DrumBeat: February 17, 2008
Posted by Leanan on February 17, 2008 - 9:44am
Topic: Miscellaneous
Despite record profits, oil companies find little comfort in high prices
PARIS: As crude oil prices topped $100 a barrel in January, some of the world's major oil companies rang up annual profits that beat the bottom lines of any other company, in any other line of business. Yet, despite appearances, industry analysts are not rushing to pat the majors on the back.Exxon Mobile, the largest oil company, reported at the start of this month a record 2007 profit of $40.6 billion, earnings that trounced any other company. Royal Dutch Shell reported the largest earnings of any company in Britain, at about $31 billion.
But amid rising consumer resistance to high prices of gasoline and other refined products, analysts and even some oil company executives have a hard time putting a positive spin on the future.
"As far as the outlook, it is pretty horrible," said Peter Hitchens, an oil analyst at Seymour Pierce in London.
Chevron Shuts Australia Oil Fields, Adds to Closures
(Bloomberg) -- Chevron Corp.'s Australian unit halted production at oil fields on the Barrow and Thevenard Islands off the northwest coast, adding to shutdowns due to a tropical cyclone moving through the region.Chevron Australia moved non-essential workers from the islands and shut down 9,000 barrels a day of production as Tropical Cyclone Nicholas nears the area, Scott Walker, a Perth- based spokesman, said yesterday in an e-mail.
Crude supply sufficient: Saudi, Norway
RIYADH: Two of the world's top oil exporters, Saudi Arabia and Norway, consider crude supply to the global market to be sufficient, according to a statement carried yesterday by state news agency SPA.
Chavez says no plan to halt oil exports to the United States
"We don't have plans to stop sending oil to the United States," the socialist leader said Sunday during a visit to heavy-oil projects in Venezuela's petroleum-rich Orinoco River basin that were nationalized last year.But he added that Venezuela could cut off supplies to the United States if Washington "attacks Venezuela or tries to harm us."
Venezuela may create windfall oil tax: Chavez
CARACAS (Reuters) - Venezuela may create a windfall oil tax on earnings generated by quick increases in oil prices, President Hugo Chavez said on Sunday, extending the OPEC's nation's efforts to increase revenues from the oil industry.
Biofuel: Gene scientists find secret to oil yield from corn
PARIS (AFP) - Agricultural scientists in the United States have identified a key gene that determines oil yield in a corn, a finding that could have repercussions for the fast-expanding biofuels industry.
High prices leave Kuwaiti families reeling
Kuwait families are suffering major budget crunches as inflation in the oil rich state climbs to new highs.Prices for basic goods have surged by as much as 40% over the past three months, according to the Kuwait Times, with inflation knocking a new record of 7.3% in October, 2007.
Ethanol fuels food price frenzy
The pending global food crisis is due, in part, to a rich twist of irony: One of the factors driving up the price of T-bone steak, a dozen eggs and a carton of milk is a perfectly edible vegetable, a staple of many diets - corn.To add to the irony, we're growing more corn than ever before. We're just not eating it.
"The U.S. is now using more corn for production of ethanol than our entire crop in Canada," says Kurt Klein, a professor of agricultural economics at the University of Lethbridge. "It's huge."
Soy displaces cattle as main farm activity in Argentina
“Of all the current camp options soy requires a lesser investment; prices remain strong and promise to remain strong; demand for oil and bio-diesel keeps growing and it’s the crop less susceptible to suffer the lack of rainfall”, said economist Ernesto Ambrosetti from the SRA Economics Studies Institute.However it has its drawbacks and the main soy organization admits it.
“In vast areas soy has become a single cultivation” said Rodolfo Rossi from the Soy Association. And he warned many farmers are not involved in the necessary conservation of the soil since soybeans extract a high percentage of nutrients which need to be replenished.
Petrol Price Shakeup Panics Turkmen Drivers
Sharp increase in petrol prices accompanied by a rationed allowance alarms drivers used to paying a pittance for fuel.
Indian motorists face dearer fuel
India has raised the prices of petrol and diesel for the first time in 20 months to help petrol dealers with sky-high oil prices.
Rail exec's traffic fix sidetracked
E. Hunter Harrison thought he'd be cheered for breaking Chicago's railroad bottleneck. Instead, the CEO of Canadian National Railway Co. is under attack.
This wasn’t Johannesburg, was it? We arrived at a completed, modern international airport with friendly, efficient customs and immigration officers and driveable trolleys. The lights were all working, the people were smiling, there wasn’t a police car in sight and the streets were clean.
Bangladesh: Sulphur-rich imported coal polluting air
The import of substandard Indian coal is being sanctioned by the government even though the polluting fossil fuel exceeds the sulphur level set by the government itself.
For ‘EcoMoms,’ Saving Earth Begins at Home
Move over, Tupperware. The EcoMom party has arrived, with its ever-expanding “to do” list that includes preparing waste-free school lunches; lobbying for green building codes; transforming oneself into a “locovore,” eating locally grown food; and remembering not to idle the car when picking up children from school (if one must drive). Here, the small talk is about the volatile compounds emitted by dry-erase markers at school.
Energy crisis making way for 'nuclear renaissance'
WASHINGTON — Like it or not, the nukes are coming.Driven by soaring energy demands, the high cost of gas and oil and worries about global warming, an expansion of peaceful nuclear power increasingly appears to be inevitable.
"I believe very strongly that new nuclear plants will be built in the U.S. in the coming decades to address problems with respect to higher energy demand, high prices and global warming," said Sudarshan Loyalka, a professor of nuclear engineering at the University of Missouri-Columbia. "I believe the nation has no other choice."
Drivers slugged as LPG prices double
AUSTRALIANS who converted their cars to LPG are paying nearly twice as much for fuel as they were just five months ago.A Daily Telegraph investigation found LPG prices have skyrocketed from an average of 45c a litre in October up to as much as 87.9c, as the price was at the bowser in Parkes, in the state's Central West, yesterday, according to the Shell.com.au website.
Japan Faces Indonesian Gas Cuts
In 2006, Japan purchased 62.2 million tons of LNG from abroad, up 7.2 percent, or 4.2 million tons, from 2005, to supply 96.4 percent of its LNG needs. Indonesia was the largest supplier to Japan in 2006, exporting 13.99 million tons, followed by Australia, Malaysia, Qatar, Brunei and the United Arab Emirates, which shipped 12.16 million tons, 12.02 million tons, 7.48 million tons, 6.50 million tons, and 5.31 million tons.But Japan is increasingly alarmed by the global rush, as well as soaring prices, for natural gas - an environmentally friendlier fuel than oil. Global imports of LNG jumped 10.8 percent to 158.8 million tons in 2006.
Malta: Renewables – Time to Act. 2
The present electorate will be guilty of abetting their leaders who persistently ignore the needs of the future, because we tend to vote for our wallets. If taxing alcohol and tobacco was meant to dissuade over-use for a healthier lifestyle, surely subsidising energy will not help the masses take remedial action to curb energy consumption? Giving out free compact fluorescent (energy saving) bulbs may have been a better policy than subsidising energy surcharges. If one ignores the possibility that impending peak oil timing could be scare-mongering to help keep current oil prices up, the truth is that peak oil has long been forecast to occur around the year 2015. The economic rise and energy demands of India and China were not in the equation 20 years ago, when 2015 was pencilled in. Recent articles are talking of peak oil starting to bite in 2010. Insignificant Malta could always beg for favours and handouts for scarce fuel.
Pakistan: Commandeering of public transport puts commuters in trouble
ACUTE shortage of public transport on Saturday caused great trouble to the commuters in the provincial metropolis as the majority of the vehicles was commandeered for the general election.Taking advantage of the situation, rickshaw drivers increased the fare by 150 to 300 percent. Motorcycle-rickshaws and two stroke auto-rickshaws were also seen running on The Mall and Jail Road where their entry is banned. For an hour or so after 7am, there were a large number of commuters on every intersection and bus stop but no public transport were there.
Eastern Montana loses rural air service
Last year, only two people on average flew between Lewistown and Billings, a route that would be a two-hour drive. However, mass transit nearly everywhere is heavily subsidized, Rabenberg argued."Go check out what federal subsidies the subway system in Washington, D.C., gets or what was poured into the Big Dig tunnel in Boston," Rabenberg said. "Unbelievable."
Hops puts the bite in Cottrell's Old Yankee Ale, but the flavoring is also putting the bite on brewer Charlie Buffum's bottom line.Costs for the bitter ingredient in beer rose as much as 400 percent this past year, Buffum said last week. Combined with the high price of fuel, the shortage of hops is driving up costs to brew beer at the Cottrell Brewing Co. in Pawcatuck and around the country.
Entropy is the problem, not energy
We can neither create energy nor destroy it. We will always have as much energy as we ever had according to the Conservation of Energy principle.So, how can we experience an energy crisis? The crisis develops from another law of energy: The Entropy Law. It states that energy always suffers some loss of quality or availability during use. Physics characterizes this loss as entropy.
Coal: The hottest global commodity
Do not ask for whom the bell tolls; it tolls for clean coal. But dirty coal is doing just fine, thank you very much.
The new climate science: Governments gamble with our survival
Almost universally, governments are refusing to recognise the scope and urgency of the changes demanded by global warming. The menace, however, is real, and the time available for concerted action to combat it is frighteningly brief.There is something counter-intuitive here, when most of us are still experiencing climate change only as near-imperceptible shifts in average temperatures. But nature is gradualist only up to a point. The smooth curves that describe “linear” processes can suddenly turn jagged.
Iran Opens First Oil Products, Petrochemicals Bourse
TEHRAN (AFP)--Iran, OPEC's number two crude oil producer, Sunday inaugurated its first exchange for oil products and petrochemicals, in a bid to become a major player in the global downstream industry.Iran hopes that its oil goods exchange can lead the way for a domestic downstream industry to match its upstream crude oil production, the country's main foreign currency revenue winner.
The Middle East Gulf oil producers should do something about their increasing oil and gas demand. The demand of seven Gulf States, including Iran, is going to exceed six million barrels per day over the next few years. At such a rate, our own refining capacity may not cope with our rate of consumption which will reach nearly 30 per cent in the next two years. Today most Gulf States are net importers of oils, particularly of motor gasoline. Iran, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and Iraq are importing almost all finished petroleum products. Bearing in mind that Iraq is still not stable, its demand for oil in times of prosperity will be far more than that of Saudi Arabia and Iran.We all know that China is the main factor behind the growing demand for oil but no one is publicly commenting on the growing demand of the Middle East Gulf countries whose annual demand is as big as that of China. China’s demand is growing at 6 per cent while our Gulf states are very close behind with 5 percent growth.
Iran says OPEC output cut not ruled out
(AFP) - Iran on Sunday declined to rule out that the oil cartel OPEC would cut production at its next meeting in early March, a move vehemently opposed by oil-consuming countries.
OPEC-like gas organization called for
LONDON (IranMania) - Iran, which sits atop the world's second-largest gas reserves, supports the swift formation of an OPEC-style organization for natural gas, PressTV reported."We believe that the world's main gas producers should create such an organization as soon as possible," Iranian Ambassador to Russia Gholam-Reza Ansari said as major gas producers will discuss the idea in June at the GECF annual meeting in Moscow.
As Mexico's oil reserves drop, Calderon thinks the unthinkable
MEXICO CITY — The political showdown over the future of Pemex, the Mexican government's crucial oil monopoly, appears to loom at last.At stake, people on both sides of the clash say, is the viability of Mexico's petroleum industry, which ranks as the third-largest source of imported U.S. oil and supplies nearly 40 percent of the Mexican government's budget.
Pull Plug On Giveaway To Oil Giants
I still can't get over the fact that ExxonMobil made $40.6 billion in profit in 2007.While we were paying $3 a gallon, ExxonMobil was cashing in.
Even more galling, though, is the knowledge that ExxonMobil and other oil companies are still enjoying lucrative tax breaks and production incentives from our own government.
As Nuclear Waste Languishes, Expense to U.S. Rises
WASHINGTON — Forgotten but not gone, the waste from more than 100 nuclear reactors that the federal government was supposed to start accepting for burial 10 years ago is still at the reactor sites, at least 20 years behind schedule. But it is making itself felt in the federal budget.With court orders and settlements, the federal government has already paid the utilities $342 million, but is virtually certain to pay a total of at least $7 billion in the next few years and probably over $11 billion, government officials said. The industry said the total could reach $35 billion.
Fire shuts down Tesoro refinery production
All fuel production at the Tesoro Hawaii refinery in Campbell Industrial Park was halted late Saturday night after a fire broke out in a processing unit, a company spokesman said.It was not immediately known how long the plant would be idled or what effect, if any, the shutdown would have on the fuel supply, Tesoro spokesman Nathan Hokama said.
Global warming threatens to redraw world's wine map: experts
BARCELONA, Spain (AFP) - Champagne produced in southern England? Bordeaux in the Loire Valley?Climate change is threatening to redraw the world's wine-producing map, and the effects are already being seen in earlier harvests and coarser wines, experts told an international conference Friday.



Preparing for the Future with Urban Rail
Dubai to announce 5th and 6th Metro lines this year (perhaps 8 in total plus surface trams). Connecting Metro Lines to Abu Dhabi (to the west) and Sharjah (to the east) are planned with further Northern extensions from Sharjah to Ajman being studied (Ajman has told Sharjah they want a connecting Metro).
In addition a regular railroad with passenger and freight service is being planned for all of the UAE, with connections to new Saudi railroads.
In Dubai the automated Light Metro (cars similar in size to Light Rail) will be in tunnel in the downtown and elevated elsewhere. The first line is about 60% complete and the second 25% complete and both are scheduled to open September 2009. The first 4 Metro lines complete by 2015, and Sharjah hopes to have their first Metro line complete by then (connecting to Dubai)
The $22 billion transportation budget for Dubai till 2020 has $12 billion for roads, $6.3 billion for Metro, $2.5 billion for trams and water transport and $600 million for buses. The emphasis on quality public transit is hoped to reduce automobile growth by half. They talk several times of the need to attract the middle class to public transit and that rail is much more likely to do this than buses.
A map of the first 4 Dubai Metro Lines (with offshore palms and map of world to scale)
Warning 800 kb upload
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/e/e1/Dubai_map_Dubai_Metro.svg
http://uaeinteract.com/docs/Dubai_Metro_to_expand_to_six_routes/27900.ht...
Best Hopes for the Export Land Model (If we will not build Urban Rail to save oil, perhaps OPEC will so that they can sell more oil to us),
Alan
I guess that's what you can do when you don't have a General Motors to buy it all up and kill it, claiming that's "The American Way".
In researching the UAE efforts (and comments by residents) I developed a fantasy.
UAE in 2030, everyone within a km or two (most within 500 m) of an Urban rail stop (Metro or tram). PV covered open walkways and bikepaths give some relief in the summer, but most do their walking & biking in the cooler months and take their short range EV in the summer if they do not want to ride the transit system.
Oil powered transport is reserved for special uses (garbage trucks, plumbers, medical, deliveries) and people are exhorted to not waste oil since oil exports are required to preserve their prosperity.
Paris and London are slightly less than two days away by luxury rail (at varying speeds) and this attracts a decent % of travel (air for the rest). Water taxi to Iran and rail connections eastward or northward.
Oh well, just a dream.
Best Hopes for Dreams coming True,
Alan
Best Hopes
No 'net exports' by 2030 means no long distance air flights or ICE vehicles for 'net importing' countries (no vacations?) - so there's no option but to take the electric train (it will have to be be close to 100% for what long distance long distance high speed travel there is) but I doubt people would need to travel long distance to Dubai for any real reason.
By 2030 - that's just 22 years, the world will be a very different place if there aren't any net exports of oil!
I was thinking of the rich Emiratis visiting quaint London & Paris for vacation, education, business, etc.
*IF* the UAE reduces their domestic oil consumption below today's level (say -80%), they will still be exporting oil in 2030. At an extremely good price.
ELM is NOT 'set in stone", although it seems the most likely outcome.
Another contra-example to ELM is gas rationing in Iran to constrain local demand.
Their plans to become a tourist center are heavily flawed and will likely fail (WAY too many A380s on order), but this leaves more infrastructure for the residents.
They are likely, IMHO, to have the resources to take a different path. And perhaps the wisdom.
Alan
True, but actually for oil (and many other commodities) there is plenty of evidence of ELM even now.
Hmmmm ... the only other place like Dubai that I have seen is Las Vegas - except Las Vegas has fresh water nearby ... you think Las Vegas has a long term future? In UAE/Dubai all they have other than oil, tourists and aluminium (it's not the USA!) is a lot of sand.
By 2030 there will almost certainly be significantly less 'net exports' and less 'all liquids' than now, and less energy per person in general - which almost certainly means less investment and resulting economic output - a 'contraction' paradigm.
In the UAE in 2030, the streets will be deserted aside from the odd stray camels that avoided been eaten.
The UAE, All Gulf states and KSA are very high energy dependency environments which depend on almost all food from outside, high energy drinking water production and every other facet of a tolerable life (such as air conditioning) is all imported.
The exponential growth of people in this region is way beyond carrying capacity. But, at present, they have one tradeable commodity that we all need.
At some point , and maybe sooner than 2030, they will be happy to trade oil for grains, proteins, and water.
Best hopes for New Zealand with all that water and delicious Lamb...
Quite possibly.
But a wise choice of investments, say solar distillation of water. solar PV, nuclear power, electric transit and a reshaping of the economy away from expansion/construction & tourism, might well lead to a sustainable future (particularly if the local population does more of the work and fewer expats are needed).
IMVHO it is possible to chart a different course, the resources are still there. Possible and probable are quite different concepts.
Alan
Alan,
As much as I look for your posts, as much as I like your optomism, I feel that in this case, you are way off the mark.
PV will help , certainly , yes. Oil? - thats the only stuff we want. Nuclear? - Well, maybe assuming a) they are allowed, b) are trained and c) the society doesnt implode.
Where once there were a few hundred thousands who knew the desert and how to survive, there are now millions - who do not.
Tourism: Is not sustainable at any level and especially in this region. But: the entire region is now setting itself upon this course and is attempting to attract super-rich tourists, finance, banking.
So, you have rock stars, bankers, plutocrats, oligarchs - and massive support personnel from bell hops , cooks, chauffers and nannys - all concentrated on a coastal strip that cannot support more than a few thousand Arab nomads.
No.
Like the man said.
The grandchildren will forget the lear jets and go back to camels.
As for the expats: they are the ones who make it all work: be you a Phillipino Maid, or a Dutch Petroleum Engineer.
I doubt that Michael Jackson adds much to the sustainability of Dubai. Besides massive natural increase, there are the expats.
The thrust of the current development is clearly unsustainable.
But there are a few straws that could be used when the current paradigm begins to fail. The locals need to start filling the practical jobs, a most unlikely change ATM.
The Green City may develop into a useful role model. Some % of the infrastructure could be useful to support a population of a few million for the UAE.
In a few years the A380s will start landing nearly empty. Financial turmoil will take it's toll. New Construction will slow to a crawl, many expats will be sent home. BUT the UAE will still be exporting oil. IMVHO, there will still be a window then for a change in direction, when the writing on the wall will be quite clear and resources are still available.
Modern technology can significantly increase the sustainable population, but by how much, I do not know.
Best Hopes for a Change in Direction,
Alan
Depends on what you are distilling the water for. It is possible to distill enough water to drink:
http://www.epsea.org/stills.html
But there is no way in hell you could, with solar energy, distill enough water for irrigation or virtually anything else.
When you distill water to drink, you are in survival mode, you are not in the mode of "maintaining the current status quo". When the economy collapses because of diminishing fossil fuels, and it will, solar power will be a non factor though many dreamers are placing their hopes on it. Solar power can replace but a tiny fraction of the energy derived from petroleum.
Neither solar nor wind will save the world's massive population from total collapse when the fossil energy that got us to this point....disappears.
Ron Patterson
When the economy collapses because of diminishing fossil fuels, and it will, solar power will be a non factor though many dreamers are placing their hopes on it. Solar power can replace but a tiny fraction of the energy derived from petroleum.
From a 6.6 billion perspective you are right. It won't a difference on the energy per capita numbers.
But, For individual families, and individual small communities, they may see benefits that may be way above the global norm.
I think also the needs will be compartmentalized. A home owner's options and choices for an energy solution for home and building heating will be different than the choices they will make for transportation.
I think the numbers of low tech/locally/home made solutions will be astounding.
You will see old 8 ft satelite dish's with aluminized film on them producing hot water for home/greenhouse heating,
http://www.junkyardsolar.com/page1.html
Home made alternators making electrical power.
http://www.otherpower.com
These I grant you, will hardly make a blip on the global energy per capita basis, But.. But for the home owner/community that can do it, it will make All the difference in the world.
What they chose for transporation will be different, but the inovation will be amazing to see. Something like how Cuba kept all those 55-57 chevys running.
Alright let's take this fantasy out to science fiction land. 100-150 years hence, there are no cars, yet no one is more than 6 hours distant from any other spot on Earth. In rural areas (of which there is now a resurgence) there is the bicycle ride to the town center, the trolley or light rail to a larger population center with high speed rail to the continental connecting hubs. Between these run the underground maglev trains at Mach 5. Of course near the equator some of these lines double as launch points for orbital and interplanetary journeys. The system is powered either by something to do with Earth's rotation or Bussard based fusion reactors. Actually this last point is rather interesting, if anyone here isn't more up to speed on it than I, the Navy or DARPA, can't remember which, is currently building and evaluating the seventh generation of the Bussard polywell fusion reactor. It is a doublewide tractor trailer size system, which prior to his recent death, Dr. Bussard felt was a few years away from commercialization. Bussard was also a science fiction writer, referenced in Star Trek with the "Bussard collectors". Of course others would object my science fiction scenario shows evidence of a terrible domination of nature with "brute force" solutions - which may be a reasonable critique. Still, why all the unnecessary concern here and gloom and doom ... all is well, polywell in fact. And if not, don't discount magical thinking, CERA sure hasn't.
Seriously, more rail is a tremendous idea and it is somewhat bizarre and disturbing in the current situation that US is doing so little, even as the PO headlight in the tunnel gets brighter.
I don't agree with the possibility of extensive tunneling being conducted in the near future. However, your last comment is spot on. Why is the government so lethargic when it comes to preparing for the aftermath of peak oil? Clearly the CIA has the best information on actual oil supplies. I can understand the official support for the oil companies and such but why no behind the scenes support for expanding Amtrak? Why not build in a new infrastructure while we still have relatively cheap oil? The cynic in me says that they see it as hopeless so they plan to take care of their own, pull up the drawbridge and let the rest of us fend for ourselves. Or perhaps they are so tied to the next quarter's results that they are incapable of reacting to a problem that is huge but won't officially strike till sometime in the future?
Their (the military-industrial complex) plan for the future combines authoritarian control of the domestic population, centralized corporatist control of the economy, and military control of international resource flows. The last thing they want is anything that would forward an alternative to this plan. The cutback in Amtrak and other idiocies and boondoggles (like ethanol) make complete sense under this set of assumptions.
A link to explain the Dubai Metro system in some detail, including the 3 classes Golden (VIP), Women & Children and Silver (Economy).
http://archive.gulfnews.com/indepth/trafficwatch/Dubai_Metro/10112170.ht...
Alan
Ever notice how the Palm Islands look like the "Facehuggers" from the Alien movies?
Exactly. Now imagine a screening of Alien where the audience sees the facehuggers as the good guys and Sigourney as a marginal nutjob who should leave us all alone. That's our dominant ideology.
Good catch. Palm islands always reminded me of "Sea Monkeys":
for exxon watchers, there are two stories posted on rigzone in the past few days about exxon's reserves:
"ExxonMobil replaces 101% of production in 2007"
http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=56889
and,
"Exxon's 10-yr reserve replacement:112%"
http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=56887
and according to the second story,..........discounting the effect of one day (year end) reserve reporting, exxon replaced 112% or reserves over the past 10 yrs. the story doesnt say what one day was used in arriving at this figure, presumably it is based on current pricing.
wondering if cera was recruited to write the second one.
the story doesnt say what one day was used in arriving at this figure, presumably it is based on current pricing.
SEC rules say to calculate reserves at year end using New York closing prices on the last trading day of the year. The price level affects things like economic limits and share of production from Production Sharing Agreements.
Exxon gets a lot of its oil from PSAs, which tend to keep a higher share of oil for the host country as the price increases. The price rose sharply throughout the year in 2007, so using a (lower) yearly-average price instead of a (higher) year-end price means that Exxon's share of its PSAs looks bigger.
Same thing applies to all the majors. Higher oil price is good news on balance, but it isn't an undiluted blessing.
So how does this story fit in:
Exxon, Stung by Chavez, Replaces Less Than It Pumps (Update3)
By Joe Carroll
Feb. 15 (Bloomberg) -- Exxon Mobil Corp. replaced 76 percent of the oil it pumped in 2007, the worst performance in 3 years, after Venezuela seized an oil field big enough to supply U.S. East Coast demand for the rest of the decade.
Exxon Mobil's 1.2 billion barrels of new reserves last year were insufficient to replace the 1.58 billion barrels pumped from oil and natural-gas wells, according to a statement today from the Irving, Texas-based company. Exxon Mobil's proved reserves stood at 22.7 billion barrels as of Dec. 31, enough to sustain current production levels for 14 years.
Exxon's performance was hampered by Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez's May seizure of a heavy-oil project, the statement said.
Here's how:
"Excluding the expropriation, the company replaced 107 percent of last year's production."
http://www.wealth.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601207&sid=acW.6h1WttvQ&...
XOM is pretending that it still owns the Venezuelan Reserves.
yes, i understand that. the article is really all hat no cattle, details are lacking. assume that this 112% figure was arrived at by subtracting 1997 ye reserves from 2007 ye reserves and comparing that to production 1998- 2007, inclusive.
if so, part of their reserves additions are due to 2007 ye pricing. it sounds a little like a windfall.
and for the record, i am not in favor of a wpt.
The trick here is that Exxon produced 7.4% less oil in 2007 than in 2006. (They produced 2.7 mbpd in 2006, but only 2.5 mbpd in 2007.) 2006: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/01/AR200702..., 2007: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/01/AR200702...
If you look at a chart provided in 2005 by Stuart Staniford at TOD (http://www.theoildrum.com/story/2005/11/16/182053/32), you can see that Exxon has been producing less year after year.
So, even though they are replacing reserves slightly faster than produced for any given year, they are reducing production at a much faster rate. So Exxon is not actually growing reserves.
Exxon and the media should be making this clear in their public announcements, but of course they're not.
Here is a link for today's sea ice cover for the Arctic and Antarctic:
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/
Here is a link for a history of Arctic sea ice cover:
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/archive.html
Does anyone know of a link for a history of Antarctic sea ice cover?
Antartic sea ice cover chart no data.
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/current.area.south.jpg
Looks like pretty regular annual cycles with no visible drift.
Of course, it doesn't tell us much about the thickness.
I still can't get over the fact that ExxonMobil made $40.6 billion in profit in 2007.
While I only work for the oil industry for about 10 more days, I had to drop by and comment on that story at the link - especially in light of her welfare queen analogy. How many welfare queens pay an order of magnitude more taxes than their tax breaks were worth?
I ask myself whether I will still feel compelled to comment on those types of articles once I leave the oil industry. I don't even know the answer to that myself.
I have reviewed the various federal subsidies for the oil industry and find them either useless (from a societal POV) or just not worth the money (minor benefit, major cost(. Loot from lobbyists and campaign contributions is my appraisal, hence they should be removed.
I was VERY disappointed that Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-LA) joined the Republicans in preserving the oil industry tax breaks and subsidies. But I understand that she has a tough re-election campaign coming up and the oil industry has lots of political money/influence in Louisiana.
The only "subsidy" the oil industry needs is posted daily on the NYMEX.
Alan
The only "subsidy" the oil industry needs is posted daily on the NYMEX.
That depends upon whether you want to drive specific behaviors. If the government is content to let oil companies simply follow the profit motive, then you are right. If, however, they would like oil companies to start moving into areas that aren't as profitable or potentially aren't profitable at all right now - specific renewable energy options, for instance - they have to offer the same subsidies as they do to anyone else doing it.
It's like the COP-Tyson deal, which I wrote about here:
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/2484
The project wasn't economical without the subsidies. But the same people who complain that oil companies aren't investing enough into alternative energy complained that COP should be denied the tax credit that would make the project economical. So what should they do, drain money from one part of the business to fund a money-losing venture, while trying to compete with others who enjoy a substantial tax break for the same product (and who receive various small producer tax credits in addition).
The primary issue is the manufacturing tax credit, enjoyed by all manufacturers, many of who have much higher profit margins than do the oil companies. Singling oil companies out - which the attempt to change the law did; it essentially added the phrase "except for oil companies" - was merely punitive. It was something that the politicians could do and then tell the citizens that they had punished Big Oil - while leaving Big Pharm with double and triple the profit margins with their tax break intact.
On a general note, I have no problem giving the Shell Oil Co. the same subsidy for it's 1 GW of wind turbines as anyone else in the USA.
As for manufacturing tax credit, there is some value in promoting petrochemical and refining in the USA, but not as much as eyeglasses, machine tools, clothing, medical devices, hot sauce, aircraft, furniture and other types of manufacturing in the USA and hence I would like the "except for oil refining and primary production of petrochemical products" added to the manufacturing tax credit and the subsidy used elsewhere.
My reasoning is that these are industries likely to decline post-Peak Oil, and they are large energy users. Subsidizing them subsidizes (indirectly) energy use.
Alan
$2.4 Trillion is a pretty hefty subsidy.
where you goin' Robert?
The party is just startin!