DrumBeat: April 4, 2008
Posted by Leanan on April 4, 2008 - 6:09pm
Topic: Miscellaneous
Oil reserve site raises ire, Bush policy tested
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Bush administration says it favors "environmentally friendly" energy development, but that policy is under attack in a Mississippi town where residents worry a planned emergency oil reserve may drain a river, destroy wetlands and harm Gulf of Mexico fishing areas.There is fear the Energy Department's plan to carve out underground salt caverns in Richton, Mississippi, to hold some 160 million barrels of crude oil could be the worst environmental disaster to hit the state since Hurricane Katrina.
Pressure from the Kremlin may push BP to cede control of Russian oil venture
LONDON: Pressure from the Kremlin on BP's joint venture in Russia, TNK-BP, may before long lead the British oil company to cede control to either Rosneft or Gazprom, the Russian state-owned energy companies.
More than 1,000 in Iraq's forces quit Basra fight
BAGHDAD: More than 1,000 Iraqi soldiers and policemen either refused to fight or simply abandoned their posts during the inconclusive assault against Shiite militias in Basra last week, a senior Iraqi government official said Thursday. Iraqi military officials said the group included dozens of officers, including at least two senior field commanders in the battle.
Researchers extract methane gas from under permafrost
Mackenzie Delta - Researchers working at the Mallik site in the Mackenzie Delta have successfully extracted methane gas from frozen gas hydrates found beneath hundreds of metres of permafrost....Gas hydrates are a potential energy source found in permafrost environments and under the sea floor. They form when water and methane gas come together under extreme pressure and in a cold environment. The water and gas are frozen together at a molecular level. One cubic metre of gas hydrates contains 164-cubic-metres of methane gas, and 0.8 cubic metres of water.
Drought-hit Barcelona to import water by boat from France
Boats will from next month bring fresh water from other parts of Spain and neighbouring France to Barcelona to help the city deal with the region's worst drought in decades, local government officials said Friday.The boats will supply Spain's second-largest city with enough water to meet Barcelona's consumption needs for five days -- at a cost of 22 million euros (34.4 million dollars).
Arctic fantasies need reality check
EDMONTON - Geologist Robert Meneley knows all about visions of fabulous Arctic oil and gas treasure. He tried to make the dreams come true for Panarctic Oils, Petro-Canada and industry partners."It was brutal," he said in an interview, recalling lessons taught by polar drilling campaigns he led in the 1970s and '80s. "We never got a good surprise."
Marine reserves to reduce fishing area by 20%
Up to 20 per cent of British waters could be closed to activities such as fishing and oil exploration to protect threatened species under a Bill due to be published in draft.
Norway's vast fund for investing its oil wealth is now barred from owning shares in companies that sell arms to Myanmar, expanding limits imposed last year on direct investments in the Southeast Asia nation's government bonds and 1,200 companies, the finance ministry announced Friday.However, a statement said a preliminary review suggests there are currently no such companies in the fund's portfolio, making the ban a symbolic one.
OPEC's Crude Oil Production Fell 0.3% in March, Survey Shows
(Bloomberg) -- The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries cut oil production 0.3 percent in March, as Nigerian output dropped to the lowest in almost five years, a Bloomberg News survey showed.OPEC pumped an average 32.35 million barrels a day last month, down 85,000 barrels from February, according to the survey of oil companies, producers and analysts. February output was revised up by 160,000 barrels a day. Production by the 12 members with quotas, all except Iraq, fell 30,000 barrels to 29.97 million barrels a day.
Nigerian production fell 80,000 barrels to an average 1.96 million barrels a day last month, the biggest decline of any member, the survey showed. It was the lowest output for the West African country since April 2003.
Australia: The flowing arteries of Sir Rod's vision spark fears of a car destiny
THE travel habits of Melburnians will not change in coming decades and, by 2031, the city will remain sprawling and car-dependent with only a fraction of its residents using public transport.These are the assumptions underscoring Sir Rod Eddington's landmark call for $18 billion of new transport infrastructure, including a $9 billion road tunnel between the Eastern Freeway and the western suburbs.
Ireland: Finding local solutions for the world's oil crisis
IF Kilkenny is to free itself from oil dependency, it will have to come up with local solutions rather than relying on the government or the EU, a meeting in the city heard this week.The best results will come if the initiative is taken by residents and businesses rather than just the local authorities.
This is according to Daniel Lerch of the San Francisco-based Post Carbon Institute, who was speaking as part of a day-long conference ‘Housing, Planning and Urban Design for a Sustainable Future’ in Butler House on Tuesday.
In Poland, 'green' fields besieged
STRYSZOW, Poland: Depending on your point of view, Szczepan Master is either an incorrigible Luddite or a visionary. A small farmer, proud of his pure, high-quality products, he works his land the way Polish farmers have for centuries.He keeps his livestock in a straw-floored "barn" that is part of his house, entered through a kitchen door. He slaughters his own pigs. His wife milks cows by hand. He rejects genetically modified seeds. Instead of spraying his crops, he turns his fields in winter, preferring a workhorse to a tractor, to let the frost kill off pests residing there.
While traditional farms like his could be dismissed as a nostalgic throwback, they are also increasingly seen as the future - if only they can survive.
Master's way of farming - his way of life - has been badly threatened in the two years since Poland joined the European Union, a victim of sanitary laws and mandates to encourage efficiency and competition that favor mechanized commercial farms, farmers here say.
NEW YORK - Retail gas prices surged to a new record above $3.30 a gallon Friday and appear poised to rise further in coming weeks as gasoline supplies tighten.
How to win your case for telecommuting
With gas prices soaring toward $4 a gallon, a solution seems obvious: skip the commute. U.S. drivers travel an average of about 15 miles, one way, to work. Working from home a few days each week would be the quickest route to relief at the pump. It would ease pressure on clogged roadways, too.But telecommuting appears to be stalled in the driveway.
Nuclear plants, gas pipelines also in terror plans of airliner plotter
LONDON: A young British Muslim who became a key organizer in a plot to down trans-Atlantic airliners was also developing plans to cripple nuclear power stations, a European gas pipeline and Britain's electricity grid, a prosecutor told a court Friday.Assad Sarwar, 27, who had key contacts among Islamists in Pakistan, also wanted to destroy the main exchange for Britain's Internet service providers and target an airport control tower.
Kuwait's Asians feel pinch of India rice export ban
KUWAIT: India's decision to ban all rice exports except for premium brand basmati is resonating throughout Kuwait's rice market and has accelerated the pace of inflation in the oil-rich country. The ban will hit Asian expatriates especially hard as they are the largest consumers of non-basmati rice in the country, say market watchers.
Land Once Preserved Now Being Farmed
Since the mid-1980s, the U.S. government, in an attempt to reduce the environmental fallout from large-scale farming, has been paying farmers to set aside less-than-ideal land for conservation. The results have been overwhelmingly positive: Soil erosion has been reduced; chemical and fertilizer runoff has eased; habitats for game birds and endangered species have been created and enlarged. The pushback to climate change has been equally noteworthy: In 2007, the lands trapped 50 million metric tons of carbon dioxide, making the Conservation Reserve Program the most effective government-funded defense against greenhouse gases on private lands....But dark clouds are forming on the protected fields. Historically, farmers have been eager to participate in the program, and many still are. But as prices for crops have soared, a growing number of farmers have opted to put conservation land back into production. The trend is expected to accelerate—to the grave concern of many observers who caution that years of steady environmental progress could be halted, or even reversed, as buffers and habitats are converted into farmland.
Risky 'experiment' combats rising cost of corn
BELLVALE, NY — One benefit of dairy farming is the steady stream of cheap manure. But as the cow giveth, so the cow taketh.To make all that fertilizer — and high-quality milk — Bessie has to eat, and it's never been more expensive to feed a cow.
It's gotten so bad that Al Buckbee's trying an experiment this year. He's growing his own oats and more corn than in the past. He's cutting back on hay he can sell because he'd rather lose revenue than keep paying the steep cost of commodity crops.
'The End of Suburbia': After peak oil comes what fresh hell?
There has been a faint chorus of people warning about the end of oil since the 1970s. These days the chorus is getting a bit louder but most folk are still watching the approaching calamity like an enormous tidal wave far off on the horizon. "Look at that . . . It's pretty big, hey? Hmmm, getting closer now. Yep . . . Umm . . . oh S***!"
Zero-carbon towns are unrealistic, energy assessor claims
A UK energy assessor is warning that zero-carbon towns are wholly unrealistic.Paul Staley, managing director of Energy Reports and Surveys, says it is not possible to make all homes zero-carbon and that Britain needs to concentrate on existing properties to solve its energy crisis.
Electricity theft costs Eskom billions
South Africa's energy crisis is exacerbated by electricity theft, which is also robbing Eskom of revenue.It was difficult for Eskom to state how much electricity theft was costing it, but non-technical losses - such as billing and metering errors - amounted to R1-billion in the 2006/07 financial year, said Eskom spokesperson Tony Scott on Wednesday.
Uganda To Reach Full-Scale Oil Production In 5 Yrs
Uganda expects to reach fully-fledged oil production in the next five years following impressive oil exploration results in the Lake Albert Valley, a senior government official told Dow Jones Newswires Friday.Kalisa Kabagambe, the permanent secretary at the ministry of energy and minerals, said that Dublin-listed Tullow Oil is in the process of setting up a small oil refinery which will initially produce around 4,000 barrels of oil a day, part of which will be used to run a 50 megawatt thermal plant, as Uganda seeks to ease its power crisis.
Oil output is then expected to keep rising and reach full-scale in the next five years, he added. By that time, Uganda expects to produce between 40,000 and 60,000 barrels of oil a day.
Mexico's Calderon says oil data too bleak to ignore
CANCUN, Mexico (Reuters) - President Felipe Calderon said on Thursday that the outlook for Mexico's flagging oil industry was too grim for political bickering to stand in the way of an oil industry reform.Calderon, whose conservative party lawmakers are battling to persuade opposition parties to back an oil reform proposal that could lower barriers to foreign partners in high-risk areas like deep-sea oil, said the country was losing billions of dollars in lost oil revenues and reserves were still falling.
Mexico Senate sees oil reform draft next week
MEXICO CITY (Reuters) - Lawmakers from Mexico's ruling party will have a draft oil reform proposal ready next week with clauses to encourage drilling in deep-water oil fields on the U.S. maritime border, a senior senator said on Thursday.Sen. Ruben Camarillo, the National Action Party's point man for writing the proposal, told Reuters the party was also "very seriously" considering measures to allow state oil monopoly Pemex to partner with other state firms in deep-sea oil.
Petrobras Accused Of Oil Contract Breach In Ecuador
Ecuadorian state oil company Petroecuador said that Petrobras may have breached its contract by selling assets to a third party and that, if so, the Brazilian state energy giant could be stripped of its main Amazon oil concession.
Pakistan searches for solution to power shortages
Islamabad - Pakistan's electricity production was nearly 3,000 megawatts short of demand in March. The country made up the difference by turning off lights, and everything else, for several hours a day. Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gillani after being sworn in March 25 put the "energy crisis" up with terrorism as a top issue to address during his first 100 days in office.But things will get worse before they get better, Gillani warned, with power outages increasing through June when air conditioners are turned on to beat the heat.
Fuel crisis hits Bali, Indonesia
JAKARTA (Xinhua) -- Fuel shortage has been hitting Indonesia's resort island of Bali over the last few days, causing an unusual view in which many empty-tanked vehicles are left unattended on streets.Motorists have left their cars and motorcycles with empty tanks on streets as many fuel outlets they came by no longer had gasoline or diesel fuel stocks, national Antara news agency reported Friday.
Gazprom In Talks To Gain Control Over TNK-BP
Russia's OAO Gazprom is in talks with TNK-BP, half owned by U.K. oil major BP PLC, to gain a 51% stake in the joint venture, the RBK Daily said Friday, citing two unnamed sources.
Italian political hopeful wants to build nuke power plants in Montenegro, Albania
Giulio Tremonti - the man who analysts say has the inside track to become Italy's economy minister should his centre-right party win the country's parliamentary election slated for April 13 and 14 – says that nuclear power plants should be built in Montenegro and Albania to help solve Italy's power shortage. Analysts believe Tremonti's party has a very good chance to come to power 10 days hence.
Smaller, less-thirsty, cheaper cars enjoy big sales boom
The smallest, cheapest, cars are the biggest, brightest spot in the dreary auto market, reflecting continuing buyer flight to fuel economy and lower prices.Sales of all types of small cars in March were at year-ago levels, Autodata says — a big success in an industry that sold 12% fewer vehicles overall than in March 2007. The small-car segment was the only one not showing a loss.
Within that group, the so-called lower small cars, the smallest and lowest-priced, boomed. Sales were up nearly 27% from last year. "And last year was a strong year," notes Tom Libby at Power Information Network, a unit of consultant J.D. Power and Associates.
Iceland: Don’t Step on My Blue Suede Shoes
“It’s funny how Icelanders will accept anything. When the welfare of their children and old relatives is at stake, they just mumble something in protest and that’s it. But when it comes to their cars, all hell breaks loose.”That is so true. Like Elvis cared for his blue suede shoes more than anything, Icelanders love their cars. They love being able to drive their shiny new SUVs and monster jeeps wherever they need to go (rarely outside city limits), even the shortest of distances. They may hardly be able to afford the monthly down payment of the car loan they took or all the gasoline these status symbols require, but who cares? Many considered such cars an absolute necessity.
LUKOIL slashes 2008 oil output forecast
ST PETERSBURG, Russia (Reuters) - Russian oil major LUKOIL plans to increase oil production by 1.8-2.0 percent this year without acquisitions, its chief executive Vagit Alekperov told reporters on Friday.Russia's second largest oil producer has previously said its output would rise by around 5 percent this year. Alekperov also declined to comment on market rumours the firm was close to buying a refinery in Italy.
Shell Extinguishes Nigerian Oil Pipeline Fire; Export Isn't Cut
(Bloomberg) -- Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Europe's biggest oil company, extinguished a fire on a pipeline that pumps oil to the Bonny export terminal in Nigeria.The fire was extinguished yesterday, Rainer Winzenried, a spokesman for Shell, said by phone today. Exports from the Bonny terminal were not disrupted and the company doesn't plan to announce force majeure on its supplies, he said.
Petrofac Wins Syrian Gas Contract From Petro-Canada
(Bloomberg) -- Petrofac Ltd., the U.K. oil and gas services provider with projects in the Middle East, the North Sea and Kazakhstan, won a $477 million contract from Petro- Canada to build a natural-gas treatment plant in Syria.
An Energy Policy that Makes Cents (and Sense)
Advocates of the peak oil theory, such as myself, have a patriotic duty to propose solutions to the challenges of addressing peak oil.Before the policy is unveiled, there is first need for some discussion.
Iran Can Be Thanked for Easing of Violence in Iraq: Interview
(Bloomberg) -- U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney, on an unannounced trip to Iraq last month, said the 30,000 extra U.S. soldiers sent there last year had brought about ``dramatic improvements in the security situation.''Actually, says Gilles Kepel, Iran is behind the easing of violence. Kepel, head of Middle East studies at Sciences Po in Paris, writes in the just published ``Terreur et Martyre'' that the U.S. and al-Qaeda have both lost the war on terror, and that Iran pulls the strings -- in Iraq anyway.
Ratepayers could pay billions for wind-power lines
AUSTIN — Building new transmission lines so wind-power turbines can connect to the state power grid could cost ratepayers as much as about $6.4 billion, according to the Electric Reliability Council of Texas.ERCOT, which operates the power grid, filed a study with the Public Utility Commission on Wednesday explaining five scenarios of wind growth and the transmission equipment to handle it.
DOE faulted on pick of law firm for nuclear waste dump project
WASHINGTON: The Energy Department did not fully document its rationale for awarding a $100 million contract to a law firm with a conflict of interest for work on a national nuclear waste dump in Nevada, the agency's inspector general said Thursday.
British Airways puts bill for T5 chaos last week at £16m
BA's downbeat outlook comes as the scalps claimed by the unprecedented price of jet fuel start to pile up. So far, only marginal carriers have been caught out. ATA Airlines, an American carrier, filed for bankruptcy yesterday, just days after Aloha Airlines collapsed. Vueling, a Spanish low-cost carrier launched by Apax Partners that has lost 80 per cent of its market value amid rising losses, may merge with Iberia's Clickair. Alitalia, Italy's state-owned basket case, is facing bankruptcy after Air France-KLM withdrew its takeover offer after talks with unions broke down.
Northwest raises fuel surcharges, freezes pilot hiring
MINNEAPOLIS (AP) — Fuel isn't getting any cheaper, so Northwest Airlines Corp. is going to make flying a little more expensive.Northwest has raised prices on international flights, plans to freeze new hiring of pilots and flight attendants, and will cut its domestic schedule by 5% beginning in September.
Why are we going back to coal?
It is energy supply that will determine how quickly Britain goes green. Rather than trying to herd millions of individual consumers into taking tiny steps, the Government could change energy supply with one stroke of the pen. But the pen seems to be doodling wildly at the margins of the page.
Coal power policy under attack from top scientists
Britain's leading scientists have told ministers that plans for a new generation of coal power stations pose an unacceptable climate risk, unless greater efforts are made to trap and store the carbon pollution they produce.
Fight against global warming need not dent growth: IMF
WASHINGTON (AFP) - The International Monetary Fund on Thursday said it was possible to fight global warming without negatively impacting economic growth.
Nations inch towards new climate deal
BANGKOK (AFP) - More than 160 nations are working Friday to clear the initial hurdle in drafting an ambitious new treaty on global warming, expected for the first time to consider rising emissions from planes and ships.
Turner talks of global change, cannibalism
ATLANTA (UPI) -- Unchecked global warming and an exploding population could result in cannibalism, controversial U.S. former media mogul Ted Turner says.If global warming isn't stemmed, "we'll be 8 degrees hotter in 30 or 40 years and basically none of the crops will grow," Turner said during PBS' "Charlie Rose."
"Most of the people will have died and the rest of us will be cannibals," said Turner, 69. "Civilization will have broken down. The few people left will be living in a failed state ... living conditions will be intolerable."



Newfoundland and Labrador Oil Production Dropping
A 15 percent drop in one year, that’s a bunch! That should offset any gain from the oil sands, and then some.
Ron Patterson
From your link: "Ontario's weak trade sector will see the province teeter on the brink of recession through 2008, but it should pick-up in 2009 to coincide with a recovering U.S. economy."
One wonders where this recovery is going to come from.
Hey Ron starting to wonder what those tarsands increases will be Suncor one of the the two largest producers continues to underperform and is not even keeping up with last years rate. I realize February was brutal weather wise for them but they continue to overpromise and under deliver on the bpd. They are going to have to put the pedal to the metal in order to hit there target since in Q1 they averaged over 25,000 bpd less than the average they forecast.
Suncor Energy reports oil sands production numbers for March 2008
Calgary, Alberta (April 3, 2008) – Suncor Energy Inc. reported today that production at its oil sands facility during March averaged approximately 248,000 barrels per day (bpd). Year-to-date oil sands production at the end of March averaged approximately 247,000 bpd. Suncor is targeting average oil sands production of 275,000 to 300,000 bpd in 2008.
Oil megaprojects data shows 266,000 barrels of new production coming on line in 2007 and 608,000 in new production in 2008 for various companies producing tar sands in Canada. Production is not supposed to peak at these levels for several years, but If these projects are going according to plan, one might expect some increases. One of these projects is a Suncor project that is supposed to begin operation in 2008, and is supposed to add 140,000 barrels a day of production by 2010.
Until I see actual production, I remain skeptical.
Re: Food & Energy Exporters Trading With Each Other
IMO, the primary reason for this move by Saudi Arabia to save water is their continuing shortfall in natural gas production, which is causing their petroleum liquids consumption to skyrocket—which is why the Saudis have been discussing importing coal.
On one level of course, this is just an example of comparative advantage, but it does illustrate what I expect to be a quickly developing trend of bilateral trade between food and energy exporters. I expect energy BTU’s and food calories to become the new “coin of the realm” in world trade.
Of course, this would also be true within countries, like the US. It is not a good time to be both a net food and a net energy consumer.
http://www.business24-7.ae/cs/article_show_mainh1_story.aspx?HeadlineID=...
Saudi plans to import wheat to save water
By Nadim Kawach on Thursday, April 3 , 2008
Maybe a decade ago, I heard an agronomist?/economist? on German radio discussing the fact that wheat exports are actually water exports. I can no longer remember the figure, but it was amazing - for some reason, I remember 7 in relation to one - my haziest best recollection is, 700 hundred tons of water for 1 ton of wheat, but it could also have been 7000 tons of water to 1 ton of wheat.
Which shows just how idiotic Saudi wheat growing truly is - for those that think ethanol is mind numbingly stupid.
If the moisture content of stored wheat is more than about 15% it molds. The figures you mention may represent the amount of water transpired by the growing wheat plant, but certainly aren't the amount exported along with the wheat. That water would have fallen as precipitation on dryland wheatfields anyway, or would have been evapotranspired elsewhere if not used to irrigate wheat. So saying that exporting wheat is actually exporting water is misleading.
What if you're pumping "fossil water" out of an aquifer to irrigate the wheat?
Good point! I've recently read two books about the dust bowl days of the 1930s and have become convinced that the dust bowl came to an end only because water from the Oglalla aquifer began to be applied to Southern Plains wheatfields on a large scale beginning in the '40s. At the rate the Oglalla is being depleted, dust bowl conditions are bound to return. My post didn't take into consideration irrigation water from aquifers being depleted faster than they can recharge. My own irrigation water comes from a largely snowmelt fed river. But even water from diminishing aquifers used to grow wheat isn't literally exported. I do get your point tho, and agree.
A relatively small amount of wheat or corn is irrigated.
Exporting corn is exporting energy as long as corn's price stays below it's energy content. Currently corn's energy content is in the area of $9-10/bushel when compared to LPG at retail. I know this is true because I heat with both.
When corn is exported the United States has to replace the lost energy content with more expensive energy imports which is stupid.
Corn exports should stop. It is in the self interest of the U.S..
Those who import corn usually use it as animal feed which is another big energy loser. Corn is more valuable for it's energy content that for animal feed at current prices. Corn is called a coarse grain because it is not suitable for human food except in the most desperate circumstances and then only relatively small amounts are needed.
Well, let's see; we can export a bushel of corn for $5.95, and import 2.8 gallons of gasoline at $7.56, and miss out on the opportunity to export 17 lbs of distillers grains ($1.70)
Net Loss: $1.61 + $1.70 = $3.31/bushel; Or, we can get our heads' out of our rearends, provide for our OWN people, and cut our exports of cattle feed to Communist Asian Countries by 60%.
$3.31 Lost for every bushel of cattle feed (corn) exported. This should be a "No-Brainer."
Your math may be spot on, so please don't tear me a new one, but are you saying that 1 bushel of corn produces the energy equivalent of 2.8 gallons of gasoline, or did I miss the point entirely?
Yes, and apparently he has found a way to stuff that bushel of corn in a gas tank with no processing. Beautiful!!
tstreet,
I think you've got me on that one. I suppose I would have to subtract a bit for the processing.
Let's whack off $0.25/gal ($0.75 total,) and call it even; okay?
$3.31 - $0.75 = $2.56 shot all to hell with every bushel exported. Still Silly.
Ethanol is not sustainable in any way, shape, or form. Robert Rapier has debunked you so often that I think he's given up. Yet you continue to spout "the big lie" over and over again, always looking for some new angle to push your agenda.
What is sustainable these days ? Agriculture ? Oil Drilling ?
According to some, the only thing that is sustainable is a world without humankind on it. Since I tend to like humans, being one of them, I consider this way of thinking to be terrifying.
I tend to think that local ethanol production beats foreign oil imports any day of the week. It doesn't drown us in debt and we don't have to spend $150 billion+ per year occupying the farm belt and securing the tanker lanes ;).
In the end, though, I think V2G is the way to go. Liquid fuels are too dangerous -- politically, environmentally, and ecologically. So a nod to RR on that count.
Solar+Wind+Nuclear with storage. To me, it's a no brainer. But some people seem to think the world can't run on anything other than dead microbes fermented in the ground millions of years.
It's 19th century thinking at best. At worst, it's a recipe for disaster.
Sorry, but this is entirely false. Not every civilization that has existed has raped and pillaged the world around them.
It is a choice we make.
Cheers
Then be careful who you indict -- a civilization or all of humankind.
You don't have to say, "how far can I drive my car on corn?" which is as nonsensical as it sounds. Just look for an easy substitute based on established off-the shelf technology. To figure out whether exporting corn is a bad deal, say: I can easily heat my house with the corn, and how much natural gas would that save that I could then easily use to run a car? Corn furnaces and natural gas cars are easy to get and don't require additional processing of either energy input.
BadgerB,
Actually, Jeff Broin, CEO of Poet (refiners of 1.1 Billion gallons of ethanol/yr,) states that his company can turn out 435 gallons of ethanol from 150 bushels of corn.
http://peakenergy.blogspot.com/2007/10/cellulosic-ethanol-running-cars-o...
That would be about 2.9 gallons per bushel.
Add this to DOE's estimate that, on average, you only lose one half of one percent efficiency when running E10 vs. Gasoline, and I felt I was on pretty safe ground.
55% of the energy and only a one half of one % hit on mileage? The ballsiness of these administration guys to lie never ceases to amaze me. My personal experience as an obsessive Prius driver is that 10% ethanol is a 5% hit on my mileage, which, funny enough, is exactly what the law of conservation of energy would indicate.
The dry fate can be avoided it seems:
http://www.harvestingrainwater.com/
You need to actually spend time watching how the water flows and add organic material to the land. Not exactly the present method of doing business.
The point was, it is easier to export a ton of wheat than to try to make up the amount of water needed in growing that wheat where water is lacking.
Of course, without going into picky details, Germany does not use irrigation at all to grow wheat - and certainly not in the region where I live.
I posted this article back in January:
Saudi Arabia scraps wheat growing to save water
1 cubic meter of water is roughly equal to 1 tonne (1000 kilograms, not the same as the US "ton") so that is about 1300-1500 tonnes of water per tonne of wheat.
1 cubic meter = 1000 liters at 2.2 pounds (or 1 kg) per liter divided by 2,200 pounds per tonne. All numbers rounded where necessary for simplicity's sake but the decimal fraction wouldn't change much.
Point for your next trivia night:
A tonne is, by definition, the weight of a cubic metre of water.
Likewise a kilogram is, by definition, the weight of a litre (10cm cube)of water. 1000 litres in a cubic metre, hence 1000 kilograms in a tonne.
...but GreyZone probably knows this already and just didn't want to get into a long and "fascinating" discussion of the metric system.
I really hate to go into the details of the metric system, but I'm going to.
The original definition of the gram was the mass of 1 cc of water at 0°C. However, while that temperature is easy to achieve, the mass of water is pretty unstable at that temperature (having the habit of freezing and thawing and all), so in 1798 it was redefined to be the mass of 1 cc of water at 4°C. Anyway, because it is really hard to purify water to get it pure enough that it weighs 1 gram/cc the powers that be decided to officially define the kilogram as the mass of a 39.17 mm right cylinder of 90% platinum 10% iridium. The mass of this cylinder is very slightly greater than the mass of 1 cc of super-pure water with a specified ratio of oxygen isotopes in the water molecules. The prototype kilogram is stored under 2 bell jars in a vault in France.
As a side note, the density of water at 25°C is 997 kg/m^3, which is a bit lower than 1 tonne/m^3.
Making 700 tons of water realistic, in a German context. Obviously, Saudi Arabia, being both desert and much further south, is going to have a higher need of water to grow wheat.
I'm not sure that the US is actually that dependent on food imports, from my own analysis and Pat Murphy's - yes, we are a net food importer, but most of our calorie foods are grown here and it wouldn't be that difficult to replace our vegetable foods. On the other hand, energy...
BTW, sorry to do this here, but Westexas, I can't find an email for you anywhere. I'm writing about the ELM for food in my book, and I wanted to ask you questions - any chance you could email me at jewishfarmer@gmail.com?
Thanks, and sorry not to send this query privately.
Sharon Astyk
If you click on his username you see his e-mail.(spam protected yours is not)
Thank you Paulus - apparently I'm not very bright ;-).
Sharon
westexas at aol.com
"X" = World's largest net food exporter (anyone know which country this is?)
You and I are, on a micro scale, are analogous to "X" and Saudi Arbia on a macro basis--in food & energy terms.
I think that the new coin of the realm is energy BTU's and food calories. The emerging problem for net food and net energy importers and for net food and net energy consumers is coming up with valuable goods and/or services to trade for food and energy.
I think that small organic farmers like you and Jason are going to be in great demand--in much the same way that high tech gurus were once sought out for advice.
I think it will be interesting to see whether the US government comes to subsidize small farmers and gardeners simply because we can provide food to the populace in general while allowing grain exports to be traded for oil. John Michael Greer's two tier system seems potentially possible here.
BTW, the US was the world's largest food exporter as of 2005, the last year for which I can find statistics. I think it unlikely that domestic ethanol production changed that number for 2007, but it is technically possible, and I can't find stats offhand. But with 40% of the world's grain exports, our