Jacques Chirac, the French president, pledged in his 2006 New Year Address that by 2026 no SNCF or RATP train would be powered by fossil fuels."
"France will run trains free from fossil fuel, says Chirac." The Times
(London), Friday,January 6, 2006, p54.
This promise will be relatively easy to keep because electrified lines carry perhaps 80 percent of all French rail traffic - and most of the traction energy used by
French trains is provided by nuclear power stations. It will be interesting to see how they intend to replace
diesel railcars on branch lines and diesel locomotives on industrial sidings.
They don't have to replace the diesel engines, they just need to fill up with biodiesel. (Or convert the engines to use ethanol instead, which I've seen somewhere not being very complicated.)
That would depend on how much diesel they are currently using. I've been critical of bio-fuels like ethanol and biodiesel mainly because, at least here in the USA, we won't be able to make nearly enough of either to replace the amounts of gasoline and diesel that we use, but the general public doesn't know this, so there is this false hope that there is no need to prepare for less energy in the future. (Soil depletion and letting people elsewhere starve so we can drive also factor in to my criticism.) I am not against any use of biofuel, I just think it needs to be done sparingly and carefully.
Unfortunately I have no idea how much diesel fuel France's rail system requires so I can't say if it would be possible for them to switch their rail to biodiesel. I have only looked into automobile fuel in the US so far. If anyone knows more about that, they could shed more light on the feasability of biodiesel trains.
I have worked for the SNCF, so my guess is that they are planning on achieving this goal largely by shutting down the non-electrified branch lines, which aren't profitable anyway.
I am proud to have been associated with the French railways, because they are the best in the world; But in fact that's not saying much, they could be so much better. The business is between a rock and a hard place : a proud tradition of public service is compromised by the opening up of the European Union "transport market", which means they have to concentrate on the profitable sectors (or else see them cherry-picked by Euro rivals), to the detriment of the "dead wood", i.e. those services which are socially or economically useful but not profitable.
This is especially frustrating in the area of freight : trucking stuff around is so much more convenient for businesses, and generally cheaper, due to the fact that, compared to electrified rail, truckers get to externalise a large proportion of their true costs, onto government, other road users, people who live near roads, the environment, the whole planet...
Peak oil would not be a concern if there was alternatives with high EROEI. Without high EROEI alternatives peak oil may mean peak energy. The energy available in the future depends on the EROEI profile of the remaining energy reserves. I certainly don't know what this profile looks like, but it makes sense that we have been using the high EROEI energy sources first. The EROEI will decline continuously till we hit the EROEI of sustainable energy sources. The ratio of available energy to total energy = 1-(1/EROEI).
10 90%
5 80%
3 67%
2 50%
1.7 41%
1.5 33%
1.3 23%
1.1 9%
At an EROEI of 2 you have to invest half of a year's energy to have the same available energy next year.
I also do not know what the EROEI of the sustainable energy sources are. This is one area where technology may be able to help out. If we can increase the EROEI of sustainable sources there is a brighter future. On the other hand the peaking of other resources could actually decrease the EROEI of sustainable sources. For example copper prices have doubled twice in the last 3 years. This is going to have a big impact on all electrical projects. I seem to remember reading that hybrids use twice the copper of regular vehicles.
Altough it is ok to try to harvest a little bit more energy from "renewable" sources, energy creation is prohibited by the laws of physics. I will assume that you know this law, mostly because people writting in the OilDrum usually have more knowledge than average person.
What you call technology is made of the following :
Invest time (and energy) to make a concept for harvesting energy
Elaborate the means to build it
Find and extract the needed ressource in order to built it (all ressources need to be extrated or salvaged from previous extraction)
Transform and put in basic shape the founded ressources
Transport the needed ressources to some kind of manufacturing system (be it a plant, a coop, a oneman operation, it needs to be manufactured)
Do all the needed operation to build it.
Transport and install the built device to the place of energy harvest location (be it wind, solar, oil, hydro, coal, biomass, etc)
Use part of the harvested energy to make the device work.
Convert that energy in a portable fashion.
So on
You get the point, in no place can you make more energy than what is harvestable.
I wonder if the EROEI of feeding an horse is better than producing any biomass fuel.
Why would you keep using a car anyway?
Where would you go with it?
To your current unsustainable job? (that you will loose no matter how hard you will try)
Ask yourself what do you really want to do with an electric handmixer. Do you want to save time cooking so you can still keep your work?
Right now, use all the tool you can, that's what I do. I have a car and use it because I can and it is the way the system work.
When the system will cease to function, you will have to adapt and I predict a handmixer will be of relativly low help.
There is several orders of magnitude more solar energy falling on the earth's surface each day than we use as a species so far. Energy availability is not the issue. Capture and conversion to useful forms is the issue. Furthermore, while I know that some people here diss the space program, serious studies have been done about increasing the captured solar energy from earth orbiting power stations and beaming that energy back to the ground as low intensity microwaves. None of thid involves creating energy, just capturing it. So go figure - we already have more energy hitting the earth's surface than we use from fossil fuels. And we already have the know-how to even expand upon that to capture more solar energy in the near earth region.
So what's the problem? The problem we have is not in capturing available renewable energy. The problem we have is one of mindset, of psychology, and of deliberately choosing to begin going down a road towards a renewable sustainable lifestyle. This problem is not only about energy. It's also about the myth of endless growth (which must stop) and that includes the endless growth of human population.
Even at 6 billion people, we have the knowledge to make the world a sustainable place. It would be very very different from the culture in which we live today but it doesn't have to be medieval serfdom or mad max. We just have to choose to do it. The sad thing is that so far we have actively refused to deal with these issues, especially the myth of endless growth being sustainable.
We will NOT be able to fuel the cars of the people that will feed the people also using their car in order to build those space solar panel.
Maybe you havent understand that Oil is the energy subside of everything NASA scientist could come up with.
I'm certainly aware of our planet receiving more solar energy than what is used as fossil fuels. The problem reside in getting it concentrated enough.
Even if we could (for very not any good reason) power some kind of car, the problem would then reside in getting enough nat gas or coal to keep on manufacturing fertilizers.
The problem is NOT a supply problem, it's a DEMAND problem. Until the system is working, you will be able to use your car. Once the system break, you wont need your car.
Actually, the demand problem will be solved rather easily (at least in the USA). Most people won't be buying gasoline because they won't be able to afford it. A trip in the car will be an important journey done for a purpose, because it will be too expensive to waste on anything trivial. There is a giant gap opening in the USA between the haves (top 10%) and everybody else. Rising oil prices are going to put the nail in the coffin.
Using satellites to convert solar energy to microwaves has an extremely low EROEI. Its not that the technology is impossible, its just impractical. Remember 1/R^2 losses.
I wonder if the EROEI of feeding an horse is better than producing any biomass fuel.
Certainly not. I have about 3 acres of pasture around my house. This is not enough to feed a hores all the year round (I would have to buy hay for winter, or have another couple of acres of pasture to make my own).
I'm sure that if I planted rapeseed, I could get more miles as biodiesel than I would ever get out of a horse; I really ought to do the calculation. (bearing in mind that a certain proportion of that biodiesel would be consumed by the tractor required to plough it).
In answer to your question as to whether it would be better energetically to keep horses or use pasture, hay fields and acres planted in oats (power bar equivalent for horses), you might be interested in checking out the Land Institute's Sunshine Farm project.
My recollection of their early conclusions was that there are pluses and minuses to both approaches. Under certain conditions, there may not be much difference between the two. One advantage to horses is that they replicate themselves, and do not require factories, metals, etc. to do so.
Considerations in choosing one over the other may include the proclivities of the farmer (some folks do better with animals than others), the type of land included in the farm (amount of land that may be useful only for pasture or hay) and the suitability of the land and climate for growing oil crops.
the crop acreage requirements of horses is no greater than that for tractors operating on biodiesel. In our feasibility study, detailed calculations, based on numerous early bulletins from the United States Department of Agriculture and state agricultural experiment stations, show draft horses require no more cropland for feed than tractors do for biodiesel on a net energy basis, both roughly one-fourth of a farm's cropland.
Fair enough, and very encouraging in terms of the productivity of post-oil farming... but this is discussing farm traction, not transport, which was the original question.
Another quote from the article is pertinent to that aspect :
Tractors provide timeliness in field operations, but horses can be used when time is not critical.
Timeliness is important in transport. I live about 8 miles from the nearest market town. I could go there with a pony and trap to do my shopping, but it would take me all day. If I can go there with an ethanol-powered scooter, or some lightweight biodiesel car, for the same energy input in terms of agricultural surface, then I've gained several hours.
Here in the U.S., farmers frequently lived not more than 3 miles from some town, which is a distance than can be covered by horse and buggy in about an hour. You still see a town, or the remnants of a town, every 6 miles. That is truly the case in the area where I grew up. In less populated areas, you would often find some sort of small general store, the 1900s equivalent of a convenience store, on a rural crossroads. These stores also doubled as post offices. In addition, many farm families did not go to town during the week, but only made the big trip on Saturdays or to sell livestock or crops.
Formerly, many towns in the Midwest, East and South were on or no more than 20 miles from a railroad, which made delivery of goods much less energy intensive. If we here could rebuild some of these low-use or spurs even for light use, we would be in much better shape. That would be hard to do, though, on a sixth to a third the amount of liquid transportation fuel.
The extra weight of batteries and low-end torque of electric motors are great features for a tractor. Electric motors don't waste any energy when you aren't moving and the torque is greatest when you first start moving, right when you need it the most.
And although 'timeliness' is a factor, tractor use is intermittant with the tractor frequently found sitting in the shed for long periods of time...
Future developments of Gantry Systems my also help ameliorate other problems - depending on the situation.
Whatever the case, the present range of Very Large
Tractors may not have much of a future...
Cool. Thanks for this RR! Any idea how good university research on this stuff is in places like China/India/Brazil? Might the biofuels revolution come from the Far East?
Govenor Brian Switzer gave the commencement address yesterday to the university of montana graduating class. in juxtaposition to the usual "get out there and change the world" bromides he gave a "get out there and deal with the energy mess we're in" speech. in today's missoulian lead story he says:
"You've got to make conservation cool,"
..omigod, the C word!!!...and:
The growing energy crisis facing this country will be a challenge no less difficult than what Tom Brokaw's "Greatest Generation" struggled to overcome in 1940s, Schweitzer said. Back then, people were pushed to the limit, faced personal sacrifice and were asked to give it their all. Many did just that, he said.
This generation, Schweitzer said will have to change their lifestyles to search for ways to conserve energy and make use of new energy sources.
...ohhh, brian, i didn't know you could say it like that..you go girl!
first, let me apologize to the govenor for misspelling his name...and although he has a background as a rancher and farmer, he doesn't hide under a cowboy hat: ...in montana , this is practically unheard of....don't you know , if you want votes , you gotta wear a cowboy hat???
The guy beside him is the Lt. Governor. I met him last year when I testified against Schweitzer's proposed ethanol mandate for Montana. He testified in front of me in favor of the mandate.
I found an Atlantic Richfield (ARCO)gas station with no 87 nor 89 octane gasoline on May 12 at the corner of Daisy and Foothill in Pasadena, California. There was only 91 octane available. Is this a trend?
I know of some suppliers scrambling to keep customers supplied. I know of one in Salt Lake City that has their gas stations on 80% allocation. A lot of refiners have customers on allocation right now. I would say that the situation is easing a bit, but there are still local areas where supplies are very tight.
You usually only hear about those things through the grapevine, as we can't share information like that. But, someone might have a neighbor who works for a competing company, and he might mention that they have had a key distillation tower go down. In fact, that was the case with one of them, although I don't know the specific problem.
Refiners are coming out of turnarounds right now, so many are short of product. If they don't come up smoothly, they can run out of product in a hurry.
A global difference: New Zealand does not have 87 or 89 octane. 91 octane is regular, 95 is high test, and there is a little bit of 98 octane aound. Current (record) price for 91: NZD$1.709 per litre, equal to $4.02 per gallon in USD dollars. High compared to the US, cheap compared to Europe.
New Zealand (like most of the world) measures octane with RON (Research Octane Number). In the US, we use the average of RON plus MON (Motor Octane Number), ie (R+M)/2. Generally 91 RON is equivalent to 87 R+M/2.
(Unfortunately, story is available only to World-Herald members.)
Iowa and Nebraska farmers could get checks totaling more than a quarter of a billion dollars to ease the burden of increased fuel costs.
The relief would come from a controversial $1.6 billion proposal attached by the U.S. Senate to a spending bill to cover war costs and hurricane relief. The energy supplement was not in the House version and is now the subject of negotiations by House-Senate conferees.
Key farm groups support the proposal. But U.S. Agriculture Secretary Mike Johanns is firmly opposed.
"We are going to the American public and Congress next year to support a new farm bill," said Johanns spokesman Ed Loyd. "It sends the wrong signal to come up with something like this."
John Hansen, president of the Nebraska Farmers Union, said higher energy costs can leave some farms vulnerable to failure.
"We are extremely energy-dependent," Hansen said, "and unlike other business we can't pass along the higher costs to customers."
Pres. Bush has also threatened to veto the bill, partly because it is inequitable, in that it would only be distributed to commodity growers as a 30% additional subsidy to the subsidies they are already receiving.
The word "ethanol" is never mentioned in this story but the bottom line is that farmers growing corn for ethanol need fuel assistance to fund their growing of corn for ethanol to produce fuel. Does that make any sense?
Another emerging story from this is that our food growers can't afford to grow food without help, due to the rising energy costs. It can cost $200/day to run today's tractors and trucks used by farmers.
The word "ethanol" is never mentioned in this story but the bottom line is that farmers growing corn for ethanol need fuel assistance to fund their growing of corn for ethanol to produce fuel. Does that make any sense?
It makes sense in the context "I understand that is exactly what's going on". It obviously makes little sense from an energy policy standpoint, but since when do politics make sense?
This emphasizes what I have been saying for a long time - as energy prices increase, ethanol prices will increase because of the heavy reliance on fossil fuels. I hadn't considered the possibility that the government would step in with even more money to keep this illusion going.
Or maybe to them the illusion is reality.
Similar to one of the above posters saying we can fullfill all our energy needs by launching tons of solar pannels into space and beam electricity back to earth by microwaving it.
Beaming solar energy from space is actually a sensible idea, if we had the technology to do so. Unfortunately, we are far away from that point. However, this is very different from ethanol, which could never succeed simply because there is insufficient energy in corn to make turning it into energy worthwhile.
We would be perfectly capable of powering all the Earth to America's standard of living if we had started launching components of a Kingsbury-Arnold linear accelerator in orbit type spaceport and used that to start building solar power satellites..
Only thing is, it grows geometrically. 1, 2, 4, 16, 32, etc, kilowatts. We would have had to have started twenty years ago to get it working now, and if we start now we have to wait twenty years.
We really ought to start now. But we won't, so we'll spend a hundred times as much each year instead to get a bit more oil, or wind or solar to make up for the gas we can't get anymore.
The only short term solutions are wind, solar, conservation, and coal to oil synfuel plants.
Jacques Chirac, the French president, pledged in his 2006 New Year Address that by 2026 no SNCF or RATP train would be powered by fossil fuels."
"France will run trains free from fossil fuel, says Chirac." The Times
(London), Friday,January 6, 2006, p54.
This promise will be relatively easy to keep because electrified lines carry perhaps 80 percent of all French rail traffic - and most of the traction energy used by
French trains is provided by nuclear power stations. It will be interesting to see how they intend to replace
diesel railcars on branch lines and diesel locomotives on industrial sidings.
Leroy W. Demery, Jr.
copied from his post on another forum,
Alan Drake
http://www.railpower.com/products_hl_ggseries.html
Upgrading low-volume branch lines will be fairly expensive, because there are so many of them, making up quite a bit of the route-miles.
http://www.bueker.net/trainspotting/map.php?file=maps/french-network/french-network.gif
But if they are going to do it, better sooner than later. Perhaps they could fund it by raising their petrol/diesel taxes even more.
Unfortunately I have no idea how much diesel fuel France's rail system requires so I can't say if it would be possible for them to switch their rail to biodiesel. I have only looked into automobile fuel in the US so far. If anyone knows more about that, they could shed more light on the feasability of biodiesel trains.
I am proud to have been associated with the French railways, because they are the best in the world; But in fact that's not saying much, they could be so much better. The business is between a rock and a hard place : a proud tradition of public service is compromised by the opening up of the European Union "transport market", which means they have to concentrate on the profitable sectors (or else see them cherry-picked by Euro rivals), to the detriment of the "dead wood", i.e. those services which are socially or economically useful but not profitable.
This is especially frustrating in the area of freight : trucking stuff around is so much more convenient for businesses, and generally cheaper, due to the fact that, compared to electrified rail, truckers get to externalise a large proportion of their true costs, onto government, other road users, people who live near roads, the environment, the whole planet...
http://www.crooksandliars.com/2006/05/14.html#a8280
10 90%
5 80%
3 67%
2 50%
1.7 41%
1.5 33%
1.3 23%
1.1 9%
At an EROEI of 2 you have to invest half of a year's energy to have the same available energy next year.
What you call technology is made of the following :
- Invest time (and energy) to make a concept for harvesting energy
- Elaborate the means to build it
- Find and extract the needed ressource in order to built it (all ressources need to be extrated or salvaged from previous extraction)
- Transform and put in basic shape the founded ressources
- Transport the needed ressources to some kind of manufacturing system (be it a plant, a coop, a oneman operation, it needs to be manufactured)
- Do all the needed operation to build it.
- Transport and install the built device to the place of energy harvest location (be it wind, solar, oil, hydro, coal, biomass, etc)
- Use part of the harvested energy to make the device work.
- Convert that energy in a portable fashion.
- So on
You get the point, in no place can you make more energy than what is harvestable.I wonder if the EROEI of feeding an horse is better than producing any biomass fuel.
Why would you keep using a car anyway?
Where would you go with it?
To your current unsustainable job? (that you will loose no matter how hard you will try)
Ask yourself what do you really want to do with an electric handmixer. Do you want to save time cooking so you can still keep your work?
Right now, use all the tool you can, that's what I do. I have a car and use it because I can and it is the way the system work.
When the system will cease to function, you will have to adapt and I predict a handmixer will be of relativly low help.
So what's the problem? The problem we have is not in capturing available renewable energy. The problem we have is one of mindset, of psychology, and of deliberately choosing to begin going down a road towards a renewable sustainable lifestyle. This problem is not only about energy. It's also about the myth of endless growth (which must stop) and that includes the endless growth of human population.
Even at 6 billion people, we have the knowledge to make the world a sustainable place. It would be very very different from the culture in which we live today but it doesn't have to be medieval serfdom or mad max. We just have to choose to do it. The sad thing is that so far we have actively refused to deal with these issues, especially the myth of endless growth being sustainable.
Maybe you havent understand that Oil is the energy subside of everything NASA scientist could come up with.
I'm certainly aware of our planet receiving more solar energy than what is used as fossil fuels. The problem reside in getting it concentrated enough.
Even if we could (for very not any good reason) power some kind of car, the problem would then reside in getting enough nat gas or coal to keep on manufacturing fertilizers.
The problem is NOT a supply problem, it's a DEMAND problem. Until the system is working, you will be able to use your car. Once the system break, you wont need your car.
Certainly not. I have about 3 acres of pasture around my house. This is not enough to feed a hores all the year round (I would have to buy hay for winter, or have another couple of acres of pasture to make my own).
I'm sure that if I planted rapeseed, I could get more miles as biodiesel than I would ever get out of a horse; I really ought to do the calculation. (bearing in mind that a certain proportion of that biodiesel would be consumed by the tractor required to plough it).
visit http://www.landinstute.org/ and search for "Sunshine Farm."
My recollection of their early conclusions was that there are pluses and minuses to both approaches. Under certain conditions, there may not be much difference between the two. One advantage to horses is that they replicate themselves, and do not require factories, metals, etc. to do so.
Considerations in choosing one over the other may include the proclivities of the farmer (some folks do better with animals than others), the type of land included in the farm (amount of land that may be useful only for pasture or hay) and the suitability of the land and climate for growing oil crops.
I found the article :
Fair enough, and very encouraging in terms of the productivity of post-oil farming... but this is discussing farm traction, not transport, which was the original question.
Another quote from the article is pertinent to that aspect :
Timeliness is important in transport. I live about 8 miles from the nearest market town. I could go there with a pony and trap to do my shopping, but it would take me all day. If I can go there with an ethanol-powered scooter, or some lightweight biodiesel car, for the same energy input in terms of agricultural surface, then I've gained several hours.
Here in the U.S., farmers frequently lived not more than 3 miles from some town, which is a distance than can be covered by horse and buggy in about an hour. You still see a town, or the remnants of a town, every 6 miles. That is truly the case in the area where I grew up. In less populated areas, you would often find some sort of small general store, the 1900s equivalent of a convenience store, on a rural crossroads. These stores also doubled as post offices. In addition, many farm families did not go to town during the week, but only made the big trip on Saturdays or to sell livestock or crops.
Formerly, many towns in the Midwest, East and South were on or no more than 20 miles from a railroad, which made delivery of goods much less energy intensive. If we here could rebuild some of these low-use or spurs even for light use, we would be in much better shape. That would be hard to do, though, on a sixth to a third the amount of liquid transportation fuel.
Or this interesting How To Convert
The extra weight of batteries and low-end torque of electric motors are great features for a tractor. Electric motors don't waste any energy when you aren't moving and the torque is greatest when you first start moving, right when you need it the most.
And although 'timeliness' is a factor, tractor use is intermittant with the tractor frequently found sitting in the shed for long periods of time...
Future developments of Gantry Systems my also help ameliorate other problems - depending on the situation.
Whatever the case, the present range of Very Large
Tractors may not have much of a future...
Other thoughts/comments?
Bio-Butanol
You wrote about it six months earlier in that FAQ.
RR
Funny thing, almost 40% of today's hits at The Ergosphere have been from clicks on that one link. I hope people found it worth their time to read!
..omigod, the C word!!!...and:...ohhh, brian, i didn't know you could say it like that..you go girl!
...in montana , this is practically unheard of....don't you know , if you want votes , you gotta wear a cowboy hat???
RR
RR
Refiners are coming out of turnarounds right now, so many are short of product. If they don't come up smoothly, they can run out of product in a hurry.
RR
http://www.omaha.com/index.php?u_pg=46&u_sid=2169097
(Unfortunately, story is available only to World-Herald members.)
Pres. Bush has also threatened to veto the bill, partly because it is inequitable, in that it would only be distributed to commodity growers as a 30% additional subsidy to the subsidies they are already receiving.
It makes sense in the context "I understand that is exactly what's going on". It obviously makes little sense from an energy policy standpoint, but since when do politics make sense?
This emphasizes what I have been saying for a long time - as energy prices increase, ethanol prices will increase because of the heavy reliance on fossil fuels. I hadn't considered the possibility that the government would step in with even more money to keep this illusion going.
RR
Similar to one of the above posters saying we can fullfill all our energy needs by launching tons of solar pannels into space and beam electricity back to earth by microwaving it.
Only thing is, it grows geometrically. 1, 2, 4, 16, 32, etc, kilowatts. We would have had to have started twenty years ago to get it working now, and if we start now we have to wait twenty years.
We really ought to start now. But we won't, so we'll spend a hundred times as much each year instead to get a bit more oil, or wind or solar to make up for the gas we can't get anymore.
The only short term solutions are wind, solar, conservation, and coal to oil synfuel plants.