling the streets in front of our homes and attitude are most important.
Visibility: Only a few neighbors need to be visible at any time. Everyone on the street should know the first names of all their neighbors and all the children. Everyone should feel comfortable calling the police anytime they feel uncomfortable. And everyone should be able to contact everyone else at home and at work.
Street Control: It's a simple idea. Control the street in front of your home. Don't allow petty criminals to stand, park, or party there without questions and calls to the police. If you don't feel comfortable let the police ask and get answers to the hard questions. Once the bad guys notice they are being watched they leave for another neighborhood.
Attitude: Don't put up with crap and don't be afraid to get a few hard looks from those who want to control the street in front of your home. Stand up. Be Visible. But don't take any direct action. Let your local police do that work.
This seems to work OK for single family homes in a transitional neighborhood. With some adaptation it will probably work OK in other types of neighborhoods as well.
Last time (only time) I had a break-in the guy was hungry. I made him breakfast. Nice guy. Did some auto body work for me, did it beautifully.
Sorry, I'm forgetting about all the times the feds tossed my house. Yeah, I'm much more afraid of the "authorities" than of small-time freelancers. Most places the cops are the biggest best organized gang.
Boy, you hit that nail right on the head. In my experience, the cops can indeed be the best organized gang and they are able to hide behind their shield.
A new Round-Up has been posted at TOD:Canada.
Didn't post this up-top, because it's subscription-only:
Pemex Tightens Crude Prices
What does this mean, if anything?
I think the discount is priced off WTI, so the narrower discount is a reflection of the much-discussed logistical problems associated with Cushing.
OT FYI- I have a Google search in place for Nansen G. Saleri and he will be speaking at MIT on May 8, 2007 -
Info = 4 p.m. - 5 p.m.
NOTE SPECIAL DAY: in 54-915, EAPS Department Lecture, Dr. Nansen G. Saleri, Manager of Reservoir Management, Saudi Arabia, "TBA"
Web site = EAPS - Earth Atmosphere and Planetary Science
Should I email these in future or not?
This may be slightly OT, but it relates to Mexico.
This story came out yesterday: Mexican mogul is second-richest man
He is the owner/founder of TeleMex. And displaced Warren Buffet for the 2nd richest man in the world...
But that isn't what boggles me - it is a paper gain(sure, so are the others), but on the Mexican market...
You would think that the Mexican market would have corrected slightly given the PEMEX/CANTARELL news lately.
I guess no one is paying attention. No surprise there.
Could be they know about this:
http://news.tradingcharts.com/futures/6/0/91895106.html
OPEC production is at it's lowest point in two years.
Speaking of OPEC -
Who actually made cuts in this last round of quote reduction? (Other than KSA's 'voluntary' cuts)
Leanan, I'm upstream rather than downstream, but my thought is that due to the costs associated with changing the equipment at refineries, refiners want to purchase the same grades of crude. And, we all know about the crash in production at Cantarell, so the supply is insufficent to meet the demand.
I suppose Mexico increasing its heavy oil price is in response to Saudi Arabia cutting heavy oil shipments to Asia.
What do you think, does this accurately describe us?
The last paragraph from the article, "Running on Empty? Not Yet." says:
Peak oilers love a crisis and will try to alarm anyone who will listen and hector those who won't. Their message has attracted anti-progress, back-to-nature cranks and man-is-a-blight, overpopulation fringers, as well as conspiracists. They need to tone down the rhetoric and take another look at the facts.
Through enough rehtorique at a problem, and hope it'll go away, threat seems to be what the journalist is playing.
I'm not going to go into the details of the half truths being poured out, because that horse is well and truly dead (OPEC reserve increases after the start of the quota system, technology will all ways save us, invisible hand syndrome etc).
That said, some doomers are a bit over the top sometimes.
David
The article is filled with errors and half-truths. For instance, Deffeyes did NOT predict a 2000 or 2004 peak. He said that it might have but he was not personally predicting it for then.
By all means, you should ignore peak oil. Definitely go get that $500,000 mortgage and buy that hummer on 100% credit too. After all, by your view, none of this is a problem, right? So why don't you do as you preach and ignore peak oil, Keithster? Or do you have other motives for hanging out here?
Ghawar Is Dying
The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand