DrumBeat: July 20, 2007

Oil subsidies do no one any favours

Rises in the price of crude have little effect on petrol prices in the Middle East, China or India.

Back in the late '60s, these nations consumed just 25 per cent of world oil. Now they consume over 40 per cent.

Because they have not faced sharply rising oil prices, almost all the increase in oil demand in recent years has been due to them.

Developed nations provide the oil revenue for OPEC to subsidise domestic consumers.

Rapid oil demand growth in OPEC and China will keep driving the free-world oil price higher.

Yet it is the developed countries that will face an oil price crunch if supply cannot be increased as rapidly as demand in developing countries.

New York crude hits 11-month peak above 76 dollars

The price of New York crude struck a fresh 11-month high point on Friday, above 76 dollars a barrel, owing to tight US supplies, while London's Brent oil traded close to its historic high.


What drives quality of life for seniors? Driving

As baby boomers enter a critical new stage, a powerful new constituency is about to arise, demanding solutions to problems caused inadvertently by planners and others who have helped make automobiles so central to our lives. After all, this generation of Canadians has higher expectations for mobility than any that preceded it: We grew up with easy access to the car, and we will do what ever it takes to hang on to this privilege — which some already view as a basic right. But as many seniors are already finding out to their discomfort, suburbia is no place to grow old, testing the common assumption that we all gracefully "age in place."


The Global Thirst for Crude Is Set to Rise

The world has changed immensely and so has the energy world. Seventy-five dollars a barrel no more boggles the mind. Some even predict that triple figure prices are only a matter of time.


Latest Project Aims to Wean Oil Sands Off Natural Gas Habit

While Canada's oil sands are booming, the energy-intensive nature of the projects there are holding the province back from the ranks of the world's trophy deposits.

Nexen Inc. (NXY) and OPTI Canada Inc. (OPC.T) want to change that.


Mexico Guerrilla Group Says Pemex Bombings 'In Self-Defense'

"We are not criminals, and much less terrorists," the group said in its statement posted to a Web site yesterday used by guerrilla movements. "But up against the latent death threats against our members and the government's fascist offensive against the entire popular movement, we are obliged to exercise the legitimate right of self defense."

The group's statement suggests it may intend to make good on threats to continue its bombing campaign unless authorities release its members. The office of Mexico's attorney general said in a July 11 press release that no federal prison held the EPR members mentioned in a July 10 statement.


Calderón plans US$76.5bn for hydrocarbons output - Mexico

Mexico's President Felipe Calderón has unveiled his administration's 2007-12 infrastructure development plan, which entails investments of 822bn pesos (US$76.5bn) in the production of hydrocarbons, according to plan documents.


Panic of the rich worsens in Zimbabwe

Long, chaotic lines of vehicles built up Friday at the few gas stations still supplying fuel after the government banned a hard-currency coupon gas purchasing system used by well-to-do Zimbabweans.


North Korea: Key talks extended in Beijing

It's very important given the chronic food shortage and energy shortage that the country has. What they've received so far is really just a token gesture, the fuel oil, it's heavy fuel oil, it's not very high quality and even the quantity is not enough to really power North Korea's industry and energy sectors for more than a week or two. So they were receiving 500,000 tons a year under the agreed framework. But the humanitarian assistance is significant because they are still facing hunger and famine in some areas. We don't have precise numbers but that will certainly help people. Unfortunately I'm not sure it's a good idea to tie this humanitarian assistance to good behaviour by the North Korean regime. But invariably they become interwined as they have here.


Is this the End of Uranium?

The spot price for uranium has dropped recently to $130/lb. It's been over six years since we've seen the spot price drop successively, does this signify the end of uranium?


Russia offers tax breaks to boost oil, gas development

Russia's government ia aiming to boost foreign investment and expertise even further, by offering tax breaks for the development of remote and depleted gas and oil fields.


Bloomberg's congestion pricing plan revived

State and city leaders yesterday struck a deal that resuscitates Mayor Michael Bloomberg's proposal to use tolls to mitigate traffic gridlock and air pollution in Manhattan.


Minister: Japan firms need to limit peak power use

Japanese trade minister Akira Amari said on Friday industry would need to restrict electricity use during peak periods after a powerful earthquake forced the shutdown of the world's biggest nuclear power plant.

Tokyo Electric Power Co. (TEPCO), the operator of the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa plant in northwestern Japan, said it had enough capacity to meet demand without firing up expensive oil-fired back-up generators, with help from other utilities unless summer was unusually hot.

But the minister said industrial restrictions would be needed to ensure a safe margin in supplies.


The Crude Awakening

As Mr Baer argues in his book, Sleeping with the Devil, it would only take a possible terrorist attack on two of Saudi Arabia’s important oil export terminals to stop the two million barrels of surplus oil that the House of Saud so graciously keeps floating to stabilise prices in the international oil markets—in exchange for protection by America—for nearly two years.

If this surplus was taken out of the market, the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve would run out in two months and crude oil price could rise from the current level of $75.65 to $150 per barrel.


Oil expert sees shift in industry

Global energy and engineering consulting firm IHS hosted a conference for oil industry professionals in Bakersfield on Thursday.

One of the company's exploration experts, Bob Fryklund, vice president of industry relations, spoke by phone about oil and gas exploration.


With Crude Oil Prices Still At the Base of a Five-Year Climb, Turn Pain Into Profit

Just when you thought the global energy outlook couldn’t get any worse …

Worldwide demand for crude oil will continue to outstrip supply for at least the next five years, meaning the high prices and tight supplies of today will remain a reality for the foreseeable future.


Gasoline and Diesel Prices Will Spike

All bets are off if a big hurricane hits the Gulf of Mexico. Gasoline would soar to $4 a gallon or even higher, and stay there for weeks in the event of storm damage to fuel refineries in the South and oil pumping facilities in the gulf. The nation's petroleum reserve wouldn't be much help if refinery facilities were out of commission. And, gasoline imports wouldn't be able to fill the gap, since virtually all foreign gasoline makers are operating at capacity now.


Venezuela's PdVSA: Govt Requirements Leading to Rig Shortage

Petroleos de Venezuela has had a difficult time hiring enough rigs for the domestic oil industry as new social spending requirements complicate tenders, said a company director.

PdVSA needs the rigs to reverse declining oil production. The International Energy Agency claims Venezuelan oil output has fallen to 2.37 million barrels a day, down from 2.6 million barrels a day a year ago.

Speaking to the National Assembly's comptroller committee on Wednesday, PdVSA Director Luis Vierma said the country currently has 120 active rigs, 36% below the year's target of 191 rigs.


Residents to engage on Moz-Gauteng pipeline

Mpumalanga residents will be given a chance to comment on the construction of a R4 billion fuel pipeline, set to cut through the province from Mozambique to Gauteng.


Canadians continue to go green

Although none of them can be considered "economy buys" as far as sticker price goes, hybrid vehicles continue to sell briskly in Canada and public interest has been rising along with "green awareness."


Car buyers stalled at pumps

Higher gas prices are driving some Milwaukee-area buyers to import automotive brands and keeping other cash-strapped buyers on the sidelines.


Denmark: Hydrogen powered car set for production

Not since the days of the ill-fated Ellert has Denmark been a car producing country. But now dwindling oil supplies and the threat of global warming have sped up plans for the production of a hydrogen-powered car, financial daily Børsen reported Friday.


Are Democrats the Peak-Oil Party?

"We have to understand how weak [Iran] is," explained Sen. Joe Biden last month at the Democratic presidential debate in Nashua, N.H. "They import almost all of their refined oil. By 2014, they are going to be importing their crude oil." If Biden really meant to say what he said, that places him firmly in the camp of those analysts who believe in "peak oil" and predict that global oil production will soon decline even as demand continues to rise, with the results being ever higher oil prices and shortages.

Peak oilers contend that the Middle East oil reserves are vastly overstated. Some, the minority to be sure, even think that global oil production will fall so far, so fast, that western civilization will have to return to some sort of pre-industrial way of life.


Peak Oil When? Case Western U. launches a scientific polling

Case Western Reserve University has launched a scientific effort aimed at reaching a global consensus over the expected timing for Peak Oil.

The chosen methodology, BiPSA, would take in opinions from everyone and integrate them according to the credentials of the sources. Quite a few experts have already voted on the site.

The Peak-Oil-When project is part of a large energy alternatives research initiated by this highly respect institution, further illuminating the energy crisis as the dangerous choke point for Western civilization.


Crucial six months to stop the lights going out

Britain's energy policy is entering a crucial phase with decisions over the next few months shaping the country's ability to meet demand over the next two decades, according to energy minister Malcolm Wicks.


Conoco has big plans for oil sands

ConocoPhillips Co. is prepared to spend billions of dollars on pipelines and refinery upgrades to allow it to process oil sands crude throughout its refinery network stretching to the U.S. Gulf Coast, company chairman Jim Mulva said Thursday.


ConocoPhillips CEO: Gazprom Wants More Talks on Shtokman

Gazprom OAO (GSPBEX.RS) officials have told ConocoPhillips (COP) that they're interested in talks about the U.S. company's inclusion in the massive Shtokman liquid natural gas project in Russia, the head of ConocoPhillips said Thursday.


Tokyo Frets as Nuclear Shutdown Hits Energy

The Nikkei business newspaper, citing unnamed sources, said the government would keep the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa plant shut for at least a year as the operator, Tokyo Electric Power Co. (TEPCO), conducts a safety study.

Officials in Tokyo declined to comment, but a local representative in the plant's hometown of Kashiwazaki said it would not be used at least through the summer, the peak months for electricity demand.

The damage to the plant is "unprecedented and it's hard to predict when operations can resume," said fire department official Osamu Oshima.


Singapore, Dubai, Hong Kong Suited to a Peak Oil World

Has the stock market priced in the prospect of a peak in global oil production? No, says money manager and CFA Robert Rodriguez in a paper called “Absence of Fear”. We took his paper and fired off a series of questions to our US-based colleagues. What would the market look like if Peak Oil was priced in? Dan Amoss, the editor of Strategic Investment, chimed in.


Dave Cohen: Exaggerated Oil Recovery

There is never a dull moment for those studying the peak oil question. The National Petroleum Council (NPC) released its long-awaited report Facing the Hard Truths About Energy on Wednesday, July 18th. A prepublication draft of the report contained references to a graph (2nd figure, below left) which was subsequently excised from the full report now available to public. The NPC report talks about peak oil, and the missing graph is part of that discussion.


Keeping Our Motor Running

Energy: Experts inside the oil industry have assessed the situation, and their outlook for the future is rather bright. Unlike those on the outside, these are the people who know what they're talking about.


Energy: Some Truths, Some Lies and A Whole Lot of Controversy

As reported by the Energy Bulletin, The Hard Truths Report may be soft soaping the real impact of increased demands and supply and delivery issues as it will impact the United States. A report issued by the GAO in March, emphasized that the United States may well be unprepared for disruptions in oil supply and delivery. The International Energy Commission last week predicted world oil shortages by 2012.


Oil Gap: NPC's 'Hard Truths' (podcast)

Perhaps the most sobering assessment to come out of the panel presentation is that even if there is sufficient diverse energy resources below the ground, the cost of building the necessary production, storage and distribution infrastructure to handle all these different resources is $20 trillion by at least one estimate.


Phil Flynn: Wham! Wham! Whammy!

Wham Jam! The gasoline got the proverbial triple whammy when the Department of Energy released its weekly inventory report and gas supplies confounded the experts in all major categories. In other words supply was down, production was down and demand was up. That lit a fire under the energy complex that is continuing to rage, being fueled even higher by a red hot China GDP and a refinery problem at a Total French refinery. The bullish stars are in alignment and the bear’s best get out of the way.


Energy shortages impact on Argentine industrial activities

For the first time since Argentina begun its strong recovery in 2003, industrial production contracted apparently because of the escalating energy problems and restrictions, according to the Buenos Aires think-tank FIEL which regularly releases monthly reports on economic and other activities. FIEL numbers show that manufacturing industry last June in Argentina contracted 0.8% compared to a year ago and 3.9% down from last May.


The Greening of Entertainment Tech

There is ample evidence suggesting that this happy-go-lucky age is beginning to wind down, largely due to something called peak oil. It follows a classic bell curve. On your way up the curve, the oil is easy to extract, of very high quality, can be sold cheap, and life is good. At the top of the curve the field is 50 percent exhausted—that’s peak oil. As you move down the curve, the oil gets harder to extract, harder to refine into something usable, and becomes exponentially more expensive. Domestic production in the United States peaked in 1970, setting the stage for the OPEC oil embargo of 1973 and a decade of financial instability. To cover the shortfall, we began importing more. Now there are many who believe worldwide production is peaking. For more details, see mainstream media coverage. Then check out these folks who are keeping a vigil.


Park District Urges Public to Help “Save Our Lake” from Industrial Sludge

With the approved expansion of BP’s Whiting Refinery by way of state regulators circumventing environmental laws, a considerable amount of ammonia and industrial sludge will be polluting Lake Michigan, the very source of Chicago’s fresh water.


New Nukes for California?

While the lights are staying on this summer, the long run prospects are still shaky. Highly visible state policies have focused on wind and solar as new sources while the behind the scene actions all point to only one source for the bulk of our electric generation - natural gas. The reasons why wind and solar can't be relied on for reliable and extensive electricity are well covered elsewhere. As tidbits of power, they seem harmless enough, if costly, but any polity that expects on-demand service from its electric grid needs to still focus on the meat-and-potatoes of power. For example, during last summer's brutal heat wave here in California, our wind resources were producing only 6% of their capacity.

So what are the meat-and-potatoes options for California? Like most places in the US, we really only have three choices - coal, natural gas, or nuclear.


1 Killed, 13 Injured in Ras Tanura Blaze

A fire that broke out at Saudi Aramco’s North Product Terminal in Ras Tanura yesterday killed one worker and injured 13 others, according to a source that requested anonymity.


Imperial Oil, ExxonMobil Canada bet $585M on offshore Arctic natural gas and oil

Imperial Oil Ltd. and its sister company ExxonMobil Canada, have slapped down a cool half billion dollar bet that offshore exploration in the Beaufort Sea could result in profitable oil and natural gas production.


Plug-in hybrids would slash carbon output by 2050, report says

Plug-in hybrid cars would cut U.S. greenhouse gas emissions by 500 million tons a year by 2050 without taxing the electric grid, according to a report issued Thursday by an unusual coalition of power companies, General Motors and the Natural Resources Defense Council.


Indonesians told 'inconvenient truth' of climate change

In a darkened auditorium on a weekday afternoon, Indonesians are warned that floods in their capital will become more catastrophic and the haze-inducing fires blazing through their forests are partly to blame. A message from Al Gore has arrived.

For the first time in Indonesia, the world's fourth most populous nation and its third largest carbon emitter, a tailored version of the climate change slideshow delivered by former US vice president Gore and featured in the smash movie "An Inconvenient Truth" is underway.


Melting glaciers raise sea level more than polar ice sheets - Sea levels may rise by 9 inches this century

Contrary to common belief, melting glaciers due to global warming contribute more to the rising sea level than the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets, researchers said Thursday in a study.

Scientists found that the ebb and flow of glaciers where they meet the water causes them to speed up and deliver more ice into the world's oceans than previously estimated, said the study published in Science's latest issue.

A new Round-Up has been posted at TOD:Canada.

Ontario has nuclear ambitions, the first of which is being thwarted by a lack of transmission capacity. If the power can't be transmitted once the deadline arrives, Ontario will have to pay for it anyway under the terms of their agreement with Bruce Power. Meanwhile, Quebec has difficulties with transport infrastructure, Alberta is losing it's skilled workforce in the oilpatch to early retirement, and Danny Williams may (or may not) be talking to the oil companies in Newfoundland.

CIBC, pondering its exposure to the subprime mess south of the border, is concerned about the prospect of $100 oil, and that risk may be becoming a four-letter word. The M&A juggernaut may be coming to an end, as Canada worries about the knock-on effect of a US recession. The subprime nosedive gets dramatically worse, with some investors threatening to sue Bear Stearns over a total loss. Desperate optimism continues, despite the subprime problems being "safely contained to all 15 ABX indexes". Meanwhile the Mortgage Lender Implode-O-Meter reaches 100.

Water quantity is a problem for both California and London, England, whereas water quality is the issue in Alberta, Ottawa, China and the Gulf of Mexico. China in particular is paying the price for being "filthy rich".

Syria, Iran Anticipate Victory in Mid-East War this Summer

" At a joint press conference with Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said that "Syria and Iran are aspiring for this summer to be hot by virtue of the victories that will be attained by the peoples of the region... and the enemies of the peoples of the region are on their way to perdition and defeat."

The Iranian president welcomed Hezbollah's victory over Israel in a war between the two sides in the summer of 2006 and called for a similar victory this summer."

http://www.thememriblog.org/blog_personal/en/2215.htm

http://news.monstersandcritics.com/middleeast/news/article_1332174.php/A...

http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070719/wl_mideast_afp/syriairandiplomacy_0...

http://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jsource/Threats_to_Israel/Syria.html

Hezbollah's victory over Israel

Wasn't that a hoot?

I guess Israel felt bad about it, they dropped 2 million cluster bombs in the villages, towns and farm fields in southern Lebanon in the last 48 hours of the "War". Parting gifts so to speak.

Good money was made for those who invested in War. Those Cluster bombs need to be replace for the next go round.

Humor *off

Ok, supposedly we have a free press in the US. Here we have a war council take place in Syria including the leaders of Hamas and Hezbollah. Ahmadinejad and Assad express optimism about the WAR THIS SUMMER, and Yahoo(the only western press saying anything) saying, "The strength of their ties is viewed with the deepest suspicion in Washington". Nothing about the comments, nothing about an approaching war, NOTHING.

Full coverage.

http://cid-yama.livejournal.com/

Towards a free press and a free America.

Cid,

After reading DPA (German) at Monsters, and AFP (French) at Yahoo, I haven't seen one thing that is overly inflammatory, and certainly not some war council reference. And since I trust European journalists to pick up on that sort of thing, I conclude it's simply made up, and I'm left wondering what your agenda is.

"The Iranian president welcomed Hezbollah's victory over Israel in a war between the two sides in the summer of 2006 and called for a similar victory this summer." IS from DPA.

Since I have been reporting links to the unfolding events here for days that have been supported day after day as the story has unfolded, what is YOUR agenda, attempting to cast dispersions?

Here, how about this one from the 17th?

Top Israeli General Confirms War with Syria Imminent

http://www.israeltoday.co.il/default.aspx?tabid=178&nid=13461

Yes, exactly, Iran et al are talking about the region being attacked. Is it inflammatory to suggest you might defend yourself?

If you want the whole story go to:

http://cid-yama.livejournal.com/

I'm not going to move it all over here. War is about to break out. Starting with Guerilla and Commando attacks on Israel followed by retaliation by Israel (and probably the US). Iran will Launch it's missiles at Israel.(and probably US positions and Carrier Groups) WWIII.

Cid why are you posting all this stuff? I also wondering what's you agenda? This is not the best place for political discussions. It has very little to do with Peak Oil. You know as well as anybody that links that you post are one sided.

I can see that you keep pushing you web page. And instead of doing a normal marketing you just decided to hijack this web site. Please finish your marketing compain. I get enough ads on TV. It would be better if you used Google ads or like.

I also do not appreciate that you are so rude to other members. You points do not seem any more convincing to me just becasue you insult others.

Duh! War in Middle East = Disruption in Oil Flow. Pretty Simple. Duh! My "website" is just a blog. Just a place to put stuff to direct my friends to or put stuff too big to put it all here. Like I could give a shit.

Cid,

I value your posts. Keep them comming.

Thanks for all your effort!
TechGuy

agree that it is on-topic and i do find Cid's posts interesting

but I would say that Israel pro-con debates can devolve quickly on internet sites so it tends to behoove everyone to make the extra effort to be a little polite and tolerant in discourse

(and i am a stroppy bugger that argues at the drop of a hat so i know i'm stretching here - but Israel stuff does tend to get into back and forth and hijack whole sites)
--
When no-one around you understands
start your own revolution
and cut out the middle man

Not to mention since the Lebanon war it has been found out that isrial has it's own cyber-posting department. Where they had people search for places that talked about the war, created accounts, and then filled those parts of the board with their state's propaganda about it to drown out those who thought critically and thereby negatively about their actions.

I believe the term is

megaphonies

Quid Clarius Astris
Ubi Bene ibi patria

The enemies of the region should abandon plans to attack

Since Iran and Syria are simply saying that they will fight back if they are attacked, I find it hardly newsworthy. So it's not a surprise that there is no coverage. It's quite natural to assume that country will be defending itself if attacked. It would be a news if they said otherwise.

Did you really expect that Iran will come out and say "If Israel attacks us we will be doomed"?

This from the 15th.

Syria Prepared to Go to War with Israel

If Israel doesn't vacate the strategic Golan Heights before September, Syrian guerrillas will immediately launch "resistance operations" against the Golan's Jewish communities, a top official from Syrian President Bashar Assad's Baath party told WND.

The Baath official, who spoke on condition his name be withheld, said Damascus is preparing for anticipated Israeli retaliation following Syrian guerrilla attacks and for a larger war with the Jewish state in August or September. He said in the opening salvo of any conflict, Syria has the capabilities of firing "hundreds" of missiles at Tel Aviv.

"Syria passed repeated messages to the U.S. that we demand the return of the Golan either through negotiations or through war. If the Golan is not in our hands by August or September, we will be poised to launch resistance, including raids and attacks against Jewish positions (in the Golan Heights)," the Baath official said.

http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=56567

World Net Daily practices propaganda, not journalism.

You can lead an Idiot to a Library but you can't raise his IQ.

You can lead an Idiot to a Library but you can't raise his IQ.

Cid, How about my version.

You can lead a man to knowledge, but you can't make him think.

jc

Oh, so much better. I defer to you.

I agree with HeIsSoFly, I wonder about your agenda, Cid Yama. This blog is about energy and our future, not about trying to drum up support for a war. Bob Ebersole

Give me a break Bob. I'm not trying to build support for a war. I am #1 concerned that this is a BIG THING and not covered by the MSM and War in Middle East, Especially if BIG WAR, will disrupt OIL SHIPMENTS from the Persian Gulf. Gee, No connection to energy or our future there. Totally has nothing to do with this website. Sheesh.

Just curious, CY, if you have a theory as to why the MSM is not covering this.

And why, since everyone else seems to know exactly what the perfidious Syrians are going to do, etc., is there not an instantaneous pre-emptive strike. It seems to me that the element of surprise is somewhat lacking.

I mean, you are outlining a multi-step sequence to all-out war in the Middle East here.

"And why, since everyone else seems to know exactly what the perfidious Syrians are going to do, etc., is there not an instantaneous pre-emptive strike. It seems to me that the element of surprise is somewhat lacking."

Exactly! Israel cuts off water to Syria used for electricity production and irrigation. Syria threatens to send small units into the Golan Heights to deal with the situation if Israel does not relinquish control immediately. US Administration cannot expand war due to domestic political considerations. BUT, if Syria launches Commando assault in the Golan Heights to blow the dam preventing water from flowing to Syria, US can claim Syria attacked Israel and give it justification for expanded war. If Iran helps against Israeli retaliation, US has pretext to invade Iran.

Just curious, CY, if you have a theory as to why the MSM is not covering this.

The revolution will not be televised.

Man, once surrendering his reason, has no remaining guard against the absurdities the most monstrous, and like a ship without rudder, is the sport of every wind. -- Thomas Jefferson

I think it's more like 'see no evil, hear no evil, speak no evil'

Sgage

Do you have a theory as to why the MSM reportage in advance of, and in the early days of, the Iraq war was so biased and lacking?

I suspect they are linked.
--
When no-one around you understands
start your own revolution
and cut out the middle man

Cid Yama,

That's all very well, but some of your sources are generally known as very unreliable and unashamedly pro-Israel. The World Net Daily has published lots of odd Israeli propaganda that few knowledgeable people could take seriously. MEMRI is the master of selective reporting and has been known deliberately to mistranslate sources for the sole purpose of making the "enemies of Israel" look bad. Anything coming from these two, or the extreme right-wing Jerusalem Post et al. should be viewed with a healthy dose of scepticism.

Actually, If you looked, you would have seen that Israel is INSTIGATING this war by cutting off water to Syria. Not a pro-Israel position.

Israel Diverts Water from Syria

http://www.myantiwar.org/view/123334.html

http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1162378496663&pagename=JPost%...

Where is the Wihada reservoir? I haven't found any reference to it other than in various copies of this story.

I don't think it is correct to characterize the Jerusalem Post as an extreme right-wing paper. It's a pretty reputable paper which has been publishing since 1932. Although the paper's perspective is a little right of the center in Israel, they carry some left wing columnists as well. Of course, it might not be bad to treat anything one reads in the media - right, left or center - with a certain degree of skepticism.

Fair enough. It just seems to me that their readership at least is very right-wing: if you read the readers' comments on Middle Eastern politics, most of them come across as openly racist towards Arabs (and all Muslims), and generally in favour of the most aggressive policies that the Likud could contemplate (including nuking Iran).

The Jerusalem Post is one of the many newspapers that were owned by a rather dishonest and right-wing proprietor Lord Black

Please don't tell me that he did not influence what his journalists had to say about the Middle East.

By the way, you should take a look at the relationship between the phone calls by Rupert Murdoch to Tony Blair at critical points of time for the Middle East - three times in the 10 days leading up to the invasion of Iraq. I guess he was making sure that his newspapers were going to trot out the party line.

No connection to energy or our future there.

I swear it looks like the common thread in your comments is Israel, not oil... No?

Have you posted any link that does not mention Israel, Syria or Iran attacking Israel, or some other country attacking Israel? These news articles can have valid points in exposing dangers to Israel, but that's a different subject.

You made you point and it can have an effect on oil prices, but lets not do it day after day. It starting to feel like an ad that I am forced to watch.

As far as war breaking out, did it ever felt there like a peace since Israel was created? Seems like not.

Actually further disruption of the tenuous "peace" in the middle east will have a DIRECT impact on Oil, specifically oil prices.

Last year when Isreal and Lebanon were mixing it up, the fear factor alone was enough to drive Oil prices soaring.

This year, we have a 2mbpd shortfall due to a 1mbpd increase in demand and 1mbpd decrease in production as compared to last year. This alone has sent prices to near record breaking levels as is evidenced by that little side bar graph on the right of your page here provided by Yahoo on the price of oil.

Now if fear alone pushed oil up to 79+ dollars last time, what will fear and actual production shortages do this time?

Or worse if Iran does wade into this, and shuts (whether voluntarily or forecfully) their production off how much worse is this going to get?

Folks if this spins out the wrong way we could be l