DrumBeat: December 17, 2007
Posted by Leanan on December 17, 2007 - 9:56am
Topic: Miscellaneous
Triple-digit oil prices expected after 2007 records
After a record-smashing year with oil peaking at $99 a barrel in 2007, a triple-digit world of crude oil awaits in the coming year, energy experts say.
Trading below $51 a barrel less than 12 months ago, crude prices hit their first in a fusillade of all-time highs in July and never looked back.
While some blame the frothy crude market on speculation rather than the simple rules of supply and demand, the only force that managed to slow prices down at all this year was fear of an economic slowdown, as oil fell below $90 a barrel just weeks after hitting a record.
Running out of gas: High prices could fuel economic slowdown felt in all areas
Oil's run to nearly $100 a barrel this year jacked up the cost of travel, clothing, beauty products and milk, and many analysts think fuel prices will remain at historically lofty levels throughout 2008.
But record energy prices could sow the seeds of their own destruction. Along with the housing crisis, they are contributing to an economic slowdown that is sapping the country's energy appetite just as oil producers ramp up production.
Commodity markets have also been in a bubble stage, their prices rocketing due to cheap and plentiful liquidity. Oil being a bellwether of other commodities, the oil market has been the one where the bubble is easiest to identify.
Buoyant China expected to lead growing demand for oil
Booming demand for energy from China and the Middle East will drive global oil consumption up 2.5 per cent next year despite the growing threat of a recession in America, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). The Paris-based energy watchdog said yesterday that it expected global crude oil demand to grow by 2.1 million barrels a day in 2008, 200,000 barrels a day higher than its previous forecast.
Gazprom to receive electric power plants in Europe in asset swap
Gazprom could receive electric power plants in Europe in an asset swap with Germany's E.ON, the press office of the Russian energy giant said on Monday.
Gazprom deal over Kovykta at risk
Russian Gazprom's deal to buy control in the giant Kovykta gas field is at risk as the company cannot agree with the current owner, oil firm TNK-BP, on historical costs, a source close to Gazprom said on Monday.
"It has been a systematic problem. If it goes on like this the deal scenario will change," the source said.
Latin America: Biofuels and sustainability – Biofuels boom … or bust?
Biofuels are becoming a boom industry across Latin America, but questions are being asked about their long-term sustainability
Turning Carbon Dioxide into Fuel
Researchers are harnessing solar energy to convert carbon dioxide into carbon monoxide, which can be used to make fuels.
Biofuel wrong way to tackle emissions problem: Transport expert
There are better -- not to mention, cheaper --emission-saving strategies than those involving biofuel, says a leader of a global transportation group.
Jack Short, Secretary General of the International Transport Forum, recently told delegates gathering at the United Nations Climate Change Conference in Bali, that too often nations are choosing "high cost and low impact measures" like biofuel development rather than more "cost-effective measures to reduce CO(2) emissions in transport."
China's industrial guidelines urge support for unconventional energy reserves
China will encourage the exploration and production of unconventional energy sources, such as oil shale, oil sands and natural gas hydrate, according to the 2007 edition of the guidelines for industrial restructuring.
China Rolls Out First Self-Designed Hybrid Car
China's state-owned Chang'an Automobile group has started making its own hybrid cars, the first such move by a Chinese automaker, the Xinhua news agency reported.
Mass production of the Chinese-designed car, which consumes 20 percent less fuel than ordinary cars of the same size, was launched after six years of research and development, Xinhua said late on Friday.
China Says Global Warming Will Strain Water Limits
China will have exploited all available water supplies to the limit by 2030, the government has warned, ordering officials to prepare for worse to come as global warming and economic expansion drain lakes and rivers.
Seas could rise twice as high as predicted: study
The world's sea levels could rise twice as high this century as U.N. climate scientists have predicted, according to researchers who looked at what happened more than 100,000 years ago, the last time Earth got this hot.
China Says Glaciers Shrink by up to 18%
High altitude glaciers in China's remote west have shrunk by up to 18 percent over the last five years due to global warming, state media said on Friday, citing preliminary results from an on-going survey.
South Africa looks to sun, wind to lighten blackouts
Faced with power cuts stretching into the next decade, South Africa is slowly switching its focus to alternative energy sources in a country blessed with bountiful sunshine and a lengthy coastline.
While state power utility Eskom warns solar and wind power can only ever meet a fraction of the nation's needs, environmentalists want a more aggressive pursuit of alternative energy rather than a growing use of nuclear power.
'Peak Oil' Theory Flawed: State-Run Oil Firm
South Korea’s state-run oil firm claimed Monday that it would take at least 80 more years before oil is used up, dampening the so-called "peak oil" theory, which has been gaining more currency amid high crude prices in recent months.
In a report titled ``Is the Era of $100 per Barrel Really Coming?’’ the Korea National Oil Corporation (KNOC) also argued that it will be difficult in the foreseeable future for people to see oil prices beyond $100.
Fire at Frontier's Cheyenne Refinery
Independent refiner Frontier Oil Corp. said Monday a weekend fire at its Cheyenne, Wyo., facility will cut output of petroleum products for no more than 30 days.
The one-word answer to sky-high oil prices
Iraq has the third-largest oil reserves in the world – if its government could agree on how to share oil revenues.
2007: The Great Unraveling Begins
But the real news of 2007 is not the disappointment of the US political system, but rather the growing signs of a social, political, economic, and environmental nightmare. The real news is that even while the mainstream politicians and mainstream media have turned a corner in their treatment of global warming, the bigger questions before us as a society are not even part of the discourse. As the subprime lending shell game has worked its way into prominence as an economic problem, big banks and big media continue to dress it up as a manageable one, contained to those who foolishly signed loans they could not handle. Unfortunately, however, the entire US economy is suspect, because it is built upon a number of assumptions that are starting to buckle. In short, the US economy, and much of the world economy, is a house of cards. And 2007 has been the year that the first cards began to fall.
Energy and the presidential race
Where the leading candidates stand on everything from a gas tax to a carbon cap to drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge.
Russia delivers nuclear fuel to Iran
Russia said Monday it has begun fuel deliveries to an atomic power station in Iran that has been at the center of international concerns over Tehran's nuclear program.
India: Oil firms not yet ready for 10% ethanol blended fuel in October
While the sugar industry is readying itself for expanding ethanol production, India’s automotive industry has expressed reservations about the viability of the proposal. Oil companies, too, are not ready as yet. In fact, they have not even completed the blending requirement for 5% ethanol. In October this year, the oil marketing firms were directed by the government to sell petrol blended with 5% ethanol in most of the states.
Wind Power: The solution to South Asia’s energy problem
A few years ago, while touring California I was stunned to see the wind farm at Altamont Pass near Livermore, California. I saw hundreds of turbines turning out energy for the national grid. Earlier, I had seen a stray turbine in the UK and in Hambantota, Sri Lanka and have read of windmills in the Netherlands. It beat me as to why South Asian countries, with so much of mountains blessed with ample wind power, even blowing our cars off the roads; have given no thought to wind power.
China stops 13 small power plants to save energy, cut pollution
China's top economic planning agency has revoked approvals for 13 small coal-fired power plants in six provinces amid efforts to boost energy efficiency and reduce pollution.
Looming threat to the world climate
The romantically-named west Siberian bog, bigger than France and Germany combined, contains 70 billion tonnes of methane primed to vent upwards and outwards as it thaws and rots. Since methane is 30 times more efficient than carbon dioxide at trapping heat, that equates to more than two trillion tonnes of CO2, or two thirds the total amount already in the atmosphere.
Japan to Lend $3 Billion to Abu Dhabi to Secure Oil
The Japan Bank for International Cooperation, the government's main overseas lender, will lend $3 billion to Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. to secure a stable supply for Asia's biggest economy, which imports most of its oil needs.
China agrees 38 pct increase in Saudi oil imports
China has agreed to boost crude oil imports from Saudi Arabia by over a third next year, two Beijing-based trading sources said on Monday, helping fuel new refineries in the world's second-biggest consumer.
Crude at $100 a barrel makes good headlines but ignores basic economics. Why oil prices are in for a 50 percent drop.
A 25 per cent increase in prices of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) greeted residents in Dubai and the Northern Emirates on Sunday.
The announcement was made by two of the biggest LPG retailers, Emirates Gas and Emarat Gas, on the back of a rise in the price of bread and eggs.
UK: Gas costs threatens to increase fuel poverty
AS the first frost of winter bites, more and more families will spend this Christmas struggling to pay fuel bills and consequently join the growing number of British households in fuel poverty.
Shortages at Food Banks Cause Closures
Sheid blames an unusual combination of factors for the food shortage. The cost of groceries is up, fuel costs are up and energy costs are high.
"It's much more demanding handling your own personal circumstances then it was ever before," says Scheid.
The Political Class is out of Touch on Energy
We must be running out of energy because so many authoritative-looking people say so on TV. Rhetoric aside, look at the numbers. According to the Petroleum Institute the world's supply of fossil fuels is: Oil-43 years, Natural Gas-66.5 years and Coal-325.6 years. This should quiet the "falling sky" crowd, but not so fast. Population growth in the United States alone requires the generation of 3 million new jobs per year. This translates into more consumption which requires a hefty growth in energy sources. In the developing countries, especially Africa , more energy is the key to the elimination of poverty.
Households urged to take action on emissions
Environmentalists say Australian households can cope with emission cuts discussed at Bali without dramatic impact on lifestyles.
As the Climate Changes So Does Our Wine
The topic of global warming, which has become a hot political football in the last year, was also one of the most-discussed subjects at the recent 13th annual Wine Industry Technical Conference in Adelaide, Australia.
Norwegian Continental Shelf oil output declining faster than previously thought
The Norwegian Petroleum Directorate said crude oil production on the Norwegian Continental Shelf is declining more rapidly than the oil companies had previously expected, adding that something needs to be done.
Russia's oil output grows 2.4% to 9.86 mln bbl/d in 10M07
Oil output in Russia increased 2.4% year-on-year in January-October 2007 to 408.9 million metric tons (9.86 mln barrels per day), the country's top statistics body said on Monday.
The State Statistics Service, Rosstat, said crude sales on the domestic market grew 3.8% in the reporting period to 188.4 million metric tons (4.5 mln bbl/d) and exports were up 3.7% to 215.7 million metric tons (5.2 mln bbl/d).
Nigeria's main militant group urges faction to unite and cripple oil industry
Nigeria's main militant group on Monday urged all armed factions in the restive southern oil heartland to join and cripple Africa's biggest petroleum industry.
Mexico caps damaged Gulf oil well
Oil workers have capped a damaged oil platform in the Gulf of Mexico that spilled crude and natural gas for almost two months after a deadly high-seas collision, Mexico's state-owned oil company announced on Sunday.
Then again, perhaps BP's refinery plans aren't so bad
A report suggests the company's upgrades will be up to code and won't ruin Lake Michigan.
China plans to expand oil tanker fleet
China’s fast-expanding oil tanker fleet is expected to shoulder half of the transportation of imported oil by 2010, experts said. A researcher with the Institute of Comprehensive Transportation (ICT) affiliated to the National Development and Reform Commission, Luo Ping, said that domestic shipping companies have been encouraged to expand the oil transportation market in the past years to help guarantee economic security.
So Much For Capitalist Exploitation Then
We don't actually need to go and find massive new oil fields: we just need to be better at getting out the oil that we already know is there. It wasn't that many decades ago that we only expected to take 10% of the oil out of any field. Technology does march on you know.
We are all well aware that the price of food on the global market is driven by increased demand for more sophisticated food by China and India, Peak Oil, i.e. the inability of the world's petroleum production system to meet demand, hence the increasing cost of transportation and production costs of food, salination and erosion of soils, the movement of land away from food production to that of alternative fuels, failure of crop production in certain countries due to poor weather and climate change.
Here’s to ‘Dow up, Earth down’
With the economies of the world soaring, the ecological health of the Earth is plummeting. The Dow goes up, the Earth goes down. We cheer economic growth as the hallmark of human achievement, while the global environment staggers against the ropes.
Britain's carbon strategy 'up in smoke'
Britain's plans to build new coal-fired power stations as part of the country's efforts to address its looming energy crisis will completely undermine the Bali agreement on climate change and discredit Gordon Brown's commitments to reduce greenhouse gases, according to one of the world's leading climate scientists.
Simple numbers to shape climate talks
Behind the millions of words at the Bali climate conference, in documents, speeches and slick brochures, lay a set of simple numbers: 2 and 445 and "25 to 40."
That's 2 degrees Celsius, 445 parts per million of carbon dioxide, and a 25-to-40-percent reduction in global-warming gases — a formula, some say, to save the planet from climate change's severest consequences.
Small group of US experts insist global warming not man-made
A small group of US experts stubbornly insist that, contrary to what the vast majority of their colleagues believe, humans may not be responsible for the warming of the planet Earth.
Global warming may soon see Santa don shorts
This December, with only a few weeks to go before Christmas, there are only 20 centimeters (seven-and-a-half inches) of snow on the ground, just enough for snowmobiles and dog- and reindeer sleighs.
But the rivers and lakes, which normally freeze over in winter and are used to take tourists on snowmobile or sleigh rides, have not turned to ice yet, and that's bad news.
George Monbiot: We've been suckered again by the US. So far the Bali deal is worse than Kyoto
America will keep on wrecking climate talks as long as those with vested interests in oil and gas fund its political system.



Regarding Norway, our middle case is that they approach zero net oil exports in 2024.
Regarding Russia, the EIA data show that their C+C production has been between 9.3 and 9.5 mbpd since October, 2006, which is up year to date versus 2006, but basically flat since 10/06. And the VP of Lukoil recently stated that Russia has peaked (the absolute peak was back in the Eighties). With rising internal consumption, flat production = lower net oil exports.
I expect that the 2007 top five net export decline rate will show an accelerating decline rate, versus 2006.
Rainsong has the head of Lukoil link here
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/3389#comment-278289
I believe Westexas was the first to post that link. He posted a day or two before Rainsong did.
Have to admit that I'm about 3 days behind in my reading.
Nope, guess again Leanan, it was not Westexas. It was the very first post on Drumbeats Saturday.
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/3383#comment-277751
And it got one single reply, from NeverLNG. Apparently few people read Drumbeats on the weekend.
Ron Patterson
What's the point of drumbeats if you can't waste time at work reading them.
http://www.sitemeter.com/?a=stats&s=sm6peakoildrum&r=35
The low spots are weekends and holidays.
I think that Leanan was referring to my post on the TOD Europe Oil Watch Monthly thread.
In any case, extrapolating from year to date EIA C+C numbers (and assuming that total liquids is similar to C+C), and assuming the same rate of increase in consumption as 2006 (which is probably conservative), I estimate that the total liquids net export decline rate for the top five in 2007 will be about -5%/year, versus -3.3%/year in 2006, in other words, an accelerating net export decline rate, at least for 2007.
While we have been debating world total liquids versus crude oil numbers, the ELM marches on. Our model, recent case histories and current data--at least for the top five net exporters in aggregate--all suggest an accelerating net export decline rate.
Saudi Arabia is showing an increase in production in the fourth quarter. But a fourth quarter rate of 9.0 mbpd (C+C) would only raise their average 2007 production rate to 8.7 mbpd, from 8.6. Also, there is the question of what effect fourth quarter refinery maintenance in Saudi Arabia had on crude oil exports and product imports, which would show up in the net export numbers.
Whenever Fedun's remark was posted, I think a lot of people -- including me -- missed it. And it's staggering. How often does a senior oil executive from a petro-power -- particularly an oil nationalist like Russia -- concede that his country is at peak?
Steve LeVine, author
The Oil and the Glory
http://www.oilandglory.com
There has been a lot of stuff coming out of Russia suggesting flat to lower production, starting with the Alfa Bank report this summer warning that the country's large old oil fields were beginning to water out at an alarming rate, and Renaissance Capital brokerage said that excluding the Sakhalin-1 Field, daily crude output in Russia has been down year-on-year since May.
In any case, based on our mathematical model, Russia is primed for a production decline, which could be fairly severe. Our middle case shows them approaching zero net oil exports around 2024, same time frame as Norway.
Why would the severity be any worse than in the USA?
"Why would the severity be any worse than in the USA?"
Because the nearest swing supplier is one the moons of Saturn..
Of the 27 European nations 25 import most (more than 90%) of their oil and gas.
There is a good reason that the French have so much nuclear, they have almost no fossil fuels!
We are very vunerable even in the UK where our North sea resources are disappearing rapidly.
Based on the HL model, Russia is at roughly the same stage of depletion as the US, but the recent rebound in Russian production was primarily just making up for what was not produced immediately following the Soviet collapse; therefore, the decline rate should probably be pretty severe, at least the decline rate from mature basins.
Regarding the “We have peaked” comment by the Lukoil VP:
http://www.theoildrum.com/story/2006/1/27/14471/5832
One of my comments (slightly edited for typos) regarding my original January, 2006 post on net exports:
IMO, the HL model should be assumed to be approximately right, until proven otherwise. This suggests that the very lifeblood of the world industrial economy--net oil export capacity--is draining away in front of our very eyes.
And there has been a lot of other stuff coming out of Russia - increasing production of oil. Russian oil production in October was 10.14Mb/d, which is a full 3% higher than it was just 6 months before.
Whatever a few people have been saying, the plain fact is that Russian oil production has been growing fairly quickly in recent months. That doesn't mean it'll continue, but it does mean that the sources you refer to aren't looking terribly credible at the moment.
And that was two years ago - the decline rate would need to be about 15% now to fit your prediction.
Can you name any large, mostly-onshore producer that has ever experienced a geologically-caused sustained decline rate in excess of 10%? Any? Because it looks like you're insisting Russia will behave very, very differently from what the historical experience of similar regions has been.
You're fond of comparing oil-producing regions to the US, and that does seem to be the closest fit for Russia - similar peak flow rates, similar cumulative productions, similar huge, diverse land area...and yet decline rates that differ by nearly an order of magnitude? How is that at all plausible?
Are you going to believe me or the Vice President of Lukoil? Of course, I guess we are saying the same thing.
The most recent EIA C+C data (September) show production to basically be the same as October 2006, and based on Russian data, November was down to the lowest level since May.
As I have previously outlined, the post-1984 Russian production and post-1970 Lower 48 cumulative production were basically been what the HL model predicted they would be, using only data through 1984 and through 1970 respectively to generate the models. Of course, they had wildly different production curves, which results in the anticipated higher decline rates for Russia.
So, let's see if the VP of Lukoil is correct. And if he is correct, we'll find out what kind of decline rates we see because of the rapidly rising water cuts in the old Russian fields.
Excerpt from an e-mail from a European energy analyst (I don't have the link):
But regardless of all of the above, the fundmental point is that the top five net export decline rate--as our model and recent case histories suggested--appears to be accelerating.
I'll certainly believe that the VP of Lukoil wants his government to invest in his business sector. I don't believe your prediction that Russian oil production is going to enter a 15% annual terminal decline. And I also don't believe that he's saying that, either.
Besides...
Peak oil production is still decades away, according to Lukoil's top executive.
...I think you'll agree that we shouldn't take what Lukoil execs say as gospel.
The article isn't available online, at least based on googling for select phrases.
Two problems with that analysis:
Intuitively, I would expect to see the relative share of the top five exporters decrease as oil gets scarcer, as their big, easy fields are used up and more players are enticed into the game with more marginal supplies.
To a certain extent, that's exactly what we see. The net exports from the countries which are currently the top 5 exporters fell in 2006 to 50.2% of net exports, from a recent high of 52.4% in 2003 (EIA data). It's far too early to call that a trend, of course, but it suggests that looking only at the top 5 might not give the full picture.
From the January, 2006 post:
The 11% number was a rough guess. As noted down the thread, Khebab's most recent work that I presented at ASPO-USA shows a middle case decline of about -7%/year.
We can continue to argue about "why" as the Titanic sinks, but the net export decline by the top five--accounting for about 50% of world net oil exports--is almost certainly going to show an accelerating decline rate, as suggested by our model and recent case histories.
We shall see what future production and export data show.
As I've previously given the calculations for, the decline rate would need to be ~13% for the cumulative production given by HL to be right. And if it's wrong, what reason do we have to assume a high rate of decline?
We're arguing whether we're on the Titanic - Russian production has been growing strongly, and has shown little sign of an imminent and rapid decline.
The top five are accounting for a decreasing share of net exports, so an analysis that fixates on them is likely to systematically overstate the problem.
So, I guess when the top five net exports have dropped by 90%, against an overall 75% net export decline, we are in fine shape, because the current top five would account for a small percentage of net exports at that point. Makes sense to me.
Straw Man fallacy. Is it that hard to address what people actually say?
Of course that would be a problem, and I've said as much repeatedly. It would be a 75% net export decline problem, though, and not a 90% one.
If the United States peaked in 1971 and some 36 years later we get about half the production we got then, where in the world are you getting an 11% decline rate from? Russia is not an individual oil field, but a vast continental land mass with numerous fields composed of autochthonous and allochthanous rock units. There are new rigs on order. Eastern Siberia and the Pacific Margin are yet not fully explored. The Arctic Ocean is yet a frontier. Heavy oil tech. is the new, new thing. There is potential for a slower decline in Russia as a whole than is expected with Cantarell, Mexico.
Some people have panicked and without much research are trying to convert 6 billion bushels of corn out of a total 13 billion bushel corn + wheat harvest to get little more than 5% of our gasoline needs met (New U.S. Energy Bill to require seven fold increase in ethanol usage 12/2007). It was a bipartisan mistake to push this bill. Unless people push back hunger will stalk the land.
I have acknowledged that we are principally talking about the mature Russian basins, but I suspect that the new plays, e.g. Eastern Siberia, may be to total Russian production as Alaska was to the US. Furthermore, there have been reports that the new Eastern Siberian fields are both smaller than expected and being developed too slowly to offset the decline from Western Siberia.
http://www.themoscowtimes.com/stories/2007/07/10/042.html
Tuesday, July 10, 2007. Issue 3695. Page 5.
The Moscow Times: Alfa Report Sees Trouble Looming in Russian Oil Sector
By Anatoly Medetsky
Staff Writer
http://mnweekly.ru/local/20070927/55279368.html
27/09/2007 | Moscow News,№38 2007
Russia's Geology in Dire Straits
BTW, Khebab's most recent work on Russia (used for ASPO-USA) shows the middle case long term decline rate, out to 2028, to be about -7%/year. This is a decline to about 2 mbpd from about 10 mbpd (C+C+NGL), or an 80% decline. If instead we see a 90% decline by 2028, we would see about a -10%/year decline rate, but again we are principally talking about the mature Russian basins.
Bakhtiari did. In fact, Iran has been talking about peak oil for years now.
The cornucopian types claimed that they were just saying that to boost the price of oil. And now, to justify nukes, too.
Russia's energy infrastructure is quite old.
A concern for Russian fields and production in general is that that internal market is very different to the US. You do not get 'mom&pop' shops setting up tiny production enterprises across the oil provinces as you do in the States. These small businesses contribute to the overall US production in a way not seen in many other provinces, leading to a more gradual decline in production. Secondly the Russian infrastructure is much harsher to operate within than the US. Sparse population, huge distances and poor access for vast areas of the country mean that running any kind of oil operation is costly and tends to preclude small infill production scenarios.
Wheat markets soar on renewed tight supply fears
http://www.guardian.co.uk/feedarticle?id=7158580
Here is the bloomberg version, which for some reason was gone for a short while.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aS2tGTUyqn3c&refer=h...
The rarity is that this happened outside of CBOT's
normal trading.
As in, someone else is taking the lead.
A good article including the ethanol debate and the energy bill that was passed on Thursday by the Senate:
http://www.farmpolicy.com/?p=569#more-569
Some of the 36 billion gallons of ethanol required by 2022 would come from sources other than corn. Corn used for ethanol would be capped at 15 billion gallons; that would require about 6 billion bushels of corn.
Currently about 5 billion gallons of ethanol are produced from about 2 billion bushels of corn. Typically about 11 billion bushels of corn were harvested.
Anyway one writes it; the conversion of corn to ethanol is likely to damage the economy like hoardes of locusts stripping the corn crops across dozens of states. Gasoline prices are likely to become exhorbitant as ethanol manufacturers bid against hungry households for scarce corn. No one has located huge patches of available switch grass and the technology to make it into cheap fuel, else it would have been done as oil passed the $90. a barrel mark. Most large pastures of grass have been exploited by ranchers wherever possible. Deffeyes wrote about the possibility of using switchgrass to make cellulosic ethanol, but did provide the proof that it could be done economically.
Agro-Fuels and Agri-Business: New Colonialism
"The conclusion is pretty much the same across the board: 'the push for agro-fuels amounts to nothing less than the re-introduction and re-enforcement of the old colonial plantation economy, redesigned to function under the rules of the modern neo-liberal, globalised world," said Grain, an international organisation promoting the sustainable use and management of agro-biodiversity.
"The question is not whether ethanol and bio-diesel have a place in the future but whether or not to allow a handful of global corporations to impoverish the planet and the majority of the people.
"This is the last struggle for the peasants (struggle to resist the marginalisation of the poor by multinationals racing to acquire large tracts of land for agro-fuels production). This is the last big push to get rid of the peasants."
Synthetic DNA on the Brink of Yielding New Life Forms
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/12/16/AR200712...
Headline 2020:
Genetically Modified super bug eats everything, nothing left
Yes, the above it just a joke.
You get the idea...not a big fan of Genetic Modification.