DrumBeat: September 24, 2007


Russia to run out of oil in 50 years, gas in 75 years - scientist

Russia will run out of crude oil reserves in 50 years, and the country's natural gas will be depleted in 75 years, a geologist specializing in oil production said Monday.

Yevgeny Kozlovsky, who served as geology minister in the Soviet Union, said the forecast was based on predicted production levels and the size of current reserves, including possible new finds.

Cheap oil days nearing end, UNH prof warns

The supply of oil will peak this decade and the world no longer can depend on it as a cheap energy source, according to a professor at the University of New Hampshire.


Venezuelan 2008 budget estimates oil prices at USD 30-50

Assessments comprise six oil-related scenarios. The first scenario estimates the oil price at USD 30 per barrel, with other scenarios where the oil price is calculated at USD 33, USD 35, USD 40, USD 45, and USD 50. This time, the experts are presenting a high-price scenario, as opposed to previous fiscal years.


Australia: A crude awakening

HAVE the policy mandarins in George Street been sniffing petrol instead of putting it in their taxpayer-funded cars?

It's the only possible explanation for the hare-brained proposal to regulate petrol prices in Queensland.


Qatar seeks $2.5bn to fund power plant

Qatar, holder of the world's third-largest natural gas reserves, wants to triple electricity output from about 3,500 megawatts last year to meet soaring demand, driven by population and industrial growth.


Syrian minister meets Canadian team on oil fields

Syrian Minister of Petroleum and Mineral Resources Sofian al-Alaw met here Monday with a team of Canada's Dublin International Petroleum on the latter's development works in Syrian oil fields.

They discussed the company's efforts to develop and increase production at Ouda and Tishreen oil fields, east of Syria, the Syrian Ministry of Petroleum said in a release.


India pledges 150 mln dlr investment in Myanmar as protests swell

India has pledged to invest 150 million dollars for gas exploration in Myanmar, a statement here said, as pro-democracy protests in its military-ruled neighbour swelled to 100,000 people.


Wal-Mart to study energy impact

Retailer Wal-Mart Stores Inc. said Monday it will partner with a nonprofit climate group to measure the amount of energy used to create products throughout its supply chain.

Wal-Mart said it would work with the group, called the Carbon Disclosure Project, to determine the environmental impact of making DVDs, toothpaste, soap, milk, beer, vacuum cleaners and soda.


Ex-CIA chief: Renewable energy is key for national security

Tapping renewable sources of energy to replace oil is in the national security interest of the U.S. government and its people, former CIA director James Woolsey said Friday.


Yes, The Internet Saves Energy

Recently, in this column, I said this, “I don’t think there’s been a study, and I can’t prove it, but I think the Internet is one of the greatest energy saving inventions ever created.”

Well, now there IS a study to back up my claim. The Consumer Electronics Association (CEA (tm)) thinks the Internet saves energy too; and it’s substantial.


Academy maps out China's strategic energy plan

The plan proposes three steps. The first is to develop energy-saving technology and master techniques in the collection, storage and utilization of carbon dioxide by 2020.

From 2021 to 2030, the focus will be on promoting nuclear energy and other renewable energies so they become main resources and maximizing the efficiency of solar energy.

Over the following 20 years, the academy advocates the reduction of fossil energies (coal, petroleum, natural gas) to less than 60 percent of total energy consumption.


Armed Group Threatened Renewed Attacks In Nigeria's Oil Rich Delta

One of the main armed groups operating in Nigeria's oil rich delta, The Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta, or MEND, has released a statement calling an end to a four-month ceasefire on attacks and kidnappings of expatriates. The statement follows unconfirmed reports that a leading figure in MEND was earlier this month arrested in Angola on arms trafficking charges.


Venezuela to Expand Petrochemicals Production, Chavez Says

Venezuela, the fourth-biggest supplier of crude oil to the United States, will expand its petrochemicals industry during the next five years, lifting annual revenue to $100 billion, President Hugo Chavez said.


Ethanol runs out of gas when you tote up true cost

In the politically motivated rush to replace gasoline with corn ethanol, we may be doing ourselves real economic harm.


China: Cities promote 'energy saving' in blackouts

Beijing authorities switched off the landscape lights and flood lamps at Wangfujing, the busiest commercial street in the Chinese capital, for 30 minutes Sunday night, in the hope of raising the public awareness of saving energy.


Climate change spooks companies

Ever more companies see climate change as a growing threat to their commercial interests, according to a study carried out on behalf of 315 global investors.

But others expect to benefit, says the Global Climate Change Report.


Climate action needed now, U.N. chief urges

U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon told an unprecedented U.N. summit on climate change Monday that “the time for doubt has passed” and a breakthrough is needed in global talks to sharply reduce emissions of global-warming gases.


Shell president: Energy crisis ‘one hurricane away’ in U.S.

“We are one hurricane away from energy scarcity and volatile, high prices,” Hofmeister said a day after crude oil prices topped $80 — a record, unadjusted for inflation. “We are so tight on the demand-supply relationship.”

Americans for the past half-century have largely enjoyed a lifestyle based on the availability of cheap, abundant energy, Hofmeister said. As demand for energy has grown — the nation today consumes 10,000 barrels of oil per second, he said — its “energy security” has been compromised, he said.

“We have seen our country pass, in my opinion, a tipping point of energy supply keeping up with demand,” Hofmeister said.


Raymond J. Learsy: The NYTimes, The Oil Patch's Faithful Cheerleader Trashes Ethanol

Perhaps it was inevitable. The New York Times with its 'rose tinted glasses' reporting on the world oil industry, standing shoulder to shoulder together with Hugo Chavez and his well rehearsed sense of victimization, bashing "ethanol", happy to undermine ethanol's growing challenge to oils perfidious hegemony over our lives.


The Mogambo Guru: Silver and gold salvation

As regards peak oil, Mr Puplava ominously says, "All the canaries have stopped singing", a reference to the fact that the mining industry used to stick a canary down in a mine to see if the air was poisonous by noting whether or not the bird died, a callousness towards canaries that reminds me of the Federal Reserve policy of constantly creating the poison of too much money and credit, and then watching their indicators to see how many people die a financial death.


Albany activists strive for sustainability

On Saturday, Sept. 29, several Mansion neighborhood residents will host Albany Skill Share 2007, a community-organized conference aimed at teaching city residents how to live self-sufficiently.

"It's kind of a way to prepare for a post-peak-oil society, but it's also about taking any steps you can to reduce the use of petroleum products now," said main organizer Dylan Boyce. "The best way for society to prepare is that everyone knows as much as possible, and whatever happens, they can provide for themselves."


Fears over rush into green funds

Fears are mounting of a bubble in funds investing in renewable energy stocks as asset management companies rush to launch funds to tap into the environmental zeitgeist.


Bush, the Bomb and Iran

To bomb or not to bomb Iran, that's the question the Bush Administration appears to be debating these days, once again revealing the extraordinary disconnect between the White House and the American people. With a catastrophic occupation of Iraq and polls showing the American public so skeptical about the use of military force that only eight percent support military action against Iran, there is nevertheless a clear and present danger that Cheney and the neocons will again prevail and lead this Administration into another disastrous military misadventure.


Taiwan provides Sao Tome and Principe with US$15 million for new power station

Taiwan has provided US$15 million to Sao Tome and Principe for the construction of a new thermal power station in order to overcome the energy crisis on the archipelago, the president of Sao Tome said Friday.


Ohio road projects could be squeezed by higher gas prices

The Ohio Department of Transportation estimates that it may face a $1.5 billion deficit by 2013, partly because the high cost of fuel has Ohioans driving less and buying vehicles that are more fuel efficient. Those choices mean less gas-tax revenue for the state.


India absent as Iran, Pakistan resume gas talks

Iran and Pakistan started a new round of talks over finalising a long-delayed multi-billion dollar gas pipeline project with India, but in the absence of Indian officials.

Officials said India's absence was linked to its lack of agreement on pricing terms with Pakistan for the so-called "Peace Pipeline", which aims to usher in a new era of cooperation between the three countries.


Schwarzenegger, Gore add star power to climate meet

California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger and former Vice President Al Gore are set to join world leaders for a U.N. meeting on Monday aimed at spurring global negotiations on how to cool a warming planet.


Maine: Economic development committee mulls rezoning, downtown facades

Co-owner Matthew Simmons' plan for an ocean institute is moving ahead, Hall said, noting up to 25,000 square feet of the building have been designated for possible use for ocean energy research. One component of the ocean center would be nonprofit, and another, entrepreneurial, Hall said, noting a business plan is in place.


Edison on front lines of greenhouse gas effort

In some ways, the challenges Bryson and his utility colleagues face now are tougher than dealing with the chaotic, disastrous electricity market meltdown that hit in 2000 and 2001. How do you provide more power to a growing state without worsening global warming? How do you meet the state's renewable energy goals if the public opposes the necessary wind farms and transmission lines? How do you upgrade an aging power infrastructure and keep customer rates in check?


Global oil extinction: Could be a blessing in disguise for Sri Lanka

This is a several billion dollar market opportunity if the Government is ready to grab it. Here we have a chance of becoming one of the next generation Middle East countries who sat on gold like oil mines. All we have to do is to convert from oil into solar, wind and wave energy as soon as possible.


Biofueling Disorder

Would you believe that the weather in Indiana could trigger popular unrest in China? Global demand for fuel made out of food is growing so fast that grain supplies are becoming dangerously thin. In this market, a hiccup in agricultural production — like a drought in America’s Corn Belt — could cause food prices to skyrocket in countries like China that depend on food imports. When poor urbanites in developing nations suddenly cannot afford to eat, they just might take to the streets in anger.


Viable coal deposits discovered in Kenya

Kenya’s hopes of becoming a coal producer have received a major boost after exploratory drills in two districts in Eastern Province yielded encouraging results, with the country’s cement industry expected to be the first beneficiary.


Wind-Driven Delusions

Now it’s worth keeping in mind that New Jersey is one of the East Coast States that is on record as not wanting to permit any drilling for oil or natural gas on its part of the continental shelf, presumably because the sight of any rigs might dampen property values or pose a hazard to the “pristine” environment. So, let’s see, a few oilrigs are bad, but miles of wind turbines are good.


Nepal: Petroleum Shortage Doing Harm

The shortage of fuel has prodded some sections of the society to stage protests against the government recently. The other day, Kathmandu's taxi drivers created road-blocks protesting the government's apathy in providing fuel easily to them. Students have also protested the short supply of fuel. If the situation continues for long, the average Nepali citizens too would join the protests against the government's failure to ease the supply. Because, these sections of the society are the worst hit by the crunch in fuel. Without fuel, the daily income of public vehicle operators and others suffer while the general people too would feel the hit due to shortage of petrol, diesel, kerosene and most of all cooking gas.


Record numbers join Burmese protests: as many as 100,000 demonstrators take to streets

The protests, which were sparked by a doubling of petrol and diesel prices and a five-fold increase in cooking gas, tapped a deep well of anger in a country in economic crisis. Inflation is running at about 40% and most people suffer real economic hardship.

Yet the protesters' anger against the government appears to have become more broad-based, even though the monks have restricted their demands. They seek only a cut in fuel prices, an apology for an earlier attack on monks, and dialogue between the military and the opposition in order to promote "reconciliation".


Analysts watch, wince as Mexico's oil supply dwindles

The threat of economic sabotage by a shady group known as the Revolutionary Popular Army EPR poses a major new headache for the Mexican government. But Mexico's energy industry problems run far deeper than terrorist attacks on its infrastructure, analysts say, and have major implications for U.S. oil supply.

"Mexico's oil production is in decline. There's probably no way to stop it," said Mike Rodgers, an expert at one of the top oil industry consulting firms, PFC Energy in Houston.


Coming to Grips with Chavez

To understand Venezuela today, you have to understand Venezuela B.C. — Before Chavez. That is, of course, radical left-wing President Hugo Chavez, who is poised to descend on New York again this week. As a graduate student in the 1980s, I was a volunteer teacher at a school in a Caracas slum; when it rained I often had to help families lodge boulders under their ramshackle homes to prevent them from sliding down the steep hillsides. More than half of Venezuela's population lived in similar poverty, even though the country has the hemisphere's largest oil reserves. So shamelessly did its kleptocratic elite rob the oil wealth that a best-selling book of that era was the three-volume Dictionary of Corruption in Venezuela. It chronicled the nation's surreal and mostly unpunished scandals, the kind of chronic, brazen theft that has left Latin America with the world's widest chasm between rich and poor.


Argentina fury at UK bid for Falkland seas

Argentina has reacted furiously to plans by Britain to lay claim to vast new tracts of potentially oil and gas-rich territories in the seas off the Falklands.


Bad Weather Triggers Oil Production Cut

About 46 percent of the Gulf of Mexico's daily oil production was still shut off Sunday even though a short-lived tropical depression that caused platform evacuations had long dissipated.


ConocoPhillips Reports Malfunction at Borger, Texas, Refinery

ConocoPhillips, the second- largest U.S. refiner, said a malfunction necessitated flaring yesterday at its plant in Borger, Texas.

The refinery burned off about 500 pounds (227 kilograms) of sulfur dioxide for one hour, ending at 4:38 p.m. local time, according to a company report on the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality Web site. The incident marks the sixth malfunction at the plant this month.

Terry Hunt, a ConocoPhillips spokeswoman, didn't immediately respond to messages seeking comment on the malfunction and its impact, if any, on production.


Internal Iraq oil pipeline cut by bomb

An internal pipeline carrying crude oil to a Baghdad refinery was ruptured in a bomb attack by insurgents, police said on Sunday, the second attack on a pipeline in Iraq in five days.


South Korea's October Gasoil Exports May Decline on Maintenance

South Korean refiners may reduce gasoil exports by 3 percent next month because of refinery maintenance at S-Oil Corp., officials at the companies said.


Gas prices drop about 2 cents last two weeks

The average price of regular gasoline on Friday was $2.79 a gallon, mid-grade was $2.91 and premium was $3.03, oil industry analyst Trilby Lundberg said.


Three die in North Sea accident

Three men, two Scots and a Pole, were killed in an accident aboard a North Sea gas rig supply vessel on Sunday, the boat's owners said.


Peak Oil and the Fall of Suburbia

I come at this with two premises:

● Any new dominant settlement system will, of course, emerge from an already existing pattern of settlement; and,

● Any new dominant settlement system will, of course, have to be able to grow into a dominant position within the context of the previous dominant system.


Sustainable society within reach, ecological designer says

If the summer's crop of drought and wildfire headlines threatened to send you sliding into a sweaty, globally warmed pit of despair, you'll find the words of David Orr inspiring, albeit in a tough-love kind of way. According to Orr, a pioneer in ecological design and Paul Sears Distinguished Professor and chair of the environmental studies program at Oberlin College, we already have the technology and know-how to create a world where every individual alive today can live a fulfilling, sustainable life. But only - and here's our kick in the pants - if we act immediately to reduce our consumption of fossil fuels.


Rising Seas Likely to Flood U.S. History

Ultimately, rising seas will likely swamp the first American settlement in Jamestown, Va., as well as the Florida launch pad that sent the first American into orbit, many climate scientists are predicting.

In about a century, some of the places that make America what it is may be slowly erased.


New study: Urban sprawl a factor in global warming

A new study says gas-guzzling SUVs and industry are not the only major factors in producing the greenhouse effect.

The Urban Land Use Institute, based in Washington and London, says urban residential sprawl is a big factor.

Colorado is a textbook example of the effects of such growth, says Michael Leccese, director of the institute. He told the Summit Daily that shifting 60 percent of new growth to more dense patterns could reduce carbon dioxide patterns by 85 million tons annually.


Scientists hopeful despite climate signs

NASA's James Hansen, who forecasts some of the bleakest outlooks on global warming, said in an e-mail: "I am always surprised when people get depressed rather than energized to do something. It's not too late to stabilize climate."

A new guest post by Chris Nelder has been posted at TOD:Canada.

We thought we just had to provide you with the opportunity to see Chris' wonderful pictures of the unique event that is the Burning Man, many of which have to do with (sometimes truly) alternative energy forms. It all looks like an amazing experience, and we can only imagine what it must have been like to physically be there.

Many thanks to ilargi for web-optimizing the photographs.

----------------------------–

The Wild 'n' Out Energy of the Burning Man

Recently, I spent eight days in the Nevada desert with 47,000-some-odd other folks at the utterly unique annual event called Burning Man.

This was my third time there, and it was more than a third larger, and quite a bit more taxing, than I remembered from my last attendance in 2000.

For those who haven't heard of Burning Man, it's . . . well, it's hard to describe. In fact there are probably as many descriptions as there are attendees.

burning2
The author, wearing Burning Man basics in front of an art sculpture made from two oil tankers that you can climb through

A quick check of Google Earth suggests that increasing territorial waters around the Falkland Islands would have minimal direct impact on Argentina, since at the closest point the countries are only 230 miles apart anyway (eg a dividing line has already been drawn and wouldn't change).

What it does do, particularly around South Georgia and South Sandwich Islands is significantly extend the potential areas for drilling to cover a sizeable chunk of the South Atlantic.

Seems as if its just another case of Argentina trying to claim the Falklands (again) and not liking another thing that might make the UK even more certain that its staying put.

Anyone know if anyone has done any drilling and if there is real, rather in wishful thinking, oil in the area?

Anyone know if anyone has done any drilling in the area?

Somebody punched a hole down there back in the late '80s.
No idea of the actual result. I do know that there is as much "rumour oil" down there as is located in the Canadian arctic.

Info on Falklands exploratory drilling (first posted by MUDLOGGER about a week ago

http://www.desireplc.co.uk/pdfs/journalpart1.pdf

Regards Chris

Hmm, interesting.

Although I'm not well enough informed to know what that means for the possibility of finding oil deposits in the region.

Its interesting to note how the territorial waters shown would extend further eastwards if 350 rather than 200miles were the limit.

There was already a war there between Britain and the Argentines twenty five years ago. I believe there, as in Iraq, we took a crap on the PM's desk as well, failing to back them when the Falklanders' interests and theirs coincided.

With allies like us the Brits don't really need enemies, do they?

If there is oil we'll get a nice Hugo Chavez/GWB ego proxy war out of the deal, and then perhaps some real shooting later.

A lot of people back home felt like the US shat all over the UK over the Falklands too...

...though personally to be fair, I heard that the US, and Regan administration, did some strong behind-the-scenes work in the UN to help out without coming out and directly helping...
--
All these memories will be lost in time
like tears in rain

I was not politically aware when the war was on ... I recall the U.S./U.K. "misalignment" from an article I read within the last year - probably something in the CFR's Foreign Affairs.

Bummer about that, as we got on rather famously on a shared problem back in the 1940s ...

The US should have helped the Argentines! In fact, the US did provide logistical support for the British, I think in or near Bermuda, as their ships proceeded South.

I am of the opinion that the Argentinians have a legitimate claim on the Falklands (Malvinas) and that the British shoiuld relinquish control of the Islands. The French were the first to settle on East Falkland in 1764. The British settled an outpost on West Falkland in 1765. Spain bought the French outpost and rights to the Island in 1767. The British withdrew in 1774 due to economic reasons while the Spanish remained until 1811. Argentina became independent in 1816 and declared sovereignty over the islands and established settlements in 1828. The British took the islands by force in 1833 and forced the Argentinians to leave. Argentina has maintained its claim ever since.

Although I believe that Argentina has a legitimate claim to the Malvinas, I disagreed with the invasion in 1982. Again, the Malvinas is Argenine territory and should have the rights to all resources around the islands.

See: http://yendor.com/vanished/falklands-war.html

Amen.
I was in the UK during the Falklands War in 1982 and as a Canadian it was embarrassing to see the blatant jingoism on the street and in the tabloids ("gonna get me an Argie!").
This was a 'war we can win' just like the US invasion of Grenada around the same time; a war to increase support of the government in power.

Grenada- Wasn't that the last war the US won?
Oh- I forgot about Panama-
It was a distraction for the press, to get the Marine Corp Barracks Bombing in Lebanon off the front page--
And the sheeple went along.

You seem to have forgotten that the Argentines actually invaded the Falklands. Forcibly. Armed with weapons. You also seem to have forgotten that the Argentines at the time were in thrall to a military dictatorship (which had 'disappeared' 10-20,000 of its own people). The Falkland locals did not ask them to invade. At the time (and now) 99% of the population wanted to remain linked to the UK.
As for it being a 'war we can win' - I suggest you study the campaign in detail; the UK forces were operating at the end of a 5000 mile seaborne supply link which was extremely tenuous (with aircover provided by less than 30 Harrier jump jets), and the Argentine military (particularly its aviation) were no Grenadian militia (I wonder if you have heard of the word Exocet?). The loss of one aircraft carrier would have doomed the enterprise. Considering the difficulties with logistics (at one point the Argentines knocked out 90% of the UK forces heavy lifting helicopter force) it was really an immense gamble to even undertake the mission.
Still, hell why let a few inconvenient facts get in the way of your political bias.......

absolutely right

the entire argument seems to be that Argentina is close by therefore they have the right to invade

and as to easy - this was an incredible achievement that few militaries in the world could have matched at the time and the Argentine army was a serious foe
--
All these memories will be lost in time
like tears in rain

Has anyone thought to ask the folks who live there what ought to be done?

Seems like its similar to Gibraltar - an issue between the U.K. and Spain, but the Gibraltarians have their own ideas on what is good for them.

they did

the islanders didn't want to be Argentinian

just cos a country is close to a small nation doesn't mean it has the right to invade
--
All these memories will be lost in time
like tears in rain

just cos a big country is far away from a small nation doesn't mean it has the right to invade

The US military secretly helped the Brits in the Falklands. The US transferred some missiles to the Brits and helped out with logistics.

If they push it and drill down there they might be flying every last nut and bolt in. LOL.

Can Magnets Boost Ethanol Production?

http://www.technologyreview.com/Energy/19412/

The researchers at the University of Campinas, in Brazil, say that they boosted ethanol yield 17 percent and shaved two hours off of a 15-hour fermentation process simply by circulating the fermentation brew past six magnets, each about the size of an overstuffed wallet.

Can Magnets Boost Ethanol Production?

No. Mixing can.

Peak Oil and "The Shock Doctrine"

I've started treading Naomi Klein's new book "The Shock Doctrine". Jesus, what a book.

It is required reading for anyone who understands the implications of the current convergence of Peak Oil, ecological collapse, climate chaos and economic instability: that the merging of these global storm fronts is going to result in large-scale, widespread disruptions to our social and economic fabric.

An excellent, extensive "Cliff's Notes" style review is available here on Truthout. Here's an excerpt:

Her newest book is "The Shock Doctrine: The Rise of Disaster Capitalism", that explodes the myth of "free market" democracy. It shows how neoliberal, Washington consensus fundamentalism dominates the world with America its lead exponent exploiting security threats, terror attacks, economic meltdowns, competing ideologies, tectonic political or economic shifts and natural disasters to impose its will everywhere. Wars are waged, social services cut and freedom sacrificed when people are too distracted, cowed or bludgeoned to object. Klein describes a worldwide process of social and economic engineering she calls "disaster capitalism" with torture along for the ride to reinforce the message - no "New World Order" alternatives are tolerated.

Klein's book describes exactly what we have to look forward to on the political front as doctrinaire free-marketeers take advantage of major crises to push forward their agenda of privatization, wealth accumulation, the acquisition of absolute power and the establishment of what amounts to a neo-feudal system. As happened after 9/11, the tsunami, NOLA, the coups in Chile and Argentina and the invasion of Iraq, effective opposition will be shocked into paralysis and supporters of radical restructuring will have a clear field.

For those of us who are convinced that Peak Oil will result in disruptive failure cascades but have not yet articulated their possible political consequences, the book provides a powerful cautionary message. The world faces risks on the political front that may well eclipse the purely technological difficulties we normally focus on here on TOD. For those of us who already foresee an enhanced probability of social collapse due to the effects of Peak Oil, this description of the forces waiting in the wings to take advantage of such events only makes the probability of global disruption that much more certain.

If the coming turmoil is as deep and widespread as many of us fear, it will present the greatest opportunity in history for the "Chicago School". If things go as far as I expect they will, then in 50 or 75 years this may become moot, but in the meantime it's something to be very concerned about. As times get tougher people will clamor for strong-handed governments and those governments will inevitably be drawn from the authoritarian ranks of those who are most aware of the Shock Doctrine. They may then deliberately exacerbate the very crisis they were selected to guard against, because increasing the crisis furthers their ultimate goals.

The approach Klein describes is already visible in the obstructionist political appointments made by the Bush regime in virtually every area having to do with the environment. It's as though they actually wanted to make the problems worse, isn't it? Why would they do that? Naomi Klein presents a frighteningly plausible reason.

Get the book.

Glider: I will read the book. I agree with the basic premise, which is that there is no overseeing institution existing in the USA to look out for the well-being (economic and otherwise) of the nation. For this reason I am more cynical than most on this site re peak oil mitigation efforts in the USA e.g. public transit. IMO, other countries such as Germany, France and Japan are better placed to transition because their societies are still cohesive (the common good is considered important). This is not a criticism of the USA, still one of the best countries, just an opinion.

Jane Smiley on The Shock Doctrine...

Or maybe I'll put it this way -- when you reject common humanity, value profits above people, practice sectarian religion, feel contempt for the choices of others, exalt wealth, conflate consumerism with citizenship, join exclusive clubs, daily practice unkindness rather than kindness, and develop theories, such as those of free market capitalism, that allow you to congratulate yourself morally for selfishness and short-sightedness, then being a gang member is in your future...

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/jane-smiley/the-shock-doctrine_b_64306.htm...

I would say that Klein's book would only be of interest to those that:

1. spent some part of their waking time in the last half or third of the 20th century

2. are interested in the future, if not for themselves, then for their children and grandchildren.

Other than that, it's of no interest.

Klein was just debating Greenspan on Democracy Now! today.. I don't know if it's even fair to say 'debate', but they did have a chance to get their licks in.

Avail to watch, listen or read Here..
http://www.democracynow.org/article.pl?sid=07/09/24/1412226

apologies if this is covered elsewhere down thread. Takes me a while to get through the pile some days.. what with a life to live and all..

Bob

Jokuhl: Good interview. It was like Naomi was trying to catch a bullfrog-Alan kept squirming away. I lost count of how many times he contradicted himself. I thought his most absurd/interesting comment was his excuse for promoting runaway deficits- he was afraid that consistent giant budget surpluses(in the USA-LOL) would fall into the evil hands of (to paraphrase him)the likes of Lyndon Johnson or Richard Nixon. His destruction of the dollar was done to protect the nation. Classic. Some of his comments made him sound like he might be on meds of some sort.

My favorite squirm was when Klein asked him about income disparity (in the 80s CEOs made 40x worker salary, and now they make 400x.) Greenspan said that cheap foreign skilled labor drives wages down, thus reducing income disparity!

This is exactly what I mean when I say we're busy losing a multi-generational fight against fascism that people foolishly thought ended with WWII... WWII was a strategic setback and the focus just moved into the background and shifted tactics for a while...
--
All these memories will be lost in time
like tears in rain

I bought the book online and just got it. I am just now into the first chapter and find it fascinating. It essentially undresses the myth and reveals utterly that the emporer has no clothes. You are right on. The book is indespensible in analysing the interplay of resource scarcity, economics and political opportunism.

Over the weekend, www.lemetropolecafe.com (paywall) posted the following comment:

Just like gold, oil signals an inflationary panic sign when it surges, but somehow, mysteriously, even with oil prices at 83 dollars a barrel, the price at the pump is a low $2.65 where I live. It is clear that the price of gas should be much closer to $4.00 a gallon.

In order to rationalize an interest rate cut, the Fed needs to establish that inflation is in check. By quietly subsidizing the price of gas for a few months, they get their wish. They let their lying "adjustments" do the rest.... and presto - negative PPI and core very low.

I thought that this would generate some discussion here. How do you covertly "subsidize" gasoline prices? One way would be to have a stash that you can dump onto the market. Recent numbers on gasoline in storage has been below average - so there is no sign of a stash in the USA. Another way would be to import it.

What do you think?

Francois

Francois, here are some interesting comments about current manuvers by the Fed by some people in the biz...There are charts at the link that show a close correlation between recent movement of commodities.

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Global_Economy/II25Dj04.html

"Low core inflation will give the Fed latitude to ease monetary policy further if necessary to limit downside economic risks. But those reflationary policies and the uncertainty in the outlook will continue to drive some traditional inflation gauges higher. And global growth is still strong, supporting demand for commodities, especially energy. Thus, investors should continue to bet on higher volatility, steeper yield curves, a weaker dollar, rising commodity prices and further increases in inflation breakevens." - Morgan Stanley economist Richard Berner'...snip...

'Talk about being between a rock and a hard place. The dollar continues to edge closer to the cliff. The Fed is banking on low core inflation as justification for additional rate cuts. Something may not wash here.

If the buck breaks down into overshoot territory - the Treasury (though the Fed) will have to muster some real defense, not just the usual sheepish pronouncement, "We maintain a strong dollar policy." Thus, the dollar could lead rates higher.

Higher US rates might exact more pain for the US economy - further endangering growth and further solidifying the view that global growth is decoupling. Which would of course not be good for you know who - the dollar.'...snip...

Thank you. Very important post.

We're at MOL now.

“We are one hurricane away from energy scarcity and volatile, high prices,” Hofmeister said a day after crude oil prices topped $80 — a record, unadjusted for inflation. “We are so tight on the demand-supply relationship.”

By subsidizing, we've disguised our desperation.

There's something in the GOM now.

Headed for NO.

Mexico will not come back on like it was . It exports to NO/Houston.

And brings the gasoline back home.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-wv.html

And like I've been saying since Humberto.

I've never seen anything like this in the GOM.
And brings the gasoline back to

Arkansaw of Samuel L Clemens

We're at MOL now

how MOL are the US ? 185 mb ?