DrumBeat: May 14, 2008
Posted by Leanan on May 14, 2008 - 9:16am
Topic: Miscellaneous
Huge study documents changes from climate warming
A landmark new climate study released today reports that global warming is already changing the life cycles of thousands of animals and plants — as well as hundreds of physical systems — worldwide.It documents rapid glacier melts in North America, South America and Europe; trees and plants sprouting leaves much earlier in the spring in Europe, Asia and North America; permafrost melting in Asia; and changes in bird migration patterns across Europe, North America and Australia, all in response to rising global temperatures.
While previous studies have looked at single phenomena or smaller areas, this is a new analysis on a continental scale looking at data that had not been previously assembled together in one spot, says lead author Cynthia Rosenzweig, a scientist at NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York.
ConocoPhillips CEO says record crude prices a foe
HOUSTON (Reuters) - The CEO of ConocoPhillips, the third-largest U.S. oil company, said on Wednesday world crude oil supplies are adequate and not to blame for record prices, which have taken a toll on the industry."High oil prices have not really been our friend as an industry," Chief Executive James Mulva told the company's annual meeting.
Imperial Oil Loses Battle for Oil-Sands Water Permit
(Bloomberg) -- Imperial Oil Ltd., Canada's largest oil company, lost a legal bid to overturn a federal regulatory decision that could delay a planned C$8 billion ($7.98 billion) oil-sands project in Alberta.
Petrobras ups oil output in April
Domestic oil output by Brazil's state-run Petrobras rose 2.3% in April, reversing three straight monthly drops, said the company.Petrobras said in a statement that it pumped an average of over 1.84 million barrels per day last month, a 3.5% increase over the year-earlier period.
Oil at $US200 a barrel: that was the warning from Goldman Sachs, published last week. The real price is already at an all-time high. At $US200 it would be twice as high as it was in any previous spike. Even so, it would be a mistake to focus in shock only on the short-term jump in prices. The bigger issues are longer term.Here are three facts about oil: it is a finite resource; it drives the global transport system; and if emerging economies consumed oil as Europeans do, world consumption would jump by 150 per cent. What is happening today is an early warning of this stark reality. It is tempting to blame the prices on speculators and big bad oil companies. The reality is different.
U.S. April jet fuel demand lowest in 5 years - API
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. jet fuel demand in April fell to the lowest level for the month in five years, after three small airlines ceased operations and thousands of flights at other carriers were canceled for safety reasons, the American Petroleum Institute said on Wednesday.
Money motivates Iran to consider oil output cut
Refiners are refusing to pay up for heavy Iranian crude that is difficult to convert into transport fuels and Iran is refusing to cut prices further."This is about the price and quality of the oil," said one buyer of Iranian crude. "This crude is a nightmare for refiners. There is a price for everything and if they want to get rid of the stuff they will have to stomach selling at a lower price."
As Canada scrambles to dig up some of the world's dirtiest oil, a bush doctor tracks mysterious diseases, poisoned rivers, and shattered lives.
How credit cards boost gas prices
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Buying gasoline with a credit card could be hurting your local independent gas station owner - and you may have to pay for it.That's because credit cards charge merchant fees in the form of a percentage of sales - and those fees eat into the fixed per-gallon sum that gas retailers tack onto pump prices.
World's largest offshore wind farm in the works
LONDON (Reuters) - British utility Scottish & Southern Energy Plc (SSE) will build the world's largest offshore wind farm and has awarded $3 billion in contracts to U.S. engineer Fluor Corp and Germany's Siemens AG.Despite industry doubts about the viability of offshore wind SSE said on Wednesday it would build the farm off Britain's east coast. Work would begin on the 504 megawatt Greater Gabbard project shortly and power generation would start in 2011.
Australia Coal-Mine Floods Raise Costs of Cars, Planes, Washers
(Bloomberg) -- At about 1 a.m. on Jan. 19, some of the heaviest rains in a century caused the Nogoa River in Queensland to burst its banks, sending 32 billion gallons of water into one of the largest coal mines in Australia."It was like watching Niagara Falls," said Peter Westerhuis, 46, general manager of operations for the mine's owner, Ensham Resources Pty. "It filled the whole pit up in five hours."
Almost four months later, two of Ensham's six coal mines, along with others owned by companies including Melbourne-based BHP Billiton Ltd., remain submerged. The greatest damage was in the Bowen Basin, the source of 40 percent of the world's steelmaking coal. As production fell, the price of coking coal tripled to a record $300 a metric ton last month, raising costs for the steel that goes into automobiles, airplanes and washers.
Kenya: Fuel shortage threatens South Rift wheat output
Wheat farmers in the Southern Rift Valley on Tuesday said they were unable to prepare their land for planting due to a serious shortage of diesel.
Greece: New wave of strikes hits
Another surge of strikes is gathering pace across the country as tanker truck owners are due to meet today to decide whether to continue with action that has caused a severe shortage of fuel across the country.Greece’s largest union group, GSEE, has called a nationwide strike for some of its members tomorrow to protest government plans to reduce its stakes in OTE telecom and the country’s two largest ports in Piraeus and Thessaloniki. Transport, hospitals, ports and banks are likely to be worst hit.
Putin sees Russian oil output up 13.6% by 2015
UST LUGA, Russia (Reuters) - Russia's Prime Minister Vladimir Putin said on Wednesday he expected Russian oil output to rise by 67 million tonnes (1.3 million bpd), or 13.6 percent, by 2015.
Putin urges tax breaks to revive Russian oil growth
UST LUGA, Russia, May 14 (Reuters) - Russia's Prime Minister Vladimir Putin urged on Wednesday to grant tax breaks to new oil provinces to revive output growth and add over a tenth to current production levels by 2015.
Mexico presents plan to help deep water oil output
MEXICO CITY (Reuters) - President Felipe Calderon sent a proposal to Congress on Wednesday to reduce taxes on oil output in difficult places to produce crude, such as the deep waters of the Gulf of Mexico.The plan is part of Calderon's push to reverse declining oil output in the world's No. 6 producer. It joins a proposal Calderon sent to Congress in April to overhaul energy laws.
China oil giants vow to ensure oil supply in quake-hit areas
BEIJING (Xinhua) -- Two Chinese oil giants on Wednesday said they were stepping up efforts to guarantee the oil supplies to quake-stricken areas in southwestern Sichuan Province.
Herman E. Daly: Climate Policy: From ‘Know How’ to ‘Do Now’
Recent increased attention to global warming is very welcome. But much of it is misplaced.We focus too much on complex climate models, which ask things like how far emissions will increase carbon dioxide concentration, how much that will raise temperatures, by when, with what consequences to climate and geography, and how likely new information will invalidate model results. Together these questions can paralyze us with uncertainty.
A better question for determining public policy is simpler: “Can we continue to emit increasing amounts of greenhouse gases without provoking unacceptable climate change?”
CO2 rise continues, but check out methane
What is new about the NOAA's greenhouse gas report this year is that methane levels also showed a clear increase for the first time in a decade.Methane is a potent greenhouse gas, warming the planet 25 times more, molecule-for-molecule, than CO2. It doesn't last as long in the atmosphere, which tempers its kick, but it's still enough to give you nightmares.
Firms Seek Patents on 'Climate Ready' Altered Crops
A handful of the world's largest agricultural biotechnology companies are seeking hundreds of patents on gene-altered crops designed to withstand drought and other environmental stresses, part of a race for dominance in the potentially lucrative market for crops that can handle global warming, according to a report being released today.
Ways of Ancient Mexico Reviving Barren Lands
SAN ISIDRO TILANTONGO, Mexico — Jesús León Santos is a Mixtec Indian farmer who will soon plant corn on a small plot next to his house in time for the summer rains. He plows with oxen and harvests by hand.Under conventional economic logic, Mr. León is uncompetitive. His yields are just a fraction of what mechanized agriculture churns out from the vast expanses of the Great Plains.
But to him, that is beside the point.
Starbucks struggles with reducing environmental impacts
Starbucks customers who care about the environment ask first about the paper cups.The cups are not recyclable, and even if they were, many Starbucks stores do not have recycling bins.
Ben Packard, Starbucks' vice president of corporate social responsibility, knows it's an issue.
Tiny Smart car gets crash test kudos
The Smart ForTwo earns the top rating for front and side impact protection in crash tests by the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety.
As the price of oil continues to rise, low-emission diesel cars are being seen as a cheaper, greener alternative, and demand is soaring. But there are fears that the fuel's health dangers are being ignored.
Oil Refiners See Profits Sink as Consumption Falls
While drivers are facing sticker shock at the pump these days, here is a bigger shock: high prices are putting a strain on oil refiners.After last year’s stellar profits, American refiners are going through a traumatic period. In a time of record gasoline prices, some of them actually lost money in the first quarter, and for virtually all refiners, profits are down sharply.
GM's sales focus to get 'dramatic redesign' as gas soars
After months of holding out hope that U.S. truck sales would rebound, General Motors Corp. is accepting that the market shift toward more fuel-friendly vehicles isn't likely to end.The automaker, which has made billions off its hefty trucks and SUVs over the years, said Tuesday that it's been over-promoting its largest vehicles and plans to change course.
Instead, GM will implement a "dramatic redesign" of its marketing strategy that places a much greater focus on its high-mileage cars, new hybrids and other fuel-efficient vehicles.
EIA: US Preliminary March Crude Imports -9.3% Vs Year Ago
NEW YORK -(Dow Jones)- U.S. crude oil imports fell 9.3%, or 963,000 barrels a day, to 9.385 million barrels a day in March, preliminary data from the Energy Information Administration show Tuesday.March crude oil imports were the lowest in any month since February 2007 and also posted the biggest year-to-year monthly decline in any month since.
Officials to weigh exports of Japan-refined gasoline to U.S.
HONG KONG (MarketWatch) -- Officials from Washington and Tokyo are to meet Thursday to explore ways to utilize Japan's spare refinery capacity to offset a chronic shortage of capacity at refineries in the U.S., in a deal that could result in exports of Japan-refined gasoline products, according to a Japanese media report.
More disclosures urged in oil deals
The founder of a Berlin-based anti-graft group is promoting a global voluntary standard for companies to reveal what they pay resource-rich countries for access to produce oil and gas, and for those countries to disclose the payments.Peter Eigen, founder of Transparency International, told the World Affairs Council in Houston on Tuesday that the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative is designed in part to help companies reject bribery demands while increasing revenue disclosure.
"My advice is, don't bribe — because it will backfire," he said.
Get Used to It -- Sky-High Oil Prices Are Here to Stay
This ain't a bubble, folks. Better get used to it.We've gotten a a little relief in recent days, but the stubborn upward spiral of oil prices isn't going to let up to any significant degree. Yes, there's some debate between economists and industry analysts who fall into two camps -- Bubble, Not-a-Bubble -- but the evidence suggests high prices are here to stay.
Economic Consequences Of Sky-Rocketing Oil
While my little lady was canvassing for Hillary in the Indianapolis suburbs (10 hours, daily) she noted pickup trucks sitting in driveways even though nobody was home. Families now carpool to work, their gas guzzlers abandoned.
US diesel prices wake from short slumber
After a temporary lull last week, American diesel prices shot back up as the national average retail price soared 18.2 cents to a new record high of $4.331 for the week ending Monday, May 12.
Americans Crossing Border For Cheap Gas
The price difference between the two countries was hard to ignore. Hansen found that while California drivers are paying nearly $4 a gallon for regular gas, in Tijuana it's $2.75 at Pemex gas stations.The difference in diesel prices was even more significant, Hansen said. The average in California is $4.71. But in Mexico, truckers are filling up for $2.10 a gallon.
Worried about Price of Gas? End US Wars
There is evidence that the heightened price of energy is a direct consequence of the destabilizing wars and geopolitical insecurity in the region. These include not only the raging wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, but also the threat of a looming war against Iran.
Media should pump more coverage into energy crisis
"Issue #1" did have a warning of things to come in a report last week that said people are now coming out in the morning to find their gas tanks empty. The price of gas is so high that stealing gas by siphoning if out of several cars can be worth hundreds of dollars. It gives grand theft auto a new meaning.
'We're becoming active choreographers of nature'
In 10 to 15 years, the price of oil will be so high, and the price of solar-hydrogen power will be so low, that the two curves will cross. And when these two curves cross, it will usher in the solar-hydrogen age. (When I say solar hydrogen power, I include everything from solar cell to geothermal energy to wind to hydrogen, etc.)Beyond 30 years, the goal of the ITER project in France is to find a way to control fusion. Within 40 years, commercial fusion power, which uses ordinary sea water as fuel, may become a reality. So the dangerous period is the next 15-20 years, during the transition to a solar-hydrogen economy. Already, we see the North Polar ice sheets melting. No matter what we do today, we will probably lose it by mid-century.
Canada - Biofuels not ‘crime against humanity’: Ritz
Agriculture Minister Gerry Ritz says the opposition is playing “silly games” by blocking the government’s plans to mandate ethanol content in gasoline.Ritz defended the plan in the House of Commons against criticism from the New Democratic Party, which once supported the use of biofuels but has switched its position. The bill would mandate a five per cent ethanol mixture in gasoline by 2010 and a two per cent mixture of biodiesel by 2012.
“It’s an excellent situation for the environment, it’s a great thing for farmers, and a great thing for rural communities,” said Ritz.
Oil industry costs continue steep rise: CERA
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Costs to tap into new oil and gas projects escalated about 6 percent globally over the past 6 months and the climb can be expected to steepen on soaring prices for steel and other raw materials, according to a study released on Wednesday.Cambridge Energy Research Associates (CERA), a unit of information and consultancy IHS Inc, said that costs to build new refineries and petrochemical plants also rose 6 percent.
"So long as oil prices remain high and demand for the end products remain high, I think we're going to see continued high level of costs," Candida Scott, senior director of cost and technology at CERA, said in an interview.
Good Morning Middle America, your King of Simple News is on the air.Oil has gone from $32 per barrel just a few years ago to today’s staggering $126.
The Democrats are blaming George Bush and Dick Cheny for the hike, saying they influence “big oil.” Yet, U.S. oil companies produce only 25% of our current oil needs and their reserves are in serious decline.
Navigating The Great Turning From Empire To Earth Community
We are all well aware of the crisis unfolding around us. The day of reckoning for our reckless human ways that many of us have for decades warned would be coming is here. The future is now. Peak oil, climate chaos, financial collapse, and spreading social disintegration are all consequences of deep cultural and institutional dysfunction. The imperative to address them presents us with an epic test of our human intelligence and creativity.
The truth and lies about world's oil supply
MYTHS about the current world oil situation and rapid fuel price increases are causing confusion for consumers, businesses and government policy makers. Unfortunately, many people don't have ready access to alternative points of view. I strongly recommend that the reader do some research on the Internet to verify the truth of the following claims.The first myth asserts we have plenty of oil, and that discussion of depleting supplies is not a serious matter.
Australia: The Government blew its lines
There is a lot of speculation about economic conditions. Are we heading for a recession on a scale not seen since the 1930s depression or an inflationary boom driven by peak oil, staple food shortages and climate change? Either way, we are more likely to weather the storm if serious structural measures are taken now to minimise the shocks now.
Metro’s new plan will assume ramped up transit in traditionally underserved eastern areas of Metro Vancouver.“Communities are very focused on the issues of climate change and peak oil,” Corrigan said. “There’s more recognition growth that has to be intensive and it has to be transit served.”
At around $125 a barrel, crude oil has more than doubled in price since the end of 2006. How is it possible that the vast majority of government forecasters, stock analysts, economists, traders, and journalists who follow the oil market failed to foresee this? Moreover, how can it be that even today, the bulls and bears on oil are extremely far apart, disagreeing not only on the oil outlook but even the present situation?The answer is simple. You can't predict what oil prices are going to do even in the short-to-medium term unless you have a good handle on the forces of supply and demand. And that requires thorough and reliable data—which don't exist. Regrettably, the world oil market is no more transparent than a fragrant barrel of extra-heavy Orinoco crude. And the situation is getting worse because the world's fastest-growing oil consumer is also one of the most opaque: China.
We rely on it to power our everyday lives, and it drives the economy worldwide, but oil faces an uncertain future in the 21st century. Black gold is increasingly expensive, environmentally damaging and, in the view of some experts, increasingly scarce.
Aging steel oil pipelines latest threat facing United States
Simmons, whom I met last year at a peak oil conference in Boston, began by emphasizing that steel deteriorates the minute it is cast, because "rust never sleeps."There are 335,890 miles (some 530,000 km) of aging steel pipelines in the U.S. alone, all subject to corrosion, leaks and metal fatigue. And that is only a fraction of the oil network: 1,127 tank farms plus hundreds of refineries have many more millions of miles of steel tubes, both monstrous and minute. Because the price of oil has been so low for so long - it was $10 per barrel 10 years ago - there simply was not enough money to properly inspect this decaying mesh of intricate tubing and replace them where needed.
Oil: why it’s different this time
As soon as people say, ‘it’s different this time’, you can be sure the top will be in within a few weeks. But, when Peak Oil – the point at which we are getting as much oil out of the ground as we ever will - strikes, it really will be different this time. Is Peak Oil kicking in now? I would say fears of Peak Oil have certainly been pushing the price up for some five years or more.
Lost in the bullish talk of $200 oil was Goldman's notes about demand destruction. The same report which predicted the super-spike also said that by 2012 the price of crude oil would fall to $75 normalized. Goldman expects the current euphoria to lead to a spike in crude oil prices, which will spur new supply development and also lead to permanent demand destruction.
High oil prices rekindle oil production in Mo.
DEERFIELD, Mo. - Pumpjacks, the oil rigs that resemble those thirsty bird toys, are going up in Missouri for the first time in two decades, the latest region to revive a long-faded industry as crude nears $130 a barrel.The sky-high price of oil has turned extraction methods recently considered cost-prohibitive into cash cows.
Military: Gunmen in Nigeria oil region hijack boat
PORT HARCOURT, Nigeria - Unidentified gunmen in Nigeria's restive south have hijacked an oil-services vessel carrying 11 crew members, the military said Wednesday.The hijackers are demanding about $250,000 for the release of the boat and the crew, including one Portuguese and one Ukrainian, said military spokesman Maj. Sagir Musa.
US wants to boost Trinidad energy ties
PORT-OF-SPAIN, Trinidad - A top U.S. energy official says Washington wants to boost ties with Trinidad and Tobago, a Caribbean nation that is the No. 1 supplier of liquid natural gas to the United States.U.S. Energy Secretary Samuel Bodman says it is "absolutely necessary" to protect the two countries' oil and gas pipelines and drilling platforms.
High fuel prices curtail RV trips – just a little
With fuel prices at record levels, they allow that the trips may cover shorter distances – especially when they get 10 miles to the gallon. There will be some sacrifices for the retirees: perhaps fewer meals out, maybe working a part-time job.But they can't imagine giving up the RV lifestyle: a sense of freedom and adventure mixed with close friendships developed over years of traveling around the country. They don't plan to turn in their wheeled home for a condo.
"I don't know how high fuel would have to go for us not to do this," says Mr. Timko. "God has created so many great places to see, and we just haven't seen them all."
Where Are Oil Prices Taking Stocks?
So far the stock market has mostly ignored the jump in crude oil prices, but high energy costs could eventually take their toll.
U.S. buys more Med crude to replace lost Nigerian
LONDON (Reuters) - U.S. oil companies have been boosting purchases of light, sweet crude from the Mediterranean to meet peak summer gasoline demand, in place of unreliable, similar quality supplies from Nigeria, traders said on Tuesday.At least six very large crude carriers (VLCCs), each carrying 2 million barrels, have been fixed on a spot basis over the past month to transfer Azeri Light from Ceyhan in Turkey and Saharan Blend from Arzew in Algeria to the United States.
China quake hits gas output, oil impact mininal
BEIJING (Reuters) - A powerful earthquake that hit southwest China on Monday has shut in some 3 percent of China's gas output, but the impact on oil demand is marginal due to the loss of power, companies said on Wednesday.Quake-striken Sichuan, largely a rural province that accounts for 4 percent of China's economy, is a major gas producer and user accounting for more than 20 percent of China's total, but a small oil consumer.
Iran Expects OPEC Supply Cut as Heavy Oil Demand Weak
(Bloomberg) -- The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries will eventually have to cut production of lower-quality crude as warmer weather in the northern hemisphere reduces demand for oil, Iran's OPEC governor said today.``If OPEC isn't cutting production officially, they will do it in secret because the price is so high'' and supply cuts would not be popular with consuming nations, Hossein Kazempour Ardebili said in a phone interview from Tehran. ``Cuts will start on a voluntary basis, and will have to become formalized once secondary sources make the numbers clear.''
Iran has no plans to cut crude exports: official
TEHRAN - Iran is exporting oil as usual and has no plans to cut crude exports, a senior oil official told Reuters on Wednesday, a day after the president was quoted as saying Tehran was considering a plan to cut output."There is no plan to cut exports and we keep our promises (to clients) ... and we export as usual," said Hojjatollah Ghanimifard, international affairs director at the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC).
Lula's Remarks on Brazil in OPEC Just Bragging, FT's `Lex' Says
(Bloomberg) -- Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's remarks that the country should join the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries may be a bit of bragging rather than a serious comment on where Brazil may be headed, the Financial Times said in its ``Lex'' column.
The Reason Behind High Oil Prices
It's not a supply crisis that explains the sharp spike in oil prices. It's unregulated commodities markets and greed.
Two billion trees planted in UN campaign
NAIROBI (AFP) - More than two billion trees were planted around the world as part of the UN's campaign to combat climate change, the world body's environment programme (UNEP) said Tuesday in a statement.
NOAA chief urges creating National Climate Service
WASHINGTON - With concerns about global warming rising along with the planet's temperature, the head of the federal agency in change of weather research and forecasting is proposing creation of a new National Climate Service.



Ahh the power of free markets and following the words of the big sky guy. Who needs anything else when you have the protection of God and look for free markets? (Oh, and honesty of the people in the fly-over states eh?)
http://www.desmoinesregister.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080513/NEW...
Ahh yes. Large corporations in the free market add the spice to life. Oh where shall the observant turn to for their meat?
http://www.desmoinesregister.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080513/NEW...
No wonder there were protests! God *AND* free markets assaulted!
At least I now know that:
1) Meth is kosher
2) Meth makes for a spicy meatball!
(Come on you posters on 'the market', 'capitalism' and 'large corporations' - I look forward to your spirited defense of the market at work. And for the rest of you - a big hot mugging of snarkanol)
The raid was also a good opportunity to test out procedures for mass arrests of people, and their subsequent "processing." Ironic that the processing was handled at the National CATTLE Congress Fairgrounds.
However, thif the allegations of the workers being paid below minimum wage is true, the people who authorized that should do jail time. Whether here legally or illegally, they should have been paid minimum wage as defined by the law. In fact, if some workers were not paid minimum wage, that shows they were complicit in hiring workers with fake identification.
The raid was also a good opportunity to test out procedures for mass arrests of people
And with my outrage meter recalibrations so the needle can still move - that registered a 'meh'.
Ironic that the processing was handled at the National CATTLE Congress Fairgrounds.
And who says that government agents are not funny? Someone is still laughing over getting that choice approved.
Think of the reams of school papers that this one case can provide footnotes for.
(Your list of laws broken just shows how much the free market is prevented from operating BTW. As todays Free Market advocate on the topic, it is my job to point that out.)
Obviously the owners didn't pay ICE enough protection money. Sounds to me like the market worked.
As Gore Vidal pointed out in today's interview on DemocracyNow! (May 14), the coup has already happened. Laws broken, oh please, isn't that why we have Deciders now?
And now the not free market is gonna drug the people who get shipped out.
http://wonkette.com/390390/get-your-psychotropic-drugs-free-with-each-de...
No wonder the people who speak of free markets and capitalism don't like the government giving out drugs on the taxpayers dime!
This is very strange.
1. How can the same meat plant produce both "kosher" and "non-kosher" meat? That would seem on the face of it to violate kosher laws.
2. There are allegations that some of it has to do with immigration issues and some of it to other illegal activity -- drugs? Money laundering? The comments at the ends of the articles are interesting.
3 "Cheap" meat to eat (what Americans have come to take for granted) means without question that you can not really value a man or a beast's life at anything other than at a vegetable level. Who is going to work in those conditions except human beings who have been denied all reasonable options -- mainly the new immigrants, legal or illegal? And who would own or manage such a plant except someone who is either totally amoral or completely desperate him/herself?
4. And why, knowing that this is the way things work, would the government suddenly undertake a "surprise" raid -- except to advance someone's political career?
This is all old news -- Upton Sinclair exposed all this almost 100 years ago, and guess what? nothing much has changed.
There is a free market, of course. It exists between the anode of the sun and the cathode of the cold, dead granite of the Earth's crust. Captitalism is just one of many ways to exploit and distort that ineluctable energy flow -- it is merely a literary device, a sort of conceit, to call it a "free" market. But only fools and the young believe that, and so we must move on.
The most interesting thing is that putin anncounces that russian oil production will be up by 13 % in 2015 while everybody believes russia is in decline. I followed russian politics for the last seven years, and putin is a really calculating person who doesn't follow any illusions. he is extremly well informed, and he never says anything without a solid foundation. sechin announced that production will be up this year, too. LUKOIL executives say production wil be down, but perhaps they will change their mind because of the today announced tax breaks for new fields in yamal and eastern siberia. Well, Putin foresaw that the future would be about energy at times where oil was really cheap. Well i really don't know what to believe, but putin seems to know more about energy than any other western politician...
Have you got links?
thanks!
The Putin stories are coming out piecemeal and a bit disjointed. I'm wondering if he's saying the increase will come if the tax cut he wants happens.
Don't forget that Putin, unlike Yeltsin before him, is old-school Soviet, and would no doubt like a return to the USSR.
Hence, it is possible that he is making an oblique reference to increasing production by increasing the area called "Russia"
Or, to put it another way, annexation of Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan would boost the (expanded) Russian production by the amount Putin quotes.
AKH
This morning a friend was mentioning Kunstler's Blog of The Day post about Walmart's announced increase in earnings. I wonder how much of that is due to increased fuel prices (both for the "warehouses on wheels" as well as for the bunker fuel for the trans-oceanic container ships)?
Ignorant, by what logic do you use to come to the conclusion that an increase in Walmart's transportation costs would result in an increase in earnings?
Ron Patterson
Darwinian,
They would have to pass on the costs of fuel. Price of items would go up ... if people bought same number of items at higher cost then total sales (gross earnings) would be up.
Yes? ... No? ...
(I don't call myself "Ignorant" for nothing. Perhaps I am ignorant of some details; if so, please enlighten.)
Ignorant - Despite some difference in terminology that is used: (1) Sales; total sales; gross sales, gross receipts; etc. - these terms generally are not a true indication of financial well being. (2) Earnings; net income; net earnings; total income; etc. - these terms generally are an indication of financial well being.
Those terms noted in (1) are before deducting costs or expenses. Those terms in (2) are after deducting costs or expenses.
For example: You have gross receipts from selling your house for $200,000. Did you do well? Unknown, until you tell us what your cost was. Then you either had income or a loss.
Your equating of Walmart's "total sales" with "gross earnings" would generally be apples to oranges, since you have equated a (1) with a (2).
Jbunt,
Well, THAT was my original question....
Where did these extra earnings for Walmart come from?
Are they "net"?.. or are they "gross" earnings added on to cover fuel costs?.. if so, how much fuel costs were additional?
I think this is a relevant question as it would be an 'indicator' as to how sustainable this particular economic sector currently is.
I think Wal-Mart really is doing well. For the same reason McDonald's is doing well. People are "trading down" - spending their money at less expensive places.
In case you missed it, jbunt, Ignorant asked a question. Then in his followup he asked another question.
And yes, I am aware that you can take certain statements of Ignorant's out of context to try to prove that he asserted something. But read in context he did not and simply stated something then asked "Yes? No?"
So you might try answering the question, eh?
And for me, to attempt to assist Ignorant, I refer him to Wal-Mart Q1 Earnings Up 6.9% as part of the explanation. Simply put, it looks like more people are shopping at Wal-Mart. So both sales and earnings were up.
I can find no public statement relating to fuel costs and Wal-Mart's first quarter financial position so all we can do there is speculate.
No... Just to expand a bit on Jbunt explained. You are confusing "gross receipts" with "gross earnings" and perhaps gross earnings with net earnings. Gross earnings is earnings before taxes. Net earnings is earnings after taxes. Net earnings is what is reported when a company gives "earnings per share", not gross earnings. Marking up prices because of increased transportation costs would add not one penny to either gross earnings or net earnings.
Ron Patterson
Darwinian,
I thought net earnings were free & clear, those after all expenses, not just taxes.
Ignorant, you are still confused. Earnings are not earnings until expenses have been deducted. Gross earnings are earnings after ALL expenses except taxes have been deducted. That is wholesale cost, payroll, utility bills, transportation costs, rent and anything else that must be paid before you have anything left over. What the company earns is what is left over after all this. Then they must pay taxes on their gross earnings. What is left over are earnings or what is normally called "profit". Profit and earnings are exactly the same thing. Just think of it that way and you will not get confused. Then, if it is a public company these earnings are reported as "earnings per share". This is done by dividing the net earnings by the number of outstanding shares.
Ron Patterson
Darwinian,
Thank you.
Ignorant, Grey Zone and Darwinian - I was truly just trying to give an honest explanation. No other message intended. Thanks to Darwinian for making it clearer than I did.
In response to the previous article on % of household income going to fuel costs in Sydney... I've done a similar blog post for my own region on Vancouver Island in BC, Canada.
I'd greatly appreciate the comments of people here... I will also perhaps ask Stoneleigh (or someone could pass the link along?) to have it cross-posted at TOD:Canada if they so chose.
I will be doing one for commuters to Victoria as well.
Permalink: http://www.murkyview.com/archives/2008/05/13/calculating-commuting-costs...
or just
http://www.murkyview.com
A teaser:
I've added your blog to my bookmarks.
I used to live in Nanaimo and left for the same reason you are blogging about plus that big gas guzzling ferry required to bring EVERYTHING to the island started to scare me.
Maybe that could be a future blog? What the price of diesel will do to BC Ferries service?
This link was from yesterdays drumbeat showing diesel was up $10 in the last few days.
http://www.aip.com.au/pricing/marketwatch.htm
I have come to believe that the Southern passage will fair better because the Government needs to be serviced.
I agree 100%, up Island needs to get that rail system back up and running.
We live in Delta and have numerous friends and family on the islands and Vancouver Island. 2 years ago this july we decided to travel without the car from Tsawassen to Swartz Bay for a family get together. We got there 15 minutes before sailing time and the lineup of walk-ons was huge. BC Ferries was caught off guard and wouldn't allow all the walk-ons on board as their Transport Canada certificate had a certain number of persons allowed. It was also clear from people who took the bus from Vancouver, that the bus service had to leave people behind as there was a shortage there as well.
At that time, it was after high gas prices caused by Katarina, and people were concerned that between high ferry prices and high gas prices, that they had better conserve and leave their vehicles at home. My concern is that BC Ferries is not only unprepared for the changes that are taking place, but also that their understanding of how to deal with these changes seems out of touch. We drive a very short car at 8 feet long and any "undersized" vehicle charge is for a maximum length of 20 feet, so one can see that we are subsidizing all the longer vehicles. At this rate of increased gas prices, BC Ferries will soon be forced to cancel sailings and lay off workers, as many of us will no longer be able to afford travelling to the Island(s).
We look forward to taking the train up island one day as well.
As much as people talk about the price of gas implicitly they know that it is still cheap. Their habits do not really change. Conservation is a joke in this country. Only when prices become much higher will any serious discussion take place. Right now it's just an expectation that things will return to the way they were before - gas, housing, the economy will recover and it will be BAU.
At $10/gallon, a full-size car that gets 25 mi/gal can take 6 people in reasonable comfort 500 miles for $200. By any historical standard (except the most recent post-WWI American experience) that is unbelievably cheap. If that were the only thing that changed, people would just restrict a little here and a little there and go on BAU. And of course, that's what's going on right now.
However, the fly in the ointment seems to be that nothing is stable-- rising gas prices raises the price of everything else. People will lose their jobs because business models that rely on cheap oil will become non-viable. Others, whose jobs depend on high energy prices will find themselves in a better position, etc. So the economists (professional as well as the armchair variety) can have a field day trying to track it.
The most interesting thing about the Oil Drum for me is the reports from around the world about what is really happening in real time -- although the informed speculation is interesting and thought provoking and I appreciate that as well
I agree completely that this is a tiny price to pay for that much energy. As I've said before, we've been awash in enormous quantities of energy for so long (cradle to grave for generations now), that we cannot see it all around us. One must go out and try to do something without our fossil fuel energy slaves to begin to appreciate it. Imagine yourself trying to do some of the tasks that people did before with just human and animal power - how about clearing a field?
Having said that, it doesn't mean that an increase in the cost of this still-cheap energy won't be a problem - because we've built up our infrastructure and society on the assumption that all this energy will always be available at next-to-nothing costs. Our population and its energy use have grown to the limits of the available energy, and now retrenchment will be difficult. To say the least.
"Retrenchment" is certainly imaginable -- even in non-apocalyptic terms. If everyone stopped having babies right now, the population would be half what it is now in a couple of decades. Plenty of time for adjustment to decreased oil supply.
No doubt someone in the various government agencies has plans for some kind of super-sterilizer bomb, that doesn't cause any property damage, to apply selectively to non-favored populations. Some say AIDS virus was a step in that direction -- far fetched, and probably wrong, but it points to existing natural as well as potential invented methods of achieving population control when the time is right. We are already being set up to accept some kind of devastating epidemic ("avian flu"), and no doubt there are worse things in the pipeline.
The Neutron Bomb was developed to kill people while allowing infrastructure to stand. So, your "super-sterilizer bomb" already exists.