DrumBeat: September 29, 2006
Posted by threadbot on September 29, 2006 - 9:15am
Topic: Miscellaneous
The end of oil's stunning ride
The energy crisis is over. You just might not be that happy with the ending.The last four years has seen a nearly unprecedented surge in oil, gasoline and natural gas prices.
A global economic boom - fueled by Brazil, China, India, Mexico and the United States, among other countries, has sparked a ravenous new appetite for fuel that left producers scrambling to meet demand.
And this summer a combination of events hit the oil market, including a messy switch in gasoline blends, fears of another tough hurricane season, unabated gasoline demand and war in the Middle East. And oh yeah, a truckload of speculators pouring "hot money" into the market.
They combined in what some analysts called a "perfect storm" to push crude oil to a record trading high of $78.40, nearly four times higher than where it began 2002, unadjusted for inflation.
Bangladesh power shortage triggers violent protests

About 200 injured in clashes spurred by the fact that residents have been getting just two hours of electricity a day.
Blast at gas pipeline in Turkey
Criminal cases to be launched against Sakhalin energy project
Russia's environmental inspectorate plans criminal proceedings against the operator of the Sakhalin-2 oil and gas project over "barbaric" environmental damage caused by pipeline construction, a senior inspector has been quoted as saying.
GM working on plug-in hybrids as well as hydrogen
Winter heating bills should be lower this year
Gore's movie boosts solar sales
Statoil Looking for Canadian Oil Sands Deal
Nigeria to trim oil supply to shore up price
Coal said top enemy in fighting global warming
Boeing Says Biofuels Show Some Promise
Sugarcane and switchgrass are unlikely to fuel the next plane you ride, but Boeing Co. says development of biofuels is gaining momentum as airlines and armed forces seek alternatives to expensive jet fuel.
When Renewable Energy Is Bad For The Environment
Albert Einstein said, “We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.” He also said, “Any fool can make things bigger, more complex, and more violent. It takes a touch of genius-and a lot of courage-to move in the opposite direction.” I spent the weekend with genius and with courage, and I am happy to report that they are alive and well and working on our problems.
James Howard Kunstler: A reflection on cities of the future



Leanan, I don't have your email so I can send you articles, but there are a couple of interesting articles on the Rigzone website this AM. Statoil is looking for a tar sands deal in Alberta and has $1 billion to spend, which doesn't say much for their faith in the Jack 2 find, and Trinidad Tobaggo is extending the bid time for their offshore blocks, so they aren't getting the money they wanted or interest in enough of the acreage.
It's in my public profile.
Already posted that one.
It does give a good indication of what they expect in their own North Sea fields.
Let's call it:
The players have indicated there will be another production test at the site next year. Maybe it will be called Jack3. Maybe the players will wait months to announce the results. In the best of all possible worlds, the entire administration will be facing impeachment at that time and friends in the oil industry might be looking for another opportunity for self-serving mischief.
Asked him "what did you do for entertainment as a teen" and was told "for 5 cents we rode the inter urban out to the lake." Turns out the interurban was owned by he electric comany...and the electric company used the train for load regulation.
The interurban ended with the public holding company act.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_Utility_Holding_Company_Act_of_1935
Isn't it amazing how the masters stir up fear and hatred so that people will vote against their own interests ? You'd think that after thousands of years we'd have learned.
If our species survives and ever enters a 'Star-Trek'esque golden age, they will wonder at our barbarity. Talk about slicing off your nose to spite you face.
That was only 60ish years ago. Less than a century. It's hard to believe people like that existed or continue to exist. Sad.
http://www.latimes.com/news/printedition/front/la-na-detain29sep29,1,557934.story?coll=la-headlines- frontpage
Scarring, Mental harm, Psychologic terror, Starvation, degredation are all legal. The definition of disability and long term would probably allow the legal breakage of bones and removal of fingernails and teeth, possibly even the removal of minor digits. This can occur at any time in detention. Exactly how the torture of someone 4-5 years after capture can still yield much/any information, I have difficulty seeing. I can see it satisfying someones desire for revenge or sadistic urges.
I have a lot of problems with the law and believe it will be tossed by the supreme court as it hardly allows for equality under the law as it targets 'furiners'.
If it stands though all that is needed is an ammendment or two in the future and the law could be applied domestically. Shouldn't be hard to do with a domestic terrorist act (eg london tube bombing style). Then you've pretty well got legal nazi concentration camps. It even has massive secrecy and censorship built in, if you know someone has been arrested under the new rules and speak out, you are off to camp as well. This apparently includes the judges and lawyers associated with the cases. The law was also retrospective so Pres Bush and Co won't be put against the wall after the repubs go away.
The vote was very split along the party lines with a number of republicans breaking ranks. Personally the democrats should be using this in a huge way in the coming elections.
The vote was
The worst case is the Red Line subway in Los Angeles was stopped from moving into Beverly Hills by Henry Waxman. Recently, as traffic gets worse, and they see that Hollywood benefits, there are signs that the rich liberals may relent and let the Red Line go through to UCLA.
Other cases in DC area, one suburb (Georgetown ?) let the subway go through but without a station. OTOH, Arlington embraced DC Metro.
In Dallas, the light rail goes into subway just before downtown and emerges in downtown. They go under a rich neighborhood that refused a station (but now wants one).
With many large oil fields declining in output, and talk swirling by a small yet vocal minority of people who think the world has reached it's peak oil production, and etimates from the Energy Information Administration that the world will use 50 percent more oil by 2030 - it's hard to see why investor interest would diminish.
It's almost dropped in like it's no big deal and an excellent reason to invest.
Is there really evidence? The context is clearly that he is saying supply is increasing, but I guess he desn't say that - he just says "responding". I guess he could be talking about storage levels, is there evidence of extraction rate increasing ?
Yes, dinopello, there is plenty of evidence. Of ignorance.
Take this sentence from the same CNN story:
"In the following years Canada's massive tar sands project and other new discoveries like Chevron's Jack field deep in the Gulf of Mexico should begin to yield oil, although prices need to remain above $50 for these ventures to be profitable."
Even the sorry-ass excuses for reporters and editors that CNN chooses to hire should know that the preceding sentence includes the contention that the tar pits should begin to yield oil in the future ("in the following years").
Are they stupid? Lazy? Willfully misleading? Is there any reporting from CNN, which is worthy of public trust?
As for Dingmann, I thing dingbat is the appropiate handle.
That line explains why CNN runs a story like this. There's money to be made in Peak Oil.
Money is never an afterthought, my friend! That's blasphemy.
Great...make all the frickin money you can...it'll help start your fire in your fireplace with TSHTF.
On the day we can make a market in Peak oil and renewables, that's the day it happens, nothing else is holding it up.....time for a song
DAR WILLIAMS Lyrics » Play The Greed Lyrics
I finally learned that the market's righteous holler
Comes from a pale face on a paper dollar
And I betcha got few bucks in your hemp wallet
So throw a tiny wrench in the fiber optic wires
Morals are cheap and you can be the buyers
We can let 'em poison and perish foreign lands
Or we can play the greed right into our hands
Everybody says it can't happen here
Things'll turn around just as sure as they said it
Hell, things change and they all take credit
So ask why there's only forty songs on a station
And ask your cafe about their coffee's plantation
And why is it Arizona hasn't gone solar?
And tell your print shop that hemp grows faster
And it doesn't mean a back room clear cut disaster
The market doesn't care but it wants to understand
And you can play the greed right into your hands
Smiling man says it can't happen here
Channel 4 says it can't happen here
Things'll turn around just as sure as they said it
Hell, the change comes and they all take credit
So roll up your pennies and do your battle
The chairman will start quoting Chief Seattle and
Put little tree frogs on their letterhead
'Cause the market resists and the market absorbs
With a five-pointed leaf on the cover of Forbes
The very same people turned valleys to dams
These are the ones that drain prairies to sand
And they'd just as soon you didn't know this land is your land
But we can play the world back into our hands
Malcom's gonna say it can't happen here
Rupert's gonna say it can't happen here
Things'll turn around just as sure as they said it
Hell, things change and they'll always take the credit
Hell the change comes
Let's let 'em take the credit
Roger Conner known to you as ThatsItImout
http://www.marzeporgohar.org/index.php?action=news&n_id=32933&l=1
http://www.marzeporgohar.org/index.php?action=news&n_id=32935&l=1
It looks like Inpex of Japan is backing off as far as investing in Iran's oil industry, demanding that they first stop enriching uranium:
http://www.marzeporgohar.org/index.php?action=news&n_id=32897&l=1
About the time we can make the
the ends meet, somebody moves
the ends -- Herbert Hoover
On the other hand, maybe I'll stick around just a bit longer to -- ahhhh, you know -- just see what happens...
So are the public consultation meetings. But they are not even mentioned by government and industry. It's a done deal.
Still, there are conflicting interests..
I have no doubt that this is a temporary blip. However, I don't think that space heating is the best use of this gas, when options for bio-mass (pellet furnaces) and ground source heat exchange are real and promise long term supply security for Canadians and possibly most Americans. Obviously, it would be foolish to throw out still useful gas furnaces, but it is even more foolish, and selfish from an intergenerational perspective, to continue to install new gas burners.
Bio-mass fired district heating units relying on wood pellets and switchgrass pellets, are efficient and have a minimal environmental impact, especially on the GHG front. Where district heating is not an option, individual stoves can provided household/commercial building heating. Switchgrass, unlike corn, is grown with minimal inputs and can be productively grown on marginal agriculture land and it can be grown in a regime which enhances soil quality, as well as providing wildlife habitat.
Every effort should be made to preserve some hydro-carbons for future generations. Canadians don't deserve them anymore than Americans. They are humanity's endowment.
"Exxon Mobil Corp., which owns 70 per cent of Imperial, is one of three companies that wants to build a pipeline from Alaska to Chicago."
There is of course no want on the part of Exxon or any combination of companies to build a pipeline from Alaska to Chicago. There is a proposal to build a pipeline down the MacKenzie Valley that would tie into the existing pipeline network in Alberta.
Maybe we need a market-based scheme modelled on the "pizza is free if delivery not within 30 minutes" incentive that exists in the cheesy dough industry.
Canada's newspaper of record, indeed all those purporting to bring news to the world, would make a thousand dollar donation to a program, aimed at improving the research skills of their employees, each time a factual error is found in published or broadcast reports.
These media are invariably advocates for the market economy editorializing on its advantages in terms of productivity and efficiency. How could they oppose a market mechanism that will tend to ensure the accuracy of news?
Ouch! So prices have to be above levels that not that long ago led to fuel protests, otherwise Jack will remain untapped.
Funny how quickly the excessive becomes the norm
Yes. It also works the other way. An "elephant" oil field is now a field with 500 mmboe of estimated recoverable reserves. These elephants are getting smaller.
The Dwarf Elephant and Hippo of
Malta next to a Modern Indian Elephant
Boy the way Glen Miller played
Songs that made the hit parade.
Guys like us we had it made,
Those were the days.
And you knew who you were then,
Girls were girls and men were men,
Mister we could use a man
Like Herbert Hoover again.
Didn't need no welfare state,
Everybody pulled his weight.
Gee our old LaSalle ran great.
Those were the days.
-by Charles Stouse and Lee Adams